Accrington 1–1 Carlisle – England League Two, 21 Apr 2025

Match facts

Accrington Carlisle

5 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 2

8 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (517 league matches this season so far).

Result Accrington to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.10

Home / Draw / Away

47% 25% 27%

AccringtonDrawCarlisle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 11% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Accrington before this match, all matches

1.07points / match

1.19scored / match

1.56conceded / match

11 13 19

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 51:67

Carlisle before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.91scored / match

1.51conceded / match

10 10 23

WonDrawnLost 43 played · 39:65

Accrington all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 0.91

1.56 Goals conceded 1.51

2.74 Total goals 2.42

9.98 Shots 11.51

3.37 Shots on target 3.67

10.14 Shots faced 12.91

3.88 Corners 5.19

5.14 Corners against 5.14

14.65 Fouls 11.14

2.81 Yellow cards 2.65

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.49

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

26% Wins 23%

30% Draws 23%

44% Losses 53%

88% Over 0.5 goals 88%

77% Over 1.5 goals 65%

56% Over 2.5 goals 47%

28% Over 3.5 goals 23%

16% Over 4.5 goals 16%

7% Over 5.5 goals 2%

53% Both teams scored 49%

28% Clean sheets 23%

30% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 23%

30% Draws 40%

35% Losses 37%

74% Over 0.5 goals 72%

28% Over 1.5 goals 30%

14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington all matches

2

W

2

L

5

W

1

D

1

4

L

4

L

3

D

2

1

W

Carlisle all matches

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

3

L

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

W

3

2

W

Accrington before this match, at home

1.19points / match

1.33scored / match

1.38conceded / match

5 10 6

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 28:29

Carlisle before this match, away

0.86points / match

0.76scored / match

1.52conceded / match

5 3 13

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 16:32

Accrington at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.76

1.38 Goals conceded 1.52

2.71 Total goals 2.29

9.76 Shots 10.38

3.05 Shots on target 3.33

9.67 Shots faced 15.00

3.62 Corners 4.62

5.48 Corners against 6.14

14.19 Fouls 11.52

2.67 Yellow cards 2.76

0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.29

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

24% Wins 24%

48% Draws 14%

29% Losses 62%

81% Over 0.5 goals 90%

71% Over 1.5 goals 62%

52% Over 2.5 goals 48%

33% Over 3.5 goals 19%

24% Over 4.5 goals 10%

10% Over 5.5 goals 0%

52% Both teams scored 38%

33% Clean sheets 29%

33% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 24%

33% Draws 38%

24% Losses 38%

71% Over 0.5 goals 67%

48% Over 1.5 goals 14%

24% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Accrington at home

3

L

D

1

2

L

2

W

5

W

1

D

1

4

L

3

D

Carlisle away

1

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

3

L

1

2

L

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Accrington all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Salford – Accrington	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.40	4.50	2.03	1.83
12.04.25	Accrington – Tranmere	3–3 (3–0)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.60	1.48
05.04.25	Bromley – Accrington	4–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.15	1.67
01.04.25	Accrington – Fleetwood Town	1–4 (0–1)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.25	1.62
29.03.25	Accrington – Bradford	0–0 (0–0)	4.00	3.40	2.00	2.35	1.57
22.03.25	Swindon – Accrington	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.00	1.85
15.03.25	Accrington – Gillingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.00	3.50	2.50	1.50
11.03.25	Accrington – Newport County	5–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.70	4.33	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Barrow – Accrington	2–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.10	3.75	2.50	1.50
04.03.25	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.30	2.75	2.08	1.73

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Carlisle – Port Vale	3–2 (2–0)	3.40	3.25	2.10	2.08	1.73
12.04.25	Morecambe – Carlisle	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.75	2.75	1.95	1.90
05.04.25	Carlisle – Newport County	3–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.20	1.85	2.00
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
25.03.25	Carlisle – Milton Keynes Dons	2–2 (2–2)	2.38	3.30	2.88	2.00	1.85
22.03.25	Carlisle – Bromley	2–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
15.03.25	Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon	1–2 (0–1)	3.00	3.10	2.38	2.60	1.48
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
04.03.25	Carlisle – Walsall	1–1 (1–1)	3.30	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.70

