Aston Villa 2–1 Brighton – England Premier League, 28 May 2023

Match facts

Aston Villa Brighton

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 3

15 Fouls 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).

Result Aston Villa to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.61

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.47

Home / Draw / Away

42% 24% 34%

Aston VillaDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

1.57points / match

1.32scored / match

1.22conceded / match

17 7 13

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 49:45

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.68points / match

1.92scored / match

1.38conceded / match

18 8 11

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 71:51

Aston Villa all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.92

1.22 Goals conceded 1.38

2.54 Total goals 3.30

11.32 Shots 16.32

3.95 Shots on target 6.14

11.22 Shots faced 10.16

4.35 Corners 6.22

5.65 Corners against 3.57

10.86 Fouls 11.08

2.05 Yellow cards 1.49

0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.89

0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

46% Wins 49%

19% Draws 22%

35% Losses 30%

97% Over 0.5 goals 95%

78% Over 1.5 goals 78%

46% Over 2.5 goals 65%

22% Over 3.5 goals 46%

5% Over 4.5 goals 27%

5% Over 5.5 goals 16%

49% Both teams scored 59%

32% Clean sheets 32%

22% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 30%

35% Draws 54%

30% Losses 16%

78% Over 0.5 goals 73%

30% Over 1.5 goals 54%

14% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches

2

W

2

1

W

2

W

3

W

1

D

1

W

1

L

1

L

2

1

W

1

D

Brighton all matches

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

6

W

1

W

1

5

L

3

W

1

4

L

3

1

W

1

D

Aston Villa before this match, at home

1.94points / match

1.72scored / match

1.11conceded / match

11 2 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:20

Brighton before this match, away

1.56points / match

1.89scored / match

1.67conceded / match

8 4 6

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:30

Aston Villa at home away Brighton

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 1.89

1.11 Goals conceded 1.67

2.83 Total goals 3.56

11.89 Shots 14.06

4.61 Shots on target 5.17

9.67 Shots faced 11.67

4.83 Corners 4.83

5.06 Corners against 4.33

9.78 Fouls 11.22

1.83 Yellow cards 1.28

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.89

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

61% Wins 44%

11% Draws 22%

28% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

78% Over 1.5 goals 100%

56% Over 2.5 goals 78%

28% Over 3.5 goals 50%

11% Over 4.5 goals 22%

11% Over 5.5 goals 6%

50% Both teams scored 78%

39% Clean sheets 17%

11% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 33%

17% Draws 50%

22% Losses 17%

83% Over 0.5 goals 83%

28% Over 1.5 goals 61%

22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home

1

D

2

1

W

2

4

L

2

4

L

1

W

3

W

2

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

Brighton away

4

1

W

2

D

1

D

2

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

W

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.05.23	Liverpool – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–1)	1.45	5.00	6.25	1.53	2.50
13.05.23	Aston Villa – Tottenham	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	2.90	1.73	2.10
06.05.23	Wolves – Aston Villa	1–0 (1–0)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.20	1.67
30.04.23	Man United – Aston Villa	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.90	4.60	1.67	2.20
25.04.23	Aston Villa – Fulham	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.81	2.09
22.04.23	Brentford – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.90
15.04.23	Aston Villa – Newcastle	3–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.07	1.83
08.04.23	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.94	1.96
04.04.23	Leicester – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	2.55	3.30	2.75	1.99	1.91
01.04.23	Chelsea – Aston Villa	0–2 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.97	1.93

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.05.23	Brighton – Man City	1–1 (1–1)	4.00	4.33	1.75	1.53	2.50
21.05.23	Brighton – Southampton	3–1 (2–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.40	3.00
18.05.23	Newcastle – Brighton	4–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.80	3.50	1.62	2.30
14.05.23	Arsenal – Brighton	0–3 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.53	2.50
08.05.23	Brighton – Everton	1–5 (0–3)	1.33	5.25	9.00	1.57	2.38
04.05.23	Brighton – Man United	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.75	1.57	2.38
29.04.23	Brighton – Wolves	6–0 (4–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.85	2.05
26.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	3–1 (1–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.73	2.10
15.04.23	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
08.04.23	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.70	1.85	2.05

Aston Villa at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.05.23	Aston Villa – Tottenham	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	2.90	1.73	2.10
25.04.23	Aston Villa – Fulham	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.81	2.09
15.04.23	Aston Villa – Newcastle	3–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.07	1.83
08.04.23	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.94	1.96
18.03.23	Aston Villa – Bournemouth	3–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.97	1.93
04.03.23	Aston Villa – Crystal Palace	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.30	1.62
18.02.23	Aston Villa – Arsenal	2–4 (2–1)	4.50	3.60	1.50	2.02	1.88
04.02.23	Aston Villa – Leicester	2–4 (2–3)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.94	1.96
13.01.23	Aston Villa – Leeds	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.80	2.00
04.01.23	Aston Villa – Wolves	1–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.60	4.00	2.08	1.82

