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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Brighton 2–1 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.63 fair 2.42
Draw 3.40 fair 3.77
Away 2.60 fair 3.12
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Newcastle
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
9 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (71 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.7% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.43scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:10
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
0.86scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:5
Brighton all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 0.86
1.43 Goals conceded 0.71
2.86 Total goals 1.57
11.71 Shots 11.43
4.29 Shots on target 3.57
10.43 Shots faced 8.86
4.29 Corners 6.43
4.00 Corners against 4.43
13.14 Fouls 12.43
3.14 Yellow cards 1.14
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

29% Wins 29%
43% Draws 43%
29% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 57%
100% Over 1.5 goals 43%
57% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
86% Both teams scored 29%
0% Clean sheets 71%
14% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 29%
14% Draws 57%
71% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 43%
14% Over 1.5 goals 0%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Newcastle all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:4
Newcastle before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 0:0
Brighton at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.00
1.33 Goals conceded 0.00
3.00 Total goals 0.00
11.33 Shots 9.33
5.00 Shots on target 2.00
10.00 Shots faced 8.00
3.00 Corners 4.33
5.00 Corners against 4.33
14.00 Fouls 12.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
67% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
67% Over 2.5 goals 0%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 100%
33% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 0%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Wolves – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.702.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Brighton – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.703.00 1.67 2.20
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
24.08.25 Everton – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.302.30 2.00 1.80
16.08.25 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
25.05.25 Tottenham – Brighton 1–4 (1–0) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
10.05.25 Wolves – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Newcastle – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.80 2.00
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Newcastle – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.25 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10
11.05.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.753.10 1.57 2.38

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Brighton – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.703.00 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
16.08.25 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Brighton – West Ham 3–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.75 1.67 2.20
12.04.25 Brighton – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 1.296.0010.00 1.62 2.30
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
08.03.25 Brighton – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.10
25.02.25 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
18.05.25 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 4–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.75 1.62 2.30
07.04.25 Leicester – Newcastle 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.201.48 1.62 2.30
10.03.25 West Ham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 1.73 2.10
26.02.25 Liverpool – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.505.75 1.44 2.75
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsNewcastle wins
8matches
2.38goals / match
38%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.25E0 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50
19.10.24E0 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
11.05.24E0 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
02.09.23E0 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
18.05.23E0 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
13.08.22E0 Brighton – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22E0 Newcastle – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.202.62 2.30 1.61
06.11.21E0 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.906.00 1.90 1.90

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 14 3 +11 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 13 9 +4 15
3 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 13 5 +8 14
4 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 16 9 +7 14
5 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 11 8 +3 14
6 Man City 7 4 1 2 15 6 +9 13
7 Crystal Palace 7 3 3 1 9 5 +4 12
8 Everton 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11
9 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 9 11 -2 10
11 Newcastle 7 2 3 2 6 5 +1 9
12 Brighton 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
13 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 6 7 -1 9
14 Fulham 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
15 Leeds 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
16 Brentford 7 2 1 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 5 15 -10 5
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4
19 West Ham 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4
20 Wolves 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 11 1 +10 10
2 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
3 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Man United 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
5 Everton 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
7 Fulham 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
8 Brentford 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
9 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
10 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
11 Man City 3 2 0 1 8 3 +5 6
12 Newcastle 4 2 0 2 6 5 +1 6
13 Brighton 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
14 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
15 Leeds 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
16 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
17 Burnley 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Wolves 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 2 10 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
2 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11 5 +6 7
3 Man City 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
4 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
5 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
6 Liverpool 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
7 Bournemouth 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
8 Brighton 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
9 West Ham 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
10 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 1 4 -3 4
11 Newcastle 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
12 Everton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
13 Leeds 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
14 Aston Villa 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
15 Nott'm Forest 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2
16 Wolves 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
17 Man United 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
19 Brentford 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0
20 Burnley 4 0 0 4 4 13 -9 0

Brighton   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.0 1.1 4 2 2 16 9 14
2 2 Liverpool 7 2 5 1.9 1.3 5 0 2 13 9 15
3 16 Brentford 7 2 5 1.3 1.7 2 1 4 9 12 7
4 19 West Ham 7 2 5 0.9 2.3 1 1 5 6 16 4
5 3 Tottenham 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 4 2 1 13 5 14
6 5 Bournemouth 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 1 11 8 14
7 6 Man City 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 1 2 15 6 13
8 7 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.3 0.7 3 3 1 9 5 12
9 10 Man United 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 3 1 3 9 11 10
10 12 Brighton 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 3 2 10 10 9
11 15 Leeds 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 3 7 11 8
12 17 Nott'm Forest 8 4 4 0.6 1.9 1 2 5 5 15 5
13 18 Burnley 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 1 5 7 15 4
14 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.0 0.4 5 1 1 14 3 16
15 8 Everton 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11
16 13 Aston Villa 7 4 3 0.9 1.0 2 3 2 6 7 9
17 14 Fulham 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
18 20 Wolves 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2
19 9 Sunderland 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
20 11 Newcastle 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 3 2 6 5 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
2 17 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
3 19 West Ham 3 0 3 0.7 3.3 0 0 3 2 10 0
4 20 Wolves 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
5 1 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.8 0.2 3 1 0 11 1 10
6 2 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 3 0 0 7 3 9
7 4 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
8 5 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
9 6 Man City 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 0 1 8 3 6
10 9 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
11 10 Man United 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
12 11 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 2 0 2 6 5 6
13 12 Brighton 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
14 15 Leeds 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
15 16 Brentford 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
16 3 Tottenham 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
17 7 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
18 8 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 14 Fulham 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
20 18 Burnley 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Chelsea 4 0 4 2.8 1.2 2 1 1 11 5 7
2 18 Burnley 4 0 4 1.0 3.2 0 0 4 4 13 0
3 2 Liverpool 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
4 3 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
5 7 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
6 16 Brentford 3 0 3 1.0 2.7 0 0 3 3 8 0
7 5 Bournemouth 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
8 6 Man City 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
9 8 Everton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
10 10 Man United 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
11 12 Brighton 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
12 14 Fulham 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
13 15 Leeds 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
14 19 West Ham 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
15 1 Arsenal 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
16 17 Nott'm Forest 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 2 2 2 7 2
17 9 Sunderland 4 4 0 0.2 1.0 1 1 2 1 4 4
18 11 Newcastle 3 3 0 0.0 0.0 0 3 0 0 0 3
19 13 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
20 20 Wolves 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51