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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.65 fair 2.20
Draw 4.33 fair 4.35
Away 4.50 fair 3.16
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.68
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Bournemouth
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
1.10 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
1 Corners 7
7 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (51 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.57
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 9.1% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
2.00scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:12
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:8
Chelsea all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.20
2.40 Goals conceded 1.60
4.40 Total goals 2.80
1.35 xG created 1.34
1.77 xG allowed 1.41
14.40 Shots 13.60
5.20 Shots on target 5.20
14.40 Shots faced 10.80
6.60 Corners 4.20
5.20 Corners against 4.60
8.60 Fouls 12.00
1.80 Yellow cards 2.80
1.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 0%
20% Draws 60%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
100% Over 2.5 goals 60%
60% Over 3.5 goals 40%
40% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 80%
0% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 60%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 40%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:5
Bournemouth before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:4
Chelsea at home away Bournemouth

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded 2.00
5.50 Total goals 3.50
1.92 xG created 1.00
1.39 xG allowed 1.54
14.50 Shots 11.00
6.50 Shots on target 4.50
14.50 Shots faced 10.50
7.00 Corners 3.00
5.50 Corners against 6.00
6.50 Fouls 14.00
1.00 Yellow cards 2.50
2.00 1st-half goals scored 1.50
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.09.26 Brentford – Chelsea 3–0 (0–0) 2.553.802.45 1.50 2.63
12.09.26 Chelsea – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 3.00
06.09.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.73 2.10
30.08.26 Chelsea – Brighton 4–3 (3–1) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.30
24.08.26 Fulham – Chelsea 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.801.90 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Sunderland – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
19.05.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
09.05.26 Liverpool – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 1.834.003.90 1.44 2.75
04.05.26 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.67 2.20
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.50 2.63
12.09.26 Bournemouth – Brentford 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.602.70 1.62 2.30
05.09.26 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
29.08.26 Bournemouth – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 1.91 1.91
23.08.26 Man City – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
24.05.26 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.752.05 1.57 2.38
19.05.26 Bournemouth – Man City 1–1 (1–0) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
09.05.26 Fulham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
03.05.26 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 3–0 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Bournemouth – Leeds 2–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.73 2.10

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Chelsea – Hull 2–2 (1–2) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 3.00
30.08.26 Chelsea – Brighton 4–3 (3–1) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.30
19.05.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
04.05.26 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
31.01.26 Chelsea – West Ham 3–2 (0–2) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
23.08.26 Man City – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
24.05.26 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.752.05 1.57 2.38
09.05.26 Fulham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
18.04.26 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.50 2.63
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 West Ham – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
10.02.26 Everton – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.88 1.98
31.01.26 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.502.30 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsBournemouth wins
8matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25E0 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
06.12.25E0 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
14.01.25E0 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
14.09.24E0 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
19.05.24E0 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.455.006.00 1.29 3.75
17.09.23E0 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
06.05.23E0 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
27.12.22E0 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.20

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 5 5 0 0 13 5 +8 15
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10 5 +5 15
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16 5 +11 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10 4 +6 9
5 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8 5 +3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6 3 +3 9
8 Hull 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
9 Newcastle 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10 12 -2 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7 11 -4 6
12 Man United 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5
13 Nott'm Forest 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6 11 -5 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6 8 -2 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1 10 -9 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 7 2 +5 9
2 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 4 +4 9
3 Brighton 3 2 1 0 8 1 +7 7
4 Brentford 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
5 Everton 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
6 Leeds 3 1 2 0 5 2 +3 5
7 Newcastle 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
8 Hull 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
9 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
10 Man United 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
11 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
12 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
13 Liverpool 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
15 Fulham 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
16 Nott'm Forest 3 0 1 2 0 2 -2 1
17 Tottenham 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
18 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
19 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
20 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6
4 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
5 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
6 Leeds 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
7 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
8 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
9 Brighton 2 1 0 1 8 4 +4 3
10 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
11 Ipswich 3 1 0 2 5 8 -3 3
12 Chelsea 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
13 Coventry 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
14 Brentford 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Everton 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
16 Man United 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
17 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Fulham 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1

Chelsea   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Chelsea 5 0 5 2.0 2.4 2 1 2 10 12 7
2 2 Arsenal 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 5 0 1 10 5 15
3 3 Brighton 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 1 1 16 5 10
4 9 Newcastle 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
5 1 Man City 5 2 3 2.6 1.0 5 0 0 13 5 15
6 4 Brentford 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 2 3 0 10 4 9
7 11 Ipswich 5 2 3 1.4 2.2 2 0 3 7 11 6
8 15 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 3 6 11 4
9 16 Aston Villa 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
10 17 Bournemouth 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 0 3 2 6 8 3
11 5 Leeds 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 3 1 8 5 9
12 6 Liverpool 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
13 8 Hull 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
14 12 Man United 5 3 2 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5
15 13 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 14 Sunderland 5 3 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
17 18 Coventry 5 3 2 0.2 2.0 1 0 4 1 10 3
18 19 Fulham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
19 20 Tottenham 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
20 7 Everton 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 3 0 6 3 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Arsenal 3 0 3 2.3 0.7 3 0 0 7 2 9
2 9 Newcastle 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
3 1 Man City 3 1 2 2.7 1.3 3 0 0 8 4 9
4 3 Brighton 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 2 1 0 8 1 7
5 4 Brentford 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
6 10 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
7 15 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
8 19 Fulham 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
9 5 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 1 2 0 5 2 5
10 6 Liverpool 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
11 7 Everton 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
12 11 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
13 12 Man United 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
14 16 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
15 17 Bournemouth 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 18 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
17 20 Tottenham 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
18 8 Hull 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 13 Nott'm Forest 3 3 0 0.0 0.7 0 1 2 0 2 1
20 14 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Chelsea 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
2 3 Brighton 2 0 2 4.0 2.0 1 0 1 8 4 3
3 8 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
4 11 Ipswich 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 1 0 2 5 8 3
5 13 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
6 14 Sunderland 3 1 2 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
7 16 Aston Villa 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
8 17 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
9 1 Man City 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
10 2 Arsenal 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6
11 4 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
12 5 Leeds 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
13 6 Liverpool 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
14 9 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
15 12 Man United 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
16 15 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
17 18 Coventry 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
18 20 Tottenham 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
19 7 Everton 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
20 19 Fulham 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44