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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Nott'm Forest 3–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.31
Draw 3.25 fair 4.01
Away 3.30 fair 3.15
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Leeds
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (105 league matches this season so far).
Result Nott'm Forest to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
Nott'm ForestDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.2% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.70scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:19
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.90scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:17
Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

0.70 Goals scored 0.90
1.90 Goals conceded 1.70
2.60 Total goals 2.60
11.70 Shots 12.20
3.70 Shots on target 3.50
13.50 Shots faced 10.20
5.10 Corners 4.30
5.00 Corners against 3.00
11.00 Fouls 9.90
1.80 Yellow cards 1.50
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

10% Wins 30%
30% Draws 20%
60% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 70%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
0% Clean sheets 20%
60% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 20%
40% Draws 50%
50% Losses 30%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 50%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches
Leeds all matches
Nott'm Forest before this match, at home
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:10
Leeds before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:12
Nott'm Forest at home away Leeds

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.60
2.00 Goals conceded 2.40
3.00 Total goals 3.00
14.60 Shots 8.60
3.80 Shots on target 2.80
13.60 Shots faced 11.40
6.80 Corners 3.40
4.60 Corners against 2.80
11.00 Fouls 9.80
1.60 Yellow cards 1.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
20% Draws 0%
60% Losses 80%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
40% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 20%
0% Clean sheets 0%
60% Failed to score 80%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
60% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.88 1.98
18.10.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 3.703.801.95 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Nott'm Forest – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.50 2.00 1.85
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
13.09.25 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 0–3 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.98 1.88
24.08.25 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
17.08.25 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.50 2.00 1.85

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73

Nott'm Forest at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 3.303.752.05 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 3.703.801.95 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Nott'm Forest – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.50 2.00 1.85
31.08.25 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 0–3 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.98 1.88
17.08.25 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.50 2.00 1.85
25.05.25 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.20
11.05.25 Nott'm Forest – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
01.05.25 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.80 2.00
12.04.25 Nott'm Forest – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.70 2.20 1.67
01.04.25 Nott'm Forest – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.95

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
03.05.25E1 Plymouth – Leeds 1–2 (1–0) 9.506.251.25 1.50 2.63
18.04.25E1 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
08.04.25E1 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25E1 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
15.03.25E1 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsLeeds wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.23E0 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
05.02.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 1.94 1.96

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 +15 26
2 Chelsea 11 6 2 3 21 11 +10 20
3 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 +12 19
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 14 10 +4 19
5 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 +9 18
6 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 +4 18
7 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 +3 18
8 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 +5 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 +2 15
11 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
12 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
13 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
14 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 14 22 -8 10
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 13 23 -10 10
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6
20 Wolves 11 0 2 9 7 25 -18 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13
2 Bournemouth 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13
3 Man City 5 4 0 1 13 4 +9 12
4 Sunderland 6 3 3 0 11 5 +6 12
5 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12
6 Liverpool 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
7 Brighton 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
8 Everton 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
9 Fulham 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10
10 Brentford 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
11 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
12 Aston Villa 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10
13 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9
14 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
15 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
16 Burnley 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7
17 West Ham 6 2 0 4 8 15 -7 6
18 Tottenham 6 1 2 3 7 7 0 5
19 Nott'm Forest 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
20 Wolves 5 0 1 4 6 14 -8 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13
2 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
3 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 12 5 +7 10
4 Man City 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
6 Sunderland 5 2 1 2 3 5 -2 7
7 Liverpool 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
8 Man United 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6
9 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
10 Bournemouth 5 1 2 2 9 12 -3 5
11 Brighton 5 1 1 3 7 10 -3 4
12 Everton 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
13 West Ham 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
14 Newcastle 5 0 3 2 2 5 -3 3
15 Brentford 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3
16 Burnley 6 1 0 5 9 18 -9 3
17 Leeds 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3
18 Nott'm Forest 5 0 2 3 2 9 -7 2
19 Fulham 6 0 1 5 4 13 -9 1
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 1 11 -10 1

Nott'm Forest   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Chelsea 11 3 8 1.9 1.0 6 2 3 21 11 20
2 8 Man United 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18
3 18 West Ham 11 3 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 7 13 23 10
4 5 Tottenham 11 4 7 1.7 0.9 5 3 3 19 10 18
5 6 Liverpool 10 3 7 1.8 1.4 6 0 4 18 14 18
6 10 Brighton 10 3 7 1.7 1.5 4 3 3 17 15 15
7 7 Bournemouth 10 4 6 1.7 1.4 5 3 2 17 14 18
8 13 Brentford 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 1 5 14 16 13
9 16 Leeds 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11
10 17 Burnley 11 5 6 1.3 2.0 3 1 7 14 22 10
11 20 Wolves 11 5 6 0.6 2.3 0 2 9 7 25 2
12 3 Man City 10 5 5 2.0 0.8 6 1 3 20 8 19
13 9 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 4 2 14 9 16
14 14 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12
15 15 Fulham 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11
16 19 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 1 3 6 7 19 6
17 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.5 8 2 1 20 5 26
18 4 Sunderland 11 7 4 1.3 0.9 5 4 2 14 10 19
19 11 Everton 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 4 12 13 15
20 12 Aston Villa 10 6 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 3 9 10 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 0 4 8 15 6
2 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
3 10 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
4 19 Nott'm Forest 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
5 20 Wolves 5 1 4 1.2 2.8 0 1 4 6 14 1
6 3 Man City 5 2 3 2.6 0.8 4 0 1 13 4 12
7 4 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 3 0 11 5 12
8 5 Tottenham 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 3 7 7 5
9 6 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
10 8 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12
11 12 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10
12 13 Brentford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
13 14 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
14 16 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
15 1 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13
16 7 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13
17 9 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9
18 11 Everton 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
19 15 Fulham 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10
20 17 Burnley 5 5 0 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Burnley 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 0 5 9 18 3
2 8 Man United 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6
3 2 Chelsea 5 1 4 2.4 1.0 3 1 1 12 5 10
4 5 Tottenham 5 1 4 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13
5 6 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
6 7 Bournemouth 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 1 2 2 9 12 5
7 9 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
8 10 Brighton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 1 3 7 10 4
9 13 Brentford 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3
10 15 Fulham 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 1 5 4 13 1
11 16 Leeds 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3
12 18 West Ham 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
13 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
14 3 Man City 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7
15 11 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
16 14 Newcastle 5 3 2 0.4 1.0 0 3 2 2 5 3
17 20 Wolves 6 4 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 5 1 11 1
18 4 Sunderland 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 2 3 5 7
19 12 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
20 19 Nott'm Forest 5 4 1 0.4 1.8 0 2 3 2 9 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40