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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Aston Villa 2–0 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 1.62
Draw 4.20 fair 4.70
Away 5.25 fair 5.84
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.96 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 1.94 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Nott'm Forest
8 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 8
7 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (287 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.97 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.9% 2–0 10.7% 1–1 10.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.52points / match
1.34scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 39:40
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
0.83scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 24:52
Aston Villa all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.34 Goals scored 0.83
1.38 Goals conceded 1.79
2.72 Total goals 2.62
11.38 Shots 10.17
4.17 Shots on target 3.14
12.38 Shots faced 14.55
4.10 Corners 3.34
5.90 Corners against 6.31
11.38 Fouls 11.45
1.93 Yellow cards 2.28
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

45% Wins 21%
17% Draws 31%
38% Losses 48%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
83% Over 1.5 goals 76%
52% Over 2.5 goals 41%
28% Over 3.5 goals 31%
7% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
52% Both teams scored 45%
31% Clean sheets 24%
21% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 21%
38% Draws 38%
31% Losses 41%
79% Over 0.5 goals 72%
38% Over 1.5 goals 34%
17% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.64scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:19
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.43points / match
0.36scored / match
2.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 5:34
Aston Villa at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 0.36
1.36 Goals conceded 2.43
3.00 Total goals 2.79
12.00 Shots 9.57
4.79 Shots on target 2.29
11.00 Shots faced 17.07
4.50 Corners 4.14
5.43 Corners against 7.43
10.07 Fouls 10.50
1.64 Yellow cards 1.79
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 1.07

How often Full Time

50% Wins 7%
14% Draws 21%
36% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 79%
57% Over 2.5 goals 50%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 29%
29% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 7%
14% Draws 36%
29% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 64%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
29% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.23 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.75 1.99 1.91
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
18.03.23 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
04.03.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
01.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.55 2.38 1.57
17.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83
11.03.23 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 1.444.757.00 1.88 2.05
05.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Everton 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.002.88 2.50 1.53
25.02.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 4–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
18.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 8.505.501.30 1.62 2.30
11.02.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
05.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
04.03.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
11.03.23 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (2–0) 1.444.757.00 1.88 2.05
25.02.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 4–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
11.02.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
04.01.23 Southampton – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.503.80 2.06 1.84
27.12.22 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
30.10.22 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.50 2.62
18.10.22 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10
15.10.22 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 2.06 1.84

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.22E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 29 23 3 3 70 27 +43 72
2 Man City 28 20 4 4 71 26 +45 64
3 Man United 29 17 5 7 44 37 +7 56
4 Newcastle 28 14 11 3 46 20 +26 53
5 Tottenham 29 15 5 9 53 41 +12 50
6 Brighton 27 13 7 7 51 34 +17 46
7 Aston Villa 29 13 5 11 39 40 -1 44
8 Liverpool 28 12 7 9 48 33 +15 43
9 Brentford 29 10 13 6 46 38 +8 43
10 Fulham 28 11 6 11 39 39 0 39
11 Chelsea 29 10 9 10 29 30 -1 39
12 Crystal Palace 29 7 9 13 24 39 -15 30
13 Leeds 29 7 8 14 38 49 -11 29
14 Wolves 29 7 7 15 23 42 -19 28
15 West Ham 28 7 6 15 26 39 -13 27
16 Everton 30 6 9 15 23 43 -20 27
17 Nott'm Forest 29 6 9 14 24 52 -28 27
18 Bournemouth 29 7 6 16 27 57 -30 27
19 Leicester 29 7 4 18 40 51 -11 25
20 Southampton 29 6 5 18 23 47 -24 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 42 18 +24 38
2 Man City 14 12 1 1 47 14 +33 37
3 Man United 15 11 3 1 27 8 +19 36
4 Liverpool 13 9 3 1 34 9 +25 30
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 16 +13 30
6 Newcastle 14 8 5 1 23 9 +14 29
7 Brentford 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
8 Brighton 14 7 3 4 25 14 +11 24
9 Aston Villa 14 7 2 5 23 19 +4 23
10 Chelsea 15 6 5 4 16 12 +4 23
11 Fulham 14 6 4 4 21 20 +1 22
12 Nott'm Forest 15 5 6 4 19 18 +1 21
13 West Ham 15 6 3 6 19 19 0 21
14 Leeds 14 5 5 4 20 19 +1 20
15 Crystal Palace 15 5 5 5 14 19 -5 20
16 Bournemouth 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
17 Everton 15 5 3 7 13 17 -4 18
18 Wolves 14 5 2 7 12 19 -7 17
19 Leicester 14 3 3 8 17 19 -2 12
20 Southampton 14 2 4 8 14 24 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 11 1 2 28 9 +19 34
2 Man City 14 8 3 3 24 12 +12 27
3 Newcastle 14 6 6 2 23 11 +12 24
4 Brighton 13 6 4 3 26 20 +6 22
5 Aston Villa 15 6 3 6 16 21 -5 21
6 Tottenham 15 5 5 5 24 25 -1 20
7 Man United 14 6 2 6 17 29 -12 20
8 Fulham 14 5 2 7 18 19 -1 17
9 Chelsea 14 4 4 6 13 18 -5 16
10 Brentford 15 3 7 5 18 24 -6 16
11 Leicester 15 4 1 10 23 32 -9 13
12 Liverpool 15 3 4 8 14 24 -10 13
13 Southampton 15 4 1 10 9 23 -14 13
14 Wolves 15 2 5 8 11 23 -12 11
15 Crystal Palace 14 2 4 8 10 20 -10 10
16 Leeds 15 2 3 10 18 30 -12 9
17 Everton 15 1 6 8 10 26 -16 9
18 Bournemouth 14 2 2 10 12 38 -26 8
19 West Ham 13 1 3 9 7 20 -13 6
20 Nott'm Forest 14 1 3 10 5 34 -29 6

