Leeds 2–1 Nott'm Forest – England Premier League, 4 Apr 2023

Match facts

Leeds Nott'm Forest

21 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 1

11 Corners 4

11 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (280 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.00

Home / Draw / Away

58% 22% 20%

LeedsDrawNott'm Forest

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.5% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

1.29scored / match

1.71conceded / match

6 8 14

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 36:48

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches

0.96points / match

0.82scored / match

1.79conceded / match

6 9 13

WonDrawnLost 28 played · 23:50

Leeds all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.82

1.71 Goals conceded 1.79

3.00 Total goals 2.61

12.07 Shots 10.07

3.82 Shots on target 3.21

13.57 Shots faced 14.32

5.32 Corners 3.32

4.57 Corners against 6.14

11.96 Fouls 11.39

2.14 Yellow cards 2.21

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

21% Wins 21%

29% Draws 32%

50% Losses 46%

89% Over 0.5 goals 96%

68% Over 1.5 goals 75%

57% Over 2.5 goals 39%

39% Over 3.5 goals 32%

21% Over 4.5 goals 14%

14% Over 5.5 goals 4%

57% Both teams scored 43%

18% Clean sheets 25%

36% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 21%

54% Draws 39%

32% Losses 39%

68% Over 0.5 goals 71%

39% Over 1.5 goals 32%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

D

1

L

2

D

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

2

D

4

2

W

1

4

L

Nott'm Forest all matches

2

W

1

D

1

W

2

L

1

D

4

L

2

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

Leeds before this match, at home

1.31points / match

1.38scored / match

1.38conceded / match

4 5 4

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:18

Nott'm Forest before this match, away

0.46points / match

0.31scored / match

2.46conceded / match

1 3 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 4:32

Leeds at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.31

1.38 Goals conceded 2.46

2.77 Total goals 2.77

13.00 Shots 9.31

4.23 Shots on target 2.38

12.62 Shots faced 16.77

5.92 Corners 4.15

4.15 Corners against 7.15

13.00 Fouls 10.31

1.85 Yellow cards 1.62

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.08

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

31% Wins 8%

38% Draws 23%

31% Losses 69%

85% Over 0.5 goals 92%

69% Over 1.5 goals 77%

54% Over 2.5 goals 46%

38% Over 3.5 goals 38%

15% Over 4.5 goals 15%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

54% Both teams scored 23%

31% Clean sheets 15%

31% Failed to score 69%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 8%

62% Draws 38%

31% Losses 54%

69% Over 0.5 goals 62%

46% Over 1.5 goals 31%

8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

D

1

L

2

3

L

4

3

W

1

3

L

2

D

2

L

1

W

2

D

Nott'm Forest away

4

L

1

L

D

5

L

3

L

1

W

1

D

2

L

4

L

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Arsenal – Leeds	4–1 (1–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.53	2.50
18.03.23	Wolves – Leeds	2–4 (0–1)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
11.03.23	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
04.03.23	Chelsea – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.95	1.95
25.02.23	Leeds – Southampton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.85
18.02.23	Everton – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.73
12.02.23	Leeds – Man United	0–2 (0–0)	3.75	3.80	1.91	1.67	2.20
08.02.23	Man United – Leeds	2–2 (0–1)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.38
05.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96
22.01.23	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.20

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Wolves	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.10	2.55	2.38	1.57
17.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Newcastle	1–2 (1–1)	5.50	3.80	1.62	2.07	1.83
11.03.23	Tottenham – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	1.44	4.75	7.00	1.88	2.05
05.03.23	Nott'm Forest – Everton	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.00	2.88	2.50	1.53
25.02.23	West Ham – Nott'm Forest	4–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
18.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Man City	1–1 (0–1)	8.50	5.50	1.30	1.62	2.30
11.02.23	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	4.33	2.10	1.73
05.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96
21.01.23	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	1–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Nott'm Forest – Leicester	2–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	2.03	1.87

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
25.02.23	Leeds – Southampton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.85
12.02.23	Leeds – Man United	0–2 (0–0)	3.75	3.80	1.91	1.67	2.20
22.01.23	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.20
04.01.23	Leeds – West Ham	2–2 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.80	2.00
28.12.22	Leeds – Man City	1–3 (0–1)	9.50	6.00	1.29	1.44	2.75
05.11.22	Leeds – Bournemouth	4–3 (1–2)	1.72	3.80	4.75	1.80	2.00
23.10.22	Leeds – Fulham	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.72	2.10
16.10.22	Leeds – Arsenal	0–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.61	2.30
02.10.22	Leeds – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.80	2.00

