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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Aston Villa 2–4 Arsenal

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 4.50 fair 3.31
Draw 3.60 fair 4.11
Away ✓ 1.50 fair 2.20
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.02 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Arsenal
7 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 9
13 Fouls 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (221 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.62
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.18scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:34
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.32points / match
2.14scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 47:21
Aston Villa all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 2.14
1.55 Goals conceded 0.95
2.73 Total goals 3.09
11.55 Shots 16.18
4.09 Shots on target 5.36
11.73 Shots faced 8.73
4.23 Corners 5.50
5.32 Corners against 4.14
11.23 Fouls 10.18
2.14 Yellow cards 1.64
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

36% Wins 73%
18% Draws 14%
45% Losses 14%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
82% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 59%
32% Over 3.5 goals 41%
5% Over 4.5 goals 23%
5% Over 5.5 goals 9%
55% Both teams scored 55%
23% Clean sheets 41%
27% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 50%
36% Draws 41%
41% Losses 9%
77% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 41%
18% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Arsenal all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.55points / match
1.55scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:15
Arsenal before this match, away
2.27points / match
1.82scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:7
Aston Villa at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 1.82
1.36 Goals conceded 0.64
2.91 Total goals 2.45
12.09 Shots 13.18
4.73 Shots on target 4.18
11.00 Shots faced 10.09
4.55 Corners 4.18
5.18 Corners against 4.91
9.64 Fouls 10.18
1.64 Yellow cards 1.91
0.91 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.09

How often Full Time

45% Wins 73%
18% Draws 9%
36% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 73%
55% Over 2.5 goals 36%
36% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
64% Both teams scored 27%
18% Clean sheets 64%
18% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 64%
18% Draws 27%
36% Losses 9%
82% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
27% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
04.02.23 Everton – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.87 2.03
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
15.01.23 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
26.12.22 Arsenal – West Ham 3–1 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10
12.11.22 Wolves – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
06.11.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
28.08.22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.91 1.99

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Everton – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 8.504.501.40 1.87 2.03
15.01.23 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
12.11.22 Wolves – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
06.11.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97
23.10.22 Southampton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 6.004.001.57 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Leeds – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.201.55 1.61 2.30
18.09.22 Brentford – Arsenal 0–3 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.66 2.20
04.09.22 Man United – Arsenal 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.66 2.20
20.08.22 Bournemouth – Arsenal 0–3 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsArsenal wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.22E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
19.03.22E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.92 1.98
22.10.21E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.754.20 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 23 16 3 4 59 23 +36 51
2 Arsenal 22 16 3 3 47 21 +26 51
3 Man United 23 14 4 5 38 28 +10 46
4 Newcastle 22 10 11 1 35 13 +22 41
5 Tottenham 23 12 3 8 42 35 +7 39
6 Brighton 21 10 5 6 39 28 +11 35
7 Fulham 23 10 5 8 34 30 +4 35
8 Brentford 22 8 10 4 36 29 +7 34
9 Liverpool 21 9 5 7 36 28 +8 32
10 Chelsea 22 8 7 7 23 22 +1 31
11 Aston Villa 22 8 4 10 26 34 -8 28
12 Crystal Palace 22 6 7 9 20 30 -10 25
13 Leicester 22 7 3 12 36 38 -2 24
14 Nott'm Forest 22 6 6 10 17 37 -20 24
15 Wolves 22 6 5 11 17 31 -14 23
16 West Ham 22 5 5 12 19 27 -8 20
17 Leeds 22 4 7 11 28 38 -10 19
18 Everton 22 4 6 12 16 30 -14 18
19 Bournemouth 22 4 6 12 20 44 -24 18
20 Southampton 22 4 3 15 18 40 -22 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 10 1 1 41 13 +28 31
2 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 27 14 +13 26
3 Man United 11 8 2 1 21 8 +13 26
4 Liverpool 11 7 3 1 25 9 +16 24
5 Newcastle 11 6 5 0 19 6 +13 23
6 Brentford 11 6 4 1 23 10 +13 22
7 Tottenham 11 7 0 4 22 15 +7 21
8 Fulham 12 6 3 3 20 16 +4 21
9 Chelsea 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
10 Nott'm Forest 11 5 3 3 14 12 +2 18
11 Brighton 10 5 2 3 17 10 +7 17
12 Aston Villa 11 5 2 4 17 15 +2 17
13 Crystal Palace 12 4 4 4 12 17 -5 16
14 West Ham 11 4 2 5 12 13 -1 14
15 Wolves 11 4 2 5 9 14 -5 14
16 Leeds 11 3 4 4 15 16 -1 13
17 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 11 12 -1 13
18 Leicester 11 3 3 5 15 13 +2 12
19 Everton 11 3 2 6 10 14 -4 11
20 Southampton 11 1 3 7 10 19 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 1 2 20 7 +13 25
2 Man City 11 6 2 3 18 10 +8 20
3 Man United 12 6 2 4 17 20 -3 20
4 Newcastle 11 4 6 1 16 7 +9 18
5 Brighton 11 5 3 3 22 18 +4 18
6 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 20 0 18
7 Fulham 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
8 Chelsea 12 3 4 5 10 15 -5 13
9 Leicester 11 4 0 7 21 25 -4 12
10 Brentford 11 2 6 3 13 19 -6 12
11 Aston Villa 11 3 2 6 9 19 -10 11
12 Crystal Palace 10 2 3 5 8 13 -5 9
13 Wolves 11 2 3 6 8 17 -9 9
14 Southampton 11 3 0 8 8 21 -13 9
15 Liverpool 10 2 2 6 11 19 -8 8
16 Everton 11 1 4 6 6 16 -10 7
17 West Ham 11 1 3 7 7 14 -7 6
18 Leeds 11 1 3 7 13 22 -9 6
19 Nott'm Forest 11 1 3 7 3 25 -22 6
20 Bournemouth 11 1 2 8 9 32 -23 5

