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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: B Atkinson

Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.22
Draw 3.60 fair 4.23
Away 3.60 fair 3.20
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.46
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milton Keynes Dons Swindon
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 8
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).
Result Milton Keynes Dons to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
Milton Keynes DonsDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
2.00scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 42:24
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.67scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 35:25
Milton Keynes Dons all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.67
1.14 Goals conceded 1.19
3.14 Total goals 2.86
11.76 Shots 12.48
4.48 Shots on target 4.71
9.95 Shots faced 11.29
4.43 Corners 4.90
4.24 Corners against 5.38
12.86 Fouls 11.43
1.90 Yellow cards 2.10
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.05
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

48% Wins 57%
29% Draws 19%
24% Losses 24%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
90% Over 1.5 goals 81%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
43% Over 3.5 goals 33%
19% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 29%
10% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 38%
24% Draws 48%
24% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 76%
43% Over 1.5 goals 57%
24% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons all matches
Swindon all matches
Milton Keynes Dons before this match, at home
1.70points / match
1.90scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:11
Swindon before this match, away
1.90points / match
1.80scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:13
Milton Keynes Dons at home away Swindon

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 1.80
1.10 Goals conceded 1.30
3.00 Total goals 3.10
11.50 Shots 13.00
4.20 Shots on target 4.90
10.30 Shots faced 11.60
4.70 Corners 5.00
3.80 Corners against 5.00
12.60 Fouls 11.90
2.10 Yellow cards 2.40
0.90 1st-half goals scored 1.30
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

50% Wins 60%
20% Draws 10%
30% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 90%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
40% Over 3.5 goals 30%
30% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 60%
30% Clean sheets 30%
20% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 50%
20% Draws 20%
20% Losses 30%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
30% Over 1.5 goals 70%
20% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milton Keynes Dons at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milton Keynes Dons all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Harrogate – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–3) 5.003.901.61 1.85 1.95
13.12.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.40 2.25 1.62
09.12.25 Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons 3–2 (2–2) 2.753.202.40 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Fleetwood Town 2–1 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 1.95
22.11.25 Tranmere – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (2–0) 2.703.602.25 1.98 1.88
15.11.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Salford 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.602.95 1.83 2.03
08.11.25 Barnet – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.603.05 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.252.57 1.98 1.88
18.10.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Crewe 3–1 (2–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.85
11.10.25 Bristol Rvs – Milton Keynes Dons 0–4 (0–1) 2.323.202.85 2.05 1.80

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Swindon – Crawley Town 1–0 (0–0) 1.683.904.20 1.57 2.35
13.12.25 Bristol Rvs – Swindon 0–3 (0–3) 2.753.602.20 1.85 1.95
09.12.25 Swindon – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–0) 1.394.337.00 1.62 2.25
29.11.25 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.502.85 1.73 2.08
22.11.25 Swindon – Grimsby 2–2 (2–2) 2.253.302.95 1.83 2.03
15.11.25 Fleetwood Town – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.402.70 1.83 2.03
08.11.25 Swindon – Tranmere 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.754.50 1.67 2.15
25.10.25 Swindon – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.67 2.15
21.10.25 Swindon – Notts County 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.603.20 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Accrington – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 3.703.501.86 1.93 1.93

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.303.40 2.25 1.62
29.11.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Fleetwood Town 2–1 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 1.95
15.11.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Salford 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.602.95 1.83 2.03
18.10.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Crewe 3–1 (2–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.85
04.10.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Gillingham 3–2 (1–0) 1.913.403.80 2.15 1.67
20.09.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 1–2 (0–1) 1.494.335.25 1.75 2.05
06.09.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Grimsby 2–3 (0–3) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93
30.08.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Walsall 0–1 (0–0) 1.863.404.00 2.25 1.62
16.08.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham 5–0 (3–0) 1.573.905.50 1.98 1.88
02.08.25 Milton Keynes Dons – Oldham 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.605.50 1.90 1.95

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Bristol Rvs – Swindon 0–3 (0–3) 2.753.602.20 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Chesterfield – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.502.85 1.73 2.08
15.11.25 Fleetwood Town – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.402.70 1.83 2.03
18.10.25 Accrington – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 3.703.501.86 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Newport County – Swindon 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.701.68 1.67 2.15
20.09.25 Salford – Swindon 3–2 (2–0) 2.203.602.82 1.73 2.08
06.09.25 Barrow – Swindon 1–3 (0–2) 2.653.402.40 2.05 1.75
30.08.25 Crewe – Swindon 0–3 (0–3) 1.963.403.60 1.83 2.03
16.08.25 Oldham – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.703.102.60 2.03 1.83
02.08.25 Walsall – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 1.87 1.92

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milton Keynes Dons winsDrawsSwindon wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.25E3 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.20 1.57 2.35
09.11.24E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
17.02.24E3 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
28.10.23E3 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 2.453.752.70 1.60 2.30

