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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Brighton 4–1 Crystal Palace

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 1.86
Draw 4.00 fair 4.57
Away 4.75 fair 4.10
Under 2.5 2.08 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Crystal Palace
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 2
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (219 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.96 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawCrystal Palace
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.73scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 38:37
Crystal Palace before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.14scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 25:36
Brighton all matches all matches Crystal Palace

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.14
1.68 Goals conceded 1.64
3.41 Total goals 2.77
14.95 Shots 11.82
6.09 Shots on target 4.14
12.36 Shots faced 12.68
5.18 Corners 4.82
4.05 Corners against 5.00
11.05 Fouls 11.59
2.41 Yellow cards 1.73
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 27%
27% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
91% Over 1.5 goals 77%
64% Over 2.5 goals 55%
55% Over 3.5 goals 36%
27% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
82% Both teams scored 59%
9% Clean sheets 23%
18% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%
23% Draws 55%
41% Losses 27%
86% Over 0.5 goals 59%
41% Over 1.5 goals 27%
23% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Crystal Palace all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.82points / match
2.00scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 22:14
Crystal Palace before this match, away
1.09points / match
1.00scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:20
Brighton at home away Crystal Palace

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.27 Goals conceded 1.82
3.27 Total goals 2.82
17.82 Shots 11.73
7.18 Shots on target 4.18
10.55 Shots faced 13.45
7.64 Corners 4.09
3.36 Corners against 6.09
11.55 Fouls 11.18
1.91 Yellow cards 1.55
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

45% Wins 27%
45% Draws 27%
9% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 55%
55% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
91% Both teams scored 55%
9% Clean sheets 27%
9% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 18%
27% Draws 36%
27% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 27%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Crystal Palace away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
02.01.24 West Ham – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.752.75 1.60 2.30
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
21.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08

Crystal Palace all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.01.24 Crystal Palace – Sheffield United 3–2 (2–2) 1.623.606.50 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08
30.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
21.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.01 1.89
03.12.23 West Ham – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
26.08.23 Brighton – West Ham 1–3 (0–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63

Crystal Palace away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 West Ham – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
04.11.23 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.60 2.20 1.65
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Man United – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.554.205.75 1.80 2.00
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01
26.08.23 Brentford – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.50 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsCrystal Palace wins
5matches
1.80goals / match
0%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.23E0 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91
15.03.23E0 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.93 1.97
11.02.23E0 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.502.00 2.00 1.80
14.01.22E0 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
27.09.21E0 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.202.45 2.30 1.61

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 22 15 6 1 51 19 +32 51
2 Man City 21 14 4 3 51 24 +27 46
3 Arsenal 22 14 4 4 44 21 +23 46
4 Tottenham 23 13 5 5 49 35 +14 44
5 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 44 30 +14 43
6 West Ham 22 10 6 6 36 33 +3 36
7 Man United 22 11 2 9 28 32 -4 35
8 Newcastle 22 10 2 10 44 33 +11 32
9 Brighton 22 8 8 6 38 37 +1 32
10 Chelsea 22 9 4 9 36 35 +1 31
11 Wolves 22 8 5 9 33 35 -2 29
12 Everton 23 8 5 10 26 30 -4 29
13 Bournemouth 21 7 5 9 29 40 -11 26
14 Fulham 22 7 4 11 28 36 -8 25
15 Crystal Palace 22 6 6 10 25 36 -11 24
16 Brentford 21 6 4 11 31 36 -5 22
17 Nott'm Forest 22 5 5 12 27 40 -13 20
18 Luton 21 5 4 12 28 38 -10 19
19 Burnley 22 3 3 16 22 45 -23 12
20 Sheffield United 22 2 4 16 19 54 -35 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 9 2 0 30 9 +21 29
2 Aston Villa 11 9 1 1 30 11 +19 28
3 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 27 10 +17 26
4 Man City 10 7 3 0 27 10 +17 24
5 Newcastle 11 8 0 3 25 10 +15 24
6 Tottenham 11 8 0 3 23 15 +8 24
7 Brighton 11 5 5 1 22 14 +8 20
8 Fulham 11 6 1 4 19 12 +7 19
9 West Ham 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19
10 Man United 11 6 1 4 15 18 -3 19
11 Chelsea 11 5 3 3 18 14 +4 18
12 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18
13 Brentford 11 4 3 4 20 20 0 15
14 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12
15 Nott'm Forest 11 3 3 5 15 17 -2 12
16 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
17 Bournemouth 10 3 3 4 11 16 -5 12
18 Luton 11 3 2 6 17 17 0 11
19 Sheffield United 11 2 2 7 12 26 -14 8
20 Burnley 11 1 1 9 11 25 -14 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 6 4 1 21 10 +11 22
2 Man City 11 7 1 3 24 14 +10 22
3 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20
4 Arsenal 11 6 2 3 17 11 +6 20
5 Everton 11 5 2 4 13 16 -3 17
6 West Ham 11 5 2 4 18 22 -4 17
7 Man United 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 16
8 Aston Villa 11 4 3 4 14 19 -5 15
9 Bournemouth 11 4 2 5 18 24 -6 14
10 Chelsea 11 4 1 6 18 21 -3 13
11 Brighton 11 3 3 5 16 23 -7 12
12 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 11 20 -9 12
13 Wolves 11 3 2 6 14 17 -3 11
14 Newcastle 11 2 2 7 19 23 -4 8
15 Burnley 11 2 2 7 11 20 -9 8
16 Luton 10 2 2 6 11 21 -10 8
17 Nott'm Forest 11 2 2 7 12 23 -11 8
18 Brentford 10 2 1 7 11 16 -5 7
19 Fulham 11 1 3 7 9 24 -15 6
20 Sheffield United 11 0 2 9 7 28 -21 2

