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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Man City 5–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 2.08
Draw 7.50 fair 4.15
Away 15.00 fair 3.59
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Burnley
21 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
10 Corners 2
5 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (51 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:5
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.80points / match
1.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:8
Man City all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.60
2.80 Total goals 2.60
11.00 Shots 8.40
4.00 Shots on target 2.80
11.40 Shots faced 19.00
3.80 Corners 3.00
4.80 Corners against 6.80
9.20 Fouls 9.40
1.40 Yellow cards 1.20
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%
20% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 0%
0% Draws 60%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Burnley all matches
Man City before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:2
Burnley before this match, away
0.00points / match
1.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:6
Man City at home away Burnley

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 3.00
2.50 Total goals 4.00
11.50 Shots 10.00
5.00 Shots on target 3.50
12.00 Shots faced 21.00
4.50 Corners 3.00
3.00 Corners against 6.50
7.50 Fouls 8.50
0.50 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
16.08.25 Wolves – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 6.254.751.45 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Fulham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.53 2.50
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
10.05.25 Southampton – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 11.007.501.20 1.36 3.20
02.05.25 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.53 2.50
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
21.04.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.503.90 2.50 1.53
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
11.04.25E1 Burnley – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 1.603.905.50 2.00 1.80

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
02.05.25 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.53 2.50
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
12.04.25 Man City – Crystal Palace 5–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
02.04.25 Man City – Leicester 2–0 (2–0) 1.208.0010.00 1.40 3.00
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
23.02.25 Man City – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.802.25 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
08.04.25E1 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
05.04.25E1 Coventry – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67
15.03.25E1 Swansea – Burnley 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.202.10 2.50 1.53
04.03.25E1 Cardiff – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 4.203.401.90 2.57 1.46
15.02.25E1 Preston – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.252.05 2.75 1.44
01.02.25E1 Portsmouth – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 5.003.401.75 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.24E0 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
11.08.23E0 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
02.04.22E0 Burnley – Man City 0–2 (0–2) 15.006.501.20 1.57 2.37
16.10.21E0 Man City – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.0019.00 1.36 3.20

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 11 5 +6 15
2 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 10 2 +8 10
3 Tottenham 5 3 1 1 10 3 +7 10
4 Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
6 Chelsea 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
7 Sunderland 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
8 Fulham 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
9 Man City 5 2 1 2 9 5 +4 7
10 Everton 5 2 1 2 6 5 +1 7
11 Brentford 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
12 Leeds 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
13 Man United 6 2 1 3 7 11 -4 7
14 Newcastle 5 1 3 1 3 3 0 6
15 Brighton 5 1 2 2 6 8 -2 5
16 Nott'm Forest 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
17 Burnley 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
18 Aston Villa 5 0 3 2 1 5 -4 3
19 West Ham 5 1 0 4 5 13 -8 3
20 Wolves 5 0 0 5 3 12 -9 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 7 3 +4 9
2 Arsenal 3 2 1 0 9 1 +8 7
3 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
4 Brentford 3 2 1 0 6 3 +3 7
5 Fulham 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
6 Bournemouth 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
7 Man United 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
8 Brighton 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
9 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
10 Everton 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
11 Burnley 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
12 Leeds 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
13 Tottenham 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
14 Man City 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
15 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Nott'm Forest 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
17 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
18 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
19 Wolves 3 0 0 3 3 10 -7 0
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 2 10 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7
2 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
4 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 8 5 +3 4
5 Man City 3 1 1 1 6 3 +3 4
6 West Ham 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
7 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
8 Newcastle 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
9 Everton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
10 Bournemouth 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
11 Leeds 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
12 Aston Villa 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
13 Nott'm Forest 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2
14 Fulham 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
15 Sunderland 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
16 Man United 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
17 Wolves 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
18 Brighton 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
19 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
20 Brentford 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0

Man City   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7
2 19 West Ham 5 0 5 1.0 2.6 1 0 4 5 13 3
3 13 Man United 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 3 7 11 7
4 1 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 0 11 5 15
5 3 Tottenham 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 3 1 1 10 3 10
6 6 Chelsea 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
7 9 Man City 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 2 9 5 7
8 15 Brighton 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 2 2 6 8 5
9 16 Nott'm Forest 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
10 20 Wolves 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 0 5 3 12 0
11 2 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 3 1 1 10 2 10
12 4 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10
13 5 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
14 7 Sunderland 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
15 10 Everton 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 2 6 5 7
16 12 Leeds 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
17 17 Burnley 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
18 8 Fulham 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
19 14 Newcastle 5 4 1 0.6 0.6 1 3 1 3 3 6
20 18 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.2 1.0 0 3 2 1 5 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 West Ham 3 0 3 0.7 3.3 0 0 3 2 10 0
2 20 Wolves 3 0 3 1.0 3.3 0 0 3 3 10 0
3 1 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 3 0 0 7 3 9
4 2 Arsenal 3 1 2 3.0 0.3 2 1 0 9 1 7
5 7 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
6 11 Brentford 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 0 6 3 7
7 13 Man United 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
8 15 Brighton 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
9 16 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
10 3 Tottenham 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
11 4 Bournemouth 3 2 1 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
12 8 Fulham 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
13 9 Man City 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
14 14 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
15 18 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
16 5 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
17 6 Chelsea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
18 10 Everton 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 12 Leeds 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
20 17 Burnley 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Chelsea 3 0 3 2.7 1.7 1 1 1 8 5 4
2 11 Brentford 3 0 3 1.0 2.7 0 0 3 3 8 0
3 3 Tottenham 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 1 0 7 2 7
4 5 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
5 9 Man City 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 1 1 6 3 4
6 10 Everton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
7 12 Leeds 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
8 13 Man United 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
9 17 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
10 19 West Ham 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
11 1 Liverpool 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
12 4 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
13 15 Brighton 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
14 16 Nott'm Forest 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2
15 2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
16 7 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
17 8 Fulham 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
18 14 Newcastle 3 3 0 0.0 0.0 0 3 0 0 0 3
19 18 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
20 20 Wolves 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06