England League Two table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 21 12 4 5 30 19 +11 40
2 Swindon 21 12 4 5 35 25 +10 40
3 Bromley 21 11 6 4 34 23 +11 39
4 Notts County 21 11 5 5 35 22 +13 38
5 Milton Keynes Dons 21 10 6 5 42 24 +18 36
6 Salford 21 11 3 7 32 30 +2 36
7 Chesterfield 21 9 8 4 37 31 +6 35
8 Cambridge 21 9 7 5 24 18 +6 34
9 Fleetwood Town 21 9 6 6 32 28 +4 33
10 Crewe 21 9 5 7 34 28 +6 32
11 Colchester 21 8 7 6 35 26 +9 31
12 Gillingham 21 7 9 5 29 24 +5 30
13 Barnet 21 7 7 7 28 25 +3 28
14 Oldham 21 6 9 6 21 17 +4 27
15 Grimsby 21 7 6 8 33 30 +3 27
16 Tranmere 21 6 8 7 35 34 +1 26
17 Accrington 21 6 6 9 23 25 -2 24
18 Cheltenham 21 7 3 11 18 34 -16 24
19 Barrow 21 5 6 10 21 30 -9 21
20 Shrewsbury 21 4 7 10 20 34 -14 19
21 Crawley Town 21 4 6 11 25 36 -11 18
22 Bristol Rvs 21 5 3 13 16 39 -23 18
23 Harrogate 21 4 5 12 18 35 -17 17
24 Newport County 21 3 4 14 21 41 -20 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bromley 11 7 4 0 24 12 +12 25
2 Cambridge 11 7 3 1 16 7 +9 24
3 Fleetwood Town 11 6 4 1 21 16 +5 22
4 Notts County 11 6 3 2 22 12 +10 21
5 Swindon 11 6 3 2 17 12 +5 21
6 Salford 10 6 2 2 19 16 +3 20
7 Chesterfield 10 5 4 1 21 12 +9 19
8 Walsall 10 6 1 3 15 11 +4 19
9 Crewe 11 5 3 3 18 16 +2 18
10 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 2 3 19 11 +8 17
11 Colchester 11 4 4 3 19 13 +6 16
12 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 14 10 +4 16
13 Accrington 10 4 3 3 13 9 +4 15
14 Oldham 11 3 5 3 12 9 +3 14
15 Grimsby 10 4 1 5 16 11 +5 13
16 Crawley Town 10 3 4 3 15 12 +3 13
17 Shrewsbury 11 3 4 4 10 12 -2 13
18 Cheltenham 10 4 1 5 8 11 -3 13
19 Barnet 11 3 3 5 16 15 +1 12
20 Tranmere 10 2 5 3 14 15 -1 11
21 Bristol Rvs 10 3 1 6 6 16 -10 10
22 Barrow 11 2 3 6 9 18 -9 9
23 Harrogate 11 2 1 8 8 20 -12 7
24 Newport County 10 0 2 8 9 21 -12 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 11 6 3 2 15 8 +7 21
2 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 4 2 23 13 +10 19
3 Swindon 10 6 1 3 18 13 +5 19
4 Notts County 10 5 2 3 13 10 +3 17
5 Barnet 10 4 4 2 12 10 +2 16
6 Salford 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 16
7 Chesterfield 11 4 4 3 16 19 -3 16
8 Colchester 10 4 3 3 16 13 +3 15
9 Tranmere 11 4 3 4 21 19 +2 15
10 Crewe 10 4 2 4 16 12 +4 14
11 Gillingham 11 3 5 3 15 14 +1 14
12 Bromley 10 4 2 4 10 11 -1 14
13 Grimsby 11 3 5 3 17 19 -2 14
14 Oldham 10 3 4 3 9 8 +1 13
15 Barrow 10 3 3 4 12 12 0 12
16 Fleetwood Town 10 3 2 5 11 12 -1 11
17 Newport County 11 3 2 6 12 20 -8 11
18 Cheltenham 11 3 2 6 10 23 -13 11
19 Cambridge 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10
20 Harrogate 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
21 Accrington 11 2 3 6 10 16 -6 9
22 Bristol Rvs 11 2 2 7 10 23 -13 8
23 Shrewsbury 10 1 3 6 10 22 -12 6
24 Crawley Town 11 1 2 8 10 24 -14 5

