Grimsby 3–1 Morecambe – England League Two, 5 Apr 2025

Match facts

Grimsby Morecambe

17 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 6

11 Fouls 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (481 league matches this season so far).

Result Grimsby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.95

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.05

Home / Draw / Away

49% 25% 26%

GrimsbyDrawMorecambe

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Grimsby before this match, all matches

1.55points / match

1.35scored / match

1.43conceded / match

19 5 16

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 54:57

Morecambe before this match, all matches

0.90points / match

0.90scored / match

1.43conceded / match

10 6 24

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 36:57

Grimsby all matches all matches Morecambe

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 0.90

1.43 Goals conceded 1.43

2.78 Total goals 2.33

11.50 Shots 10.55

4.08 Shots on target 3.25

11.88 Shots faced 13.38

4.60 Corners 4.70

4.98 Corners against 5.60

11.33 Fouls 12.15

1.98 Yellow cards 1.75

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

48% Wins 25%

13% Draws 15%

40% Losses 60%

98% Over 0.5 goals 100%

78% Over 1.5 goals 57%

57% Over 2.5 goals 35%

25% Over 3.5 goals 20%

15% Over 4.5 goals 10%

3% Over 5.5 goals 8%

57% Both teams scored 35%

23% Clean sheets 18%

23% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 20%

33% Draws 48%

35% Losses 33%

70% Over 0.5 goals 63%

30% Over 1.5 goals 25%

20% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

3

1

W

2

L

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

Morecambe all matches

2

W

1

L

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

1

W

2

W

Grimsby before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.35scored / match

1.45conceded / match

9 3 8

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 27:29

Morecambe before this match, away

0.70points / match

0.70scored / match

1.40conceded / match

4 2 14

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 14:28

Grimsby at home away Morecambe

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 0.70

1.45 Goals conceded 1.40

2.80 Total goals 2.10

12.10 Shots 8.90

4.10 Shots on target 2.85

10.50 Shots faced 14.05

5.30 Corners 4.40

4.45 Corners against 6.00

9.80 Fouls 12.80

1.40 Yellow cards 2.10

0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

45% Wins 20%

15% Draws 10%

40% Losses 70%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

80% Over 1.5 goals 50%

55% Over 2.5 goals 40%

20% Over 3.5 goals 15%

15% Over 4.5 goals 5%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

60% Both teams scored 35%

15% Clean sheets 10%

25% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 15%

45% Draws 45%

25% Losses 40%

60% Over 0.5 goals 60%

20% Over 1.5 goals 20%

15% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby at home

2

1

W

3

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

L

1

W

Morecambe away

2

L

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

L

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Grimsby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.25	Crewe – Grimsby	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.15	1.67
28.03.25	Colchester – Grimsby	1–2 (0–0)	2.05	3.25	3.70	2.40	1.53
22.03.25	Grimsby – Newport County	1–0 (0–0)	1.44	4.50	6.25	1.70	2.10
15.03.25	Grimsby – Salford	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.30	2.03	1.83
11.03.25	Grimsby – Notts County	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
08.03.25	Walsall – Grimsby	1–3 (1–2)	1.80	3.75	4.00	1.98	1.88
04.03.25	Grimsby – Tranmere	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.50	4.75	2.03	1.83
01.03.25	Cheltenham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
22.02.25	Grimsby – Fleetwood Town	2–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
15.02.25	Doncaster – Grimsby	1–2 (0–1)	1.67	3.70	4.75	1.70	2.10

Morecambe all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.25	Morecambe – Cheltenham	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.85
29.03.25	Morecambe – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.95	1.90
22.03.25	Port Vale – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	5.25	2.08	1.73
15.03.25	Morecambe – Barrow	2–2 (2–0)	3.10	3.10	2.38	2.35	1.57
08.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.80	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Morecambe – AFC Wimbledon	1–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.20	2.15	2.15	1.67
01.03.25	Gillingham – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.70	2.15	1.67
22.02.25	Morecambe – Walsall	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.90	1.73	1.98	1.88
18.02.25	Morecambe – Doncaster	0–1 (0–1)	3.70	3.60	1.90	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Morecambe – Accrington	2–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80

