Carlisle 3–2 Port Vale – England League Two, 18 Apr 2025

Match facts

Carlisle Port Vale

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 5

14 Fouls 10

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (505 league matches this season so far).

Result Port Vale to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.94

Expected goals 1.02 – 1.43

Home / Draw / Away

27% 27% 47%

CarlisleDrawPort Vale

Under / Over 2.5 goals

56% 44%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.6% 0–1 12.4% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.88points / match

0.86scored / match

1.50conceded / match

9 10 23

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 36:63

Port Vale before this match, all matches

1.81points / match

1.40scored / match

0.95conceded / match

21 13 8

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 59:40

Carlisle all matches all matches Port Vale

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.40

1.50 Goals conceded 0.95

2.36 Total goals 2.36

11.40 Shots 11.95

3.67 Shots on target 3.90

12.88 Shots faced 11.10

5.21 Corners 4.79

5.14 Corners against 5.02

11.07 Fouls 11.17

2.62 Yellow cards 1.71

0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

21% Wins 50%

24% Draws 31%

55% Losses 19%

88% Over 0.5 goals 88%

64% Over 1.5 goals 62%

45% Over 2.5 goals 43%

21% Over 3.5 goals 24%

14% Over 4.5 goals 17%

2% Over 5.5 goals 2%

48% Both teams scored 48%

24% Clean sheets 40%

40% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 33%

40% Draws 52%

38% Losses 14%

71% Over 0.5 goals 57%

29% Over 1.5 goals 26%

14% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

W

Port Vale all matches

D

1

D

1

2

L

3

W

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

W

3

2

W

5

W

Carlisle before this match, at home

0.90points / match

0.95scored / match

1.48conceded / match

4 7 10

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 20:31

Port Vale before this match, away

1.62points / match

1.29scored / match

1.19conceded / match

9 7 5

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:25

Carlisle at home away Port Vale

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.29

1.48 Goals conceded 1.19

2.43 Total goals 2.48

12.43 Shots 11.62

4.00 Shots on target 3.62

10.76 Shots faced 11.90

5.81 Corners 4.67

4.14 Corners against 5.05

10.62 Fouls 11.14

2.48 Yellow cards 1.90

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.57

0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

19% Wins 43%

33% Draws 33%

48% Losses 24%

86% Over 0.5 goals 95%

67% Over 1.5 goals 67%

43% Over 2.5 goals 43%

24% Over 3.5 goals 24%

19% Over 4.5 goals 14%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

57% Both teams scored 52%

19% Clean sheets 33%

38% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 29%

43% Draws 52%

38% Losses 19%

76% Over 0.5 goals 57%

43% Over 1.5 goals 24%

24% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

2

1

W

1

L

1

5

L

D

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

2

W

Port Vale away

1

2

L

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

3

D

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Morecambe – Carlisle	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.75	2.75	1.95	1.90
05.04.25	Carlisle – Newport County	3–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.20	1.85	2.00
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
25.03.25	Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–2)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.00	1.85
22.03.25	Carlisle – Bromley	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
15.03.25	Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.60	1.48
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
04.03.25	Carlisle – Walsall	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.70
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67

Port Vale all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Port Vale – Bromley	5–0 (2–0)	1.70	3.70	4.75	2.05	1.75
05.04.25	Walsall – Port Vale	2–3 (2–3)	2.15	3.10	3.50	2.35	1.57
01.04.25	Port Vale – Bradford	2–0 (2–0)	2.55	3.10	2.80	2.40	1.53
29.03.25	Crewe – Port Vale	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.30	1.60
25.03.25	Port Vale – Barrow	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.25	4.33	2.25	1.62
22.03.25	Port Vale – Morecambe	1–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	5.25	2.08	1.73
15.03.25	Port Vale – Milton Keynes Dons	3–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	2.08	1.73
11.03.25	Colchester – Port Vale	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	3.90	2.70	1.44
08.03.25	Fleetwood Town – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.10	2.30	1.60
04.03.25	Port Vale – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.20	4.75	2.40	1.53

