Chelsea 3–2 Brighton – England Premier League, 3 Dec 2023

Match facts

Chelsea Brighton

8 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 9

5 Corners 8

16 Fouls 12

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (135 league matches this season so far).

Result Chelsea to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.46

Expected goals 1.90 – 1.64

Home / Draw / Away

44% 22% 34%

ChelseaDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

31% 69%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

32% 69%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

10% 1

18% 2

22% 3

19% 4

28% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches

1.23points / match

1.69scored / match

1.54conceded / match

4 4 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:20

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

2.15scored / match

1.77conceded / match

6 4 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 28:23

Chelsea all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 2.15

1.54 Goals conceded 1.77

3.23 Total goals 3.92

13.85 Shots 14.08

5.00 Shots on target 5.92

11.38 Shots faced 12.46

5.08 Corners 5.31

4.15 Corners against 3.85

12.23 Fouls 11.38

3.38 Yellow cards 2.62

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.77

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

31% Wins 46%

31% Draws 31%

38% Losses 23%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

77% Over 1.5 goals 100%

54% Over 2.5 goals 77%

46% Over 3.5 goals 69%

31% Over 4.5 goals 31%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

54% Both teams scored 100%

23% Clean sheets 0%

31% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 54%

77% Draws 8%

0% Losses 38%

69% Over 0.5 goals 100%

54% Over 1.5 goals 38%

8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches

1

L

D

1

L

2

W

4

1

W

2

D

2

L

4

1

W

4

D

1

4

L

Brighton all matches

3

1

W

3

1

W

3

1

W

1

6

L

2

D

1

2

L

1

D

1

D

1

D

3

2

W

Chelsea before this match, at home

0.86points / match

1.43scored / match

1.57conceded / match

1 3 3

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:11

Brighton before this match, away

1.67points / match

2.17scored / match

2.17conceded / match

3 1 2

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:13

Chelsea at home away Brighton

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 2.17

1.57 Goals conceded 2.17

3.00 Total goals 4.33

15.00 Shots 10.00

4.86 Shots on target 4.83

11.57 Shots faced 14.50

5.43 Corners 2.67

4.29 Corners against 4.17

10.00 Fouls 10.67

2.71 Yellow cards 3.33

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.67

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

14% Wins 50%

43% Draws 17%

43% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

71% Over 1.5 goals 100%

43% Over 2.5 goals 83%

29% Over 3.5 goals 67%

14% Over 4.5 goals 50%

14% Over 5.5 goals 17%

43% Both teams scored 100%

14% Clean sheets 0%

43% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 50%

71% Draws 0%

0% Losses 50%

57% Over 0.5 goals 100%

29% Over 1.5 goals 50%

14% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home

2

L

2

D

1

D

1

D

3

W

1

L

1

L

2

D

2

L

4

D

Brighton away

1

3

L

3

W

1

4

L

1

2

L

4

1

W

3

1

W

1

6

L

1

2

L

1

D

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23	Newcastle – Chelsea	4–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.50	2.63	1.86	2.04
12.11.23	Chelsea – Man City	4–4 (2–2)	5.00	3.70	1.73	1.88	2.02
06.11.23	Tottenham – Chelsea	1–4 (1–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.70	2.10
28.10.23	Chelsea – Brentford	0–2 (0–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	1.80	2.00
21.10.23	Chelsea – Arsenal	2–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.40	2.25	1.98	1.92
07.10.23	Burnley – Chelsea	1–4 (1–1)	4.50	3.80	1.73	1.85	2.05
02.10.23	Fulham – Chelsea	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.98	1.92
24.09.23	Chelsea – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.73	2.10
17.09.23	Bournemouth – Chelsea	0–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.67	2.20
02.09.23	Chelsea – Nott'm Forest	0–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.50	8.50	1.62	2.30

