Leeds 2–2 Brighton – England Premier League, 11 Mar 2023

Match facts

Leeds Brighton

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 7

12 Fouls 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (252 league matches this season so far).

Result Brighton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.62

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.58

Home / Draw / Away

36% 24% 40%

LeedsDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

0.88points / match

1.16scored / match

1.60conceded / match

5 7 13

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 29:40

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.65points / match

1.87scored / match

1.26conceded / match

11 5 7

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 43:29

Leeds all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 1.87

1.60 Goals conceded 1.26

2.76 Total goals 3.13

12.32 Shots 14.65

3.76 Shots on target 5.91

13.20 Shots faced 9.26

5.52 Corners 6.26

4.48 Corners against 3.70

12.04 Fouls 10.48

2.08 Yellow cards 1.35

0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.78

0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

20% Wins 48%

28% Draws 22%

52% Losses 30%

88% Over 0.5 goals 91%

64% Over 1.5 goals 74%

52% Over 2.5 goals 61%

32% Over 3.5 goals 43%

16% Over 4.5 goals 26%

12% Over 5.5 goals 13%

52% Both teams scored 57%

20% Clean sheets 30%

40% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

12% Wins 30%

56% Draws 52%

32% Losses 17%

64% Over 0.5 goals 65%

40% Over 1.5 goals 43%

12% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

D

2

D

1

2

L

D

1

L

2

D

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

Brighton all matches

1

2

L

3

1

W

2

4

L

4

1

W

3

W

2

D

1

W

1

D

1

L

4

W

Leeds before this match, at home

1.33points / match

1.33scored / match

1.33conceded / match

4 4 4

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:16

Brighton before this match, away

1.64points / match

2.00scored / match

1.64conceded / match

5 3 3

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 22:18

Leeds at home away Brighton

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.00

1.33 Goals conceded 1.64

2.67 Total goals 3.64

13.08 Shots 13.00

4.25 Shots on target 5.09

12.50 Shots faced 10.82

6.08 Corners 4.55

3.92 Corners against 4.64

13.08 Fouls 11.00

1.92 Yellow cards 1.09

0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

33% Wins 45%

33% Draws 27%

33% Losses 27%

83% Over 0.5 goals 100%

67% Over 1.5 goals 100%

50% Over 2.5 goals 73%

33% Over 3.5 goals 55%

17% Over 4.5 goals 27%

8% Over 5.5 goals 9%

50% Both teams scored 82%

33% Clean sheets 9%

33% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 45%

58% Draws 36%

33% Losses 18%

67% Over 0.5 goals 82%

42% Over 1.5 goals 55%

8% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

1

D

1

L

2

3

L

4

3

W

1

3

L

2

D

2

L

1

W

Brighton away

2

W

1

2

L

3

D

2

L

1

3

L

3

2

W

3

1

W

4

1

W

2

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Chelsea – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.95	1.95
25.02.23	Leeds – Southampton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.85
18.02.23	Everton – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.73
12.02.23	Leeds – Man United	0–2 (0–0)	3.75	3.80	1.91	1.67	2.20
08.02.23	Man United – Leeds	2–2 (0–1)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.38
05.02.23	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	2.63	3.30	2.70	1.94	1.96
22.01.23	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.20
13.01.23	Aston Villa – Leeds	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.80	2.00
04.01.23	Leeds – West Ham	2–2 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.80	2.00
31.12.22	Newcastle – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.62	2.30

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Brighton – West Ham	4–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.95	1.95
18.02.23	Brighton – Fulham	0–1 (0–0)	1.65	3.80	5.50	1.73	2.10
11.02.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.00	1.80
04.02.23	Brighton – Bournemouth	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.73	2.10
21.01.23	Leicester – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.86	2.04
14.01.23	Brighton – Liverpool	3–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	2.10	1.57	2.38
03.01.23	Everton – Brighton	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.02	1.88
31.12.22	Brighton – Arsenal	2–4 (0–2)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.89	2.04
26.12.22	Southampton – Brighton	1–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.94	1.96
13.11.22	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.96	1.94

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Leeds – Southampton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.85
12.02.23	Leeds – Man United	0–2 (0–0)	3.75	3.80	1.91	1.67	2.20
22.01.23	Leeds – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.20
04.01.23	Leeds – West Ham	2–2 (1–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.80	2.00
28.12.22	Leeds – Man City	1–3 (0–1)	9.50	6.00	1.29	1.44	2.75
05.11.22	Leeds – Bournemouth	4–3 (1–2)	1.72	3.80	4.75	1.80	2.00
23.10.22	Leeds – Fulham	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.72	2.10
16.10.22	Leeds – Arsenal	0–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.61	2.30
02.10.22	Leeds – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.80	2.00
30.08.22	Leeds – Everton	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.87	2.03