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.05.23	Newcastle – Brighton	4–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.80	3.50	1.62	2.30
14.05.23	Arsenal – Brighton	0–3 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.53	2.50
26.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	3–1 (1–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.73	2.10
15.04.23	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
08.04.23	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.70	1.85	2.05
04.04.23	Bournemouth – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.80	2.00
11.03.23	Leeds – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.89	2.04
11.02.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.80	3.50	2.00	2.00	1.80
21.01.23	Leicester – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.86	2.04
03.01.23	Everton – Brighton	1–4 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.02	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Aston Villa winsDrawsBrighton wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.11.22E0	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.96	1.94
26.02.22E0	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.72
20.11.21E0	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	37	28	5	4	94	32	+62	89
2	Arsenal	37	25	6	6	83	43	+40	81
3	Man United	37	22	6	9	56	42	+14	72
4	Newcastle	37	19	13	5	67	32	+35	70
5	Liverpool	37	19	9	9	71	43	+28	66
6	Brighton	37	18	8	11	71	51	+20	62
7	Aston Villa	37	17	7	13	49	45	+4	58
8	Tottenham	37	17	6	14	66	62	+4	57
9	Brentford	37	14	14	9	57	46	+11	56
10	Fulham	37	15	7	15	54	51	+3	52
11	Crystal Palace	37	11	11	15	39	48	-9	44
12	Chelsea	37	11	10	16	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolves	37	11	8	18	31	53	-22	41
14	West Ham	37	11	7	19	41	53	-12	40
15	Bournemouth	37	11	6	20	37	70	-33	39
16	Nott'm Forest	37	9	10	18	37	67	-30	37
17	Everton	37	7	12	18	33	57	-24	33
18	Leicester	37	8	7	22	49	67	-18	31
19	Leeds	37	7	10	20	47	74	-27	31
20	Southampton	37	6	6	25	32	69	-37	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	19	17	1	1	60	17	+43	52
2	Man United	18	14	3	1	34	9	+25	45
3	Liverpool	19	13	5	1	46	17	+29	44
4	Arsenal	18	13	3	2	48	25	+23	42
5	Newcastle	19	11	6	2	36	14	+22	39
6	Tottenham	19	12	1	6	37	25	+12	37
7	Aston Villa	18	11	2	5	31	20	+11	35
8	Brighton	19	10	4	5	37	21	+16	34
9	Brentford	18	9	7	2	34	18	+16	34
10	Nott'm Forest	19	8	6	5	27	24	+3	30
11	Wolves	19	9	3	7	19	20	-1	30
12	Fulham	19	8	5	6	31	29	+2	29
13	West Ham	19	8	4	7	26	24	+2	28
14	Crystal Palace	18	7	6	5	20	22	-2	27
15	Chelsea	18	6	6	6	19	18	+1	24
16	Leeds	18	5	7	6	25	33	-8	22
17	Bournemouth	19	6	4	9	20	28	-8	22
18	Everton	18	5	3	10	15	27	-12	18
19	Leicester	18	4	4	10	21	26	-5	16
20	Southampton	18	2	4	12	15	33	-18	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	19	12	3	4	35	18	+17	39
2	Man City	18	11	4	3	34	15	+19	37
3	Newcastle	18	8	7	3	31	18	+13	31
4	Brighton	18	8	4	6	34	30	+4	28
5	Man United	19	8	3	8	22	33	-11	27
6	Fulham	18	7	2	9	23	22	+1	23
7	Aston Villa	19	6	5	8	18	25	-7	23
8	Liverpool	18	6	4	8	25	26	-1	22
9	Brentford	19	5	7	7	23	28	-5	22
10	Tottenham	18	5	5	8	29	37	-8	20
11	Chelsea	19	5	4	10	18	28	-10	19
12	Crystal Palace	19	4	5	10	19	26	-7	17
13	Bournemouth	18	5	2	11	17	42	-25	17
14	Everton	19	2	9	8	18	30	-12	15
15	Leicester	19	4	3	12	28	41	-13	15
16	Southampton	19	4	2	13	17	36	-19	14
17	West Ham	18	3	3	12	15	29	-14	12
18	Wolves	18	2	5	11	12	33	-21	11
19	Leeds	19	2	3	14	22	41	-19	9
20	Nott'm Forest	18	1	4	13	10	43	-33	7