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	2–3 (1–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.73	2.08
12.11.23	Brighton – Sheffield United	1–1 (1–0)	1.25	5.75	13.00	1.40	2.88
04.11.23	Everton – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.57	2.35
29.10.23	Brighton – Fulham	1–1 (1–0)	1.55	4.20	5.50	1.50	2.50
21.10.23	Man City – Brighton	2–1 (2–0)	1.40	5.25	6.50	1.36	3.10
08.10.23	Brighton – Liverpool	2–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.80	2.20	1.36	3.10
30.09.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	6–1 (3–0)	2.55	3.75	2.55	1.44	2.75
24.09.23	Brighton – Bournemouth	3–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.25	7.50	1.36	3.20
16.09.23	Man United – Brighton	1–3 (0–1)	2.15	4.00	2.88	1.44	2.75
02.09.23	Brighton – Newcastle	3–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.80	2.55	1.50	2.63

Chelsea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.11.23	Chelsea – Man City	4–4 (2–2)	5.00	3.70	1.73	1.88	2.02
28.10.23	Chelsea – Brentford	0–2 (0–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	1.80	2.00
21.10.23	Chelsea – Arsenal	2–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.40	2.25	1.98	1.92
24.09.23	Chelsea – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.73	2.10
02.09.23	Chelsea – Nott'm Forest	0–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.50	8.50	1.62	2.30
25.08.23	Chelsea – Luton	3–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.50	11.00	1.67	2.20
13.08.23	Chelsea – Liverpool	1–1 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.38	1.67	2.20
28.05.23	Chelsea – Newcastle	1–1 (1–1)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.73	2.10
13.05.23	Chelsea – Nott'm Forest	2–2 (0–1)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.86	2.04
26.04.23	Chelsea – Brentford	0–2 (0–1)	1.70	4.00	4.75	2.00	1.90

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.11.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	2–3 (1–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.73	2.08
04.11.23	Everton – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.57	2.35
21.10.23	Man City – Brighton	2–1 (2–0)	1.40	5.25	6.50	1.36	3.10
30.09.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	6–1 (3–0)	2.55	3.75	2.55	1.44	2.75
16.09.23	Man United – Brighton	1–3 (0–1)	2.15	4.00	2.88	1.44	2.75
19.08.23	Wolves – Brighton	1–4 (0–1)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.73	2.10
28.05.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–1 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.53	2.50
18.05.23	Newcastle – Brighton	4–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.80	3.50	1.62	2.30
14.05.23	Arsenal – Brighton	0–3 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.53	2.50
26.04.23	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	3–1 (1–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2

Chelsea winsDrawsBrighton wins

4matches

3.00goals / match

50%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.04.23E0	Chelsea – Brighton	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.94	1.96
29.10.22E0	Brighton – Chelsea	4–1 (3–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.72
18.01.22E0	Brighton – Chelsea	1–1 (0–1)	4.75	3.75	1.72	2.10	1.72
29.12.21E0	Chelsea – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	1.40	4.50	7.50	1.93	1.97

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	14	10	3	1	29	11	+18	33
2	Man City	13	9	2	2	33	13	+20	29
3	Liverpool	13	8	4	1	28	11	+17	28
4	Aston Villa	13	9	1	3	31	18	+13	28
5	Newcastle	14	8	2	4	32	14	+18	26
6	Tottenham	13	8	2	3	25	17	+8	26
7	Man United	14	8	0	6	16	17	-1	24
8	Brighton	13	6	4	3	28	23	+5	22
9	West Ham	13	6	2	5	23	23	0	20
10	Brentford	14	5	4	5	22	19	+3	19
11	Everton	14	5	2	7	15	20	-5	17
12	Chelsea	13	4	4	5	22	20	+2	16
13	Crystal Palace	13	4	3	6	13	18	-5	15
14	Wolves	14	4	3	7	19	25	-6	15
15	Fulham	13	4	3	6	13	22	-9	15
16	Nott'm Forest	14	3	4	7	16	22	-6	13
17	Bournemouth	13	3	3	7	14	28	-14	12
18	Luton	14	2	3	9	13	26	-13	9
19	Burnley	14	2	1	11	15	32	-17	7
20	Sheffield United	14	1	2	11	11	39	-28	5