Brighton   Crystal Palace

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 23 5 18 2.1 1.5 13 5 5 49 35 44
2 2 Man City 21 6 15 2.4 1.1 14 4 3 51 24 46
3 5 Aston Villa 22 7 15 2.0 1.4 13 4 5 44 30 43
4 8 Newcastle 22 7 15 2.0 1.5 10 2 10 44 33 32
5 11 Wolves 22 7 15 1.5 1.6 8 5 9 33 35 29
6 13 Bournemouth 21 6 15 1.4 1.9 7 5 9 29 40 26
7 16 Brentford 21 6 15 1.5 1.7 6 4 11 31 36 22
8 1 Liverpool 22 8 14 2.3 0.9 15 6 1 51 19 51
9 6 West Ham 22 8 14 1.6 1.5 10 6 6 36 33 36
10 9 Brighton 22 8 14 1.7 1.7 8 8 6 38 37 32
11 18 Luton 21 7 14 1.3 1.8 5 4 12 28 38 19
12 20 Sheffield United 22 8 14 0.9 2.5 2 4 16 19 54 10
13 3 Arsenal 22 9 13 2.0 1.0 14 4 4 44 21 46
14 7 Man United 22 9 13 1.3 1.5 11 2 9 28 32 35
15 10 Chelsea 22 9 13 1.6 1.6 9 4 9 36 35 31
16 17 Nott'm Forest 22 9 13 1.2 1.8 5 5 12 27 40 20
17 12 Everton 23 11 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 10 26 30 29
18 14 Fulham 22 10 12 1.3 1.6 7 4 11 28 36 25
19 15 Crystal Palace 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 6 6 10 25 36 24
20 19 Burnley 22 10 12 1.0 2.0 3 3 16 22 45 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.1 1.4 8 0 3 23 15 24
2 16 Brentford 11 2 9 1.8 1.8 4 3 4 20 20 15
3 1 Liverpool 11 3 8 2.7 0.8 9 2 0 30 9 29
4 3 Arsenal 11 3 8 2.5 0.9 8 2 1 27 10 26
5 5 Aston Villa 11 3 8 2.7 1.0 9 1 1 30 11 28
6 7 Man United 11 3 8 1.4 1.6 6 1 4 15 18 19
7 11 Wolves 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18
8 20 Sheffield United 11 3 8 1.1 2.4 2 2 7 12 26 8
9 8 Newcastle 11 4 7 2.3 0.9 8 0 3 25 10 24
10 9 Brighton 11 4 7 2.0 1.3 5 5 1 22 14 20
11 18 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 2 6 17 17 11
12 2 Man City 10 4 6 2.7 1.0 7 3 0 27 10 24
13 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12
14 13 Bournemouth 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 3 3 4 11 16 12
15 14 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 4 19 12 19
16 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
17 17 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 3 5 15 17 12
18 19 Burnley 11 5 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 9 11 25 4
19 6 West Ham 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19
20 10 Chelsea 11 6 5 1.6 1.3 5 3 3 18 14 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 11 2 9 2.2 1.3 7 1 3 24 14 22
2 4 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20
3 6 West Ham 11 2 9 1.6 2.0 5 2 4 18 22 17
4 13 Bournemouth 11 2 9 1.6 2.2 4 2 5 18 24 14
5 8 Newcastle 11 3 8 1.7 2.1 2 2 7 19 23 8
6 10 Chelsea 11 3 8 1.6 1.9 4 1 6 18 21 13
7 5 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 4 3 4 14 19 15
8 9 Brighton 11 4 7 1.5 2.1 3 3 5 16 23 12
9 11 Wolves 11 4 7 1.3 1.5 3 2 6 14 17 11
10 17 Nott'm Forest 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 2 2 7 12 23 8
11 18 Luton 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 2 2 6 11 21 8
12 1 Liverpool 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 4 1 21 10 22
13 12 Everton 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 5 2 4 13 16 17
14 14 Fulham 11 5 6 0.8 2.2 1 3 7 9 24 6
15 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.0 1.8 3 3 5 11 20 12
16 16 Brentford 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 2 1 7 11 16 7
17 19 Burnley 11 5 6 1.0 1.8 2 2 7 11 20 8
18 20 Sheffield United 11 5 6 0.6 2.5 0 2 9 7 28 2
19 3 Arsenal 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 17 11 20
20 7 Man United 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 5 13 14 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38