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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Aston Villa 3–0 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 1.74
Draw 3.80 fair 4.64
Away 5.00 fair 4.76
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.51
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.97 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Bournemouth
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 6
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (264 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.23scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 32:39
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
0.96scored / match
1.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 25:51
Aston Villa all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 0.96
1.50 Goals conceded 1.96
2.73 Total goals 2.92
11.15 Shots 8.35
4.04 Shots on target 3.19
12.04 Shots faced 16.81
3.85 Corners 3.58
5.69 Corners against 7.35
11.23 Fouls 10.04
2.00 Yellow cards 1.73
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 1.04

How often Full Time

38% Wins 23%
19% Draws 23%
42% Losses 54%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
81% Over 1.5 goals 77%
50% Over 2.5 goals 46%
31% Over 3.5 goals 31%
8% Over 4.5 goals 23%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
54% Both teams scored 38%
27% Clean sheets 23%
23% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 31%
38% Draws 23%
35% Losses 46%
77% Over 0.5 goals 81%
38% Over 1.5 goals 42%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.54points / match
1.54scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:19
Bournemouth before this match, away
0.62points / match
0.92scored / match
2.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:35
Aston Villa at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 0.92
1.46 Goals conceded 2.69
3.00 Total goals 3.62
11.38 Shots 7.23
4.46 Shots on target 3.15
11.08 Shots faced 18.23
4.15 Corners 3.08
5.38 Corners against 8.23
10.23 Fouls 9.08
1.69 Yellow cards 1.62
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 1.31

How often Full Time

46% Wins 15%
15% Draws 15%
38% Losses 69%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 85%
54% Over 2.5 goals 54%
38% Over 3.5 goals 46%
15% Over 4.5 goals 31%
15% Over 5.5 goals 15%
62% Both teams scored 38%
23% Clean sheets 8%
15% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 23%
15% Draws 23%
31% Losses 54%
85% Over 0.5 goals 77%
38% Over 1.5 goals 46%
31% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
04.03.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Bournemouth – Liverpool 1–0 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.30
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
25.02.23 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.606.00 2.10 1.73
11.02.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.001.53 2.04 1.86
04.02.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10
21.01.23 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
14.01.23 Brentford – Bournemouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
03.01.23 Man United – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.53 2.50
31.12.22 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.302.50 2.10 1.73

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.606.00 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10
14.01.23 Brentford – Bournemouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
03.01.23 Man United – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.53 2.50
27.12.22 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.20
05.11.22 Leeds – Bournemouth 4–3 (1–2) 1.723.804.75 1.80 2.00
24.10.22 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.00 2.01 1.89
15.10.22 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.853.754.00 1.96 1.94
17.09.22 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBournemouth wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.08.22E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 27 21 3 3 62 25 +37 66
2 Man City 27 19 4 4 67 25 +42 61
3 Man United 26 15 5 6 41 35 +6 50
4 Tottenham 27 15 3 9 49 37 +12 48
5 Newcastle 26 12 11 3 39 19 +20 47
6 Liverpool 26 12 6 8 47 29 +18 42
7 Brighton 25 12 6 7 46 31 +15 42
8 Brentford 26 10 11 5 42 33 +9 41
9 Fulham 27 11 6 10 38 37 +1 39
10 Chelsea 26 10 7 9 27 26 +1 37
11 Aston Villa 26 10 5 11 32 39 -7 35
12 Crystal Palace 27 6 9 12 21 34 -13 27
13 Wolves 27 7 6 14 20 37 -17 27
14 Nott'm Forest 27 6 8 13 22 49 -27 26
15 Everton 27 6 7 14 20 38 -18 25
16 Leicester 26 7 3 16 37 46 -9 24
17 West Ham 26 6 6 14 24 34 -10 24
18 Bournemouth 26 6 6 14 25 51 -26 24
19 Leeds 26 5 8 13 31 42 -11 23
20 Southampton 27 6 4 17 20 43 -23 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 13 11 1 1 43 13 +30 34
2 Arsenal 13 10 2 1 34 16 +18 32
3 Liverpool 13 9 3 1 34 9 +25 30
4 Man United 13 9 3 1 24 8 +16 30
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 16 +13 30
6 Brentford 13 7 5 1 27 13 +14 26
7 Newcastle 13 7 5 1 21 9 +12 26
8 Brighton 13 7 2 4 22 11 +11 23
9 Fulham 14 6 4 4 21 20 +1 22
10 Chelsea 12 6 3 3 14 8 +6 21
11 Aston Villa 13 6 2 5 20 19 +1 20
12 Nott'm Forest 14 5 5 4 18 17 +1 20
13 West Ham 13 5 3 5 17 14 +3 18
14 Leeds 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17
15 Everton 14 5 2 7 12 16 -4 17
16 Wolves 13 5 2 6 10 15 -5 17
17 Crystal Palace 14 4 5 5 12 18 -6 17
18 Bournemouth 13 4 4 5 13 16 -3 16
19 Leicester 13 3 3 7 16 17 -1 12
20 Southampton 13 2 3 8 11 21 -10 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 11 1 2 28 9 +19 34
2 Man City 14 8 3 3 24 12 +12 27
3 Newcastle 13 5 6 2 18 10 +8 21
4 Man United 13 6 2 5 17 27 -10 20
5 Brighton 12 5 4 3 24 20 +4 19
6 Tottenham 13 5 3 5 20 21 -1 18
7 Fulham 13 5 2 6 17 17 0 17
8 Chelsea 14 4 4 6 13 18 -5 16
9 Brentford 13 3 6 4 15 20 -5 15
10 Aston Villa 13 4 3 6 12 20 -8 15
11 Southampton 14 4 1 9 9 22 -13 13
12 Liverpool 13 3 3 7 13 20 -7 12
13 Leicester 13 4 0 9 21 29 -8 12
14 Crystal Palace 13 2 4 7 9 16 -7 10
15 Wolves 14 2 4 8 10 22 -12 10
16 Everton 13 1 5 7 8 22 -14 8
17 Bournemouth 13 2 2 9 12 35 -23 8
18 Leeds 13 1 3 9 13 24 -11 6
19 West Ham 13 1 3 9 7 20 -13 6
20 Nott'm Forest 13 1 3 9 4 32 -28 6

