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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Liverpool 1–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.22 fair 1.75
Draw ✓ 6.50 fair 4.66
Away 11.00 fair 4.70
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.55
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Burnley
32 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 1
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (211 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.9% 2–0 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.52scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:28
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.62points / match
1.05scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 22:41
Liverpool all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.52 Goals scored 1.05
1.33 Goals conceded 1.95
2.86 Total goals 3.00
14.71 Shots 8.90
4.00 Shots on target 3.00
10.76 Shots faced 16.33
5.14 Corners 3.67
4.48 Corners against 6.10
9.67 Fouls 10.05
1.71 Yellow cards 1.52
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

48% Wins 14%
24% Draws 19%
29% Losses 67%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
81% Over 1.5 goals 86%
62% Over 2.5 goals 52%
24% Over 3.5 goals 38%
19% Over 4.5 goals 24%
10% Over 5.5 goals 5%
57% Both teams scored 57%
33% Clean sheets 14%
19% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 10%
38% Draws 43%
33% Losses 48%
62% Over 0.5 goals 76%
19% Over 1.5 goals 38%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Burnley all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:10
Burnley before this match, away
0.40points / match
1.20scored / match
2.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:26
Liverpool at home away Burnley

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.20
1.00 Goals conceded 2.60
2.50 Total goals 3.80
16.90 Shots 8.50
4.60 Shots on target 3.40
10.30 Shots faced 17.00
5.50 Corners 4.10
4.50 Corners against 6.40
9.00 Fouls 10.50
1.10 Yellow cards 2.00
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

60% Wins 10%
20% Draws 10%
20% Losses 80%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
10% Over 3.5 goals 50%
10% Over 4.5 goals 40%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
50% Both teams scored 80%
40% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
30% Draws 50%
20% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.26 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Fulham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.80 2.00
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Liverpool – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
20.12.25 Tottenham – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 Leeds – Liverpool 3–3 (0–0) 3.804.001.85 1.67 2.20
03.12.25 Liverpool – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.257.00 1.57 2.38
30.11.25 West Ham – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.67 1.53 2.50
22.11.25 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–1) 1.445.006.25 1.53 2.50

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Liverpool – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.505.50 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Liverpool – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
03.12.25 Liverpool – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.257.00 1.57 2.38
22.11.25 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–1) 1.445.006.25 1.53 2.50
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75
20.09.25 Liverpool – Everton 2–1 (2–0) 1.454.756.50 1.62 2.30
31.08.25 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsBurnley wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
10.02.24E0 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
26.12.23E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
13.02.22E0 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 10.005.251.28 1.57 2.37
21.08.21E0 Liverpool – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 21 15 4 2 40 14 +26 49
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 +24 43
3 Aston Villa 21 13 4 4 33 24 +9 43
4 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 +6 35
5 Liverpool 21 10 5 6 32 28 +4 35
6 Brentford 21 10 3 8 35 28 +7 33
7 Newcastle 21 9 5 7 32 27 +5 32
8 Chelsea 21 8 7 6 34 24 +10 31
9 Fulham 21 9 4 8 30 30 0 31
10 Sunderland 21 7 9 5 21 22 -1 30
11 Brighton 21 7 8 6 31 28 +3 29
12 Everton 21 8 5 8 23 25 -2 29
13 Crystal Palace 21 7 7 7 22 23 -1 28
14 Tottenham 21 7 6 8 30 27 +3 27
15 Bournemouth 21 6 8 7 34 40 -6 26
16 Leeds 21 5 7 9 29 37 -8 22
17 Nott'm Forest 21 6 3 12 21 34 -13 21
18 West Ham 21 3 5 13 22 43 -21 14
19 Burnley 21 3 4 14 22 41 -19 13
20 Wolves 21 1 4 16 15 41 -26 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 9 2 0 26 5 +21 29
2 Man City 11 8 2 1 27 8 +19 26
3 Aston Villa 10 8 1 1 18 8 +10 25
4 Brentford 11 7 3 1 23 10 +13 24
5 Newcastle 11 7 2 2 22 15 +7 23
6 Man United 11 6 3 2 20 13 +7 21
7 Sunderland 10 5 5 0 16 8 +8 20
8 Fulham 11 6 2 3 19 13 +6 20
9 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
10 Brighton 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19
11 Bournemouth 11 5 4 2 16 11 +5 19
12 Leeds 10 4 4 2 18 13 +5 16
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15
15 Crystal Palace 11 2 6 3 10 12 -2 12
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 10 2 3 5 12 12 0 9
18 Burnley 11 2 3 6 10 15 -5 9
19 West Ham 11 2 1 8 13 25 -12 7
20 Wolves 10 1 1 8 10 23 -13 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 6 2 2 14 9 +5 20
2 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 18 15 +3 18
3 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 15 16 -1 18
4 Man City 11 5 2 4 18 13 +5 17
5 Chelsea 11 4 4 3 19 13 +6 16
6 Crystal Palace 10 5 1 4 12 11 +1 16
7 Liverpool 11 4 3 4 17 18 -1 15
8 Man United 11 3 5 3 18 19 -1 14
9 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
10 Fulham 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
11 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 9 17 -8 11
12 Brighton 11 2 4 5 13 17 -4 10
13 Sunderland 11 2 4 5 5 14 -9 10
14 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
15 Brentford 10 3 0 7 12 18 -6 9
16 West Ham 10 1 4 5 9 18 -9 7
17 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
18 Leeds 11 1 3 7 11 24 -13 6
19 Burnley 10 1 1 8 12 26 -14 4
20 Wolves 11 0 3 8 5 18 -13 3