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Carlisle – Newport County	3–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.20	1.85	2.00
25.03.25	Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–2)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.00	1.85
22.03.25	Carlisle – Bromley	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
15.03.25	Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.60	1.48
04.03.25	Carlisle – Walsall	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.70
22.02.25	Carlisle – Gillingham	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.20	2.90	2.35	1.57
15.02.25	Carlisle – Colchester	0–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.20	2.25	1.62
01.02.25	Carlisle – Swindon	1–5 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.75
18.01.25	Carlisle – Bradford	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.20	2.05	1.75
29.12.24	Carlisle – Accrington	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.50	3.00	2.03	1.83

Port Vale away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Walsall – Port Vale	2–3 (2–3)	2.15	3.10	3.50	2.35	1.57
29.03.25	Crewe – Port Vale	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.70	2.30	1.60
11.03.25	Colchester – Port Vale	2–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.10	3.90	2.70	1.44
08.03.25	Fleetwood Town – Port Vale	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.10	2.30	1.60
01.03.25	Tranmere – Port Vale	1–1 (1–1)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.70
08.02.25	Swindon – Port Vale	3–3 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	3.00	2.05	1.80
25.01.25	Chesterfield – Port Vale	1–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.00	1.85
04.01.25	Doncaster – Port Vale	1–2 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	3.70	2.03	1.83
29.12.24	Grimsby – Port Vale	3–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.15	2.05	1.75
26.12.24	Bradford – Port Vale	2–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.30	2.10	1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2 2

Carlisle winsDrawsPort Vale wins

5matches

1.60goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.12.24E3	Port Vale – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.50	4.75	2.05	1.80
01.01.24E2	Carlisle – Port Vale	2–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
26.08.23E2	Port Vale – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.75	4.20	1.98	1.88
08.02.22E3	Carlisle – Port Vale	1–3 (1–2)	3.10	3.20	2.40	2.40	1.53
17.08.21E3	Port Vale – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.25	1.61

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	42	21	13	8	59	40	+19	76
2	Bradford	43	21	11	11	59	40	+19	74
3	Walsall	42	20	12	10	72	51	+21	72
4	Doncaster	42	20	12	10	63	48	+15	72
5	AFC Wimbledon	42	19	12	11	55	32	+23	69
6	Notts County	43	19	12	12	63	44	+19	69
7	Grimsby	42	20	6	16	59	60	-1	66
8	Colchester	42	16	17	9	51	40	+11	65
9	Chesterfield	42	17	11	14	65	50	+15	62
10	Salford	42	16	14	12	54	48	+6	62
11	Crewe	42	15	16	11	49	44	+5	61
12	Swindon	42	14	15	13	66	61	+5	57
13	Fleetwood Town	42	14	14	14	57	56	+1	56
14	Bromley	42	14	14	14	56	56	0	56
15	Barrow	42	15	10	17	49	47	+2	55
16	Cheltenham	42	14	11	17	54	63	-9	53
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	37	44	-7	50
18	Newport County	42	13	8	21	51	70	-19	47
19	Milton Keynes Dons	42	13	7	22	51	66	-15	46
20	Harrogate	42	12	10	20	35	54	-19	46
21	Tranmere	42	10	14	18	39	61	-22	44
22	Accrington	42	10	13	19	49	66	-17	43
23	Carlisle	42	9	10	23	36	63	-27	37
24	Morecambe	42	10	6	26	37	62	-25	36