Aston Villa Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Man City	37	12	25	2.5	0.9	28	5	4	94	32	89
2	2	Arsenal	37	12	25	2.2	1.2	25	6	6	83	43	81
3	6	Brighton	37	13	24	1.9	1.4	18	8	11	71	51	62
4	10	Fulham	37	13	24	1.5	1.4	15	7	15	54	51	52
5	19	Leeds	37	13	24	1.3	2.0	7	10	20	47	74	31
6	18	Leicester	37	14	23	1.3	1.8	8	7	22	49	67	31
7	5	Liverpool	37	15	22	1.9	1.2	19	9	9	71	43	66
8	8	Tottenham	37	15	22	1.8	1.7	17	6	14	66	62	57
9	20	Southampton	37	18	19	0.9	1.9	6	6	25	32	69	24
10	3	Man United	37	19	18	1.5	1.1	22	6	9	56	42	72
11	4	Newcastle	37	19	18	1.8	0.9	19	13	5	67	32	70
12	15	Bournemouth	37	19	18	1.0	1.9	11	6	20	37	70	39
13	7	Aston Villa	37	20	17	1.3	1.2	17	7	13	49	45	58
14	9	Brentford	37	20	17	1.5	1.2	14	14	9	57	46	56
15	16	Nott'm Forest	37	20	17	1.0	1.8	9	10	18	37	67	37
16	12	Chelsea	37	21	16	1.0	1.2	11	10	16	37	46	43
17	17	Everton	37	21	16	0.9	1.5	7	12	18	33	57	33
18	11	Crystal Palace	37	22	15	1.1	1.3	11	11	15	39	48	44
19	13	Wolves	37	23	14	0.8	1.4	11	8	18	31	53	41
20	14	West Ham	37	23	14	1.1	1.4	11	7	19	41	53	40

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Man City	19	3	16	3.2	0.9	17	1	1	60	17	52
2	2	Arsenal	18	2	16	2.7	1.4	13	3	2	48	25	42
3	10	Fulham	19	5	14	1.6	1.5	8	5	6	31	29	29
4	8	Tottenham	19	8	11	1.9	1.3	12	1	6	37	25	37
5	18	Leicester	18	7	11	1.2	1.4	4	4	10	21	26	16
6	19	Leeds	18	7	11	1.4	1.8	5	7	6	25	33	22
7	3	Man United	18	8	10	1.9	0.5	14	3	1	34	9	45
8	5	Liverpool	19	9	10	2.4	0.9	13	5	1	46	17	44
9	6	Brighton	19	9	10	1.9	1.1	10	4	5	37	21	34
10	7	Aston Villa	18	8	10	1.7	1.1	11	2	5	31	20	35
11	9	Brentford	18	9	9	1.9	1.0	9	7	2	34	18	34
12	15	Bournemouth	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	6	4	9	20	28	22
13	11	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	1.1	1.2	7	6	5	20	22	27
14	17	Everton	18	10	8	0.8	1.5	5	3	10	15	27	18
15	20	Southampton	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	2	4	12	15	33	10
16	4	Newcastle	19	12	7	1.9	0.7	11	6	2	36	14	39
17	12	Chelsea	18	11	7	1.1	1.0	6	6	6	19	18	24
18	14	West Ham	19	12	7	1.4	1.3	8	4	7	26	24	28
19	16	Nott'm Forest	19	12	7	1.4	1.3	8	6	5	27	24	30
20	13	Wolves	19	14	5	1.0	1.1	9	3	7	19	20	30

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Brighton	18	4	14	1.9	1.7	8	4	6	34	30	28
2	19	Leeds	19	6	13	1.2	2.2	2	3	14	22	41	9
3	5	Liverpool	18	6	12	1.4	1.4	6	4	8	25	26	22
4	18	Leicester	19	7	12	1.5	2.2	4	3	12	28	41	15
5	4	Newcastle	18	7	11	1.7	1.0	8	7	3	31	18	31
6	8	Tottenham	18	7	11	1.6	2.1	5	5	8	29	37	20
7	20	Southampton	19	8	11	0.9	1.9	4	2	13	17	36	14
8	10	Fulham	18	8	10	1.3	1.2	7	2	9	23	22	23
9	16	Nott'm Forest	18	8	10	0.6	2.4	1	4	13	10	43	7
10	1	Man City	18	9	9	1.9	0.8	11	4	3	34	15	37
11	2	Arsenal	19	10	9	1.8	0.9	12	3	4	35	18	39
12	12	Chelsea	19	10	9	0.9	1.5	5	4	10	18	28	19
13	13	Wolves	18	9	9	0.7	1.8	2	5	11	12	33	11
14	15	Bournemouth	18	9	9	0.9	2.3	5	2	11	17	42	17
15	3	Man United	19	11	8	1.2	1.7	8	3	8	22	33	27
16	9	Brentford	19	11	8	1.2	1.5	5	7	7	23	28	22
17	17	Everton	19	11	8	0.9	1.6	2	9	8	18	30	15
18	7	Aston Villa	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	6	5	8	18	25	23
19	11	Crystal Palace	19	12	7	1.0	1.4	4	5	10	19	26	17
20	14	West Ham	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	3	12	15	29	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.