Newcastle 5–1 Aston Villa
Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024
Home ✓
1.75
fair 2.16
Draw
3.75
fair 4.14
Away
4.60
fair 3.38
Under 2.5
2.10
fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓
1.73
fair 1.78
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Newcastle
Aston Villa
17
Shots
16
13
Shots on target
6
6
Corners
5
12
Fouls
17
4
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (6 league matches this season so far).
Result
Newcastle to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.71
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
46%
24%
30%
NewcastleDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
44%
56%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
42%
58%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3%
2–1 9.3%
1–0 8.8%
Statistics 2023/2024, before this match
Newcastle
before this match, all matches
No matches yet this season.
Aston Villa
before this match, all matches
No matches yet this season.
Newcastle all matches
all matches Aston Villa
Per match
How often Full Time
How often Half Time
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Newcastle all matches
2
1
W
3
L
6
1
W
4
1
W
3
1
W
2
L
2
2
D
4
1
W
D
1
1
D
Aston Villa all matches
2
1
W
2
W
3
W
1
1
D
1
W
1
L
1
L
2
1
W
1
1
D
2
1
W
Newcastle
before this match, at home
No matches yet this season.
Aston Villa
before this match, away
No matches yet this season.
Newcastle at home
away Aston Villa
Per match
How often Full Time
How often Half Time
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Newcastle at home
1
W
1
1
D
2
L
2
1
W
2
W
6
1
W
3
1
W
2
L
4
1
W
D
Aston Villa away
1
W
1
3
L
2
W
1
1
D
2
W
2
1
W
1
1
D
1
L
1
L
1
1
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Newcastle all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.05.23 | Chelsea – Newcastle | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.38 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 22.05.23 | Newcastle – Leicester | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 18.05.23 | Newcastle – Brighton | 4–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 13.05.23 | Leeds – Newcastle | 2–2 (1–1) | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 07.05.23 | Newcastle – Arsenal | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.63 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 30.04.23 | Newcastle – Southampton | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.30 | 5.25 | 10.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 27.04.23 | Everton – Newcastle | 1–4 (0–1) | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 23.04.23 | Newcastle – Tottenham | 6–1 (5–0) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.86 | 2.04 |
| 15.04.23 | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 3–0 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| 08.04.23 | Brentford – Newcastle | 1–2 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 2.03 | 1.87 |
Aston Villa all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.05.23 | Aston Villa – Brighton | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 20.05.23 | Liverpool – Aston Villa | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.25 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 13.05.23 | Aston Villa – Tottenham | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 06.05.23 | Wolves – Aston Villa | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 30.04.23 | Man United – Aston Villa | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 25.04.23 | Aston Villa – Fulham | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.81 | 2.09 |
| 22.04.23 | Brentford – Aston Villa | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| 15.04.23 | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 3–0 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| 08.04.23 | Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 1.94 | 1.96 |
| 04.04.23 | Leicester – Aston Villa | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 1.99 | 1.91 |
Newcastle at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.05.23 | Newcastle – Leicester | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 18.05.23 | Newcastle – Brighton | 4–1 (2–0) | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 07.05.23 | Newcastle – Arsenal | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.63 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 30.04.23 | Newcastle – Southampton | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.30 | 5.25 | 10.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 23.04.23 | Newcastle – Tottenham | 6–1 (5–0) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.86 | 2.04 |
| 02.04.23 | Newcastle – Man United | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| 12.03.23 | Newcastle – Wolves | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.50 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 18.02.23 | Newcastle – Liverpool | 0–2 (0–2) | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 04.02.23 | Newcastle – West Ham | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 15.01.23 | Newcastle – Fulham | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.50 | 4.33 | 6.50 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
Aston Villa away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.05.23 | Liverpool – Aston Villa | 1–1 (0–1) | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.25 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 06.05.23 | Wolves – Aston Villa | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 30.04.23 | Man United – Aston Villa | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 22.04.23 | Brentford – Aston Villa | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| 04.04.23 | Leicester – Aston Villa | 1–2 (1–1) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 1.99 | 1.91 |
| 01.04.23 | Chelsea – Aston Villa | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.25 | 1.97 | 1.93 |
| 12.03.23 | West Ham – Aston Villa | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.08 | 1.85 |
| 25.02.23 | Everton – Aston Villa | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.50 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 12.02.23 | Man City – Aston Villa | 3–1 (3–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 21.01.23 | Southampton – Aston Villa | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 2
Newcastle winsDrawsAston Villa wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.04.23E0 | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 3–0 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.05 | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| 29.10.22E0 | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.94 | 1.96 |
| 13.02.22E0 | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 1.85 | 2.05 |
| 21.08.21E0 | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Sheffield United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Luton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Nott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Sheffield United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sheffield United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Luton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Newcastle Aston Villa
Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brighton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | Man City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | Arsenal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | 11 | Luton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | 12 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | 4 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | West Ham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | 10 | Sheffield United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brighton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | Arsenal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 4 | 2 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 4 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 5 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 8 | Nott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 9 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | 10 | Sheffield United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | 11 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Man City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | Nott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 11 | Luton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 3 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 7 | West Ham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 10 | Sheffield United | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 12 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06
