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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Brighton 2–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.00 fair 2.84
Draw 3.80 fair 4.22
Away 3.30 fair 2.43
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.52
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Bournemouth
11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
1 Corners 9
12 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (261 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 1–2 8.7% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.62scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:38
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.69scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 44:30
Brighton all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.69
1.46 Goals conceded 1.15
3.08 Total goals 2.85
14.12 Shots 15.77
4.92 Shots on target 5.77
11.04 Shots faced 13.81
5.15 Corners 6.15
5.19 Corners against 5.38
11.92 Fouls 13.27
2.00 Yellow cards 2.58
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

38% Wins 46%
38% Draws 27%
23% Losses 27%
92% Over 0.5 goals 96%
85% Over 1.5 goals 77%
65% Over 2.5 goals 54%
42% Over 3.5 goals 35%
12% Over 4.5 goals 19%
8% Over 5.5 goals 4%
65% Both teams scored 58%
27% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 35%
23% Draws 31%
35% Losses 35%
85% Over 0.5 goals 73%
31% Over 1.5 goals 23%
12% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.42scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:14
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.69points / match
2.08scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:20
Brighton at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 2.08
1.17 Goals conceded 1.54
2.58 Total goals 3.62
16.00 Shots 14.77
4.58 Shots on target 5.62
9.50 Shots faced 15.31
5.67 Corners 6.08
4.42 Corners against 5.46
12.25 Fouls 12.69
2.08 Yellow cards 3.00
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

33% Wins 46%
50% Draws 31%
17% Losses 23%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 92%
58% Over 2.5 goals 77%
33% Over 3.5 goals 54%
8% Over 4.5 goals 31%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
67% Both teams scored 77%
25% Clean sheets 8%
25% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 31%
17% Draws 23%
42% Losses 46%
83% Over 0.5 goals 85%
33% Over 1.5 goals 38%
8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
14.02.25 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
25.01.25 Brighton – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 1.89 1.89
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
04.01.25 Brighton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Bournemouth – Wolves 0–1 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.57 2.38
15.02.25 Southampton – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 6.004.501.50 1.50 2.63
01.02.25 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
25.01.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.85 2.05
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Bournemouth – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.99
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
26.12.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.73 2.10
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.25 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
25.01.25 Brighton – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 1.89 1.89
04.01.25 Brighton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.10
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
15.12.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–3 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.73 2.10
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Southampton – Bournemouth 1–3 (0–2) 6.004.501.50 1.50 2.63