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle	8	7	0	1	19	4	+15	21
2	Arsenal	8	6	2	0	20	8	+12	20
3	Aston Villa	6	6	0	0	23	5	+18	18
4	Liverpool	6	6	0	0	17	2	+15	18
5	Man City	6	5	1	0	17	4	+13	16
6	Brighton	7	3	3	1	15	10	+5	12
7	Brentford	8	3	3	2	15	12	+3	12
8	Tottenham	6	4	0	2	10	8	+2	12
9	Man United	7	4	0	3	8	10	-2	12
10	West Ham	6	3	1	2	11	9	+2	10
11	Nott'm Forest	7	2	3	2	10	9	+1	9
12	Fulham	6	3	0	3	7	9	-2	9
13	Wolves	6	2	2	2	9	12	-3	8
14	Bournemouth	7	2	2	3	6	10	-4	8
15	Chelsea	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
16	Crystal Palace	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2	5
17	Luton	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2	5
18	Everton	7	1	1	5	5	9	-4	4
19	Sheffield United	7	1	1	5	7	19	-12	4
20	Burnley	8	1	0	7	10	20	-10	3

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	15	9	+6	14
2	Man City	7	4	1	2	16	9	+7	13
3	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	9	3	+6	13
4	Everton	7	4	1	2	10	11	-1	13
5	Man United	7	4	0	3	8	7	+1	12
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	12	9	+3	10
7	Liverpool	7	2	4	1	11	9	+2	10
8	Brighton	6	3	1	2	13	13	0	10
9	West Ham	7	3	1	3	12	14	-2	10
10	Crystal Palace	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3	10
11	Aston Villa	7	3	1	3	8	13	-5	10
12	Brentford	6	2	1	3	7	7	0	7
13	Wolves	8	2	1	5	10	13	-3	7
14	Fulham	7	1	3	3	6	13	-7	6
15	Newcastle	6	1	2	3	13	10	+3	5
16	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4
17	Burnley	6	1	1	4	5	12	-7	4
18	Bournemouth	6	1	1	4	8	18	-10	4
19	Luton	8	1	1	6	7	18	-11	4
20	Sheffield United	7	0	1	6	4	20	-16	1

Chelsea Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Sheffield United	14	3	11	0.8	2.8	1	2	11	11	39	5
2	4	Aston Villa	13	3	10	2.4	1.4	9	1	3	31	18	28
3	8	Brighton	13	3	10	2.2	1.8	6	4	3	28	23	22
4	9	West Ham	13	3	10	1.8	1.8	6	2	5	23	23	20
5	14	Wolves	14	4	10	1.4	1.8	4	3	7	19	25	15
6	19	Burnley	14	4	10	1.1	2.3	2	1	11	15	32	7
7	1	Arsenal	14	5	9	2.1	0.8	10	3	1	29	11	33
8	2	Man City	13	4	9	2.5	1.0	9	2	2	33	13	29
9	3	Liverpool	13	4	9	2.2	0.8	8	4	1	28	11	28
10	6	Tottenham	13	4	9	1.9	1.3	8	2	3	25	17	26
11	10	Brentford	14	5	9	1.6	1.4	5	4	5	22	19	19
12	17	Bournemouth	13	4	9	1.1	2.2	3	3	7	14	28	12
13	18	Luton	14	5	9	0.9	1.9	2	3	9	13	26	9
14	5	Newcastle	14	6	8	2.3	1.0	8	2	4	32	14	26
15	7	Man United	14	7	7	1.1	1.2	8	0	6	16	17	24
16	11	Everton	14	7	7	1.1	1.4	5	2	7	15	20	17
17	12	Chelsea	13	6	7	1.7	1.5	4	4	5	22	20	16
18	16	Nott'm Forest	14	7	7	1.1	1.6	3	4	7	16	22	13
19	13	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	1.0	1.4	4	3	6	13	18	15
20	15	Fulham	13	7	6	1.0	1.7	4	3	6	13	22	15