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	22	16	4	2	38	13	+25	52
2	AFC Wimbledon	21	13	4	4	35	14	+21	43
3	Port Vale	21	12	6	3	32	15	+17	42
4	Walsall	21	12	5	4	44	29	+15	41
5	Doncaster	21	10	7	4	33	22	+11	37
6	Colchester	21	10	6	5	28	15	+13	36
7	Chesterfield	21	9	9	3	34	23	+11	36
8	Barrow	21	10	5	6	31	19	+12	35
9	Notts County	21	10	5	6	29	17	+12	35
10	Swindon	21	9	7	5	39	32	+7	34
11	Newport County	21	10	4	7	31	28	+3	34
12	Crewe	21	9	6	6	30	25	+5	33
13	Grimsby	21	10	3	8	30	30	0	33
14	Salford	21	9	5	7	27	25	+2	32
15	Cheltenham	21	9	5	7	28	28	0	32
16	Gillingham	21	9	4	8	22	19	+3	31
17	Harrogate	21	9	4	8	22	27	-5	31
18	Tranmere	21	7	9	5	22	19	+3	30
19	Fleetwood Town	21	6	11	4	22	21	+1	29
20	Bromley	21	7	7	7	31	26	+5	28
21	Milton Keynes Dons	21	8	4	9	25	25	0	28
22	Accrington	21	5	10	6	28	29	-1	25
23	Morecambe	21	6	4	11	22	31	-9	22
24	Carlisle	21	4	7	10	20	31	-11	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	21	10	5	6	30	26	+4	35
2	Notts County	22	9	7	6	34	27	+7	34
3	Port Vale	21	9	7	5	27	25	+2	34
4	Grimsby	21	10	3	8	29	30	-1	33
5	Walsall	21	8	7	6	28	22	+6	31
6	Salford	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
7	Colchester	21	6	11	4	23	25	-2	29
8	Crewe	21	6	10	5	19	19	0	28
9	Bromley	21	7	7	7	25	30	-5	28
10	Fleetwood Town	21	8	3	10	35	35	0	27
11	Chesterfield	21	8	2	11	31	27	+4	26
12	AFC Wimbledon	21	6	8	7	20	18	+2	26
13	Swindon	21	5	8	8	27	29	-2	23
14	Bradford	21	5	7	9	21	27	-6	22
15	Cheltenham	21	5	6	10	26	35	-9	21
16	Barrow	21	5	5	11	18	28	-10	20
17	Gillingham	21	3	10	8	15	25	-10	19
18	Milton Keynes Dons	21	5	3	13	26	41	-15	18
19	Accrington	21	5	3	13	21	37	-16	18
20	Carlisle	21	5	3	13	16	32	-16	18
21	Harrogate	21	3	6	12	13	27	-14	15
22	Morecambe	21	4	2	15	15	31	-16	14
23	Tranmere	21	3	5	13	17	42	-25	14
24	Newport County	21	3	4	14	20	42	-22	13

Carlisle Port Vale

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Grimsby	42	17	25	1.4	1.4	20	6	16	59	60	66
2	18	Newport County	42	17	25	1.2	1.7	13	8	21	51	70	47
3	9	Chesterfield	42	18	24	1.5	1.2	17	11	14	65	50	62
4	12	Swindon	42	18	24	1.6	1.5	14	15	13	66	61	57
5	19	Milton Keynes Dons	42	19	23	1.2	1.6	13	7	22	51	66	46
6	22	Accrington	42	19	23	1.2	1.6	10	13	19	49	66	43
7	3	Walsall	42	20	22	1.7	1.2	20	12	10	72	51	72
8	4	Doncaster	42	21	21	1.5	1.1	20	12	10	63	48	72
9	13	Fleetwood Town	42	21	21	1.4	1.3	14	14	14	57	56	56
10	16	Cheltenham	42	21	21	1.3	1.5	14	11	17	54	63	53
11	2	Bradford	43	24	19	1.4	0.9	21	11	11	59	40	74
12	14	Bromley	42	23	19	1.3	1.3	14	14	14	56	56	56
13	23	Carlisle	42	23	19	0.9	1.5	9	10	23	36	63	37
14	1	Port Vale	42	24	18	1.4	1.0	21	13	8	59	40	76
15	6	Notts County	43	25	18	1.5	1.0	19	12	12	63	44	69
16	10	Salford	42	24	18	1.3	1.1	16	14	12	54	48	62
17	21	Tranmere	42	24	18	0.9	1.5	10	14	18	39	61	44
18	15	Barrow	42	26	16	1.2	1.1	15	10	17	49	47	55
19	5	AFC Wimbledon	42	27	15	1.3	0.8	19	12	11	55	32	69
20	20	Harrogate	42	27	15	0.8	1.3	12	10	20	35	54	46
21	24	Morecambe	42	27	15	0.9	1.5	10	6	26	37	62	36
22	8	Colchester	42	28	14	1.2	1.0	16	17	9	51	40	65
23	11	Crewe	42	28	14	1.2	1.0	15	16	11	49	44	61
24	17	Gillingham	42	29	13	0.9	1.0	12	14	16	37	44	50