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.00	1.80
21.01.23	Leicester – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.86	2.04
03.01.23	Everton – Brighton	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.02	1.88
26.12.22	Southampton – Brighton	1–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.94	1.96
05.11.22	Wolves – Brighton	2–3 (2–2)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.72
22.10.22	Man City – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	1.20	7.00	13.00	1.44	2.75
14.10.22	Brentford – Brighton	2–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.97	1.93
01.10.22	Liverpool – Brighton	3–3 (1–2)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.53	2.50
30.08.22	Fulham – Brighton	2–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.30	2.01	1.89
21.08.22	West Ham – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.99	1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Leeds winsDrawsBrighton wins

3matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.08.22E0	Brighton – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.80	3.80	1.88	2.02
15.05.22E0	Leeds – Brighton	1–1 (0–1)	2.62	3.50	2.62	1.84	2.06
27.11.21E0	Brighton – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.95

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	26	20	3	3	59	25	+34	63
2	Man City	26	18	4	4	66	25	+41	58
3	Man United	25	15	4	6	41	35	+6	49
4	Tottenham	26	14	3	9	46	36	+10	45
5	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	47	29	+18	42
6	Newcastle	24	10	11	3	35	17	+18	41
7	Fulham	26	11	6	9	38	34	+4	39
8	Brighton	23	11	5	7	43	29	+14	38
9	Brentford	24	9	11	4	40	32	+8	38
10	Chelsea	25	9	7	9	24	25	-1	34
11	Aston Villa	25	10	4	11	31	38	-7	34
12	Crystal Palace	25	6	9	10	21	32	-11	27
13	Wolves	26	7	6	13	19	35	-16	27
14	Nott'm Forest	25	6	8	11	20	44	-24	26
15	Leicester	25	7	3	15	36	43	-7	24
16	Bournemouth	26	6	6	14	25	51	-26	24
17	West Ham	25	6	5	14	23	33	-10	23
18	Leeds	25	5	7	13	29	40	-11	22
19	Everton	26	5	7	14	19	38	-19	22
20	Southampton	25	6	3	16	20	41	-21	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	13	11	1	1	43	13	+30	34
2	Arsenal	13	10	2	1	34	16	+18	32
3	Liverpool	13	9	3	1	34	9	+25	30
4	Man United	12	9	2	1	24	8	+16	29
5	Tottenham	13	9	0	4	26	15	+11	27
6	Brentford	13	7	5	1	27	13	+14	26
7	Newcastle	12	6	5	1	19	8	+11	23
8	Fulham	13	6	4	3	21	17	+4	22
9	Chelsea	12	6	3	3	14	8	+6	21
10	Brighton	12	6	2	4	21	11	+10	20
11	Nott'm Forest	13	5	5	3	17	15	+2	20
12	Aston Villa	13	6	2	5	20	19	+1	20
13	West Ham	12	5	2	5	16	13	+3	17
14	Crystal Palace	13	4	5	4	12	17	-5	17
15	Wolves	13	5	2	6	10	15	-5	17
16	Leeds	12	4	4	4	16	16	0	16
17	Bournemouth	13	4	4	5	13	16	-3	16
18	Everton	13	4	2	7	11	16	-5	14
19	Leicester	12	3	3	6	15	14	+1	12
20	Southampton	12	2	3	7	11	19	-8	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	13	10	1	2	25	9	+16	31
2	Man City	13	7	3	3	23	12	+11	24
3	Man United	13	6	2	5	17	27	-10	20
4	Newcastle	12	4	6	2	16	9	+7	18
5	Brighton	11	5	3	3	22	18	+4	18
6	Tottenham	13	5	3	5	20	21	-1	18
7	Fulham	13	5	2	6	17	17	0	17
8	Aston Villa	12	4	2	6	11	19	-8	14
9	Chelsea	13	3	4	6	10	17	-7	13
10	Brentford	11	2	6	3	13	19	-6	12
11	Liverpool	13	3	3	7	13	20	-7	12
12	Leicester	13	4	0	9	21	29	-8	12
13	Southampton	13	4	0	9	9	22	-13	12
14	Crystal Palace	12	2	4	6	9	15	-6	10
15	Wolves	13	2	4	7	9	20	-11	10
16	Everton	13	1	5	7	8	22	-14	8
17	Bournemouth	13	2	2	9	12	35	-23	8
18	Leeds	13	1	3	9	13	24	-11	6
19	West Ham	13	1	3	9	7	20	-13	6
20	Nott'm Forest	12	1	3	8	3	29	-26	6