Accrington at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Accrington – Tranmere	3–3 (3–0)	2.70	3.00	2.70	2.60	1.48
01.04.25	Accrington – Fleetwood Town	1–4 (0–1)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.25	1.62
29.03.25	Accrington – Bradford	0–0 (0–0)	4.00	3.40	2.00	2.35	1.57
15.03.25	Accrington – Gillingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.00	3.50	2.50	1.50
11.03.25	Accrington – Newport County	5–0 (3–0)	1.75	3.70	4.33	1.98	1.88
04.03.25	Accrington – Milton Keynes Dons	2–0 (2–0)	2.45	3.30	2.75	2.08	1.73
22.02.25	Accrington – Doncaster	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.10	2.10	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Accrington – AFC Wimbledon	0–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.20	2.10	2.40	1.53
28.01.25	Accrington – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.67
18.01.25	Accrington – Notts County	0–3 (0–2)	3.10	3.40	2.20	1.75	2.05

Carlisle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	Morecambe – Carlisle	0–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.75	2.75	1.95	1.90
01.04.25	Chesterfield – Carlisle	2–1 (0–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
29.03.25	Doncaster – Carlisle	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	1.93	1.93
08.03.25	Harrogate – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.45	2.25	1.62
27.02.25	Barrow – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
11.02.25	Newport County – Carlisle	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Grimsby – Carlisle	2–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
28.01.25	Notts County – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	1.57	4.33	5.00	1.60	2.30
25.01.25	Fleetwood Town – Carlisle	1–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Tranmere – Carlisle	1–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.25	2.03	1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Accrington winsDrawsCarlisle wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.12.24E3	Carlisle – Accrington	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.50	3.00	2.03	1.83

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	43	21	13	9	61	43	+18	76
2	Doncaster	43	21	12	10	66	48	+18	75
3	Walsall	44	20	14	10	74	53	+21	74
4	Bradford	43	21	11	11	59	40	+19	74
5	AFC Wimbledon	43	19	13	11	55	32	+23	70
6	Notts County	43	19	12	12	63	44	+19	69
7	Colchester	43	16	18	9	51	40	+11	66
8	Grimsby	43	20	6	17	59	64	-5	66
9	Chesterfield	43	17	12	14	65	50	+15	63
10	Salford	43	16	14	13	55	50	+5	62
11	Crewe	43	15	17	11	49	44	+5	62
12	Swindon	43	15	15	13	70	61	+9	60
13	Bromley	43	15	14	14	57	56	+1	59
14	Fleetwood Town	43	14	15	14	57	56	+1	57
15	Barrow	43	15	11	17	49	47	+2	56
16	Cheltenham	43	14	12	17	55	64	-9	54
17	Gillingham	43	12	15	16	38	45	-7	51
18	Newport County	44	13	10	21	51	70	-19	49
19	Milton Keynes Dons	43	13	8	22	51	66	-15	47
20	Harrogate	43	12	11	20	37	56	-19	47
21	Accrington	43	11	13	19	51	67	-16	46
22	Tranmere	43	10	14	19	39	64	-25	44
23	Carlisle	43	10	10	23	39	65	-26	40
24	Morecambe	43	10	6	27	37	63	-26	36

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	22	16	4	2	38	13	+25	52
2	AFC Wimbledon	22	13	5	4	35	14	+21	44
3	Port Vale	21	12	6	3	32	15	+17	42
4	Walsall	22	12	6	4	46	31	+15	42
5	Colchester	22	10	7	5	28	15	+13	37
6	Doncaster	21	10	7	4	33	22	+11	37
7	Chesterfield	21	9	9	3	34	23	+11	36
8	Barrow	21	10	5	6	31	19	+12	35
9	Notts County	21	10	5	6	29	17	+12	35
10	Newport County	22	10	5	7	31	28	+3	35
11	Swindon	21	9	7	5	39	32	+7	34
12	Crewe	21	9	6	6	30	25	+5	33
13	Cheltenham	22	9	6	7	29	29	0	33
14	Grimsby	22	10	3	9	30	34	-4	33
15	Salford	22	9	5	8	28	27	+1	32
16	Bromley	22	8	7	7	32	26	+6	31
17	Gillingham	21	9	4	8	22	19	+3	31
18	Harrogate	21	9	4	8	22	27	-5	31
19	Fleetwood Town	22	6	12	4	22	21	+1	30
20	Tranmere	22	7	9	6	22	22	0	30
21	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	5	9	25	25	0	29
22	Accrington	21	5	10	6	28	29	-1	25
23	Morecambe	21	6	4	11	22	31	-9	22
24	Carlisle	22	5	7	10	23	33	-10	22

