Middlesbrough 0–1 Leeds – England Championship, 8 Apr 2025

Match facts

Middlesbrough Leeds

17 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

11 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (488 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.43

Home / Draw / Away

32% 26% 42%

MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 0–1 10.1% 1–2 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.50points / match

1.53scored / match

1.23conceded / match

17 9 14

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 61:49

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.05points / match

1.98scored / match

0.70conceded / match

23 13 4

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 79:28

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.98

1.23 Goals conceded 0.70

2.75 Total goals 2.68

14.05 Shots 16.45

4.68 Shots on target 5.58

10.40 Shots faced 6.65

5.13 Corners 7.25

5.00 Corners against 3.05

9.43 Fouls 10.75

1.45 Yellow cards 1.53

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.83

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

43% Wins 57%

23% Draws 33%

35% Losses 10%

95% Over 0.5 goals 93%

68% Over 1.5 goals 80%

48% Over 2.5 goals 43%

30% Over 3.5 goals 28%

18% Over 4.5 goals 10%

13% Over 5.5 goals 10%

53% Both teams scored 38%

30% Clean sheets 53%

23% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 45%

38% Draws 28%

28% Losses 28%

78% Over 0.5 goals 80%

38% Over 1.5 goals 33%

10% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

1

3

L

1

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

W

Leeds all matches

2

W

4

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

2

W

2

D

2

D

1

D

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

1.75points / match

1.45scored / match

1.05conceded / match

10 5 5

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 29:21

Leeds before this match, away

1.65points / match

1.50scored / match

0.85conceded / match

8 9 3

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 30:17

Middlesbrough at home away Leeds

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.50

1.05 Goals conceded 0.85

2.50 Total goals 2.35

15.50 Shots 14.55

4.60 Shots on target 4.90

9.05 Shots faced 7.80

5.70 Corners 6.05

4.35 Corners against 3.50

9.20 Fouls 10.85

1.25 Yellow cards 1.70

0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 40%

25% Draws 45%

25% Losses 15%

95% Over 0.5 goals 85%

65% Over 1.5 goals 65%

40% Over 2.5 goals 30%

25% Over 3.5 goals 30%

15% Over 4.5 goals 10%

10% Over 5.5 goals 10%

45% Both teams scored 40%

35% Clean sheets 45%

25% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 25%

35% Draws 35%

25% Losses 40%

80% Over 0.5 goals 75%

40% Over 1.5 goals 30%

10% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

1

W

3

D

1

D

2

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

Leeds away

2

W

1

W

3

D

2

W

4

W

3

1

W

1

L

2

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.04.25	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–2)	2.80	3.40	2.40	1.98	1.88
29.03.25	Middlesbrough – Oxford	2–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.88	1.98
15.03.25	Luton – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.95	1.90
11.03.25	Middlesbrough – QPR	2–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.33	2.03	1.83
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
25.02.25	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.35	1.93	1.93
21.02.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Luton – Leeds	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	4.10	1.60	2.00	1.85
29.03.25	Leeds – Swansea	2–2 (1–0)	1.22	6.00	12.00	1.73	2.10
15.03.25	QPR – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.50	2.00	1.85
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
09.03.25	Portsmouth – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.73	2.10
01.03.25	Leeds – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.36	4.50	9.00	1.80	2.00
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
17.02.25	Leeds – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.03.25	Middlesbrough – Oxford	2–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.88	1.98
11.03.25	Middlesbrough – QPR	2–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.33	2.03	1.83
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	3–3 (3–0)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
14.12.24	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	4.75	2.10	1.73

Leeds away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.04.25	Luton – Leeds	1–1 (1–1)	5.25	4.10	1.60	2.00	1.85
15.03.25	QPR – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.50	2.00	1.85
09.03.25	Portsmouth – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	7.50	4.50	1.40	1.73	2.10
24.02.25	Sheffield United – Leeds	1–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.85	2.05	1.80
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Hull – Leeds	3–3 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.55	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Middlesbrough winsDrawsLeeds wins

3matches

5.33goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.12.24E1	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.75	1.93	1.93
22.04.24E1	Middlesbrough – Leeds	3–4 (2–3)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.73	2.10
02.12.23E1	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–2 (3–2)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.62	2.25