Nott'm Forest away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Tottenham – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	1.44	4.75	7.00	1.88	2.05
25.02.23	West Ham – Nott'm Forest	4–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.60	5.00	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	Fulham – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	4.33	2.10	1.73
21.01.23	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	1–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.30	1.62
04.01.23	Southampton – Nott'm Forest	0–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.06	1.84
27.12.22	Man United – Nott'm Forest	3–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	11.00	1.67	2.20
30.10.22	Arsenal – Nott'm Forest	5–0 (1–0)	1.20	7.00	12.00	1.50	2.62
18.10.22	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	0–0 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.72	2.10
15.10.22	Wolves – Nott'm Forest	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	2.06	1.84
03.10.22	Leicester – Nott'm Forest	4–0 (3–0)	1.75	4.00	4.33	1.66	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Leeds winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins

1matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.02.23E0	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	29	23	3	3	70	27	+43	72
2	Man City	28	20	4	4	71	26	+45	64
3	Newcastle	27	13	11	3	41	19	+22	50
4	Tottenham	29	15	5	9	53	41	+12	50
5	Man United	27	15	5	7	41	37	+4	50
6	Brighton	26	12	7	7	49	34	+15	43
7	Brentford	28	10	13	5	46	37	+9	43
8	Liverpool	27	12	6	9	48	33	+15	42
9	Aston Villa	28	12	5	11	37	39	-2	41
10	Fulham	28	11	6	11	39	39	0	39
11	Chelsea	28	10	8	10	29	30	-1	38
12	Crystal Palace	29	7	9	13	24	39	-15	30
13	Wolves	29	7	7	15	23	42	-19	28
14	West Ham	27	7	6	14	25	34	-9	27
15	Everton	29	6	9	14	23	41	-18	27
16	Nott'm Forest	28	6	9	13	23	50	-27	27
17	Bournemouth	28	7	6	15	27	55	-28	27
18	Leeds	28	6	8	14	36	48	-12	26
19	Leicester	28	7	4	17	39	49	-10	25
20	Southampton	29	6	5	18	23	47	-24	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	15	12	2	1	42	18	+24	38
2	Man City	14	12	1	1	47	14	+33	37
3	Liverpool	13	9	3	1	34	9	+25	30
4	Man United	13	9	3	1	24	8	+16	30
5	Tottenham	14	10	0	4	29	16	+13	30
6	Newcastle	14	8	5	1	23	9	+14	29
7	Brentford	14	7	6	1	28	14	+14	27
8	Brighton	14	7	3	4	25	14	+11	24
9	Aston Villa	14	7	2	5	23	19	+4	23
10	Chelsea	14	6	4	4	16	12	+4	22
11	Fulham	14	6	4	4	21	20	+1	22
12	West Ham	14	6	3	5	18	14	+4	21
13	Nott'm Forest	15	5	6	4	19	18	+1	21
14	Crystal Palace	15	5	5	5	14	19	-5	20
15	Bournemouth	14	5	4	5	15	17	-2	19
16	Everton	15	5	3	7	13	17	-4	18
17	Leeds	13	4	5	4	18	18	0	17
18	Wolves	14	5	2	7	12	19	-7	17
19	Leicester	13	3	3	7	16	17	-1	12
20	Southampton	14	2	4	8	14	24	-10	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	14	11	1	2	28	9	+19	34
2	Man City	14	8	3	3	24	12	+12	27
3	Newcastle	13	5	6	2	18	10	+8	21
4	Tottenham	15	5	5	5	24	25	-1	20
5	Man United	14	6	2	6	17	29	-12	20
6	Brighton	12	5	4	3	24	20	+4	19
7	Aston Villa	14	5	3	6	14	20	-6	18
8	Fulham	14	5	2	7	18	19	-1	17
9	Brentford	14	3	7	4	18	23	-5	16
10	Chelsea	14	4	4	6	13	18	-5	16
11	Leicester	15	4	1	10	23	32	-9	13
12	Southampton	15	4	1	10	9	23	-14	13
13	Liverpool	14	3	3	8	14	24	-10	12
14	Wolves	15	2	5	8	11	23	-12	11
15	Crystal Palace	14	2	4	8	10	20	-10	10
16	Leeds	15	2	3	10	18	30	-12	9
17	Everton	14	1	6	7	10	24	-14	9
18	Bournemouth	14	2	2	10	12	38	-26	8
19	West Ham	13	1	3	9	7	20	-13	6
20	Nott'm Forest	13	1	3	9	4	32	-28	6