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Arsenal	8	1	7	2.5	1.0	6	2	0	20	8	20
2	4	Aston Villa	6	0	6	3.8	0.8	6	0	0	23	5	18
3	10	Brentford	8	2	6	1.9	1.5	3	3	2	15	12	12
4	19	Burnley	8	2	6	1.2	2.5	1	0	7	10	20	3
5	20	Sheffield United	7	1	6	1.0	2.7	1	1	5	7	19	4
6	3	Liverpool	6	1	5	2.8	0.3	6	0	0	17	2	18
7	8	Brighton	7	2	5	2.1	1.4	3	3	1	15	10	12
8	14	Wolves	6	1	5	1.5	2.0	2	2	2	9	12	8
9	5	Newcastle	8	4	4	2.4	0.5	7	0	1	19	4	21
10	6	Tottenham	6	2	4	1.7	1.3	4	0	2	10	8	12
11	7	Man United	7	3	4	1.1	1.4	4	0	3	8	10	12
12	9	West Ham	6	2	4	1.8	1.5	3	1	2	11	9	10
13	2	Man City	6	3	3	2.8	0.7	5	1	0	17	4	16
14	11	Everton	7	4	3	0.7	1.3	1	1	5	5	9	4
15	12	Chelsea	7	4	3	1.4	1.6	1	3	3	10	11	6
16	13	Crystal Palace	6	3	3	1.0	1.3	1	2	3	6	8	5
17	15	Fulham	6	3	3	1.2	1.5	3	0	3	7	9	9
18	16	Nott'm Forest	7	4	3	1.4	1.3	2	3	2	10	9	9
19	17	Bournemouth	7	4	3	0.9	1.4	2	2	3	6	10	8
20	18	Luton	6	3	3	1.0	1.3	1	2	3	6	8	5

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Man City	7	1	6	2.3	1.3	4	1	2	16	9	13
2	9	West Ham	7	1	6	1.7	2.0	3	1	3	12	14	10
3	17	Bournemouth	6	0	6	1.3	3.0	1	1	4	8	18	4
4	18	Luton	8	2	6	0.9	2.2	1	1	6	7	18	4
5	6	Tottenham	7	2	5	2.1	1.3	4	2	1	15	9	14
6	8	Brighton	6	1	5	2.2	2.2	3	1	2	13	13	10
7	14	Wolves	8	3	5	1.2	1.6	2	1	5	10	13	7
8	20	Sheffield United	7	2	5	0.6	2.9	0	1	6	4	20	1
9	3	Liverpool	7	3	4	1.6	1.3	2	4	1	11	9	10
10	4	Aston Villa	7	3	4	1.1	1.9	3	1	3	8	13	10
11	5	Newcastle	6	2	4	2.2	1.7	1	2	3	13	10	5
12	11	Everton	7	3	4	1.4	1.6	4	1	2	10	11	13
13	12	Chelsea	6	2	4	2.0	1.5	3	1	2	12	9	10
14	16	Nott'm Forest	7	3	4	0.9	1.9	1	1	5	6	13	4
15	19	Burnley	6	2	4	0.8	2.0	1	1	4	5	12	4
16	7	Man United	7	4	3	1.1	1.0	4	0	3	8	7	12
17	10	Brentford	6	3	3	1.2	1.2	2	1	3	7	7	7
18	13	Crystal Palace	7	4	3	1.0	1.4	3	1	3	7	10	10
19	15	Fulham	7	4	3	0.9	1.9	1	3	3	6	13	6
20	1	Arsenal	6	4	2	1.5	0.5	4	1	1	9	3	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.