Leeds Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Man City	26	9	17	2.5	1.0	18	4	4	66	25	58
2	7	Fulham	26	9	17	1.5	1.3	11	6	9	38	34	39
3	1	Arsenal	26	10	16	2.3	1.0	20	3	3	59	25	63
4	3	Man United	25	9	16	1.6	1.4	15	4	6	41	35	49
5	5	Liverpool	26	11	15	1.8	1.1	12	6	8	47	29	42
6	15	Leicester	25	10	15	1.4	1.7	7	3	15	36	43	24
7	8	Brighton	23	9	14	1.9	1.3	11	5	7	43	29	38
8	4	Tottenham	26	13	13	1.8	1.4	14	3	9	46	36	45
9	9	Brentford	24	11	13	1.7	1.3	9	11	4	40	32	38
10	11	Aston Villa	25	12	13	1.2	1.5	10	4	11	31	38	34
11	18	Leeds	25	12	13	1.2	1.6	5	7	13	29	40	22
12	20	Southampton	25	12	13	0.8	1.6	6	3	16	20	41	21
13	16	Bournemouth	26	14	12	1.0	2.0	6	6	14	25	51	24
14	12	Crystal Palace	25	15	10	0.8	1.3	6	9	10	21	32	27
15	13	Wolves	26	16	10	0.7	1.3	7	6	13	19	35	27
16	19	Everton	26	16	10	0.7	1.5	5	7	14	19	38	22
17	10	Chelsea	25	16	9	1.0	1.0	9	7	9	24	25	34
18	14	Nott'm Forest	25	16	9	0.8	1.8	6	8	11	20	44	26
19	6	Newcastle	24	16	8	1.5	0.7	10	11	3	35	17	41
20	17	West Ham	25	18	7	0.9	1.3	6	5	14	23	33	23

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	13	2	11	2.6	1.2	10	2	1	34	16	32
2	2	Man City	13	2	11	3.3	1.0	11	1	1	43	13	34
3	3	Man United	12	3	9	2.0	0.7	9	2	1	24	8	29
4	7	Fulham	13	4	9	1.6	1.3	6	4	3	21	17	22
5	5	Liverpool	13	6	7	2.6	0.7	9	3	1	34	9	30
6	9	Brentford	13	6	7	2.1	1.0	7	5	1	27	13	26
7	11	Aston Villa	13	6	7	1.5	1.5	6	2	5	20	19	20
8	4	Tottenham	13	7	6	2.0	1.2	9	0	4	26	15	27
9	8	Brighton	12	6	6	1.8	0.9	6	2	4	21	11	20
10	12	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	0.9	1.3	4	5	4	12	17	17
11	15	Leicester	12	6	6	1.2	1.2	3	3	6	15	14	12
12	18	Leeds	12	6	6	1.3	1.3	4	4	4	16	16	16
13	20	Southampton	12	6	6	0.9	1.6	2	3	7	11	19	9
14	16	Bournemouth	13	8	5	1.0	1.2	4	4	5	13	16	16
15	19	Everton	13	8	5	0.8	1.2	4	2	7	11	16	14
16	10	Chelsea	12	8	4	1.2	0.7	6	3	3	14	8	21
17	13	Wolves	13	9	4	0.8	1.2	5	2	6	10	15	17
18	14	Nott'm Forest	13	9	4	1.3	1.2	5	5	3	17	15	20
19	6	Newcastle	12	9	3	1.6	0.7	6	5	1	19	8	23
20	17	West Ham	12	9	3	1.3	1.1	5	2	5	16	13	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Leicester	13	4	9	1.6	2.2	4	0	9	21	29	12
2	5	Liverpool	13	5	8	1.0	1.5	3	3	7	13	20	12
3	7	Fulham	13	5	8	1.3	1.3	5	2	6	17	17	17
4	8	Brighton	11	3	8	2.0	1.6	5	3	3	22	18	18
5	3	Man United	13	6	7	1.3	2.1	6	2	5	17	27	20
6	4	Tottenham	13	6	7	1.5	1.6	5	3	5	20	21	18
7	16	Bournemouth	13	6	7	0.9	2.7	2	2	9	12	35	8
8	18	Leeds	13	6	7	1.0	1.8	1	3	9	13	24	6
9	20	Southampton	13	6	7	0.7	1.7	4	0	9	9	22	12
10	2	Man City	13	7	6	1.8	0.9	7	3	3	23	12	24
11	9	Brentford	11	5	6	1.2	1.7	2	6	3	13	19	12
12	11	Aston Villa	12	6	6	0.9	1.6	4	2	6	11	19	14
13	13	Wolves	13	7	6	0.7	1.5	2	4	7	9	20	10
14	1	Arsenal	13	8	5	1.9	0.7	10	1	2	25	9	31
15	6	Newcastle	12	7	5	1.3	0.8	4	6	2	16	9	18
16	10	Chelsea	13	8	5	0.8	1.3	3	4	6	10	17	13
17	14	Nott'm Forest	12	7	5	0.2	2.4	1	3	8	3	29	6
18	19	Everton	13	8	5	0.6	1.7	1	5	7	8	22	8
19	12	Crystal Palace	12	8	4	0.8	1.2	2	4	6	9	15	10
20	17	West Ham	13	9	4	0.5	1.5	1	3	9	7	20	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.