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Doncaster	22	11	5	6	33	26	+7	38
2	Notts County	22	9	7	6	34	27	+7	34
3	Port Vale	22	9	7	6	29	28	+1	34
4	Grimsby	21	10	3	8	29	30	-1	33
5	Walsall	22	8	8	6	28	22	+6	32
6	Salford	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
7	Crewe	22	6	11	5	19	19	0	29
8	Colchester	21	6	11	4	23	25	-2	29
9	Bromley	21	7	7	7	25	30	-5	28
10	Chesterfield	22	8	3	11	31	27	+4	27
11	Fleetwood Town	21	8	3	10	35	35	0	27
12	Swindon	22	6	8	8	31	29	+2	26
13	AFC Wimbledon	21	6	8	7	20	18	+2	26
14	Bradford	21	5	7	9	21	27	-6	22
15	Cheltenham	21	5	6	10	26	35	-9	21
16	Barrow	22	5	6	11	18	28	-10	21
17	Accrington	22	6	3	13	23	38	-15	21
18	Gillingham	22	3	11	8	16	26	-10	20
19	Milton Keynes Dons	21	5	3	13	26	41	-15	18
20	Carlisle	21	5	3	13	16	32	-16	18
21	Harrogate	22	3	7	12	15	29	-14	16
22	Morecambe	22	4	2	16	15	32	-17	14
23	Newport County	22	3	5	14	20	42	-22	14
24	Tranmere	21	3	5	13	17	42	-25	14

Accrington Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	43	17	26	1.4	1.5	20	6	17	59	64	66
2	12	Swindon	43	18	25	1.6	1.4	15	15	13	70	61	60
3	18	Newport County	44	19	25	1.2	1.6	13	10	21	51	70	49
4	9	Chesterfield	43	19	24	1.5	1.2	17	12	14	65	50	63
5	21	Accrington	43	19	24	1.2	1.6	11	13	19	51	67	46
6	3	Walsall	44	21	23	1.7	1.2	20	14	10	74	53	74
7	19	Milton Keynes Dons	43	20	23	1.2	1.5	13	8	22	51	66	47
8	2	Doncaster	43	21	22	1.5	1.1	21	12	10	66	48	75
9	14	Fleetwood Town	43	22	21	1.3	1.3	14	15	14	57	56	57
10	16	Cheltenham	43	22	21	1.3	1.5	14	12	17	55	64	54
11	23	Carlisle	43	23	20	0.9	1.5	10	10	23	39	65	40
12	1	Port Vale	43	24	19	1.4	1.0	21	13	9	61	43	76
13	4	Bradford	43	24	19	1.4	0.9	21	11	11	59	40	74
14	10	Salford	43	24	19	1.3	1.2	16	14	13	55	50	62
15	13	Bromley	43	24	19	1.3	1.3	15	14	14	57	56	59
16	22	Tranmere	43	24	19	0.9	1.5	10	14	19	39	64	44
17	6	Notts County	43	25	18	1.5	1.0	19	12	12	63	44	69
18	15	Barrow	43	27	16	1.1	1.1	15	11	17	49	47	56
19	20	Harrogate	43	27	16	0.9	1.3	12	11	20	37	56	47
20	5	AFC Wimbledon	43	28	15	1.3	0.7	19	13	11	55	32	70
21	24	Morecambe	43	28	15	0.9	1.5	10	6	27	37	63	36
22	7	Colchester	43	29	14	1.2	0.9	16	18	9	51	40	66
23	11	Crewe	43	29	14	1.1	1.0	15	17	11	49	44	62
24	17	Gillingham	43	30	13	0.9	1.0	12	15	16	38	45	51