Leeds Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	29	10	19	2.4	0.9	23	3	3	70	27	72
2	10	Fulham	28	9	19	1.4	1.4	11	6	11	39	39	39
3	2	Man City	28	10	18	2.5	0.9	20	4	4	71	26	64
4	19	Leicester	28	11	17	1.4	1.8	7	4	17	39	49	25
5	5	Man United	27	11	16	1.5	1.4	15	5	7	41	37	50
6	6	Brighton	26	10	16	1.9	1.3	12	7	7	49	34	43
7	8	Liverpool	27	11	16	1.8	1.2	12	6	9	48	33	42
8	18	Leeds	28	12	16	1.3	1.7	6	8	14	36	48	26
9	4	Tottenham	29	14	15	1.8	1.4	15	5	9	53	41	50
10	7	Brentford	28	14	14	1.6	1.3	10	13	5	46	37	43
11	9	Aston Villa	28	14	14	1.3	1.4	12	5	11	37	39	41
12	17	Bournemouth	28	14	14	1.0	2.0	7	6	15	27	55	27
13	20	Southampton	29	15	14	0.8	1.6	6	5	18	23	47	23
14	12	Crystal Palace	29	17	12	0.8	1.3	7	9	13	24	39	30
15	13	Wolves	29	17	12	0.8	1.4	7	7	15	23	42	28
16	11	Chelsea	28	17	11	1.0	1.1	10	8	10	29	30	38
17	15	Everton	29	18	11	0.8	1.4	6	9	14	23	41	27
18	16	Nott'm Forest	28	17	11	0.8	1.8	6	9	13	23	50	27
19	3	Newcastle	27	17	10	1.5	0.7	13	11	3	41	19	50
20	14	West Ham	27	20	7	0.9	1.3	7	6	14	25	34	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	15	2	13	2.8	1.2	12	2	1	42	18	38
2	2	Man City	14	2	12	3.4	1.0	12	1	1	47	14	37
3	10	Fulham	14	4	10	1.5	1.4	6	4	4	21	20	22
4	5	Man United	13	4	9	1.8	0.6	9	3	1	24	8	30
5	9	Aston Villa	14	6	8	1.6	1.4	7	2	5	23	19	23
6	4	Tottenham	14	7	7	2.1	1.1	10	0	4	29	16	30
7	6	Brighton	14	7	7	1.8	1.0	7	3	4	25	14	24
8	7	Brentford	14	7	7	2.0	1.0	7	6	1	28	14	27
9	8	Liverpool	13	6	7	2.6	0.7	9	3	1	34	9	30
10	12	Crystal Palace	15	8	7	0.9	1.3	5	5	5	14	19	20
11	18	Leeds	13	6	7	1.4	1.4	4	5	4	18	18	17
12	19	Leicester	13	6	7	1.2	1.3	3	3	7	16	17	12
13	20	Southampton	14	7	7	1.0	1.7	2	4	8	14	24	10
14	17	Bournemouth	14	8	6	1.1	1.2	5	4	5	15	17	19
15	11	Chelsea	14	9	5	1.1	0.9	6	4	4	16	12	22
16	13	Wolves	14	9	5	0.9	1.4	5	2	7	12	19	17
17	15	Everton	15	10	5	0.9	1.1	5	3	7	13	17	18
18	16	Nott'm Forest	15	10	5	1.3	1.2	5	6	4	19	18	21
19	3	Newcastle	14	10	4	1.6	0.6	8	5	1	23	9	29
20	14	West Ham	14	11	3	1.3	1.0	6	3	5	18	14	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Leicester	15	5	10	1.5	2.1	4	1	10	23	32	13
2	6	Brighton	12	3	9	2.0	1.7	5	4	3	24	20	19
3	8	Liverpool	14	5	9	1.0	1.7	3	3	8	14	24	12
4	10	Fulham	14	5	9	1.3	1.4	5	2	7	18	19	17
5	18	Leeds	15	6	9	1.2	2.0	2	3	10	18	30	9
6	4	Tottenham	15	7	8	1.6	1.7	5	5	5	24	25	20
7	17	Bournemouth	14	6	8	0.9	2.7	2	2	10	12	38	8
8	5	Man United	14	7	7	1.2	2.1	6	2	6	17	29	20
9	7	Brentford	14	7	7	1.3	1.6	3	7	4	18	23	16
10	13	Wolves	15	8	7	0.7	1.5	2	5	8	11	23	11
11	20	Southampton	15	8	7	0.6	1.5	4	1	10	9	23	13
12	1	Arsenal	14	8	6	2.0	0.6	11	1	2	28	9	34
13	2	Man City	14	8	6	1.7	0.9	8	3	3	24	12	27
14	3	Newcastle	13	7	6	1.4	0.8	5	6	2	18	10	21
15	9	Aston Villa	14	8	6	1.0	1.4	5	3	6	14	20	18
16	11	Chelsea	14	8	6	0.9	1.3	4	4	6	13	18	16
17	15	Everton	14	8	6	0.7	1.7	1	6	7	10	24	9
18	16	Nott'm Forest	13	7	6	0.3	2.5	1	3	9	4	32	6
19	12	Crystal Palace	14	9	5	0.7	1.4	2	4	8	10	20	10
20	14	West Ham	13	9	4	0.5	1.5	1	3	9	7	20	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.