Grimsby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Grimsby – Newport County	1–0 (0–0)	1.44	4.50	6.25	1.70	2.10
15.03.25	Grimsby – Salford	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.30	2.03	1.83
11.03.25	Grimsby – Notts County	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
04.03.25	Grimsby – Tranmere	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.50	4.75	2.03	1.83
22.02.25	Grimsby – Fleetwood Town	2–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.20	3.00	1.95	1.90
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Grimsby – Gillingham	1–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.10	1.70
18.01.25	Grimsby – Chesterfield	1–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.40	2.55	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Grimsby – Port Vale	3–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.15	2.05	1.75
26.12.24	Grimsby – Harrogate	2–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.80	4.75	1.90	1.95

Morecambe away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.03.25	Port Vale – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	5.25	2.08	1.73
08.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Morecambe	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.80	1.93	1.93
01.03.25	Gillingham – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.70	2.15	1.67
08.02.25	Notts County – Morecambe	2–0 (0–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.67	2.15
04.02.25	Newport County – Morecambe	2–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.60	1.88	1.98
28.01.25	Bradford – Morecambe	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.20	6.25	1.98	1.88
25.01.25	Colchester – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.50	2.00	1.82
29.12.24	Salford – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.70	4.20	1.93	1.93
26.12.24	Carlisle – Morecambe	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	1.93	1.93
14.12.24	Cheltenham – Morecambe	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Grimsby winsDrawsMorecambe wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.12.24E3	Morecambe – Grimsby	0–3 (0–2)	2.70	3.30	2.50	1.93	1.93
24.02.24E3	Morecambe – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.80	2.00
11.11.23E3	Grimsby – Morecambe	3–2 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	41	20	13	8	54	40	+14	73
2	Walsall	41	20	12	9	72	49	+23	72
3	Bradford	40	20	10	10	52	34	+18	70
4	Doncaster	40	20	10	10	61	46	+15	70
5	Notts County	40	19	11	10	61	39	+22	68
6	AFC Wimbledon	40	18	11	11	53	31	+22	65
7	Grimsby	40	19	5	16	54	57	-3	62
8	Crewe	40	15	16	9	47	39	+8	61
9	Colchester	40	14	17	9	48	40	+8	59
10	Chesterfield	40	16	10	14	61	49	+12	58
11	Salford	39	15	12	12	48	44	+4	57
12	Fleetwood Town	40	14	14	12	57	49	+8	56
13	Bromley	40	13	14	13	52	51	+1	53
14	Swindon	40	12	15	13	57	57	0	51
15	Cheltenham	41	13	11	17	51	61	-10	50
16	Barrow	40	13	10	17	44	47	-3	49
17	Newport County	40	13	8	19	49	65	-16	47
18	Milton Keynes Dons	40	13	7	20	51	62	-11	46
19	Gillingham	39	11	12	16	33	41	-8	45
20	Harrogate	40	12	9	19	33	51	-18	45
21	Tranmere	41	10	13	18	36	58	-22	43
22	Accrington	40	10	12	18	46	59	-13	42
23	Morecambe	40	10	6	24	36	57	-21	36
24	Carlisle	40	7	10	23	31	61	-30	31

