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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Liverpool 3–2 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.37
Draw 7.50 fair 6.06
Away 17.00 fair 9.45
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Nott'm Forest
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 3
9 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (308 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 2.41 – 0.80
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.7% 1–0 9.7% 3–0 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.87scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 56:36
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.87points / match
0.77scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 24:56
Liverpool all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.87 Goals scored 0.77
1.20 Goals conceded 1.81
3.07 Total goals 2.58
15.63 Shots 9.90
5.73 Shots on target 3.00
10.07 Shots faced 14.58
6.00 Corners 3.52
3.67 Corners against 6.23
10.13 Fouls 11.55
1.47 Yellow cards 2.32
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

43% Wins 19%
27% Draws 29%
30% Losses 52%
87% Over 0.5 goals 97%
73% Over 1.5 goals 77%
60% Over 2.5 goals 39%
37% Over 3.5 goals 29%
20% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 3%
50% Both teams scored 42%
37% Clean sheets 23%
27% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 19%
33% Draws 39%
33% Losses 42%
73% Over 0.5 goals 71%
47% Over 1.5 goals 32%
20% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.21points / match
2.57scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 36:11
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.33scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 5:36
Liverpool at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 0.33
0.79 Goals conceded 2.40
3.36 Total goals 2.73
18.43 Shots 9.33
6.36 Shots on target 2.27
8.21 Shots faced 16.47
6.64 Corners 4.40
2.93 Corners against 7.00
9.71 Fouls 10.93
1.29 Yellow cards 1.93
1.14 1st-half goals scored 0.13
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

64% Wins 7%
29% Draws 20%
7% Losses 73%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 80%
57% Over 2.5 goals 47%
36% Over 3.5 goals 33%
21% Over 4.5 goals 13%
21% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 27%
50% Clean sheets 13%
7% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 7%
29% Draws 40%
29% Losses 53%
79% Over 0.5 goals 60%
43% Over 1.5 goals 33%
36% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
04.04.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.95
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
11.03.23 Bournemouth – Liverpool 1–0 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.30
05.03.23 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
01.03.23 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.73 2.10
25.02.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05
18.02.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
13.02.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
08.04.23 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.94 1.96
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
01.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.55 2.38 1.57
17.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83
11.03.23 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 1.444.757.00 1.88 2.05
05.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Everton 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.002.88 2.50 1.53
25.02.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 4–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
18.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 8.505.501.30 1.62 2.30
11.02.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
05.03.23 Liverpool – Man United 7–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.67 2.20
01.03.23 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.73 2.10
13.02.23 Liverpool – Everton 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.73 2.10
21.01.23 Liverpool – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.22 Liverpool – Leicester 2–1 (2–1) 1.296.009.50 1.44 2.75
12.11.22 Liverpool – Southampton 3–1 (3–1) 1.256.5011.00 1.40 3.00
29.10.22 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
19.10.22 Liverpool – West Ham 1–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.62
16.10.22 Liverpool – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.604.001.90 1.44 2.75

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.94 1.96
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
11.03.23 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 1.444.757.00 1.88 2.05
25.02.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 4–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
11.02.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
04.01.23 Southampton – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.80 2.06 1.84
27.12.22 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
30.10.22 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.62
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22E0 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–0 (0–0) 11.006.001.25 1.50 2.62

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 23 6 3 77 34 +43 75
2 Man City 30 22 4 4 78 28 +50 70
3 Man United 30 18 5 7 46 37 +9 59
4 Newcastle 30 15 11 4 48 24 +24 56
5 Tottenham 31 16 5 10 57 45 +12 53
6 Aston Villa 31 15 5 11 44 40 +4 50
7 Brighton 29 14 7 8 54 37 +17 49
8 Liverpool 30 13 8 9 56 36 +20 47
9 Fulham 31 13 6 12 44 42 +2 45
10 Brentford 31 10 13 8 47 42 +5 43
11 Chelsea 31 10 9 12 30 33 -3 39
12 Crystal Palace 31 9 9 13 31 40 -9 36
13 Wolves 31 9 7 15 26 42 -16 34
14 Bournemouth 31 9 6 16 31 59 -28 33
15 West Ham 30 8 7 15 29 41 -12 31
16 Leeds 32 7 8 17 41 62 -21 29
17 Everton 31 6 9 16 24 46 -22 27
18 Nott'm Forest 31 6 9 16 24 56 -32 27
19 Leicester 31 7 4 20 41 55 -14 25
20 Southampton 32 6 6 20 27 56 -29 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 15 13 1 1 50 15 +35 40
2 Arsenal 16 12 3 1 45 21 +24 39
3 Man United 15 11 3 1 27 8 +19 36
4 Tottenham 16 11 0 5 33 20 +13 33
5 Liverpool 14 9 4 1 36 11 +25 31
6 Newcastle 14 8 5 1 23 9 +14 29
7 Aston Villa 16 9 2 5 28 19 +9 29
8 Brentford 15 7 6 2 29 16 +13 27
9 Fulham 16 7 4 5 23 22 +1 25
10 Brighton 14 7 3 4 25 14 +11 24
11 Chelsea 16 6 5 5 17 14 +3 23
12 Wolves 16 7 2 7 15 19 -4 23
13 West Ham 16 6 4 6 21 21 0 22
14 Nott'm Forest 16 5 6 5 19 20 -1 21
15 Crystal Palace 15 5 5 5 14 19 -5 20
16 Leeds 16 5 5 6 22 30 -8 20
17 Bournemouth 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
18 Everton 16 5 3 8 14 20 -6 18
19 Leicester 15 3 3 9 17 20 -3 12
20 Southampton 16 2 4 10 15 30 -15 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 32 13 +19 36
2 Man City 15 9 3 3 28 13 +15 30
3 Newcastle 16 7 6 3 25 15 +10 27
4 Brighton 15 7 4 4 29 23 +6 25
5 Man United 15 7 2 6 19 29 -10 23
6 Aston Villa 15 6 3 6 16 21 -5 21
7 Fulham 15 6 2 7 21 20 +1 20
8 Tottenham 15 5 5 5 24 25 -1 20
9 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 17 21 -4 16
10 Liverpool 16 4 4 8 20 25 -5 16
11 Chelsea 15 4 4 7 13 19 -6 16
12 Brentford 16 3 7 6 18 26 -8 16
13 Southampton 16 4 2 10 12 26 -14 14
14 Bournemouth 16 4 2 10 16 40 -24 14
15 Leicester 16 4 1 11 24 35 -11 13
16 Wolves 15 2 5 8 11 23 -12 11
17 West Ham 14 2 3 9 8 20 -12 9
18 Leeds 16 2 3 11 19 32 -13 9
19 Everton 15 1 6 8 10 26 -16 9
20 Nott'm Forest 15 1 3 11 5 36 -31 6