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	41	23	16	2	55	12	+43	85
2	Sheffield United	41	26	7	8	56	31	+25	85
3	Leeds	40	23	13	4	79	28	+51	82
4	Sunderland	41	21	13	7	57	37	+20	76
5	Bristol City	41	16	15	10	53	44	+9	63
6	Middlesbrough	40	17	9	14	61	49	+12	60
7	Coventry	40	17	8	15	57	53	+4	59
8	West Brom	41	13	18	10	49	38	+11	57
9	Millwall	41	15	12	14	40	41	-1	57
10	Watford	41	16	8	17	49	53	-4	56
11	Norwich	41	13	14	14	62	56	+6	53
12	Blackburn	41	15	8	18	44	45	-1	53
13	Sheffield Weds	41	14	11	16	56	63	-7	53
14	Preston	41	10	19	12	42	49	-7	49
15	Swansea	40	13	9	18	41	51	-10	48
16	QPR	40	11	13	16	45	53	-8	46
17	Portsmouth	40	12	9	19	48	63	-15	45
18	Oxford	40	11	12	17	41	57	-16	45
19	Hull	41	11	11	19	40	49	-9	44
20	Stoke	41	10	14	17	42	54	-12	44
21	Derby	41	11	9	21	42	52	-10	42
22	Cardiff	41	9	15	17	45	65	-20	42
23	Luton	41	10	10	21	37	62	-25	40
24	Plymouth	40	8	13	19	42	78	-36	37

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	20	15	4	1	49	11	+38	49
2	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	30	16	+14	45
3	Sunderland	20	12	7	1	32	15	+17	43
4	Burnley	20	11	9	0	28	5	+23	42
5	Bristol City	21	12	6	3	32	17	+15	42
6	Watford	21	12	3	6	25	19	+6	39
7	Coventry	20	11	3	6	35	24	+11	36
8	Norwich	21	9	8	4	45	27	+18	35
9	West Brom	20	9	8	3	25	13	+12	35
10	Portsmouth	20	10	5	5	29	18	+11	35
11	Middlesbrough	20	10	5	5	29	21	+8	35
12	Oxford	20	10	5	5	28	25	+3	35
13	Blackburn	21	10	4	7	28	21	+7	34
14	Preston	21	7	12	2	24	18	+6	33
15	Derby	21	9	4	8	25	17	+8	31
16	Millwall	20	9	4	7	22	18	+4	31
17	Stoke	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
18	Swansea	20	8	5	7	26	21	+5	29
19	QPR	20	7	7	6	29	26	+3	28
20	Luton	20	7	7	6	21	20	+1	28
21	Plymouth	20	7	7	6	34	35	-1	28
22	Cardiff	20	7	4	9	23	25	-2	25
23	Sheffield Weds	20	5	7	8	27	29	-2	22
24	Hull	20	4	7	9	21	25	-4	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	12	7	2	27	7	+20	43
2	Sheffield United	20	12	4	4	26	15	+11	40
3	Leeds	20	8	9	3	30	17	+13	33
4	Sunderland	21	9	6	6	25	22	+3	33
5	Sheffield Weds	21	9	4	8	29	34	-5	31
6	Millwall	21	6	8	7	18	23	-5	26
7	Middlesbrough	20	7	4	9	32	28	+4	25
8	Hull	21	7	4	10	19	24	-5	25
9	Coventry	20	6	5	9	22	29	-7	23
10	West Brom	21	4	10	7	24	25	-1	22
11	Bristol City	20	4	9	7	21	27	-6	21
12	Blackburn	20	5	4	11	16	24	-8	19
13	Swansea	20	5	4	11	15	30	-15	19
14	QPR	20	4	6	10	16	27	-11	18
15	Norwich	20	4	6	10	17	29	-12	18
16	Watford	20	4	5	11	24	34	-10	17
17	Cardiff	21	2	11	8	22	40	-18	17
18	Preston	20	3	7	10	18	31	-13	16
19	Stoke	20	3	5	12	15	31	-16	14
20	Luton	21	3	3	15	16	42	-26	12
21	Derby	20	2	5	13	17	35	-18	11
22	Oxford	20	1	7	12	13	32	-19	10
23	Portsmouth	20	2	4	14	19	45	-26	10
24	Plymouth	20	1	6	13	8	43	-35	9

Middlesbrough Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	40	14	26	1.2	1.6	12	9	19	48	63	45
2	7	Coventry	40	17	23	1.4	1.3	17	8	15	57	53	59
3	10	Watford	41	18	23	1.2	1.3	16	8	17	49	53	56
4	13	Sheffield Weds	41	18	23	1.4	1.5	14	11	16	56	63	53
5	24	Plymouth	40	18	22	1.1	1.9	8	13	19	42	78	37
6	11	Norwich	41	21	20	1.5	1.4	13	14	14	62	56	53
7	16	QPR	40	20	20	1.1	1.3	11	13	16	45	53	46
8	4	Sunderland	41	22	19	1.4	0.9	21	13	7	57	37	76
9	6	Middlesbrough	40	21	19	1.5	1.2	17	9	14	61	49	60
10	22	Cardiff	41	22	19	1.1	1.6	9	15	17	45	65	42
11	15	Swansea	40	22	18	1.0	1.3	13	9	18	41	51	48
12	23	Luton	41	23	18	0.9	1.5	10	10	21	37	62	40
13	3	Leeds	40	23	17	2.0	0.7	23	13	4	79	28	82
14	5	Bristol City	41	24	17	1.3	1.1	16	15	10	53	44	63
15	14	Preston	41	24	17	1.0	1.2	10	19	12	42	49	49
16	12	Blackburn	41	25	16	1.1	1.1	15	8	18	44	45	53
17	20	Stoke	41	25	16	1.0	1.3	10	14	17	42	54	44
18	21	Derby	41	25	16	1.0	1.3	11	9	21	42	52	42
19	18	Oxford	40	25	15	1.0	1.4	11	12	17	41	57	45
20	2	Sheffield United	41	27	14	1.4	0.8	26	7	8	56	31	85
21	8	West Brom	41	27	14	1.2	0.9	13	18	10	49	38	57
22	19	Hull	41	28	13	1.0	1.2	11	11	19	40	49	44
23	9	Millwall	41	30	11	1.0	1.0	15	12	14	40	41	57
24	1	Burnley	41	31	10	1.3	0.3	23	16	2	55	12	85

