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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Brighton 1–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.50 fair 1.68
Draw ✓ 4.75 fair 5.06
Away 6.00 fair 4.84
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.35 fair 3.15
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Burnley
29 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 1
5 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (151 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 2.25 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 8.5% 2–0 7.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.13scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 32:27
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.47points / match
1.00scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:33
Brighton all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 1.00
1.80 Goals conceded 2.20
3.93 Total goals 3.20
14.60 Shots 10.93
6.20 Shots on target 3.47
11.87 Shots faced 13.67
5.60 Corners 5.93
3.87 Corners against 4.73
11.33 Fouls 10.87
2.80 Yellow cards 2.00
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.93 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

47% Wins 13%
27% Draws 7%
27% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 87%
80% Over 2.5 goals 67%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
100% Both teams scored 53%
0% Clean sheets 7%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 20%
13% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
47% Over 1.5 goals 40%
27% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Burnley all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.88points / match
2.13scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:11
Burnley before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.71scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:13
Brighton at home away Burnley

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 0.71
1.38 Goals conceded 1.86
3.50 Total goals 2.57
17.63 Shots 9.14
6.88 Shots on target 3.00
10.38 Shots faced 15.86
7.50 Corners 4.86
3.50 Corners against 5.86
11.75 Fouls 11.29
2.13 Yellow cards 2.57
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

50% Wins 14%
38% Draws 14%
13% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 86%
75% Over 2.5 goals 57%
63% Over 3.5 goals 14%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 57%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
25% Draws 14%
25% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 14%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
04.11.23 Everton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.35
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23 Wolves – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.85
02.12.23 Burnley – Sheffield United 5–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.50 2.06 1.84
25.11.23 Burnley – West Ham 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.05 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.60 2.20 1.65
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
26.08.23 Brighton – West Ham 1–3 (0–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63
12.08.23 Brighton – Luton 4–1 (1–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
24.05.23 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50
21.05.23 Brighton – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.23 Wolves – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.85
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
29.04.23E1 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
25.04.23E1 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
18.04.23E1 Rotherham – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsBurnley wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.22E0 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
14.08.21E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36 15 +21 37
2 Arsenal 15 11 3 1 33 14 +19 36
3 Aston Villa 15 10 2 3 34 20 +14 32
4 Man City 15 9 3 3 36 17 +19 30
5 Tottenham 15 8 3 4 29 22 +7 27
6 Man United 15 9 0 6 18 18 0 27
7 Newcastle 15 8 2 5 32 17 +15 26
8 Brighton 15 7 4 4 32 27 +5 25
9 West Ham 15 7 3 5 26 25 +1 24
10 Everton 15 6 2 7 18 20 -2 20
11 Chelsea 15 5 4 6 26 24 +2 19
12 Brentford 15 5 4 6 23 21 +2 19
13 Fulham 15 5 3 7 21 26 -5 18
14 Wolves 15 5 3 7 20 25 -5 18
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15 23 -8 16
16 Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 18 30 -12 16
17 Nott'm Forest 15 3 4 8 16 27 -11 13
18 Luton 15 2 3 10 16 30 -14 9
19 Burnley 15 2 1 12 15 33 -18 7
20 Sheffield United 15 1 2 12 11 41 -30 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 7 7 0 0 24 5 +19 21
2 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21
3 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21
4 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20
5 Man City 7 5 2 0 20 7 +13 17
6 Brighton 8 4 3 1 17 11 +6 15
7 Man United 8 5 0 3 10 11 -1 15
8 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12
9 Fulham 7 4 0 3 12 9 +3 12
10 Tottenham 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
11 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11
12 Wolves 7 3 2 2 10 12 -2 11
13 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9
14 Chelsea 8 2 3 3 13 13 0 9
15 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
16 Everton 8 2 1 5 8 9 -1 7
17 Luton 7 1 2 4 9 12 -3 5
18 Crystal Palace 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
19 Sheffield United 8 1 1 6 7 21 -14 4
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16
2 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
3 Tottenham 8 4 3 1 18 12 +6 15
4 Man City 8 4 1 3 16 10 +6 13
5 West Ham 8 4 1 3 14 15 -1 13
6 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13
7 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12
8 Crystal Palace 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11
10 Chelsea 7 3 1 3 13 11 +2 10
11 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10
12 Brentford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
13 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7
14 Bournemouth 7 2 1 4 10 18 -8 7
15 Fulham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6
16 Newcastle 7 1 2 4 13 13 0 5
17 Burnley 7 1 1 5 5 13 -8 4
18 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
19 Nott'm Forest 8 1 1 6 6 18 -12 4
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1

Brighton   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 15 3 12 2.1 1.8 7 4 4 32 27 25
2 1 Liverpool 16 5 11 2.2 0.9 11 4 1 36 15 37
3 3 Aston Villa 15 4 11 2.3 1.3 10 2 3 34 20 32
4 5 Tottenham 15 4 11 1.9 1.5 8 3 4 29 22 27
5 9 West Ham 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 7 3 5 26 25 24
6 20 Sheffield United 15 4 11 0.7 2.7 1 2 12 11 41 5
7 2 Arsenal 15 5 10 2.2 0.9 11 3 1 33 14 36
8 4 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 1.1 9 3 3 36 17 30
9 12 Brentford 15 5 10 1.5 1.4 5 4 6 23 21 19
10 14 Wolves 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 5 3 7 20 25 18
11 16 Bournemouth 15 5 10 1.2 2.0 4 4 7 18 30 16
12 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 3 10 16 30 9
13 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.0 2.2 2 1 12 15 33 7
14 7 Newcastle 15 6 9 2.1 1.1 8 2 5 32 17 26
15 11 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.7 1.6 5 4 6 26 24 19
16 6 Man United 15 7 8 1.2 1.2 9 0 6 18 18 27
17 10 Everton 15 7 8 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 20 20
18 13 Fulham 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 5 3 7 21 26 18
19 17 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 16 27 13
20 15 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 4 4 8 15 23 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20
2 1 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21
3 3 Aston Villa 7 1 6 3.4 0.7 7 0 0 24 5 21
4 8 Brighton 8 2 6 2.1 1.4 4 3 1 17 11 15
5 12 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12
6 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3
7 20 Sheffield United 8 2 6 0.9 2.6 1 1 6 7 21 4
8 5 Tottenham 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
9 6 Man United 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 5 0 3 10 11 15
10 14 Wolves 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 2 2 10 12 11
11 4 Man City 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 5 2 0 20 7 17
12 7 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21
13 9 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11
14 10 Everton 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 2 1 5 8 9 7
15 11 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 3 13 13 9
16 13 Fulham 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 3 12 9 12
17 15 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 1 2 5 7 12 5
18 16 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
19 18 Luton 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 2 4 9 12 5
20 17 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 West Ham 8 1 7 1.8 1.9 4 1 3 14 15 13
2 4 Man City 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 4 1 3 16 10 13
3 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 4 3 1 18 12 15
4 8 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10
5 16 Bournemouth 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 2 1 4 10 18 7
6 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
7 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
8 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11
9 7 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.9 1.9 1 2 4 13 13 5
10 11 Chelsea 7 2 5 1.9 1.6 3 1 3 13 11 10
11 14 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7
12 17 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 1 1 6 6 18 4
13 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1
14 10 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13
15 12 Brentford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
16 13 Fulham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6
17 19 Burnley 7 3 4 0.7 1.9 1 1 5 5 13 4
18 2 Arsenal 7 4 3 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16
19 6 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12
20 15 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51