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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Brighton 1–3 Crystal Palace

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.85 fair 2.09
Draw 3.80 fair 4.19
Away ✓ 3.90 fair 3.54
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.31
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Crystal Palace
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 5
11 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (154 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawCrystal Palace
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.67scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:22
Crystal Palace before this match, all matches
0.87points / match
0.93scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:20
Brighton all matches all matches Crystal Palace

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.93
1.47 Goals conceded 1.33
3.13 Total goals 2.27
14.40 Shots 14.13
4.73 Shots on target 4.67
12.00 Shots faced 12.40
5.20 Corners 5.20
5.20 Corners against 6.20
11.40 Fouls 10.67
2.13 Yellow cards 2.40
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

40% Wins 13%
40% Draws 47%
20% Losses 40%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 67%
73% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 53%
20% Clean sheets 20%
7% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 20%
7% Draws 47%
33% Losses 33%
93% Over 0.5 goals 60%
20% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Crystal Palace all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.71scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 12:9
Crystal Palace before this match, away
0.86points / match
1.14scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:10
Brighton at home away Crystal Palace

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.14
1.29 Goals conceded 1.43
3.00 Total goals 2.57
15.86 Shots 15.00
4.71 Shots on target 5.29
10.43 Shots faced 12.43
6.00 Corners 5.71
4.29 Corners against 5.14
13.29 Fouls 12.00
2.57 Yellow cards 2.71
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%
57% Draws 43%
0% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 57%
43% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
86% Both teams scored 71%
14% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 29%
14% Draws 43%
29% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 14%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Crystal Palace away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63

Crystal Palace all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.201.57 1.62 2.30
03.12.24 Ipswich – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.402.35 2.01 1.89
30.11.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.80 2.00
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Crystal Palace – Fulham 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.502.55 1.95 1.95
02.11.24 Wolves – Crystal Palace 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.402.88 1.90 2.00
27.10.24 Crystal Palace – Tottenham 1–0 (1–0) 3.904.001.83 1.57 2.38
21.10.24 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.10 1.73
05.10.24 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Everton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.63 1.88 2.02

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
19.05.24 Brighton – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 2.154.002.90 1.33 3.40
15.05.24 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00
05.05.24 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63

Crystal Palace away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.24 Ipswich – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.402.35 2.01 1.89
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Wolves – Crystal Palace 2–2 (0–0) 2.503.402.88 1.90 2.00
21.10.24 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.503.00 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Everton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.63 1.88 2.02
01.09.24 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.50 2.63
18.08.24 Brentford – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
11.05.24 Wolves – Crystal Palace 1–3 (0–2) 2.883.502.38 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Fulham – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
14.04.24 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.40 3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsCrystal Palace wins
6matches
2.33goals / match
17%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.02.24E0 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
21.12.23E0 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91
15.03.23E0 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.93 1.97
11.02.23E0 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.502.00 2.00 1.80
14.01.22E0 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
27.09.21E0 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.202.45 2.30 1.61

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 15 11 3 1 31 13 +18 36
2 Chelsea 15 9 4 2 35 18 +17 31
3 Arsenal 16 8 6 2 29 15 +14 30
4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 4 4 21 19 +2 28
5 Man City 15 8 3 4 27 21 +6 27
6 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 24 25 -1 25
7 Brighton 15 6 6 3 25 22 +3 24
8 Bournemouth 15 7 3 5 23 20 +3 24
9 Fulham 16 6 6 4 24 22 +2 24
10 Brentford 15 7 2 6 31 28 +3 23
11 Newcastle 16 6 5 5 23 21 +2 23
12 Tottenham 15 6 2 7 31 19 +12 20
13 Man United 15 5 4 6 19 18 +1 19
14 West Ham 15 5 3 7 20 28 -8 18
15 Everton 15 3 6 6 14 21 -7 15
16 Leicester 16 3 5 8 21 34 -13 14
17 Crystal Palace 15 2 7 6 14 20 -6 13
18 Ipswich 16 2 6 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Wolves 16 2 3 11 24 40 -16 9
20 Southampton 15 1 2 12 11 31 -20 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 8 7 1 0 26 14 +12 22
2 Liverpool 8 6 1 1 15 5 +10 19
3 Arsenal 8 5 3 0 17 6 +11 18
4 Man City 7 5 1 1 15 10 +5 16
5 Aston Villa 8 4 3 1 13 9 +4 15
6 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 12 8 +4 14
7 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
8 Fulham 8 4 2 2 14 13 +1 14
9 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 20 11 +9 13
10 Bournemouth 7 4 1 2 10 6 +4 13
11 Brighton 7 3 4 0 12 9 +3 13
12 Man United 8 4 1 3 13 11 +2 13
13 Chelsea 7 3 3 1 12 8 +4 12
14 West Ham 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
15 Everton 7 2 3 2 9 8 +1 9
16 Leicester 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
17 Crystal Palace 8 1 4 3 6 10 -4 7
18 Ipswich 8 0 4 4 6 12 -6 4
19 Wolves 8 1 1 6 12 20 -8 4
20 Southampton 7 1 1 5 7 16 -9 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 8 6 1 1 23 10 +13 19
2 Liverpool 7 5 2 0 16 8 +8 17
3 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 11 12 -1 14
4 Arsenal 8 3 3 2 12 9 +3 12
5 Man City 8 3 2 3 12 11 +1 11
6 Brighton 8 3 2 3 13 13 0 11
7 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11
8 Fulham 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10
9 Aston Villa 8 3 1 4 11 16 -5 10
10 Newcastle 8 2 3 3 11 13 -2 9
11 West Ham 7 2 2 3 8 12 -4 8
12 Ipswich 8 2 2 4 10 16 -6 8
13 Tottenham 7 2 1 4 11 8 +3 7
14 Man United 7 1 3 3 6 7 -1 6
15 Crystal Palace 7 1 3 3 8 10 -2 6
16 Everton 8 1 3 4 5 13 -8 6
17 Wolves 8 1 2 5 12 20 -8 5
18 Leicester 8 1 2 5 10 22 -12 5
19 Brentford 7 0 1 6 5 14 -9 1
20 Southampton 8 0 1 7 4 15 -11 1

