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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Newcastle 2–1 Man City

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.60 fair 2.83
Draw 3.80 fair 3.89
Away 1.95 fair 2.57
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Man City
9 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 9
13 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (116 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.3% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.00scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:14
Man City before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.09scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 23:8
Newcastle all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.09
1.27 Goals conceded 0.73
2.27 Total goals 2.82
11.91 Shots 13.82
3.64 Shots on target 5.18
10.64 Shots faced 9.18
5.55 Corners 5.91
5.00 Corners against 4.36
11.82 Fouls 9.36
1.09 Yellow cards 1.64
0.45 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

27% Wins 64%
27% Draws 9%
45% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 55%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
55% Both teams scored 36%
45% Clean sheets 45%
27% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 64%
36% Draws 18%
27% Losses 18%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
9% Over 1.5 goals 45%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Man City all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:6
Man City before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:4
Newcastle at home away Man City

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.40
1.20 Goals conceded 0.80
2.80 Total goals 2.20
14.00 Shots 12.00
5.20 Shots on target 3.60
10.00 Shots faced 9.60
7.20 Corners 3.60
4.20 Corners against 5.20
12.40 Fouls 10.60
1.00 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

60% Wins 40%
0% Draws 20%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 80%
20% Draws 0%
20% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.11.25 West Ham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Newcastle – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.80 2.00
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Newcastle – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.80 2.00
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38
25.05.25 Newcastle – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38
26.04.25 Newcastle – Ipswich 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.36 3.20
16.04.25 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 5–0 (4–0) 1.673.905.00 1.73 2.10
13.04.25 Newcastle – Man United 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.204.75 1.67 2.20

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
16.08.25 Wolves – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 6.254.751.45 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Fulham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.53 2.50
10.05.25 Southampton – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 11.007.501.20 1.36 3.20
19.04.25 Everton – Man City 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.601.91 1.86 2.04
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
08.03.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsMan City wins
8matches
3.62goals / match
63%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25E0 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75
28.09.24E0 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
13.01.24E0 Newcastle – Man City 2–3 (2–1) 5.504.331.55 1.60 2.30
19.08.23E0 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
04.03.23E0 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
21.08.22E0 Newcastle – Man City 3–3 (2–1) 7.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
08.05.22E0 Man City – Newcastle 5–0 (2–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.50 2.62
19.12.21E0 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 +15 26
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 11 +12 23
3 Man City 11 7 1 3 23 8 +15 22
4 Crystal Palace 12 5 5 2 16 9 +7 20
5 Brighton 12 5 4 3 19 16 +3 19
6 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 14 11 +3 19
7 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 19 20 -1 19
8 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 +9 18
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 13 10 +3 18
10 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18
11 Liverpool 12 6 0 6 18 20 -2 18
12 Brentford 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
13 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
14 Fulham 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
15 Newcastle 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 20 -7 12
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Leeds 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
19 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 24 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 0 2 10 7 27 -20 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 6 5 0 1 16 4 +12 15
2 Brighton 6 4 2 0 12 6 +6 14
3 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0 10 4 +6 14
4 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13
5 Fulham 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
6 Brentford 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13
7 Aston Villa 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
8 Sunderland 6 3 3 0 11 5 +6 12
9 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12
10 Liverpool 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
11 Everton 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
12 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
13 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 0 8 5 +3 10
14 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
15 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
16 Burnley 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
17 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 8 11 -3 7
18 West Ham 6 2 0 4 8 15 -7 6
19 Tottenham 6 1 2 3 7 7 0 5
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 5 +9 13
2 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
4 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 8 4 +4 10
5 Man City 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7
6 Sunderland 6 2 1 3 3 6 -3 7
7 Liverpool 6 2 0 4 8 12 -4 6
8 Man United 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6
9 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
10 Brighton 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
11 West Ham 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
12 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
13 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
14 Everton 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
15 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
16 Brentford 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
17 Burnley 6 1 0 5 9 18 -9 3
18 Leeds 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
19 Fulham 6 0 1 5 4 13 -9 1
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 1 11 -10 1

Newcastle   Man City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 6 0 6 18 20 18
2 17 West Ham 12 3 9 1.2 2.1 3 2 7 15 25 11
3 2 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.9 0.9 7 2 3 23 11 23
4 5 Brighton 12 4 8 1.6 1.3 5 4 3 19 16 19
5 7 Bournemouth 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 3 19 20 19
6 10 Man United 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18
7 12 Brentford 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 5 1 6 18 19 16
8 8 Tottenham 11 4 7 1.7 0.9 5 3 3 19 10 18
9 16 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 6 13 20 12
10 18 Leeds 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11
11 3 Man City 11 5 6 2.1 0.7 7 1 3 23 8 22
12 15 Newcastle 11 5 6 1.0 1.3 3 3 5 11 14 12
13 19 Burnley 12 6 6 1.2 2.0 3 1 8 14 24 10
14 20 Wolves 12 6 6 0.6 2.2 0 2 10 7 27 2
15 4 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 5 5 2 16 9 20
16 9 Aston Villa 11 6 5 1.2 0.9 5 3 3 13 10 18
17 14 Fulham 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 6 13 16 14
18 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.5 8 2 1 20 5 26
19 6 Sunderland 12 8 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 3 14 11 19
20 13 Everton 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 4 12 13 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Brighton 6 1 5 2.0 1.0 4 2 0 12 6 14
2 16 Nott'm Forest 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 2 1 3 8 11 7
3 17 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 0 4 8 15 6
4 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
5 3 Man City 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 0 1 16 4 15
6 9 Aston Villa 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
7 11 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
8 12 Brentford 6 2 4 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13
9 20 Wolves 6 2 4 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
10 6 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 3 0 11 5 12
11 7 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.7 0.7 4 2 0 10 4 14
12 8 Tottenham 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 3 7 7 5
13 10 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12
14 15 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
15 18 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
16 1 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13
17 4 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 4 0 8 5 10
18 13 Everton 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
19 14 Fulham 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13
20 19 Burnley 6 6 0 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 0 5 9 18 3
2 7 Bournemouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
3 10 Man United 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6
4 11 Liverpool 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 4 8 12 6
5 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 1 1 14 5 13
6 8 Tottenham 5 1 4 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13
7 12 Brentford 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
8 17 West Ham 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
9 18 Leeds 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
10 4 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 1 2 8 4 10
11 5 Brighton 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
12 14 Fulham 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 1 5 4 13 1
13 15 Newcastle 6 3 3 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
14 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
15 3 Man City 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7
16 13 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
17 16 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
18 20 Wolves 6 4 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 5 1 11 1
19 6 Sunderland 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 1 3 3 6 7
20 9 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06