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	20	15	3	2	35	12	+23	48
2	Walsall	21	12	5	4	44	29	+15	41
3	AFC Wimbledon	20	12	4	4	34	14	+20	40
4	Port Vale	20	11	6	3	27	15	+12	39
5	Doncaster	20	10	6	4	32	21	+11	36
6	Notts County	20	10	5	5	28	14	+14	35
7	Newport County	20	10	4	6	31	26	+5	34
8	Colchester	20	9	6	5	27	15	+12	33
9	Crewe	20	9	6	5	28	22	+6	33
10	Barrow	20	9	5	6	29	19	+10	32
11	Chesterfield	19	8	8	3	30	22	+8	32
12	Cheltenham	21	9	5	7	28	28	0	32
13	Swindon	20	8	7	5	34	28	+6	31
14	Tranmere	21	7	9	5	22	19	+3	30
15	Salford	19	9	3	7	24	22	+2	30
16	Grimsby	20	9	3	8	27	29	-2	30
17	Harrogate	20	9	3	8	20	25	-5	30
18	Fleetwood Town	20	6	11	3	22	17	+5	29
19	Milton Keynes Dons	20	8	4	8	25	22	+3	28
20	Gillingham	20	8	4	8	21	19	+2	28
21	Bromley	20	6	7	7	27	26	+1	25
22	Accrington	20	5	9	6	25	26	-1	24
23	Morecambe	20	6	4	10	22	29	-7	22
24	Carlisle	20	3	7	10	17	29	-12	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	20	10	4	6	29	25	+4	34
2	Port Vale	21	9	7	5	27	25	+2	34
3	Notts County	20	9	6	5	33	25	+8	33
4	Grimsby	20	10	2	8	27	28	-1	32
5	Walsall	20	8	7	5	28	20	+8	31
6	Crewe	20	6	10	4	19	17	+2	28
7	Bromley	20	7	7	6	25	25	0	28
8	Fleetwood Town	20	8	3	9	35	32	+3	27
9	Salford	20	6	9	5	24	22	+2	27
10	Chesterfield	21	8	2	11	31	27	+4	26
11	Colchester	20	5	11	4	21	25	-4	26
12	AFC Wimbledon	20	6	7	7	19	17	+2	25
13	Bradford	20	5	7	8	17	22	-5	22
14	Swindon	20	4	8	8	23	29	-6	20
15	Cheltenham	20	4	6	10	23	33	-10	18
16	Accrington	20	5	3	12	21	33	-12	18
17	Milton Keynes Dons	20	5	3	12	26	40	-14	18
18	Gillingham	19	3	8	8	12	22	-10	17
19	Barrow	20	4	5	11	15	28	-13	17
20	Harrogate	20	3	6	11	13	26	-13	15
21	Carlisle	20	4	3	13	14	32	-18	15
22	Morecambe	20	4	2	14	14	28	-14	14
23	Newport County	20	3	4	13	18	39	-21	13
24	Tranmere	20	3	4	13	14	39	-25	13

Grimsby Morecambe

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Newport County	40	16	24	1.2	1.6	13	8	19	49	65	47
2	7	Grimsby	40	17	23	1.4	1.4	19	5	16	54	57	62
3	10	Chesterfield	40	17	23	1.5	1.2	16	10	14	61	49	58
4	2	Walsall	41	19	22	1.8	1.2	20	12	9	72	49	72
5	14	Swindon	40	18	22	1.4	1.4	12	15	13	57	57	51
6	18	Milton Keynes Dons	40	18	22	1.3	1.6	13	7	20	51	62	46
7	4	Doncaster	40	19	21	1.5	1.1	20	10	10	61	46	70
8	22	Accrington	40	19	21	1.1	1.5	10	12	18	46	59	42
9	15	Cheltenham	41	21	20	1.2	1.5	13	11	17	51	61	50
10	12	Fleetwood Town	40	21	19	1.4	1.2	14	14	12	57	49	56
11	3	Bradford	40	22	18	1.3	0.8	20	10	10	52	34	70
12	24	Carlisle	40	22	18	0.8	1.5	7	10	23	31	61	31
13	1	Port Vale	41	24	17	1.3	1.0	20	13	8	54	40	73
14	5	Notts County	40	23	17	1.5	1.0	19	11	10	61	39	68
15	13	Bromley	40	23	17	1.3	1.3	13	14	13	52	51	53
16	21	Tranmere	41	24	17	0.9	1.4	10	13	18	36	58	43
17	11	Salford	39	23	16	1.2	1.1	15	12	12	48	44	57
18	6	AFC Wimbledon	40	25	15	1.3	0.8	18	11	11	53	31	65
19	16	Barrow	40	25	15	1.1	1.2	13	10	17	44	47	49
20	9	Colchester	40	26	14	1.2	1.0	14	17	9	48	40	59
21	20	Harrogate	40	26	14	0.8	1.3	12	9	19	33	51	45
22	23	Morecambe	40	26	14	0.9	1.4	10	6	24	36	57	36
23	8	Crewe	40	27	13	1.2	1.0	15	16	9	47	39	61
24	19	Gillingham	39	27	12	0.8	1.1	11	12	16	33	41	45

