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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Burnley 0–1 Liverpool

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 8.00 fair 2.59
Draw 5.50 fair 4.14
Away ✓ 1.33 fair 2.69
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Liverpool
3 Shots 27
0 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 13
9 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (38 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:6
Liverpool before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
2.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:4
Burnley all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.67
2.00 Goals conceded 1.33
3.33 Total goals 4.00
9.00 Shots 11.00
3.00 Shots on target 5.67
17.00 Shots faced 10.33
3.33 Corners 3.33
5.33 Corners against 7.33
8.67 Fouls 9.67
1.67 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 67%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
33% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Liverpool all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:0
Liverpool before this match, away
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 3:2
Burnley at home away Liverpool

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 3.00
0.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.00 Total goals 5.00
7.00 Shots 5.00
2.00 Shots on target 4.00
9.00 Shots faced 10.00
4.00 Corners 1.00
3.00 Corners against 7.00
9.00 Fouls 15.00
0.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 100%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 100%
100% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
21.04.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.503.90 2.50 1.53
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
11.04.25E1 Burnley – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 1.603.905.50 2.00 1.80
08.04.25E1 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
05.04.25E1 Coventry – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.25 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
25.05.25 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–1) 1.406.005.75 1.30 3.50
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
11.05.25 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50
27.04.25 Liverpool – Tottenham 5–1 (3–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.33 3.40
20.04.25 Leicester – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 11.006.251.22 1.44 2.75
13.04.25 Liverpool – West Ham 2–1 (1–0) 1.306.008.00 1.53 2.50

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
21.04.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.503.90 2.50 1.53
11.04.25E1 Burnley – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 1.603.905.50 2.00 1.80
29.03.25E1 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62
11.03.25E1 Burnley – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 1.873.204.33 2.63 1.50
08.03.25E1 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
21.02.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.773.255.00 2.38 1.57
12.02.25E1 Burnley – Hull 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.505.50 2.38 1.57
04.02.25E1 Burnley – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.483.807.50 2.20 1.67

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50
20.04.25 Leicester – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 11.006.251.22 1.44 2.75
06.04.25 Fulham – Liverpool 3–2 (3–1) 4.503.501.83 1.80 2.00
23.02.25 Man City – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.802.25 1.40 3.00
19.02.25 Aston Villa – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 3.904.001.83 1.57 2.38
12.02.25 Everton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–1) 7.504.501.44 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Brentford – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.001.42 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsLiverpool wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24E0 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
26.12.23E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
13.02.22E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 10.005.251.28 1.57 2.37
21.08.21E0 Liverpool – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 9 1 +8 9
2 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 8 1 +7 9
3 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 8 4 +4 9
4 Bournemouth 4 3 0 1 6 5 +1 9
5 Chelsea 4 2 2 0 9 3 +6 8
6 Everton 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
7 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
8 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 0 4 1 +3 6
9 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
10 Fulham 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
11 Man United 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
12 Brentford 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
13 Brighton 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
14 Nott'm Forest 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
15 Leeds 4 1 1 2 1 6 -5 4
16 Man City 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
17 Burnley 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
18 West Ham 4 1 0 3 4 11 -7 3
19 Aston Villa 4 0 2 2 0 4 -4 2
20 Wolves 4 0 0 4 2 9 -7 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 8 0 +8 6
2 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Bournemouth 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
5 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
6 Everton 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
7 Brentford 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
8 Brighton 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 Fulham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
10 Leeds 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
11 Tottenham 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
12 Burnley 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
13 Man United 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
15 Nott'm Forest 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
16 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
17 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
18 Man City 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
19 Wolves 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0
20 West Ham 2 0 0 2 1 8 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
2 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 7 3 +4 4
3 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 0 3 0 +3 4
4 Man City 2 1 0 1 5 2 +3 3
5 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
6 Everton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
7 West Ham 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
8 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
9 Bournemouth 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
10 Newcastle 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
11 Man United 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
12 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
13 Fulham 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
14 Sunderland 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
15 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
16 Wolves 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
17 Brentford 2 0 0 2 2 5 -3 0
18 Brighton 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
19 Burnley 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
20 Leeds 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0

Burnley   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 4 0 4 1.0 2.8 1 0 3 4 11 3
2 12 Brentford 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
3 14 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
4 1 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.2 0.2 3 0 1 9 1 9
5 2 Tottenham 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 3 0 1 8 1 9
6 3 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.7 1.3 3 0 0 8 4 9
7 4 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 3 0 1 6 5 9
8 5 Chelsea 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 2 2 0 9 3 8
9 7 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
10 13 Brighton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
11 16 Man City 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
12 17 Burnley 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
13 20 Wolves 4 2 2 0.5 2.2 0 0 4 2 9 0
14 6 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
15 8 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 1 3 0 4 1 6
16 9 Newcastle 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
17 11 Man United 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
18 15 Leeds 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 1 2 1 6 4
19 19 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0.0 1.0 0 2 2 0 4 2
20 10 Fulham 4 4 0 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 2 0 2 4.0 0.0 2 0 0 8 0 6
2 7 Sunderland 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
3 14 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
4 18 West Ham 2 0 2 0.5 4.0 0 0 2 1 8 0
5 20 Wolves 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
6 2 Tottenham 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
7 3 Liverpool 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
8 4 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
9 9 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
10 11 Man United 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
11 12 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
12 13 Brighton 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
13 19 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
14 5 Chelsea 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
15 6 Everton 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
16 8 Crystal Palace 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
17 10 Fulham 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
18 15 Leeds 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
19 16 Man City 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
20 17 Burnley 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.5 1.5 1 1 0 7 3 4
2 12 Brentford 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 2 2 5 0
3 16 Man City 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 0 1 5 2 3
4 17 Burnley 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
5 18 West Ham 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
6 2 Tottenham 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
7 3 Liverpool 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
8 4 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
9 6 Everton 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
10 8 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 1.5 0.0 1 1 0 3 0 4
11 13 Brighton 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
12 14 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
13 15 Leeds 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
14 1 Arsenal 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
15 7 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
16 9 Newcastle 2 2 0 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 0 2
17 10 Fulham 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
18 11 Man United 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 19 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 20 Wolves 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40