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
08.12.24 Ipswich – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Wolves – Bournemouth 2–4 (1–3) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20
09.11.24 Brentford – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
05.10.24 Leicester – Bournemouth 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.752.15 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsBournemouth wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
28.04.24E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
24.09.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
04.04.23E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
04.02.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 27 19 7 1 64 26 +38 64 WWDWDW
2 Arsenal 26 15 8 3 51 23 +28 53 WDWWWL
3 Nott'm Forest 26 14 5 7 44 33 +11 47 DWLWLL
4 Man City 26 13 5 8 52 37 +15 44 DWWLWL
5 Newcastle 26 13 5 8 46 36 +10 44 WLWLLW
6 Bournemouth 26 12 7 7 44 30 +14 43 DWWLWL
7 Chelsea 26 12 7 7 48 36 +12 43 DWLWLL
8 Aston Villa 27 11 9 7 39 41 -2 42 DDLDDW
9 Brighton 26 10 10 6 42 38 +4 40 WWLLWW
10 Fulham 26 10 9 7 38 35 +3 39 LWLWWL
11 Brentford 26 11 4 11 47 42 +5 37 DLWLWW
12 Tottenham 26 10 3 13 53 38 +15 33 LLLWWW
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 9 9 31 32 -1 33 WWLWLW
14 Everton 26 7 10 9 29 33 -4 31 WWWDWD
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 30 37 -7 30 WLWLLD
16 West Ham 26 8 6 12 30 47 -17 30 WLDLLW
17 Wolves 26 6 4 16 36 54 -18 22 LLLWLW
18 Ipswich 26 3 8 15 24 54 -30 17 LLLLDL
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 25 59 -34 17 LLWLLL
20 Southampton 26 2 3 21 19 61 -42 9 LLLWLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 12 9 2 1 26 10 +16 29 WDWDWW
2 Arsenal 13 8 4 1 27 11 +16 28 DWWDWL
3 Aston Villa 15 7 7 1 25 18 +7 28 DWDDDW
4 Man City 13 8 2 3 28 17 +11 26 LDWWWL
5 Nott'm Forest 12 7 3 2 22 10 +12 24 WWWDWW
6 Newcastle 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23 WWWLLW
7 Brentford 13 7 2 4 29 25 +4 23 WLLDLL
8 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22 WWLDWW
9 Bournemouth 13 6 3 4 17 10 +7 21 DDWWLL
10 Fulham 14 5 5 4 20 21 -1 20 DDDLWL
11 Everton 14 4 6 4 20 17 +3 18 LLWWDD
12 Brighton 12 4 6 2 17 14 +3 18 DLDDLW
13 Tottenham 13 5 2 6 28 23 +5 17 LLDLLW
14 Man United 13 5 1 7 17 22 -5 16 LLLWLL
15 West Ham 13 4 2 7 16 27 -11 14 WDLWLL
16 Crystal Palace 13 2 5 6 12 21 -9 11 DLWDLL
17 Wolves 12 3 1 8 16 24 -8 10 LLWLLW
18 Leicester 14 2 3 9 11 27 -16 9 LLLLLL
19 Ipswich 14 1 4 9 10 30 -20 7 LWLLLL
20 Southampton 13 1 1 11 9 37 -28 4 LLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 15 10 5 0 38 16 +22 35 DWWDDW
2 Arsenal 13 7 4 2 24 12 +12 25 DWWDWW
3 Nott'm Forest 14 7 2 5 22 23 -1 23 WWWLLL
4 Crystal Palace 13 6 4 3 19 11 +8 22 WDWWWW
5 Bournemouth 13 6 4 3 27 20 +7 22 WWDDWW
6 Brighton 14 6 4 4 25 24 +1 22 DDWWLW
7 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 26 21 +5 21 DLDLLL
8 Newcastle 13 6 3 4 22 19 +3 21 LWWWWL
9 Fulham 12 5 4 3 18 14 +4 19 DDWLWW
10 Man City 13 5 3 5 24 20 +4 18 DLWDWL
11 Tottenham 13 5 1 7 25 15 +10 16 WLLLWW
12 West Ham 13 4 4 5 14 20 -6 16 DWLDLW
13 Brentford 13 4 2 7 18 17 +1 14 LDWWWW
14 Man United 13 3 5 5 13 15 -2 14 WLDWLD
15 Aston Villa 12 4 2 6 14 23 -9 14 LLLWDL
16 Everton 12 3 4 5 9 16 -7 13 LDDLWW
17 Wolves 14 3 3 8 20 30 -10 12 WDLLLW
18 Ipswich 12 2 4 6 14 24 -10 10 LWLDLD
19 Leicester 12 2 2 8 14 32 -18 8 LLLLWL
20 Southampton 13 1 2 10 10 24 -14 5 LDLLLW

Brighton   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Man City 26 7 19 2.0 1.4 13 5 8 52 37 44 OOOOOU
2 17 Wolves 26 7 19 1.4 2.1 6 4 16 36 54 22 OOUUOU
3 8 Aston Villa 27 9 18 1.4 1.5 11 9 7 39 41 42 OUUUOO
4 11 Brentford 26 8 18 1.8 1.6 11 4 11 47 42 37 OUOUUO
5 12 Tottenham 26 8 18 2.0 1.5 10 3 13 53 38 33 OOOUUO