Aston Villa   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 29 10 19 2.4 0.9 23 3 3 70 27 72
2 10 Fulham 28 9 19 1.4 1.4 11 6 11 39 39 39
3 2 Man City 28 10 18 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 71 26 64
4 19 Leicester 29 11 18 1.4 1.8 7 4 18 40 51 25
5 13 Leeds 29 12 17 1.3 1.7 7 8 14 38 49 29
6 3 Man United 29 13 16 1.5 1.3 17 5 7 44 37 56
7 6 Brighton 27 11 16 1.9 1.3 13 7 7 51 34 46
8 8 Liverpool 28 12 16 1.7 1.2 12 7 9 48 33 43
9 5 Tottenham 29 14 15 1.8 1.4 15 5 9 53 41 50
10 7 Aston Villa 29 14 15 1.3 1.4 13 5 11 39 40 44
11 9 Brentford 29 15 14 1.6 1.3 10 13 6 46 38 43
12 18 Bournemouth 29 15 14 0.9 2.0 7 6 16 27 57 27
13 20 Southampton 29 15 14 0.8 1.6 6 5 18 23 47 23
14 12 Crystal Palace 29 17 12 0.8 1.3 7 9 13 24 39 30
15 14 Wolves 29 17 12 0.8 1.4 7 7 15 23 42 28
16 17 Nott'm Forest 29 17 12 0.8 1.8 6 9 14 24 52 27
17 4 Newcastle 28 17 11 1.6 0.7 14 11 3 46 20 53
18 11 Chelsea 29 18 11 1.0 1.0 10 9 10 29 30 39
19 16 Everton 30 19 11 0.8 1.4 6 9 15 23 43 27
20 15 West Ham 28 20 8 0.9 1.4 7 6 15 26 39 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 15 2 13 2.8 1.2 12 2 1 42 18 38
2 2 Man City 14 2 12 3.4 1.0 12 1 1 47 14 37
3 10 Fulham 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 4 21 20 22
4 3 Man United 15 6 9 1.8 0.5 11 3 1 27 8 36
5 7 Aston Villa 14 6 8 1.6 1.4 7 2 5 23 19 23
6 13 Leeds 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 20 19 20
7 19 Leicester 14 6 8 1.2 1.4 3 3 8 17 19 12
8 5 Tottenham 14 7 7 2.1 1.1 10 0 4 29 16 30
9 6 Brighton 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 4 25 14 24
10 8 Liverpool 13 6 7 2.6 0.7 9 3 1 34 9 30
11 9 Brentford 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
12 12 Crystal Palace 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 5 5 5 14 19 20
13 20 Southampton 14 7 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 8 14 24 10
14 18 Bournemouth 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
15 11 Chelsea 15 10 5 1.1 0.8 6 5 4 16 12 23
16 14 Wolves 14 9 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 7 12 19 17
17 16 Everton 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 7 13 17 18
18 17 Nott'm Forest 15 10 5 1.3 1.2 5 6 4 19 18 21
19 4 Newcastle 14 10 4 1.6 0.6 8 5 1 23 9 29
20 15 West Ham 15 11 4 1.3 1.3 6 3 6 19 19 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leicester 15 5 10 1.5 2.1 4 1 10 23 32 13
2 6 Brighton 13 4 9 2.0 1.5 6 4 3 26 20 22
3 8 Liverpool 15 6 9 0.9 1.6 3 4 8 14 24 13
4 10 Fulham 14 5 9 1.3 1.4 5 2 7 18 19 17
5 13 Leeds 15 6 9 1.2 2.0 2 3 10 18 30 9
6 5 Tottenham 15 7 8 1.6 1.7 5 5 5 24 25 20
7 18 Bournemouth 14 6 8 0.9 2.7 2 2 10 12 38 8
8 3 Man United 14 7 7 1.2 2.1 6 2 6 17 29 20
9 4 Newcastle 14 7 7 1.6 0.8 6 6 2 23 11 24
10 7 Aston Villa 15 8 7 1.1 1.4 6 3 6 16 21 21
11 9 Brentford 15 8 7 1.2 1.6 3 7 5 18 24 16
12 14 Wolves 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 2 5 8 11 23 11
13 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 0.4 2.4 1 3 10 5 34 6
14 20 Southampton 15 8 7 0.6 1.5 4 1 10 9 23 13
15 1 Arsenal 14 8 6 2.0 0.6 11 1 2 28 9 34
16 2 Man City 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 8 3 3 24 12 27
17 11 Chelsea 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 6 13 18 16
18 16 Everton 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 6 8 10 26 9
19 12 Crystal Palace 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 2 4 8 10 20 10
20 15 West Ham 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 1 3 9 7 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51