Aston Villa   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Fulham 27 9 18 1.4 1.4 11 6 10 38 37 39
2 1 Arsenal 27 10 17 2.3 0.9 21 3 3 62 25 66
3 2 Man City 27 10 17 2.5 0.9 19 4 4 67 25 61
4 3 Man United 26 10 16 1.6 1.3 15 5 6 41 35 50
5 16 Leicester 26 10 16 1.4 1.8 7 3 16 37 46 24
6 6 Liverpool 26 11 15 1.8 1.1 12 6 8 47 29 42
7 7 Brighton 25 10 15 1.8 1.2 12 6 7 46 31 42
8 4 Tottenham 27 13 14 1.8 1.4 15 3 9 49 37 48
9 19 Leeds 26 12 14 1.2 1.6 5 8 13 31 42 23
10 8 Brentford 26 13 13 1.6 1.3 10 11 5 42 33 41
11 11 Aston Villa 26 13 13 1.2 1.5 10 5 11 32 39 35
12 20 Southampton 27 14 13 0.7 1.6 6 4 17 20 43 22
13 18 Bournemouth 26 14 12 1.0 2.0 6 6 14 25 51 24
14 13 Wolves 27 16 11 0.7 1.4 7 6 14 20 37 27
15 14 Nott'm Forest 27 16 11 0.8 1.8 6 8 13 22 49 26
16 5 Newcastle 26 16 10 1.5 0.7 12 11 3 39 19 47
17 10 Chelsea 26 16 10 1.0 1.0 10 7 9 27 26 37
18 12 Crystal Palace 27 17 10 0.8 1.3 6 9 12 21 34 27
19 15 Everton 27 17 10 0.7 1.4 6 7 14 20 38 25
20 17 West Ham 26 19 7 0.9 1.3 6 6 14 24 34 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 13 2 11 2.6 1.2 10 2 1 34 16 32
2 2 Man City 13 2 11 3.3 1.0 11 1 1 43 13 34
3 9 Fulham 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 4 21 20 22
4 3 Man United 13 4 9 1.8 0.6 9 3 1 24 8 30
5 4 Tottenham 14 7 7 2.1 1.1 10 0 4 29 16 30
6 6 Liverpool 13 6 7 2.6 0.7 9 3 1 34 9 30
7 8 Brentford 13 6 7 2.1 1.0 7 5 1 27 13 26
8 11 Aston Villa 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 6 2 5 20 19 20
9 16 Leicester 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 3 7 16 17 12
10 19 Leeds 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17
11 7 Brighton 13 7 6 1.7 0.8 7 2 4 22 11 23
12 12 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 5 5 12 18 17
13 20 Southampton 13 7 6 0.8 1.6 2 3 8 11 21 9
14 14 Nott'm Forest 14 9 5 1.3 1.2 5 5 4 18 17 20
15 15 Everton 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 7 12 16 17
16 18 Bournemouth 13 8 5 1.0 1.2 4 4 5 13 16 16
17 5 Newcastle 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 7 5 1 21 9 26
18 10 Chelsea 12 8 4 1.2 0.7 6 3 3 14 8 21
19 13 Wolves 13 9 4 0.8 1.2 5 2 6 10 15 17
20 17 West Ham 13 10 3 1.3 1.1 5 3 5 17 14 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 12 3 9 2.0 1.7 5 4 3 24 20 19
2 16 Leicester 13 4 9 1.6 2.2 4 0 9 21 29 12
3 6 Liverpool 13 5 8 1.0 1.5 3 3 7 13 20 12
4 9 Fulham 13 5 8 1.3 1.3 5 2 6 17 17 17
5 3 Man United 13 6 7 1.3 2.1 6 2 5 17 27 20
6 4 Tottenham 13 6 7 1.5 1.6 5 3 5 20 21 18
7 13 Wolves 14 7 7 0.7 1.6 2 4 8 10 22 10
8 18 Bournemouth 13 6 7 0.9 2.7 2 2 9 12 35 8
9 19 Leeds 13 6 7 1.0 1.8 1 3 9 13 24 6
10 20 Southampton 14 7 7 0.6 1.6 4 1 9 9 22 13
11 1 Arsenal 14 8 6 2.0 0.6 11 1 2 28 9 34
12 2 Man City 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 8 3 3 24 12 27
13 5 Newcastle 13 7 6 1.4 0.8 5 6 2 18 10 21
14 8 Brentford 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 15 20 15
15 10 Chelsea 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 6 13 18 16
16 11 Aston Villa 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 3 6 12 20 15
17 14 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.3 2.5 1 3 9 4 32 6
18 15 Everton 13 8 5 0.6 1.7 1 5 7 8 22 8
19 12 Crystal Palace 13 9 4 0.7 1.2 2 4 7 9 16 10
20 17 West Ham 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 1 3 9 7 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51