Brighton   Crystal Palace

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Wolves 16 3 13 1.5 2.5 2 3 11 24 40 9
2 10 Brentford 15 3 12 2.1 1.9 7 2 6 31 28 23
3 16 Leicester 16 4 12 1.3 2.1 3 5 8 21 34 14
4 5 Man City 15 4 11 1.8 1.4 8 3 4 27 21 27
5 6 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.5 1.6 7 4 5 24 25 25
6 7 Brighton 15 4 11 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 25 22 24
7 12 Tottenham 15 5 10 2.1 1.3 6 2 7 31 19 20
8 14 West Ham 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 3 7 20 28 18
9 1 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.1 0.9 11 3 1 31 13 36
10 2 Chelsea 15 6 9 2.3 1.2 9 4 2 35 18 31
11 13 Man United 15 6 9 1.3 1.2 5 4 6 19 18 19
12 4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 8 4 4 21 19 28
13 8 Bournemouth 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 7 3 5 23 20 24
14 9 Fulham 16 8 8 1.5 1.4 6 6 4 24 22 24
15 11 Newcastle 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 5 23 21 23
16 15 Everton 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 3 6 6 14 21 15
17 18 Ipswich 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 2 6 8 16 28 12
18 20 Southampton 15 8 7 0.7 2.1 1 2 12 11 31 5
19 3 Arsenal 16 10 6 1.8 0.9 8 6 2 29 15 30
20 17 Crystal Palace 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 2 7 6 14 20 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Brentford 8 1 7 3.2 1.8 7 1 0 26 14 22
2 14 West Ham 8 1 7 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
3 19 Wolves 8 1 7 1.5 2.5 1 1 6 12 20 4
4 5 Man City 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 5 1 1 15 10 16
5 9 Fulham 8 2 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 2 14 13 14
6 12 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.5 1.4 4 1 3 20 11 13
7 13 Man United 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 4 1 3 13 11 13
8 7 Brighton 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 3 4 0 12 9 13
9 16 Leicester 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
10 1 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.9 0.6 6 1 1 15 5 19
11 3 Arsenal 8 4 4 2.1 0.8 5 3 0 17 6 18
12 6 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 3 1 13 9 15
13 15 Everton 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 2 3 2 9 8 9
14 20 Southampton 7 3 4 1.0 2.3 1 1 5 7 16 4
15 2 Chelsea 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 3 3 1 12 8 12
16 4 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
17 8 Bournemouth 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 1 2 10 6 13
18 11 Newcastle 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 4 2 2 12 8 14
19 17 Crystal Palace 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 1 4 3 6 10 7
20 18 Ipswich 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 0 4 4 6 12 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Aston Villa 8 1 7 1.4 2.0 3 1 4 11 16 10
2 16 Leicester 8 1 7 1.2 2.8 1 2 5 10 22 5
3 2 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.9 1.2 6 1 1 23 10 19
4 7 Brighton 8 2 6 1.6 1.6 3 2 3 13 13 11
5 19 Wolves 8 2 6 1.5 2.5 1 2 5 12 20 5
6 1 Liverpool 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 5 2 0 16 8 17
7 4 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 4 2 2 11 12 14
8 5 Man City 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 3 12 11 11
9 8 Bournemouth 8 3 5 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11
10 10 Brentford 7 2 5 0.7 2.0 0 1 6 5 14 1
11 11 Newcastle 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 2 3 3 11 13 9
12 18 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.2 2.0 2 2 4 10 16 8
13 12 Tottenham 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 2 1 4 11 8 7
14 17 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 1 3 3 8 10 6
15 13 Man United 7 4 3 0.9 1.0 1 3 3 6 7 6
16 14 West Ham 7 4 3 1.1 1.7 2 2 3 8 12 8
17 15 Everton 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 3 4 5 13 6
18 20 Southampton 8 5 3 0.5 1.9 0 1 7 4 15 1
19 3 Arsenal 8 6 2 1.5 1.1 3 3 2 12 9 12
20 9 Fulham 8 6 2 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51