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Swindon	21	7	14	1.9	1.5	9	7	5	39	32	34
2	3	Walsall	21	8	13	2.1	1.4	12	5	4	44	29	41
3	18	Newport County	21	8	13	1.5	1.3	10	4	7	31	28	34
4	4	Doncaster	21	9	12	1.6	1.0	10	7	4	33	22	37
5	7	Grimsby	21	9	12	1.4	1.4	10	3	8	30	30	33
6	9	Chesterfield	21	9	12	1.6	1.1	9	9	3	34	23	36
7	2	Bradford	22	11	11	1.7	0.6	16	4	2	38	13	52
8	22	Accrington	21	10	11	1.3	1.4	5	10	6	28	29	25
9	19	Milton Keynes Dons	21	11	10	1.2	1.2	8	4	9	25	25	28
10	1	Port Vale	21	12	9	1.5	0.7	12	6	3	32	15	42
11	5	AFC Wimbledon	21	12	9	1.7	0.7	13	4	4	35	14	43
12	6	Notts County	21	12	9	1.4	0.8	10	5	6	29	17	35
13	10	Salford	21	12	9	1.3	1.2	9	5	7	27	25	32
14	11	Crewe	21	12	9	1.4	1.2	9	6	6	30	25	33
15	14	Bromley	21	12	9	1.5	1.2	7	7	7	31	26	28
16	23	Carlisle	21	12	9	1.0	1.5	4	7	10	20	31	19
17	8	Colchester	21	13	8	1.3	0.7	10	6	5	28	15	36
18	15	Barrow	21	13	8	1.5	0.9	10	5	6	31	19	35
19	16	Cheltenham	21	13	8	1.3	1.3	9	5	7	28	28	32
20	17	Gillingham	21	13	8	1.0	0.9	9	4	8	22	19	31
21	20	Harrogate	21	13	8	1.0	1.3	9	4	8	22	27	31
22	13	Fleetwood Town	21	14	7	1.0	1.0	6	11	4	22	21	29
23	21	Tranmere	21	15	6	1.0	0.9	7	9	5	22	19	30
24	24	Morecambe	21	15	6	1.0	1.5	6	4	11	22	31	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Fleetwood Town	21	7	14	1.7	1.7	8	3	10	35	35	27
2	7	Grimsby	21	8	13	1.4	1.4	10	3	8	29	30	33
3	16	Cheltenham	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	5	6	10	26	35	21
4	19	Milton Keynes Dons	21	8	13	1.2	2.0	5	3	13	26	41	18
5	9	Chesterfield	21	9	12	1.5	1.3	8	2	11	31	27	26
6	18	Newport County	21	9	12	1.0	2.0	3	4	14	20	42	13
7	21	Tranmere	21	9	12	0.8	2.0	3	5	13	17	42	14
8	22	Accrington	21	9	12	1.0	1.8	5	3	13	21	37	18
9	12	Swindon	21	11	10	1.3	1.4	5	8	8	27	29	23
10	14	Bromley	21	11	10	1.2	1.4	7	7	7	25	30	28
11	23	Carlisle	21	11	10	0.8	1.5	5	3	13	16	32	18
12	1	Port Vale	21	12	9	1.3	1.2	9	7	5	27	25	34
13	3	Walsall	21	12	9	1.3	1.0	8	7	6	28	22	31
14	4	Doncaster	21	12	9	1.4	1.2	10	5	6	30	26	35
15	6	Notts County	22	13	9	1.5	1.2	9	7	6	34	27	34
16	10	Salford	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
17	24	Morecambe	21	12	9	0.7	1.5	4	2	15	15	31	14
18	2	Bradford	21	13	8	1.0	1.3	5	7	9	21	27	22
19	15	Barrow	21	13	8	0.9	1.3	5	5	11	18	28	20
20	20	Harrogate	21	14	7	0.6	1.3	3	6	12	13	27	15
21	5	AFC Wimbledon	21	15	6	1.0	0.9	6	8	7	20	18	26
22	8	Colchester	21	15	6	1.1	1.2	6	11	4	23	25	29
23	11	Crewe	21	16	5	0.9	0.9	6	10	5	19	19	28
24	17	Gillingham	21	16	5	0.7	1.2	3	10	8	15	25	19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.