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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.75 fair 2.36
Draw 3.80 fair 4.23
Away 1.90 fair 2.94
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Liverpool
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 11
7 Fouls 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (224 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.47
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.59scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 35:41
Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.50scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 33:29
Bournemouth all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.50
1.86 Goals conceded 1.32
3.45 Total goals 2.82
13.68 Shots 15.50
4.86 Shots on target 4.32
12.59 Shots faced 10.59
5.68 Corners 5.32
5.00 Corners against 4.32
12.55 Fouls 9.59
2.45 Yellow cards 1.68
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

27% Wins 45%
41% Draws 27%
32% Losses 27%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
77% Over 1.5 goals 82%
64% Over 2.5 goals 59%
59% Over 3.5 goals 23%
32% Over 4.5 goals 18%
14% Over 5.5 goals 9%
68% Both teams scored 59%
23% Clean sheets 32%
18% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 32%
36% Draws 36%
27% Losses 32%
77% Over 0.5 goals 64%
55% Over 1.5 goals 18%
23% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Liverpool all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.45scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:11
Liverpool before this match, away
1.36points / match
1.55scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:18
Bournemouth at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.55
1.00 Goals conceded 1.64
2.45 Total goals 3.18
13.64 Shots 12.73
4.18 Shots on target 3.45
8.82 Shots faced 11.18
5.18 Corners 4.82
3.55 Corners against 4.45
12.91 Fouls 10.27
2.18 Yellow cards 2.27
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

45% Wins 36%
36% Draws 27%
18% Losses 36%
82% Over 0.5 goals 91%
64% Over 1.5 goals 82%
45% Over 2.5 goals 73%
36% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
55% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 9%
55% Draws 45%
9% Losses 45%
55% Over 0.5 goals 55%
36% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.26 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.50 2.63
07.01.26 Bournemouth – Tottenham 3–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
27.12.25 Brentford – Bournemouth 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
02.12.25 Bournemouth – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 1.98 1.88
29.11.25 Sunderland – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 3.203.302.30 2.00 1.85

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Liverpool – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.57 2.38
08.01.26 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Fulham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.80 2.00
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Liverpool – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
20.12.25 Tottenham – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Liverpool – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.257.00 1.57 2.38
30.11.25 West Ham – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.67 1.53 2.50

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26 Bournemouth – Tottenham 3–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
02.12.25 Bournemouth – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 1.98 1.88
22.11.25 Bournemouth – West Ham 2–2 (0–2) 1.624.204.75 1.67 2.20
26.10.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.88 1.98
03.10.25 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.00 1.85
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.26 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Fulham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Tottenham – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
30.11.25 West Ham – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.67 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
25.10.25 Brentford – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 4.104.201.75 1.53 2.50
04.10.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
27.09.25 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsLiverpool wins
7matches
4.14goals / match
71%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.25E0 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
01.02.25E0 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
21.09.24E0 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
21.01.24E0 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
19.08.23E0 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
11.03.23E0 Bournemouth – Liverpool 1–0 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.30
27.08.22E0 Liverpool – Bournemouth 9–0 (5–0) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 +26 50
2 Man City 23 14 4 5 47 21 +26 46
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 +8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 +4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 +6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 +12 34
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 32 32 0 34
8 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 +5 33
9 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 +5 33
10 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 24 26 -2 33
11 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
12 Brighton 23 7 9 7 33 31 +2 30
13 Tottenham 23 7 7 9 33 31 +2 28
14 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 23 5 5 13 27 45 -18 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 25 44 -19 15
20 Wolves 23 1 5 17 15 43 -28 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 9 2 1 29 8 +21 29
2 Arsenal 11 9 2 0 26 5 +21 29
3 Aston Villa 11 8 1 2 18 9 +9 25
4 Brentford 11 7 3 1 23 10 +13 24
5 Sunderland 11 6 5 0 18 9 +9 23
6 Newcastle 11 7 2 2 22 15 +7 23
7 Fulham 12 7 2 3 21 14 +7 23
8 Man United 11 6 3 2 20 13 +7 21
9 Liverpool 11 6 3 2 16 11 +5 21
10 Brighton 11 5 5 1 19 12 +7 20
11 Leeds 11 5 4 2 19 13 +6 19
12 Bournemouth 11 5 4 2 16 11 +5 19
13 Chelsea 11 5 3 3 17 11 +6 18
14 Everton 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15
15 Crystal Palace 11 2 6 3 10 12 -2 12
16 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 12 17 -5 11
17 Burnley 12 2 4 6 12 17 -5 10
18 West Ham 12 3 1 8 16 26 -10 10
19 Tottenham 11 2 3 6 13 14 -1 9
20 Wolves 11 1 2 8 10 23 -13 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 6 3 2 14 9 +5 21
2 Tottenham 12 5 4 3 20 17 +3 19
3 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 15 16 -1 18
4 Man City 11 5 2 4 18 13 +5 17
5 Everton 11 5 2 4 10 10 0 17
6 Chelsea 11 4 4 3 19 13 +6 16
7 Crystal Palace 11 5 1 5 13 13 0 16
8 Liverpool 11 4 3 4 17 18 -1 15
9 Man United 11 3 5 3 18 19 -1 14
10 Fulham 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
11 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 9 17 -8 11
12 Newcastle 11 2 4 5 10 12 -2 10
13 Brighton 12 2 4 6 14 19 -5 10
14 West Ham 11 2 4 5 11 19 -8 10
15 Sunderland 12 2 4 6 6 17 -11 10
16 Brentford 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
17 Bournemouth 11 1 5 5 19 30 -11 8
18 Leeds 11 1 3 7 11 24 -13 6
19 Burnley 11 1 2 8 13 27 -14 5
20 Wolves 12 0 3 9 5 20 -15 3