6 19 Leicester 26 8 18 1.0 2.3 4 5 17 25 59 17 UUOOUO
7 1 Liverpool 27 10 17 2.4 1.0 19 7 1 64 26 64 OUOOOU
8 5 Newcastle 26 9 17 1.8 1.4 13 5 8 46 36 44 OOOOOO
9 7 Chelsea 26 9 17 1.8 1.4 12 7 7 48 36 43 OOOOOO
10 9 Brighton 26 9 17 1.6 1.5 10 10 6 42 38 40 UOUOOO
11 20 Southampton 26 10 16 0.7 2.3 2 3 21 19 61 9 OOOOOO
12 15 Man United 26 11 15 1.2 1.4 8 6 12 30 37 30 OOUUUO
13 3 Nott'm Forest 26 12 14 1.7 1.3 14 5 7 44 33 47 UOOOOO
14 6 Bournemouth 26 12 14 1.7 1.2 12 7 7 44 30 43 OOOUOU
15 10 Fulham 26 12 14 1.5 1.3 10 9 7 38 35 39 OUUOOU
16 16 West Ham 26 12 14 1.2 1.8 8 6 12 30 47 30 OUUOUU
17 18 Ipswich 26 13 13 0.9 2.1 3 8 15 24 54 17 UOOOUO
18 14 Everton 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 7 10 9 29 33 31 OUOOOO
19 2 Arsenal 26 15 11 2.0 0.9 15 8 3 51 23 53 OOUOUU
20 13 Crystal Palace 26 15 11 1.2 1.2 8 9 9 31 32 33 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Man City 13 3 10 2.2 1.3 8 2 3 28 17 26 OUOOOU
2 12 Tottenham 13 3 10 2.2 1.8 5 2 6 28 23 17 OOOOOU
3 8 Aston Villa 15 6 9 1.7 1.2 7 7 1 25 18 28 OOUUOO
4 10 Fulham 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 5 5 4 20 21 20 UOOUOU
5 11 Brentford 13 4 9 2.2 1.9 7 2 4 29 25 23 OUOOUU
6 15 Man United 13 4 9 1.3 1.7 5 1 7 17 22 16 OOUOOU
7 16 West Ham 13 4 9 1.2 2.1 4 2 7 16 27 14 OUOOUU
8 20 Southampton 13 4 9 0.7 2.8 1 1 11 9 37 4 OUOOOO
9 1 Liverpool 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 9 2 1 26 10 29 UOOOOO
10 5 Newcastle 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23 OOOOOO
11 7 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22 OOOOOO
12 14 Everton 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 4 6 4 20 17 18 UUOOOO
13 17 Wolves 12 4 8 1.3 2.0 3 1 8 16 24 10 OOUOUU
14 2 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 8 4 1 27 11 28 UUOOOU
15 9 Brighton 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 2 17 14 18 UOUUUO
16 19 Leicester 14 7 7 0.8 1.9 2 3 9 11 27 9 OUUUUO
17 13 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 0.9 1.6 2 5 6 12 21 11 OOOUOO
18 18 Ipswich 14 8 6 0.7 2.1 1 4 9 10 30 7 OUUOOO
19 3 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 1.8 0.8 7 3 2 22 10 24 UOUUOO
20 6 Bournemouth 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 3 4 17 10 21 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Wolves 14 3 11 1.4 2.1 3 3 8 20 30 12 OOOOOU
2 19 Leicester 12 1 11 1.2 2.7 2 2 8 14 32 8 OOOOOO
3 6 Bournemouth 13 3 10 2.1 1.5 6 4 3 27 20 22 OOOOOO
4 9 Brighton 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 6 4 4 25 24 22 UOUOOO
5 1 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.5 1.1 10 5 0 38 16 35 UUUOOU
6 3 Nott'm Forest 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 7 2 5 22 23 23 UUOOOO
7 4 Man City 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 5 24 20 18 OOUOOO
8 5 Newcastle 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 3 4 22 19 21 OOUOOO
9 7 Chelsea 14 5 9 1.9 1.5 6 3 5 26 21 21 UUUOOO
10 8 Aston Villa 12 3 9 1.2 1.9 4 2 6 14 23 14 OOOUOU
11 11 Brentford 13 4 9 1.4 1.3 4 2 7 18 17 14 OUOOUO
12 12 Tottenham 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 5 1 7 25 15 16 OUOOUO
13 18 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.2 2.0 2 4 6 14 24 10 UOUOOU
14 20 Southampton 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 2 10 10 24 5 UUOOOO
15 15 Man United 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 3 5 5 13 15 14 OUOUUO
16 10 Fulham 12 7 5 1.5 1.2 5 4 3 18 14 19 UOOOUO
17 13 Crystal Palace 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 19 11 22 OUUUUU
18 16 West Ham 13 8 5 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 20 16 UUOUOU
19 2 Arsenal 13 9 4 1.8 0.9 7 4 2 24 12 25 UOOUUU
20 14 Everton 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 4 5 9 16 13 OUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47