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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Aston Villa 1–0 Crystal Palace

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.16
Draw 3.30 fair 3.91
Away 3.80 fair 3.55
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Crystal Palace
8 Shots 3
1 Shots on target 0
2 Corners 4
14 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.25scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 30:38
Crystal Palace before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
0.88scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 21:31
Aston Villa all matches all matches Crystal Palace

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.88
1.58 Goals conceded 1.29
2.83 Total goals 2.17
11.25 Shots 10.42
4.17 Shots on target 3.42
12.21 Shots faced 13.54
4.00 Corners 4.38
5.46 Corners against 5.08
11.33 Fouls 11.67
2.08 Yellow cards 2.25
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

38% Wins 25%
17% Draws 38%
46% Losses 38%
96% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 71%
54% Over 2.5 goals 42%
33% Over 3.5 goals 13%
8% Over 4.5 goals 4%
8% Over 5.5 goals 4%
54% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 17%
38% Draws 58%
38% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 58%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
21% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Crystal Palace all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.42points / match
1.58scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:19
Crystal Palace before this match, away
0.91points / match
0.82scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:14
Aston Villa at home away Crystal Palace

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 0.82
1.58 Goals conceded 1.27
3.17 Total goals 2.09
11.67 Shots 10.27
4.75 Shots on target 3.73
11.75 Shots faced 13.55
4.33 Corners 4.45
5.50 Corners against 5.27
9.92 Fouls 10.91
1.67 Yellow cards 2.55
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

42% Wins 18%
17% Draws 36%
42% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
83% Over 1.5 goals 64%
58% Over 2.5 goals 36%
42% Over 3.5 goals 9%
17% Over 4.5 goals 9%
17% Over 5.5 goals 9%
67% Both teams scored 45%
17% Clean sheets 27%
17% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 27%
17% Draws 55%
33% Losses 18%
83% Over 0.5 goals 55%
42% Over 1.5 goals 27%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Crystal Palace away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94

Crystal Palace all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05
18.02.23 Brentford – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
11.02.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.502.00 2.00 1.80
04.02.23 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.88 2.02
21.01.23 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 4.403.501.85 2.10 1.73
18.01.23 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–1 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.97 1.93
15.01.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 2.02 1.88
04.01.23 Crystal Palace – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 3.403.502.15 1.92 1.98
31.12.22 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.302.50 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Crystal Palace – Fulham 0–3 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 2.02 1.88

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50

Crystal Palace away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Brentford – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Man United – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–0) 1.404.758.00 1.88 2.02
15.01.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.25 2.02 1.88
31.12.22 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.302.50 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.20 1.66
06.11.22 West Ham – Crystal Palace 1–2 (1–1) 1.903.404.20 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Everton – Crystal Palace 3–0 (1–0) 2.603.202.87 2.20 1.66
15.10.22 Leicester – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.89 2.01
03.09.22 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
27.08.22 Man City – Crystal Palace 4–2 (0–2) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsCrystal Palace wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22E0 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
15.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.93 1.97
27.11.21E0 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.07 1.86

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 25 19 3 3 56 23 +33 60
2 Man City 26 18 4 4 66 25 +41 58
3 Man United 24 15 4 5 41 28 +13 49
4 Tottenham 25 14 3 8 46 35 +11 45
5 Newcastle 24 10 11 3 35 17 +18 41
6 Liverpool 24 11 6 7 40 28 +12 39
7 Fulham 25 11 6 8 36 31 +5 39
8 Brighton 22 10 5 7 39 29 +10 35
9 Brentford 23 8 11 4 37 30 +7 35
10 Chelsea 24 8 7 9 23 25 -2 31
11 Aston Villa 24 9 4 11 30 38 -8 31
12 Crystal Palace 24 6 9 9 21 31 -10 27
13 Nott'm Forest 24 6 7 11 18 42 -24 25
14 Leicester 24 7 3 14 36 42 -6 24
15 Wolves 25 6 6 13 18 35 -17 24
16 West Ham 24 6 5 13 23 29 -6 23
17 Leeds 24 5 7 12 29 39 -10 22
18 Everton 25 5 6 14 17 36 -19 21
19 Bournemouth 24 5 6 13 22 48 -26 21
20 Southampton 24 5 3 16 19 41 -22 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 13 11 1 1 43 13 +30 34
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 31 14 +17 29
3 Man United 12 9 2 1 24 8 +16 29
4 Liverpool 12 8 3 1 27 9 +18 27
5 Tottenham 13 9 0 4 26 15 +11 27
6 Brentford 12 6 5 1 24 11 +13 23
7 Newcastle 12 6 5 1 19 8 +11 23
8 Fulham 13 6 4 3 21 17 +4 22
9 Nott'm Forest 12 5 4 3 15 13 +2 19
10 Chelsea 11 5 3 3 13 8 +5 18
11 Brighton 11 5 2 4 17 11 +6 17
12 West Ham 12 5 2 5 16 13 +3 17
13 Aston Villa 12 5 2 5 19 19 0 17
14 Crystal Palace 13 4 5 4 12 17 -5 17
15 Leeds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
16 Everton 13 4 2 7 11 16 -5 14
17 Wolves 12 4 2 6 9 15 -6 14
18 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
19 Leicester 12 3 3 6 15 14 +1 12
20 Southampton 11 1 3 7 10 19 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 10 1 2 25 9 +16 31
2 Man City 13 7 3 3 23 12 +11 24
3 Man United 12 6 2 4 17 20 -3 20
4 Newcastle 12 4 6 2 16 9 +7 18
5 Brighton 11 5 3 3 22 18 +4 18
6 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 20 0 18
7 Fulham 12 5 2 5 15 14 +1 17
8 Aston Villa 12 4 2 6 11 19 -8 14
9 Chelsea 13 3 4 6 10 17 -7 13
10 Brentford 11 2 6 3 13 19 -6 12
11 Liverpool 12 3 3 6 13 19 -6 12
12 Leicester 12 4 0 8 21 28 -7 12
13 Southampton 13 4 0 9 9 22 -13 12
14 Crystal Palace 11 2 4 5 9 14 -5 10
15 Wolves 13 2 4 7 9 20 -11 10
16 Bournemouth 12 2 2 8 10 32 -22 8
17 Everton 12 1 4 7 6 20 -14 7
18 West Ham 12 1 3 8 7 16 -9 6
19 Leeds 12 1 3 8 13 23 -10 6
20 Nott'm Forest 12 1 3 8 3 29 -26 6