Bournemouth   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 23 7 16 1.2 2.0 5 5 13 27 45 20
2 13 Tottenham 23 8 15 1.4 1.3 7 7 9 33 31 28
3 15 Bournemouth 22 8 14 1.6 1.9 6 9 7 35 41 27
4 2 Man City 23 10 13 2.0 0.9 14 4 5 47 21 46
5 3 Aston Villa 22 9 13 1.5 1.1 13 4 5 33 25 43
6 4 Liverpool 22 9 13 1.5 1.3 10 6 6 33 29 36
7 5 Man United 22 9 13 1.7 1.5 9 8 5 38 32 35
8 6 Chelsea 22 9 13 1.6 1.1 9 7 6 36 24 34
9 9 Newcastle 22 9 13 1.5 1.2 9 6 7 32 27 33
10 16 Leeds 22 9 13 1.4 1.7 6 7 9 30 37 25
11 7 Fulham 23 11 12 1.4 1.4 10 4 9 32 32 34
12 8 Brentford 22 10 12 1.6 1.4 10 3 9 35 30 33
13 12 Brighton 23 11 12 1.4 1.3 7 9 7 33 31 30
14 17 Nott'm Forest 22 10 12 1.0 1.5 6 4 12 21 34 22
15 19 Burnley 23 11 12 1.1 1.9 3 6 14 25 44 15
16 1 Arsenal 22 12 10 1.8 0.6 15 5 2 40 14 50
17 14 Crystal Palace 22 12 10 1.0 1.1 7 7 8 23 25 28
18 20 Wolves 23 13 10 0.7 1.9 1 5 17 15 43 8
19 10 Sunderland 23 14 9 1.0 1.1 8 9 6 24 26 33
20 11 Everton 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 9 5 8 24 25 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 1 8 16 26 10
2 9 Newcastle 11 3 8 2.0 1.4 7 2 2 22 15 23
3 2 Man City 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 9 2 1 29 8 29
4 3 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.6 0.8 8 1 2 18 9 25
5 7 Fulham 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 7 2 3 21 14 23
6 8 Brentford 11 4 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 1 23 10 24
7 16 Leeds 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 5 4 2 19 13 19
8 17 Nott'm Forest 11 4 7 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 17 11
9 1 Arsenal 11 5 6 2.4 0.5 9 2 0 26 5 29
10 6 Chelsea 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 17 11 18
11 12 Brighton 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 5 5 1 19 12 20
12 13 Tottenham 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 2 3 6 13 14 9
13 20 Wolves 11 5 6 0.9 2.1 1 2 8 10 23 5
14 4 Liverpool 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 3 2 16 11 21
15 10 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 5 0 18 9 23
16 11 Everton 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15
17 15 Bournemouth 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 16 11 19
18 5 Man United 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 6 3 2 20 13 21
19 14 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 2 6 3 10 12 12
20 19 Burnley 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 2 4 6 12 17 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Man United 11 2 9 1.6 1.7 3 5 3 18 19 14
2 13 Tottenham 12 3 9 1.7 1.4 5 4 3 20 17 19
3 15 Bournemouth 11 2 9 1.7 2.7 1 5 5 19 30 8
4 4 Liverpool 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 4 3 4 17 18 15
5 19 Burnley 11 3 8 1.2 2.5 1 2 8 13 27 5
6 6 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 4 4 3 19 13 16
7 18 West Ham 11 4 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 5 11 19 10
8 2 Man City 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 2 4 18 13 17
9 3 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 3 3 15 16 18
10 12 Brighton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 4 6 14 19 10
11 14 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.2 1.2 5 1 5 13 13 16
12 16 Leeds 11 5 6 1.0 2.2 1 3 7 11 24 6
13 7 Fulham 11 6 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
14 8 Brentford 11 6 5 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
15 9 Newcastle 11 6 5 0.9 1.1 2 4 5 10 12 10
16 17 Nott'm Forest 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 6 9 17 11
17 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.3 0.8 6 3 2 14 9 21
18 10 Sunderland 12 8 4 0.5 1.4 2 4 6 6 17 10
19 20 Wolves 12 8 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 9 5 20 3
20 11 Everton 11 9 2 0.9 0.9 5 2 4 10 10 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38