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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Chelsea 4–3 Brighton

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.83 fair 2.26
Draw 4.00 fair 4.15
Away 4.00 fair 3.15
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Brighton
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
2.93 Expected goals (xG) 1.40
4 Corners 7
6 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (15 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 3:2
Brighton before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 4:0
Chelsea all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 4.00
2.00 Goals conceded 0.00
5.00 Total goals 4.00
1.70 xG created 3.77
1.35 xG allowed 0.28
18.00 Shots 21.00
6.00 Shots on target 6.00
14.00 Shots faced 6.00
4.00 Corners 5.00
6.00 Corners against 2.00
7.00 Fouls 12.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
2.00 1st-half goals scored 4.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 100%
100% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Brighton all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home

No matches yet this season.

Brighton before this match, away

No matches yet this season.

Chelsea at home away Brighton

Per match

How often Full Time

How often Half Time

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.26 Fulham – Chelsea 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.801.90 1.67 2.20
24.05.26 Sunderland – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
19.05.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
09.05.26 Liverpool – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 1.834.003.90 1.44 2.75
04.05.26 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.67 2.20
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
21.03.26 Everton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.10 1.83 2.03
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.26 Brighton – Aston Villa 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.603.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
09.05.26 Brighton – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
02.05.26 Newcastle – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.60 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Tottenham – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.752.40 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Sunderland – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.73

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.26 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
04.05.26 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Chelsea – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.57 2.38
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
31.01.26 Chelsea – West Ham 3–2 (0–2) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 Chelsea – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.30
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Newcastle – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.60 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Tottenham – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.752.40 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Burnley – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Sunderland – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Brentford – Brighton 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.703.50 1.80 2.00
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.73 2.10
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsBrighton wins
10matches
3.60goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26E0 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
27.09.25E0 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
14.02.25E0 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
28.09.24E0 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
15.05.24E0 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00
03.12.23E0 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
15.04.23E0 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
29.10.22E0 Brighton – Chelsea 4–1 (3–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.72
18.01.22E0 Brighton – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72
29.12.21E0 Chelsea – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.507.50 1.93 1.97

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
2 Hull 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
3 Newcastle 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
4 Everton 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
5 Brighton 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
6 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
7 Brentford 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
8 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
9 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
10 Leeds 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Liverpool 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
12 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
13 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
14 Fulham 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
15 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
16 Man United 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
17 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0
18 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
19 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0
20 Tottenham 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brighton 1 1 0 0 4 0 +4 3
2 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
3 Brentford 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Everton 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
5 Hull 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Man City 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Liverpool 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 Newcastle 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
10 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Aston Villa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Chelsea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Leeds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Man United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Sunderland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Fulham 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
17 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
18 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
20 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
2 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
3 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
4 Hull 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
5 Leeds 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 Liverpool 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
7 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
8 Everton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
9 Arsenal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Brentford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 Fulham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Ipswich 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
15 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
16 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
17 Man United 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
18 Coventry 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
19 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
20 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0

Chelsea   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
2 11 Liverpool 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
3 3 Newcastle 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
4 5 Brighton 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
5 6 Arsenal 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
6 7 Brentford 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
7 8 Chelsea 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
8 9 Ipswich 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 12 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
10 13 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
11 14 Fulham 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
12 15 Sunderland 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 17 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
14 18 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
15 19 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0
16 20 Tottenham 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
17 2 Hull 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
18 4 Everton 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
19 10 Leeds 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
20 16 Man United 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
2 3 Newcastle 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
3 5 Brighton 1 0 1 4.0 0.0 1 0 0 4 0 3
4 6 Arsenal 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
5 7 Brentford 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
6 9 Ipswich 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
7 11 Liverpool 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
8 14 Fulham 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
9 19 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
10 2 Hull 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
11 4 Everton 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
12 8 Chelsea 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 10 Leeds 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 12 Bournemouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
15 13 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
16 15 Sunderland 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 16 Man United 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 17 Aston Villa 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 18 Coventry 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
20 20 Tottenham 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
2 8 Chelsea 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
3 11 Liverpool 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
4 12 Bournemouth 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
5 13 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
6 15 Sunderland 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
7 17 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0
8 18 Coventry 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
9 20 Tottenham 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
10 2 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
11 3 Newcastle 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
12 4 Everton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
13 5 Brighton 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 6 Arsenal 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 7 Brentford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 9 Ipswich 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 10 Leeds 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
18 14 Fulham 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 16 Man United 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
20 19 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51