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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Leeds 3–3 Liverpool

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.80 fair 2.43
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.14
Away 1.85 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Liverpool
12 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
14 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (146 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.14scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:26
Liverpool before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:21
Leeds all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.50
1.86 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 3.00
12.29 Shots 15.43
3.71 Shots on target 4.21
11.57 Shots faced 11.07
3.93 Corners 5.29
3.50 Corners against 5.14
10.64 Fouls 10.43
1.64 Yellow cards 1.86
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

29% Wins 50%
14% Draws 7%
57% Losses 43%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 64%
43% Over 3.5 goals 21%
14% Over 4.5 goals 21%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
57% Both teams scored 57%
14% Clean sheets 29%
36% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
43% Draws 29%
29% Losses 43%
79% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 21%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Liverpool all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.43scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:8
Liverpool before this match, away
1.29points / match
1.43scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:12
Leeds at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.43
1.14 Goals conceded 1.71
2.57 Total goals 3.14
15.71 Shots 14.00
4.43 Shots on target 3.57
10.43 Shots faced 11.29
4.71 Corners 5.00
3.00 Corners against 5.14
11.14 Fouls 11.29
2.00 Yellow cards 2.29
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

43% Wins 43%
29% Draws 0%
29% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 71%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 14%
57% Draws 29%
0% Losses 57%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Liverpool – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 1.365.257.00 1.57 2.38
30.11.25 West Ham – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.67 1.53 2.50
22.11.25 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–3 (0–1) 1.445.006.25 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
25.10.25 Brentford – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 4.104.201.75 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Liverpool – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 1.604.505.00 1.44 2.75
04.10.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
27.09.25 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Liverpool – Everton 2–1 (2–0) 1.454.756.50 1.62 2.30

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Leeds – Chelsea 3–1 (2–0) 4.104.101.80 1.83 2.03
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73
28.04.25E1 Leeds – Bristol City 4–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.75 1.83 2.03
21.04.25E1 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.04.25E1 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 West Ham – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.67 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
25.10.25 Brentford – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 4.104.201.75 1.53 2.50
04.10.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.752.30 1.53 2.50
27.09.25 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
25.08.25 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–3 (0–1) 3.253.802.05 1.57 2.38
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Chelsea – Liverpool 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.703.10 1.53 2.50
20.04.25 Leicester – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 11.006.251.22 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsLiverpool wins
4matches
4.75goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.04.23E0 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
29.10.22E0 Liverpool – Leeds 1–2 (1–1) 1.306.009.00 1.36 3.20
23.02.22E0 Liverpool – Leeds 6–0 (3–0) 1.168.0015.00 1.28 3.75
12.09.21E0 Leeds – Liverpool 0–3 (0–1) 4.334.001.75 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 10 3 2 28 9 +19 33
2 Man City 15 10 1 4 35 16 +19 31
3 Aston Villa 15 9 3 3 22 15 +7 30
4 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 25 15 +10 25
5 Everton 15 7 3 5 18 17 +1 24
6 Crystal Palace 14 6 5 3 18 11 +7 23
7 Sunderland 15 6 5 4 18 17 +1 23
8 Tottenham 15 6 4 5 25 18 +7 22
9 Brighton 14 6 4 4 24 20 +4 22
10 Newcastle 15 6 4 5 21 19 +2 22
11 Man United 14 6 4 4 22 21 +1 22
12 Liverpool 14 7 1 6 21 21 0 22
13 Bournemouth 15 5 5 5 21 24 -3 20
14 Brentford 15 6 1 8 21 24 -3 19
15 Fulham 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17
16 Nott'm Forest 15 4 3 8 14 25 -11 15
17 Leeds 14 4 2 8 16 26 -10 14
18 West Ham 14 3 3 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Burnley 15 3 1 11 16 30 -14 10
20 Wolves 14 0 2 12 7 29 -22 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 7 0 1 22 6 +16 21
2 Arsenal 7 6 1 0 18 2 +16 19
3 Aston Villa 8 6 1 1 13 6 +7 19
4 Brentford 7 5 1 1 15 8 +7 16
5 Newcastle 8 5 1 2 14 10 +4 16
6 Sunderland 7 4 3 0 14 7 +7 15
7 Bournemouth 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
8 Brighton 7 4 2 1 15 10 +5 14
9 Everton 8 4 2 2 11 9 +2 14
10 Fulham 7 4 1 2 13 8 +5 13
11 Man United 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
12 Liverpool 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
13 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 10 7 +3 11
14 Leeds 7 3 2 2 10 8 +2 11
15 Crystal Palace 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
16 Tottenham 8 2 2 4 10 9 +1 8
17 Burnley 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
18 Nott'm Forest 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7
19 West Ham 7 2 0 5 8 17 -9 6
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 6 17 -11 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 15 8 +7 14
2 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
3 Arsenal 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
4 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 9 4 +5 13
5 Aston Villa 7 3 2 2 9 9 0 11
6 Man City 7 3 1 3 13 10 +3 10
7 Everton 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
8 Liverpool 7 3 0 4 10 12 -2 9
9 Man United 7 2 3 2 10 13 -3 9
10 Brighton 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
11 Nott'm Forest 8 2 2 4 6 12 -6 8
12 Sunderland 8 2 2 4 4 10 -6 8
13 Newcastle 7 1 3 3 7 9 -2 6
14 West Ham 7 1 3 3 8 11 -3 6
15 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 11 19 -8 5
16 Fulham 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
17 Brentford 8 1 0 7 6 16 -10 3
18 Burnley 8 1 0 7 11 23 -12 3
19 Leeds 7 1 0 6 6 18 -12 3
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 1 12 -11 1