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Coventry	20	5	15	1.8	1.2	11	3	6	35	24	36
2	24	Plymouth	20	6	14	1.7	1.8	7	7	6	34	35	28
3	11	Norwich	21	9	12	2.1	1.3	9	8	4	45	27	35
4	16	QPR	20	8	12	1.4	1.3	7	7	6	29	26	28
5	17	Portsmouth	20	8	12	1.4	0.9	10	5	5	29	18	35
6	3	Leeds	20	9	11	2.5	0.6	15	4	1	49	11	49
7	10	Watford	21	10	11	1.2	0.9	12	3	6	25	19	39
8	5	Bristol City	21	11	10	1.5	0.8	12	6	3	32	17	42
9	4	Sunderland	20	11	9	1.6	0.8	12	7	1	32	15	43
10	20	Stoke	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
11	6	Middlesbrough	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	10	5	5	29	21	35
12	12	Blackburn	21	13	8	1.3	1.0	10	4	7	28	21	34
13	13	Sheffield Weds	20	12	8	1.4	1.4	5	7	8	27	29	22
14	15	Swansea	20	12	8	1.3	1.1	8	5	7	26	21	29
15	23	Luton	20	12	8	1.1	1.0	7	7	6	21	20	28
16	2	Sheffield United	21	14	7	1.4	0.8	14	3	4	30	16	45
17	14	Preston	21	14	7	1.1	0.9	7	12	2	24	18	33
18	18	Oxford	20	13	7	1.4	1.2	10	5	5	28	25	35
19	19	Hull	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	4	7	9	21	25	19
20	21	Derby	21	14	7	1.2	0.8	9	4	8	25	17	31
21	22	Cardiff	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	9	23	25	25
22	9	Millwall	20	14	6	1.1	0.9	9	4	7	22	18	31
23	1	Burnley	20	15	5	1.4	0.2	11	9	0	28	5	42
24	8	West Brom	20	15	5	1.2	0.7	9	8	3	25	13	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	21	6	15	1.4	1.6	9	4	8	29	34	31
2	17	Portsmouth	20	6	14	0.9	2.2	2	4	14	19	45	10
3	10	Watford	20	8	12	1.2	1.7	4	5	11	24	34	17
4	22	Cardiff	21	9	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	8	22	40	17
5	6	Middlesbrough	20	9	11	1.6	1.4	7	4	9	32	28	25
6	4	Sunderland	21	11	10	1.2	1.0	9	6	6	25	22	33
7	14	Preston	20	10	10	0.9	1.6	3	7	10	18	31	16
8	15	Swansea	20	10	10	0.8	1.5	5	4	11	15	30	19
9	23	Luton	21	11	10	0.8	2.0	3	3	15	16	42	12
10	8	West Brom	21	12	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	7	24	25	22
11	21	Derby	20	11	9	0.8	1.8	2	5	13	17	35	11
12	7	Coventry	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	5	9	22	29	23
13	11	Norwich	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	4	6	10	17	29	18
14	12	Blackburn	20	12	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	11	16	24	19
15	16	QPR	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	4	6	10	16	27	18
16	18	Oxford	20	12	8	0.7	1.6	1	7	12	13	32	10
17	24	Plymouth	20	12	8	0.4	2.1	1	6	13	8	43	9
18	2	Sheffield United	20	13	7	1.3	0.8	12	4	4	26	15	40
19	5	Bristol City	20	13	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	7	21	27	21
20	20	Stoke	20	13	7	0.8	1.6	3	5	12	15	31	14
21	3	Leeds	20	14	6	1.5	0.8	8	9	3	30	17	33
22	19	Hull	21	15	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	10	19	24	25
23	1	Burnley	21	16	5	1.3	0.3	12	7	2	27	7	43
24	9	Millwall	21	16	5	0.9	1.1	6	8	7	18	23	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.