Milton Keynes Dons   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Swindon 21 7 14 1.7 1.2 12 4 5 35 25 40
2 5 Milton Keynes Dons 21 7 14 2.0 1.1 10 6 5 42 24 36
3 10 Crewe 21 8 13 1.6 1.3 9 5 7 34 28 32
4 16 Tranmere 21 8 13 1.7 1.6 6 8 7 35 34 26
5 4 Notts County 21 9 12 1.7 1.0 11 5 5 35 22 38
6 19 Barrow 21 9 12 1.0 1.4 5 6 10 21 30 21
7 21 Crawley Town 21 9 12 1.2 1.7 4 6 11 25 36 18
8 22 Bristol Rvs 21 9 12 0.8 1.9 5 3 13 16 39 18
9 24 Newport County 21 9 12 1.0 2.0 3 4 14 21 41 13
10 3 Bromley 21 10 11 1.6 1.1 11 6 4 34 23 39
11 6 Salford 21 10 11 1.5 1.4 11 3 7 32 30 36
12 7 Chesterfield 21 10 11 1.8 1.5 9 8 4 37 31 35
13 9 Fleetwood Town 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 9 6 6 32 28 33
14 15 Grimsby 21 10 11 1.6 1.4 7 6 8 33 30 27
15 20 Shrewsbury 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 4 7 10 20 34 19
16 12 Gillingham 21 12 9 1.4 1.1 7 9 5 29 24 30
17 13 Barnet 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 7 7 7 28 25 28
18 1 Walsall 21 13 8 1.4 0.9 12 4 5 30 19 40
19 11 Colchester 21 13 8 1.7 1.2 8 7 6 35 26 31
20 23 Harrogate 21 13 8 0.9 1.7 4 5 12 18 35 17
21 14 Oldham 21 14 7 1.0 0.8 6 9 6 21 17 27
22 17 Accrington 21 14 7 1.1 1.2 6 6 9 23 25 24
23 18 Cheltenham 21 14 7 0.9 1.6 7 3 11 18 34 24
24 8 Cambridge 21 15 6 1.1 0.9 9 7 5 24 18 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bromley 11 4 7 2.2 1.1 7 4 0 24 12 25
2 4 Notts County 11 4 7 2.0 1.1 6 3 2 22 12 21
3 9 Fleetwood Town 11 4 7 1.9 1.5 6 4 1 21 16 22
4 10 Crewe 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 5 3 3 18 16 18
5 2 Swindon 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 6 3 2 17 12 21
6 5 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 6 1.9 1.1 5 2 3 19 11 17
7 6 Salford 10 4 6 1.9 1.6 6 2 2 19 16 20
8 7 Chesterfield 10 4 6 2.1 1.2 5 4 1 21 12 19
9 13 Barnet 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 3 3 5 16 15 12
10 19 Barrow 11 5 6 0.8 1.6 2 3 6 9 18 9
11 1 Walsall 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 6 1 3 15 11 19
12 15 Grimsby 10 5 5 1.6 1.1 4 1 5 16 11 13
13 16 Tranmere 10 5 5 1.4 1.5 2 5 3 14 15 11
14 21 Crawley Town 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 3 4 3 15 12 13
15 22 Bristol Rvs 10 5 5 0.6 1.6 3 1 6 6 16 10
16 23 Harrogate 11 6 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 8 8 20 7
17 24 Newport County 10 5 5 0.9 2.1 0 2 8 9 21 2
18 8 Cambridge 11 7 4 1.5 0.6 7 3 1 16 7 24
19 11 Colchester 11 7 4 1.7 1.2 4 4 3 19 13 16
20 12 Gillingham 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 4 4 2 14 10 16
21 14 Oldham 11 7 4 1.1 0.8 3 5 3 12 9 14
22 17 Accrington 10 7 3 1.3 0.9 4 3 3 13 9 15
23 18 Cheltenham 10 7 3 0.8 1.1 4 1 5 8 11 13
24 20 Shrewsbury 11 8 3 0.9 1.1 3 4 4 10 12 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Swindon 10 2 8 1.8 1.3 6 1 3 18 13 19
2 5 Milton Keynes Dons 11 3 8 2.1 1.2 5 4 2 23 13 19
3 16 Tranmere 11 3 8 1.9 1.7 4 3 4 21 19 15
4 20 Shrewsbury 10 3 7 1.0 2.2 1 3 6 10 22 6
5 21 Crawley Town 11 4 7 0.9 2.2 1 2 8 10 24 5
6 22 Bristol Rvs 11 4 7 0.9 2.1 2 2 7 10 23 8
7 24 Newport County 11 4 7 1.1 1.8 3 2 6 12 20 11
8 10 Crewe 10 4 6 1.6 1.2 4 2 4 16 12 14
9 15 Grimsby 11 5 6 1.5 1.7 3 5 3 17 19 14
10 19 Barrow 10 4 6 1.2 1.2 3 3 4 12 12 12
11 4 Notts County 10 5 5 1.3 1.0 5 2 3 13 10 17
12 6 Salford 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 5 13 14 16
13 7 Chesterfield 11 6 5 1.5 1.7 4 4 3 16 19 16
14 12 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.4 1.3 3 5 3 15 14 14
15 3 Bromley 10 6 4 1.0 1.1 4 2 4 10 11 14
16 9 Fleetwood Town 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 3 2 5 11 12 11
17 11 Colchester 10 6 4 1.6 1.3 4 3 3 16 13 15
18 17 Accrington 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 3 6 10 16 9
19 18 Cheltenham 11 7 4 0.9 2.1 3 2 6 10 23 11
20 1 Walsall 11 8 3 1.4 0.7 6 3 2 15 8 21
21 13 Barnet 10 7 3 1.2 1.0 4 4 2 12 10 16
22 14 Oldham 10 7 3 0.9 0.8 3 4 3 9 8 13
23 23 Harrogate 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 2 4 4 10 15 10
24 8 Cambridge 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51