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Walsall	21	8	13	2.1	1.4	12	5	4	44	29	41
2	14	Swindon	20	7	13	1.7	1.4	8	7	5	34	28	31
3	17	Newport County	20	7	13	1.6	1.3	10	4	6	31	26	34
4	4	Doncaster	20	8	12	1.6	1.1	10	6	4	32	21	36
5	3	Bradford	20	9	11	1.8	0.6	15	3	2	35	12	48
6	7	Grimsby	20	9	11	1.4	1.4	9	3	8	27	29	30
7	10	Chesterfield	19	8	11	1.6	1.2	8	8	3	30	22	32
8	22	Accrington	20	10	10	1.2	1.3	5	9	6	25	26	24
9	6	AFC Wimbledon	20	11	9	1.7	0.7	12	4	4	34	14	40
10	18	Milton Keynes Dons	20	11	9	1.2	1.1	8	4	8	25	22	28
11	1	Port Vale	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	11	6	3	27	15	39
12	5	Notts County	20	12	8	1.4	0.7	10	5	5	28	14	35
13	8	Crewe	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	9	6	5	28	22	33
14	9	Colchester	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	9	6	5	27	15	33
15	11	Salford	19	11	8	1.3	1.2	9	3	7	24	22	30
16	13	Bromley	20	12	8	1.4	1.3	6	7	7	27	26	25
17	15	Cheltenham	21	13	8	1.3	1.3	9	5	7	28	28	32
18	16	Barrow	20	12	8	1.4	0.9	9	5	6	29	19	32
19	19	Gillingham	20	12	8	1.1	0.9	8	4	8	21	19	28
20	24	Carlisle	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	3	7	10	17	29	16
21	20	Harrogate	20	13	7	1.0	1.2	9	3	8	20	25	30
22	12	Fleetwood Town	20	14	6	1.1	0.8	6	11	3	22	17	29
23	21	Tranmere	21	15	6	1.0	0.9	7	9	5	22	19	30
24	23	Morecambe	20	14	6	1.1	1.4	6	4	10	22	29	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Fleetwood Town	20	7	13	1.8	1.6	8	3	9	35	32	27
2	18	Milton Keynes Dons	20	7	13	1.3	2.0	5	3	12	26	40	18
3	7	Grimsby	20	8	12	1.4	1.4	10	2	8	27	28	32
4	10	Chesterfield	21	9	12	1.5	1.3	8	2	11	31	27	26
5	15	Cheltenham	20	8	12	1.1	1.6	4	6	10	23	33	18
6	17	Newport County	20	9	11	0.9	1.9	3	4	13	18	39	13
7	21	Tranmere	20	9	11	0.7	1.9	3	4	13	14	39	13
8	22	Accrington	20	9	11	1.1	1.6	5	3	12	21	33	18
9	24	Carlisle	20	10	10	0.7	1.6	4	3	13	14	32	15
10	1	Port Vale	21	12	9	1.3	1.2	9	7	5	27	25	34
11	2	Walsall	20	11	9	1.4	1.0	8	7	5	28	20	31
12	4	Doncaster	20	11	9	1.4	1.2	10	4	6	29	25	34
13	5	Notts County	20	11	9	1.6	1.2	9	6	5	33	25	33
14	13	Bromley	20	11	9	1.2	1.2	7	7	6	25	25	28
15	14	Swindon	20	11	9	1.1	1.4	4	8	8	23	29	20
16	11	Salford	20	12	8	1.2	1.1	6	9	5	24	22	27
17	23	Morecambe	20	12	8	0.7	1.4	4	2	14	14	28	14
18	3	Bradford	20	13	7	0.8	1.1	5	7	8	17	22	22
19	16	Barrow	20	13	7	0.8	1.4	4	5	11	15	28	17
20	20	Harrogate	20	13	7	0.7	1.3	3	6	11	13	26	15
21	6	AFC Wimbledon	20	14	6	0.9	0.8	6	7	7	19	17	25
22	9	Colchester	20	14	6	1.1	1.2	5	11	4	21	25	26
23	8	Crewe	20	15	5	0.9	0.8	6	10	4	19	17	28
24	19	Gillingham	19	15	4	0.6	1.2	3	8	8	12	22	17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.