Liverpool   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 32 10 22 2.4 1.1 23 6 3 77 34 75
2 9 Fulham 31 10 21 1.4 1.4 13 6 12 44 42 45
3 2 Man City 30 10 20 2.6 0.9 22 4 4 78 28 70
4 16 Leeds 32 12 20 1.3 1.9 7 8 17 41 62 29
5 19 Leicester 31 12 19 1.3 1.8 7 4 20 41 55 25
6 7 Brighton 29 11 18 1.9 1.3 14 7 8 54 37 49
7 8 Liverpool 30 12 18 1.9 1.2 13 8 9 56 36 47
8 5 Tottenham 31 14 17 1.8 1.5 16 5 10 57 45 53
9 3 Man United 30 14 16 1.5 1.2 18 5 7 46 37 59
10 6 Aston Villa 31 15 16 1.4 1.3 15 5 11 44 40 50
11 20 Southampton 32 16 16 0.8 1.8 6 6 20 27 56 24
12 10 Brentford 31 16 15 1.5 1.4 10 13 8 47 42 43
13 14 Bournemouth 31 16 15 1.0 1.9 9 6 16 31 59 33
14 4 Newcastle 30 17 13 1.6 0.8 15 11 4 48 24 56
15 12 Crystal Palace 31 18 13 1.0 1.3 9 9 13 31 40 36
16 11 Chelsea 31 19 12 1.0 1.1 10 9 12 30 33 39
17 13 Wolves 31 19 12 0.8 1.4 9 7 15 26 42 34
18 17 Everton 31 19 12 0.8 1.5 6 9 16 24 46 27
19 18 Nott'm Forest 31 19 12 0.8 1.8 6 9 16 24 56 27
20 15 West Ham 30 21 9 1.0 1.4 8 7 15 29 41 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 16 2 14 2.8 1.3 12 3 1 45 21 39
2 2 Man City 15 2 13 3.3 1.0 13 1 1 50 15 40
3 9 Fulham 16 5 11 1.4 1.4 7 4 5 23 22 25
4 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.4 1.9 5 5 6 22 30 20
5 3 Man United 15 6 9 1.8 0.5 11 3 1 27 8 36
6 5 Tottenham 16 7 9 2.1 1.2 11 0 5 33 20 33
7 6 Aston Villa 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 9 2 5 28 19 29
8 8 Liverpool 14 6 8 2.6 0.8 9 4 1 36 11 31
9 10 Brentford 15 7 8 1.9 1.1 7 6 2 29 16 27
10 19 Leicester 15 7 8 1.1 1.3 3 3 9 17 20 12
11 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 2 4 10 15 30 10
12 7 Brighton 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 4 25 14 24
13 12 Crystal Palace 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 5 5 5 14 19 20
14 11 Chelsea 16 10 6 1.1 0.9 6 5 5 17 14 23
15 14 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
16 17 Everton 16 10 6 0.9 1.2 5 3 8 14 20 18
17 13 Wolves 16 11 5 0.9 1.2 7 2 7 15 19 23
18 15 West Ham 16 11 5 1.3 1.3 6 4 6 21 21 22
19 18 Nott'm Forest 16 11 5 1.2 1.2 5 6 5 19 20 21
20 4 Newcastle 14 10 4 1.6 0.6 8 5 1 23 9 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 7 4 4 29 23 25
2 19 Leicester 16 5 11 1.5 2.2 4 1 11 24 35 13
3 8 Liverpool 16 6 10 1.2 1.6 4 4 8 20 25 16
4 9 Fulham 15 5 10 1.4 1.3 6 2 7 21 20 20
5 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.2 2.0 2 3 11 19 32 9
6 4 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.6 0.9 7 6 3 25 15 27
7 14 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.0 2.5 4 2 10 16 40 14
8 1 Arsenal 16 8 8 2.0 0.8 11 3 2 32 13 36
9 5 Tottenham 15 7 8 1.6 1.7 5 5 5 24 25 20
10 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 4 2 10 12 26 14
11 2 Man City 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 28 13 30
12 3 Man United 15 8 7 1.3 1.9 7 2 6 19 29 23
13 6 Aston Villa 15 8 7 1.1 1.4 6 3 6 16 21 21
14 10 Brentford 16 9 7 1.1 1.6 3 7 6 18 26 16
15 13 Wolves 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 2 5 8 11 23 11
16 18 Nott'm Forest 15 8 7 0.3 2.4 1 3 11 5 36 6
17 11 Chelsea 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 7 13 19 16
18 12 Crystal Palace 16 10 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 8 17 21 16
19 17 Everton 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 6 8 10 26 9
20 15 West Ham 14 10 4 0.6 1.4 2 3 9 8 20 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51