Aston Villa   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 23 7 16 2.6 1.0 16 3 4 59 23 51
2 7 Fulham 23 7 16 1.5 1.3 10 5 8 34 30 35
3 3 Man United 23 9 14 1.7 1.2 14 4 5 38 28 46
4 9 Liverpool 21 7 14 1.7 1.3 9 5 7 36 28 32
5 13 Leicester 22 8 14 1.6 1.7 7 3 12 36 38 24
6 2 Arsenal 22 9 13 2.1 1.0 16 3 3 47 21 51
7 5 Tottenham 23 10 13 1.8 1.5 12 3 8 42 35 39
8 6 Brighton 21 8 13 1.9 1.3 10 5 6 39 28 35
9 17 Leeds 22 9 13 1.3 1.7 4 7 11 28 38 19
10 20 Southampton 22 9 13 0.8 1.8 4 3 15 18 40 15
11 8 Brentford 22 10 12 1.6 1.3 8 10 4 36 29 34
12 11 Aston Villa 22 10 12 1.2 1.5 8 4 10 26 34 28
13 12 Crystal Palace 22 12 10 0.9 1.4 6 7 9 20 30 25
14 15 Wolves 22 12 10 0.8 1.4 6 5 11 17 31 23
15 19 Bournemouth 22 12 10 0.9 2.0 4 6 12 20 44 18
16 10 Chelsea 22 13 9 1.0 1.0 8 7 7 23 22 31
17 4 Newcastle 22 14 8 1.6 0.6 10 11 1 35 13 41
18 18 Everton 22 14 8 0.7 1.4 4 6 12 16 30 18
19 14 Nott'm Forest 22 15 7 0.8 1.7 6 6 10 17 37 24
20 16 West Ham 22 17 5 0.9 1.2 5 5 12 19 27 20
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 12 1 11 3.4 1.1 10 1 1 41 13 31
2 2 Arsenal 11 2 9 2.5 1.3 8 2 1 27 14 26
3 7 Fulham 12 3 9 1.7 1.3 6 3 3 20 16 21
4 3 Man United 11 3 8 1.9 0.7 8 2 1 21 8 26
5 5 Tottenham 11 5 6 2.0 1.4 7 0 4 22 15 21
6 8 Brentford 11 5 6 2.1 0.9 6 4 1 23 10 22
7 9 Liverpool 11 5 6 2.3 0.8 7 3 1 25 9 24
8 11 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 2 4 17 15 17
9 12 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 4 12 17 16
10 13 Leicester 11 5 6 1.4 1.2 3 3 5 15 13 12
11 17 Leeds 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 4 4 15 16 13
12 20 Southampton 11 5 6 0.9 1.7 1 3 7 10 19 6
13 6 Brighton 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 2 3 17 10 17
14 18 Everton 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 2 6 10 14 11
15 10 Chelsea 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
16 15 Wolves 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 4 2 5 9 14 14
17 19 Bournemouth 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 3 4 4 11 12 13
18 4 Newcastle 11 8 3 1.7 0.5 6 5 0 19 6 23
19 14 Nott'm Forest 11 8 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 3 14 12 18
20 16 West Ham 11 9 2 1.1 1.2 4 2 5 12 13 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 11 3 8 2.0 1.6 5 3 3 22 18 18
2 9 Liverpool 10 2 8 1.1 1.9 2 2 6 11 19 8
3 13 Leicester 11 3 8 1.9 2.3 4 0 7 21 25 12
4 5 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.7 1.7 5 3 4 20 20 18
5 7 Fulham 11 4 7 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
6 17 Leeds 11 4 7 1.2 2.0 1 3 7 13 22 6
7 20 Southampton 11 4 7 0.7 1.9 3 0 8 8 21 9
8 3 Man United 12 6 6 1.4 1.7 6 2 4 17 20 20
9 8 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 2 6 3 13 19 12
10 11 Aston Villa 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 2 6 9 19 11
11 15 Wolves 11 5 6 0.7 1.5 2 3 6 8 17 9
12 19 Bournemouth 11 5 6 0.8 2.9 1 2 8 9 32 5
13 1 Man City 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 6 2 3 18 10 20
14 4 Newcastle 11 6 5 1.5 0.6 4 6 1 16 7 18
15 10 Chelsea 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 10 15 13
16 2 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.6 8 1 2 20 7 25
17 12 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.8 1.3 2 3 5 8 13 9
18 14 Nott'm Forest 11 7 4 0.3 2.3 1 3 7 3 25 6
19 16 West Ham 11 8 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 7 7 14 6
20 18 Everton 11 8 3 0.5 1.5 1 4 6 6 16 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44