Liverpool   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 21 7 14 1.6 1.9 6 8 7 34 40 26
2 18 West Ham 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 3 5 13 22 43 14
3 2 Man City 22 9 13 2.0 1.0 13 4 5 45 21 43
4 3 Aston Villa 21 8 13 1.6 1.1 13 4 4 33 24 43
5 4 Man United 22 9 13 1.7 1.5 9 8 5 38 32 35
6 5 Liverpool 21 8 13 1.5 1.3 10 5 6 32 28 35
7 7 Newcastle 21 8 13 1.5 1.3 9 5 7 32 27 32
8 8 Chelsea 21 8 13 1.6 1.1 8 7 6 34 24 31
9 14 Tottenham 21 8 13 1.4 1.3 7 6 8 30 27 27
10 16 Leeds 21 8 13 1.4 1.8 5 7 9 29 37 22
11 6 Brentford 21 9 12 1.7 1.3 10 3 8 35 28 33
12 17 Nott'm Forest 21 9 12 1.0 1.6 6 3 12 21 34 21
13 9 Fulham 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 9 4 8 30 30 31
14 11 Brighton 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 7 8 6 31 28 29
15 19 Burnley 21 10 11 1.0 2.0 3 4 14 22 41 13
16 1 Arsenal 21 11 10 1.9 0.7 15 4 2 40 14 49
17 20 Wolves 21 11 10 0.7 2.0 1 4 16 15 41 7
18 13 Crystal Palace 21 12 9 1.0 1.1 7 7 7 22 23 28
19 10 Sunderland 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 7 9 5 21 22 30
20 12 Everton 21 14 7 1.1 1.2 8 5 8 23 25 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Newcastle 11 3 8 2.0 1.4 7 2 2 22 15 23
2 18 West Ham 11 3 8 1.2 2.3 2 1 8 13 25 7
3 2 Man City 11 4 7 2.5 0.7 8 2 1 27 8 26
4 3 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.8 0.8 8 1 1 18 8 25
5 6 Brentford 11 4 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 1 23 10 24
6 16 Leeds 10 3 7 1.8 1.3 4 4 2 18 13 16
7 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
8 1 Arsenal 11 5 6 2.4 0.5 9 2 0 26 5 29
9 8 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
10 9 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.2 6 2 3 19 13 20
11 11 Brighton 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19
12 20 Wolves 10 4 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 8 10 23 4
13 5 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
14 12 Everton 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15
15 14 Tottenham 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 3 5 12 12 9
16 15 Bournemouth 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 16 11 19
17 4 Man United 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 6 3 2 20 13 21
18 10 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 5 0 16 8 20
19 13 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 2 6 3 10 12 12
20 19 Burnley 11 8 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 6 10 15 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man United 11 2 9 1.6 1.7 3 5 3 18 19 14
2 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
3 5 Liverpool 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 4 3 4 17 18 15
4 14 Tottenham 11 3 8 1.6 1.4 5 3 3 18 15 18
5 19 Burnley 10 2 8 1.2 2.6 1 1 8 12 26 4
6 8 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 4 4 3 19 13 16
7 2 Man City 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 2 4 18 13 17
8 3 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 3 3 15 16 18
9 16 Leeds 11 5 6 1.0 2.2 1 3 7 11 24 6
10 18 West Ham 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 5 9 18 7
11 6 Brentford 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 0 7 12 18 9
12 7 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
13 9 Fulham 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
14 11 Brighton 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 4 5 13 17 10
15 13 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 5 1 4 12 11 16
16 17 Nott'm Forest 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 6 9 17 11
17 1 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 6 2 2 14 9 20
18 20 Wolves 11 7 4 0.5 1.6 0 3 8 5 18 3
19 10 Sunderland 11 8 3 0.5 1.3 2 4 5 5 14 10
20 12 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51