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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Aston Villa 1–0 Man City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.33 fair 2.83
Draw 3.80 fair 3.89
Away 1.80 fair 2.56
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.04
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.96

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man City
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 6
8 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (85 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 0–1 9.2% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:8
Man City before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.13scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:6
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded 0.75
2.00 Total goals 2.88
10.50 Shots 13.13
3.13 Shots on target 4.88
11.25 Shots faced 9.63
5.50 Corners 5.25
5.38 Corners against 4.00
9.75 Fouls 8.13
1.63 Yellow cards 1.25
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 63%
38% Draws 13%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
13% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 38%
25% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 63%
63% Draws 25%
25% Losses 13%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man City all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Man City before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:3
Aston Villa at home away Man City

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded 0.75
2.50 Total goals 2.50
10.00 Shots 10.50
4.50 Shots on target 3.50
9.50 Shots faced 9.75
5.25 Corners 3.00
4.75 Corners against 5.25
9.75 Fouls 9.25
1.75 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.25
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 50%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.80
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
16.08.25 Wolves – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 6.254.751.45 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Fulham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.53 2.50
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
03.05.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.773.754.50 1.68 2.05
19.04.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 4–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.75 1.62 2.30
05.04.25 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.70 1.80 2.00
22.02.25 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.60 1.57 2.38
19.02.25 Aston Villa – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 3.904.001.83 1.57 2.38

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
16.08.25 Wolves – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 6.254.751.45 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Fulham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.53 2.50
10.05.25 Southampton – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 11.007.501.20 1.36 3.20
19.04.25 Everton – Man City 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.601.91 1.86 2.04
06.04.25 Man United – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.67 2.20
08.03.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.57 2.38
26.02.25 Tottenham – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan City wins
8matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
88%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.25E0 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
21.12.24E0 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
03.04.24E0 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
06.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.02.23E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
03.09.22E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
22.05.22E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
01.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 6 1 1 15 3 +12 19
2 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
3 Man City 8 5 1 2 17 6 +11 16
4 Man United 9 5 1 3 15 14 +1 16
5 Bournemouth 8 4 3 1 14 11 +3 15
6 Liverpool 9 5 0 4 16 14 +2 15
7 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14
8 Chelsea 9 4 2 3 17 11 +6 14
9 Crystal Palace 8 3 4 1 12 8 +4 13
10 Brentford 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
11 Newcastle 9 3 3 3 9 8 +1 12
12 Aston Villa 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
13 Brighton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
14 Everton 8 3 2 3 9 9 0 11
15 Leeds 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
16 Fulham 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
17 Burnley 8 2 1 5 9 15 -6 7
18 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 5 15 -10 5
19 West Ham 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
20 Wolves 8 0 2 6 5 16 -11 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12
2 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 11 1 +10 10
3 Sunderland 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
4 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
5 Brentford 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
6 Man City 4 3 0 1 10 3 +7 9
7 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
8 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
9 Everton 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
10 Brighton 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
11 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
12 Burnley 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
13 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
14 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
15 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
17 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 5 4 +1 4
18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Wolves 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
20 West Ham 4 0 0 4 2 12 -10 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
2 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9
3 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11 5 +6 7
4 Man City 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
5 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
6 Sunderland 5 2 1 2 3 5 -2 7
7 Liverpool 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
8 Aston Villa 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
9 Bournemouth 4 1 2 1 8 9 -1 5
10 Brighton 5 1 1 3 7 10 -3 4
11 West Ham 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
12 Man United 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
13 Newcastle 4 0 3 1 1 2 -1 3
14 Brentford 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
15 Everton 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
16 Leeds 4 1 0 3 3 9 -6 3
17 Nott'm Forest 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2
18 Wolves 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
19 Fulham 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1
20 Burnley 4 0 0 4 4 13 -9 0

Aston Villa   Man City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.8 1.6 5 0 4 16 14 15
2 8 Chelsea 9 2 7 1.9 1.2 4 2 3 17 11 14
3 4 Man United 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 5 1 3 15 14 16
4 10 Brentford 9 3 6 1.6 1.6 4 1 4 14 14 13
5 13 Brighton 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 3 3 14 15 12
6 19 West Ham 9 3 6 0.8 2.2 1 1 7 7 20 4
7 5 Bournemouth 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 3 1 14 11 15
8 7 Tottenham 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14
9 9 Crystal Palace 8 3 5 1.5 1.0 3 4 1 12 8 13
10 15 Leeds 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11
11 3 Man City 8 4 4 2.1 0.8 5 1 2 17 6 16
12 11 Newcastle 9 5 4 1.0 0.9 3 3 3 9 8 12
13 12 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.0 1.0 3 3 2 8 8 12
14 16 Fulham 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
15 17 Burnley 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 2 1 5 9 15 7
16 18 Nott'm Forest 8 4 4 0.6 1.9 1 2 5 5 15 5
17 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.9 0.4 6 1 1 15 3 19
18 2 Sunderland 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 14 Everton 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 3 2 3 9 9 11
20 20 Wolves 8 5 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 6 5 16 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12
2 6 Liverpool 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
3 8 Chelsea 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
4 10 Brentford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
5 11 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
6 12 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
7 13 Brighton 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
8 15 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
9 18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
10 19 West Ham 4 1 3 0.5 3.0 0 0 4 2 12 0
11 20 Wolves 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
12 1 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.8 0.2 3 1 0 11 1 10
13 2 Sunderland 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
14 3 Man City 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 3 0 1 10 3 9
15 5 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
16 7 Tottenham 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 1 2 5 4 4
17 9 Crystal Palace 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
18 14 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 16 Fulham 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
20 17 Burnley 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
2 8 Chelsea 4 0 4 2.8 1.2 2 1 1 11 5 7
3 17 Burnley 4 0 4 1.0 3.2 0 0 4 4 13 0
4 4 Man United 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
5 5 Bournemouth 4 1 3 2.0 2.2 1 2 1 8 9 5
6 7 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
7 9 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
8 10 Brentford 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
9 13 Brighton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 1 3 7 10 4
10 16 Fulham 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
11 19 West Ham 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
12 3 Man City 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
13 14 Everton 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
14 15 Leeds 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 0 3 3 9 3
15 1 Arsenal 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9
16 2 Sunderland 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 2 3 5 7
17 11 Newcastle 4 3 1 0.2 0.5 0 3 1 1 2 3
18 12 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
19 18 Nott'm Forest 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 2 2 2 7 2
20 20 Wolves 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06