Aston Villa   Crystal Palace

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 26 9 17 2.5 1.0 18 4 4 66 25 58
2 7 Fulham 25 9 16 1.4 1.2 11 6 8 36 31 39
3 1 Arsenal 25 10 15 2.2 0.9 19 3 3 56 23 60
4 3 Man United 24 9 15 1.7 1.2 15 4 5 41 28 49
5 14 Leicester 24 9 15 1.5 1.8 7 3 14 36 42 24
6 6 Liverpool 24 10 14 1.7 1.2 11 6 7 40 28 39
7 4 Tottenham 25 12 13 1.8 1.4 14 3 8 46 35 45
8 8 Brighton 22 9 13 1.8 1.3 10 5 7 39 29 35
9 11 Aston Villa 24 11 13 1.2 1.6 9 4 11 30 38 31
10 17 Leeds 24 11 13 1.2 1.6 5 7 12 29 39 22
11 20 Southampton 24 11 13 0.8 1.7 5 3 16 19 41 18
12 9 Brentford 23 11 12 1.6 1.3 8 11 4 37 30 35
13 19 Bournemouth 24 13 11 0.9 2.0 5 6 13 22 48 21
14 12 Crystal Palace 24 14 10 0.9 1.3 6 9 9 21 31 27
15 15 Wolves 25 15 10 0.7 1.4 6 6 13 18 35 24
16 10 Chelsea 24 15 9 1.0 1.0 8 7 9 23 25 31
17 18 Everton 25 16 9 0.7 1.4 5 6 14 17 36 21
18 5 Newcastle 24 16 8 1.5 0.7 10 11 3 35 17 41
19 13 Nott'm Forest 24 16 8 0.8 1.8 6 7 11 18 42 25
20 16 West Ham 24 18 6 1.0 1.2 6 5 13 23 29 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 13 2 11 3.3 1.0 11 1 1 43 13 34
2 1 Arsenal 12 2 10 2.6 1.2 9 2 1 31 14 29
3 3 Man United 12 3 9 2.0 0.7 9 2 1 24 8 29
4 7 Fulham 13 4 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 3 21 17 22
5 11 Aston Villa 12 5 7 1.6 1.6 5 2 5 19 19 17
6 4 Tottenham 13 7 6 2.0 1.2 9 0 4 26 15 27
7 6 Liverpool 12 6 6 2.2 0.8 8 3 1 27 9 27
8 9 Brentford 12 6 6 2.0 0.9 6 5 1 24 11 23
9 12 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 0.9 1.3 4 5 4 12 17 17
10 14 Leicester 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 3 3 6 15 14 12
11 17 Leeds 12 6 6 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
12 20 Southampton 11 5 6 0.9 1.7 1 3 7 10 19 6
13 8 Brighton 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 2 4 17 11 17
14 18 Everton 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 11 16 14
15 19 Bournemouth 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
16 10 Chelsea 11 7 4 1.2 0.7 5 3 3 13 8 18
17 15 Wolves 12 8 4 0.8 1.2 4 2 6 9 15 14
18 5 Newcastle 12 9 3 1.6 0.7 6 5 1 19 8 23
19 13 Nott'm Forest 12 9 3 1.2 1.1 5 4 3 15 13 19
20 16 West Ham 12 9 3 1.3 1.1 5 2 5 16 13 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Leicester 12 3 9 1.8 2.3 4 0 8 21 28 12
2 6 Liverpool 12 4 8 1.1 1.6 3 3 6 13 19 12
3 8 Brighton 11 3 8 2.0 1.6 5 3 3 22 18 18
4 4 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.7 1.7 5 3 4 20 20 18
5 7 Fulham 12 5 7 1.2 1.2 5 2 5 15 14 17
6 17 Leeds 12 5 7 1.1 1.9 1 3 8 13 23 6
7 20 Southampton 13 6 7 0.7 1.7 4 0 9 9 22 12
8 2 Man City 13 7 6 1.8 0.9 7 3 3 23 12 24
9 3 Man United 12 6 6 1.4 1.7 6 2 4 17 20 20
10 9 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.7 2 6 3 13 19 12
11 11 Aston Villa 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 4 2 6 11 19 14
12 15 Wolves 13 7 6 0.7 1.5 2 4 7 9 20 10
13 19 Bournemouth 12 6 6 0.8 2.7 2 2 8 10 32 8
14 1 Arsenal 13 8 5 1.9 0.7 10 1 2 25 9 31
15 5 Newcastle 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 4 6 2 16 9 18
16 10 Chelsea 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 3 4 6 10 17 13
17 13 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 0.2 2.4 1 3 8 3 29 6
18 12 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 2 4 5 9 14 10
19 18 Everton 12 8 4 0.5 1.7 1 4 7 6 20 7
20 16 West Ham 12 9 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 8 7 16 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06