Leeds   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.3 1.1 10 1 4 35 16 31
2 8 Tottenham 15 5 10 1.7 1.2 6 4 5 25 18 22
3 10 Newcastle 15 5 10 1.4 1.3 6 4 5 21 19 22
4 17 Leeds 14 4 10 1.1 1.9 4 2 8 16 26 14
5 4 Chelsea 15 6 9 1.7 1.0 7 4 4 25 15 25
6 9 Brighton 14 5 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 4 24 20 22
7 11 Man United 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 6 4 4 22 21 22
8 12 Liverpool 14 5 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 6 21 21 22
9 13 Bournemouth 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 5 21 24 20
10 14 Brentford 15 6 9 1.4 1.6 6 1 8 21 24 19
11 18 West Ham 14 5 9 1.1 2.0 3 3 8 16 28 12
12 3 Aston Villa 15 7 8 1.5 1.0 9 3 3 22 15 30
13 16 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 4 3 8 14 25 15
14 19 Burnley 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 3 1 11 16 30 10
15 15 Fulham 14 7 7 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17
16 1 Arsenal 15 9 6 1.9 0.6 10 3 2 28 9 33
17 5 Everton 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 5 18 17 24
18 6 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.3 0.8 6 5 3 18 11 23
19 7 Sunderland 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 6 5 4 18 17 23
20 20 Wolves 14 8 6 0.5 2.1 0 2 12 7 29 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 8 2 6 2.8 0.8 7 0 1 22 6 21
2 9 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 4 2 1 15 10 14
3 10 Newcastle 8 2 6 1.8 1.2 5 1 2 14 10 16
4 3 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.6 0.8 6 1 1 13 6 19
5 14 Brentford 7 2 5 2.1 1.1 5 1 1 15 8 16
6 16 Nott'm Forest 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7
7 17 Leeds 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 3 2 2 10 8 11
8 18 West Ham 7 2 5 1.1 2.4 2 0 5 8 17 6
9 4 Chelsea 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 3 2 2 10 7 11
10 5 Everton 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 2 11 9 14
11 7 Sunderland 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 3 0 14 7 15
12 8 Tottenham 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 2 4 10 9 8
13 12 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
14 20 Wolves 7 3 4 0.9 2.4 0 1 6 6 17 1
15 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.6 0.3 6 1 0 18 2 19
16 6 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
17 11 Man United 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
18 13 Bournemouth 8 5 3 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
19 15 Fulham 7 4 3 1.9 1.1 4 1 2 13 8 13
20 19 Burnley 7 7 0 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 8 0 8 1.4 2.9 1 0 7 11 23 3
2 8 Tottenham 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
3 11 Man United 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 2 10 13 9
4 13 Bournemouth 7 1 6 1.6 2.7 1 2 4 11 19 5
5 4 Chelsea 8 3 5 1.9 1.0 4 2 2 15 8 14
6 12 Liverpool 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 0 4 10 12 9
7 17 Leeds 7 2 5 0.9 2.6 1 0 6 6 18 3
8 2 Man City 7 3 4 1.9 1.4 3 1 3 13 10 10
9 10 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 1 3 3 7 9 6
10 14 Brentford 8 4 4 0.8 2.0 1 0 7 6 16 3
11 15 Fulham 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
12 18 West Ham 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 1 3 3 8 11 6
13 1 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
14 3 Aston Villa 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 2 9 9 11
15 6 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 4 1 2 9 4 13
16 9 Brighton 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
17 16 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 2 2 4 6 12 8
18 5 Everton 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
19 7 Sunderland 8 6 2 0.5 1.2 2 2 4 4 10 8
20 20 Wolves 7 5 2 0.1 1.7 0 1 6 1 12 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51