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Walsall	22	8	14	2.1	1.4	12	6	4	46	31	42
2	12	Swindon	21	7	14	1.9	1.5	9	7	5	39	32	34
3	8	Grimsby	22	9	13	1.4	1.5	10	3	9	30	34	33
4	18	Newport County	22	9	13	1.4	1.3	10	5	7	31	28	35
5	2	Doncaster	21	9	12	1.6	1.0	10	7	4	33	22	37
6	9	Chesterfield	21	9	12	1.6	1.1	9	9	3	34	23	36
7	4	Bradford	22	11	11	1.7	0.6	16	4	2	38	13	52
8	21	Accrington	21	10	11	1.3	1.4	5	10	6	28	29	25
9	10	Salford	22	12	10	1.3	1.2	9	5	8	28	27	32
10	19	Milton Keynes Dons	22	12	10	1.1	1.1	8	5	9	25	25	29
11	23	Carlisle	22	12	10	1.0	1.5	5	7	10	23	33	22
12	1	Port Vale	21	12	9	1.5	0.7	12	6	3	32	15	42
13	5	AFC Wimbledon	22	13	9	1.6	0.6	13	5	4	35	14	44
14	6	Notts County	21	12	9	1.4	0.8	10	5	6	29	17	35
15	11	Crewe	21	12	9	1.4	1.2	9	6	6	30	25	33
16	13	Bromley	22	13	9	1.5	1.2	8	7	7	32	26	31
17	7	Colchester	22	14	8	1.3	0.7	10	7	5	28	15	37
18	15	Barrow	21	13	8	1.5	0.9	10	5	6	31	19	35
19	16	Cheltenham	22	14	8	1.3	1.3	9	6	7	29	29	33
20	17	Gillingham	21	13	8	1.0	0.9	9	4	8	22	19	31
21	20	Harrogate	21	13	8	1.0	1.3	9	4	8	22	27	31
22	14	Fleetwood Town	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	6	12	4	22	21	30
23	22	Tranmere	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	7	9	6	22	22	30
24	24	Morecambe	21	15	6	1.0	1.5	6	4	11	22	31	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Fleetwood Town	21	7	14	1.7	1.7	8	3	10	35	35	27
2	8	Grimsby	21	8	13	1.4	1.4	10	3	8	29	30	33
3	16	Cheltenham	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	5	6	10	26	35	21
4	19	Milton Keynes Dons	21	8	13	1.2	2.0	5	3	13	26	41	18
5	21	Accrington	22	9	13	1.0	1.7	6	3	13	23	38	21
6	9	Chesterfield	22	10	12	1.4	1.2	8	3	11	31	27	27
7	18	Newport County	22	10	12	0.9	1.9	3	5	14	20	42	14
8	22	Tranmere	21	9	12	0.8	2.0	3	5	13	17	42	14
9	12	Swindon	22	11	11	1.4	1.3	6	8	8	31	29	26
10	1	Port Vale	22	12	10	1.3	1.3	9	7	6	29	28	34
11	2	Doncaster	22	12	10	1.5	1.2	11	5	6	33	26	38
12	13	Bromley	21	11	10	1.2	1.4	7	7	7	25	30	28
13	23	Carlisle	21	11	10	0.8	1.5	5	3	13	16	32	18
14	3	Walsall	22	13	9	1.3	1.0	8	8	6	28	22	32
15	6	Notts County	22	13	9	1.5	1.2	9	7	6	34	27	34
16	10	Salford	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
17	24	Morecambe	22	13	9	0.7	1.5	4	2	16	15	32	14
18	4	Bradford	21	13	8	1.0	1.3	5	7	9	21	27	22
19	15	Barrow	22	14	8	0.8	1.3	5	6	11	18	28	21
20	20	Harrogate	22	14	8	0.7	1.3	3	7	12	15	29	16
21	5	AFC Wimbledon	21	15	6	1.0	0.9	6	8	7	20	18	26
22	7	Colchester	21	15	6	1.1	1.2	6	11	4	23	25	29
23	11	Crewe	22	17	5	0.9	0.9	6	11	5	19	19	29
24	17	Gillingham	22	17	5	0.7	1.2	3	11	8	16	26	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.