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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Bramall

Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.00 fair 2.26
Draw 3.75 fair 4.39
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.79
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Bournemouth
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 3
11 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (320 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.52
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.41scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 45:47
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.50scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 48:49
Newcastle all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.50
1.47 Goals conceded 1.53
2.88 Total goals 3.03
13.00 Shots 13.84
4.66 Shots on target 4.75
11.91 Shots faced 12.75
6.53 Corners 5.56
4.94 Corners against 5.47
10.31 Fouls 12.03
1.66 Yellow cards 2.31
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

38% Wins 31%
19% Draws 47%
44% Losses 22%
88% Over 0.5 goals 84%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
66% Over 2.5 goals 56%
34% Over 3.5 goals 47%
19% Over 4.5 goals 25%
3% Over 5.5 goals 9%
66% Both teams scored 66%
25% Clean sheets 28%
22% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
31% Draws 41%
31% Losses 28%
72% Over 0.5 goals 72%
34% Over 1.5 goals 44%
25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.63points / match
1.81scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:26
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.19points / match
1.56scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:32
Newcastle at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.56
1.63 Goals conceded 2.00
3.44 Total goals 3.56
14.50 Shots 13.19
5.56 Shots on target 5.00
11.69 Shots faced 16.44
7.25 Corners 5.63
5.00 Corners against 6.69
11.06 Fouls 12.38
1.44 Yellow cards 2.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
13% Draws 44%
38% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
94% Over 1.5 goals 81%
75% Over 2.5 goals 69%
38% Over 3.5 goals 56%
25% Over 4.5 goals 31%
6% Over 5.5 goals 19%
75% Both teams scored 69%
19% Clean sheets 25%
6% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
31% Draws 31%
31% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
38% Over 1.5 goals 56%
19% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 3.003.602.20 1.73 2.10
22.03.26 Newcastle – Sunderland 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
28.02.26 Newcastle – Everton 2–3 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.602.20 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Newcastle – Brentford 2–3 (1–2) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.904.10 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
20.03.26 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
03.03.26 Bournemouth – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.602.63 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Bournemouth – Sunderland 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.754.33 1.80 2.00
21.02.26 West Ham – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
10.02.26 Everton – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
31.01.26 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.502.30 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Bournemouth – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 3.753.801.90 1.62 2.30

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Newcastle – Sunderland 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.88 1.98
04.03.26 Newcastle – Man United 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.57 2.38
28.02.26 Newcastle – Everton 2–3 (1–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Newcastle – Brentford 2–3 (1–2) 2.103.503.50 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 West Ham – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
10.02.26 Everton – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.403.00 1.88 1.98
31.01.26 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.502.30 1.73 2.10
19.01.26 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.50 2.63
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
27.12.25 Brentford – Bournemouth 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
29.11.25 Sunderland – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 3.203.302.30 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsBournemouth wins
7matches
2.43goals / match
29%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
18.01.25E0 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
25.08.24E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
17.02.24E0 Newcastle – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–0) 1.834.203.75 1.48 2.60
11.11.23E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
11.02.23E0 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.001.53 2.04 1.86
17.09.22E0 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Man City 31 19 7 5 63 28 +35 64
3 Man United 32 15 10 7 57 45 +12 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43 38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52 42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 32 13 9 10 53 41 +12 48
7 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 44 +4 48
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39 37 +2 47
9 Brighton 32 12 10 10 43 37 +6 46
10 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33 36 -3 46
11 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48 49 -1 45
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43 46 -3 45
13 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35 36 -1 42
14 Newcastle 32 12 6 14 45 47 -2 42
15 Leeds 32 8 12 12 39 49 -10 36
16 Nott'm Forest 32 8 9 15 32 44 -12 33
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 40 57 -17 32
18 Tottenham 32 7 9 16 40 51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33 63 -30 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Man United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29
7 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
8 Brentford 17 7 7 3 28 19 +9 28
9 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Newcastle 16 8 2 6 29 26 +3 26
12 Chelsea 16 6 5 5 23 20 +3 23
13 Leeds 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
14 Everton 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
17 Nott'm Forest 16 3 6 7 14 20 -6 15
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Man City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28
3 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
4 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 0 25
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
7 Man United 16 5 7 4 26 26 0 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Brighton 16 5 4 7 19 20 -1 19
12 Bournemouth 16 4 7 5 25 32 -7 19
13 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
14 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 10 22 -12 17
15 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16
17 Fulham 17 4 4 9 16 27 -11 16
18 Leeds 16 2 7 7 17 29 -12 13
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

Newcastle   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Chelsea 32 11 21 1.7 1.3 13 9 10 53 41 48
2 14 Newcastle 32 11 21 1.4 1.5 12 6 14 45 47 42
3 18 Tottenham 32 11 21 1.2 1.6 7 9 16 40 51 30
4 3 Man United 32 12 20 1.8 1.4 15 10 7 57 45 55
5 2 Man City 31 12 19 2.0 0.9 19 7 5 63 28 64
6 5 Liverpool 32 13 19 1.6 1.3 15 7 10 52 42 52
7 17 West Ham 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 40 57 32
8 11 Bournemouth 32 14 18 1.5 1.5 10 15 7 48 49 45
9 12 Fulham 33 15 18 1.3 1.4 13 6 14 43 46 45
10 1 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.9 0.8 21 7 4 62 24 70
11 15 Leeds 32 15 17 1.2 1.5 8 12 12 39 49 36
12 7 Brentford 33 17 16 1.5 1.3 13 9 11 48 44 48
13 16 Nott'm Forest 32 16 16 1.0 1.4 8 9 15 32 44 33
14 19 Burnley 32 16 16 1.0 2.0 4 8 20 33 63 20
15 4 Aston Villa 32 17 15 1.3 1.2 16 7 9 43 38 55
16 13 Crystal Palace 31 16 15 1.1 1.2 11 9 11 35 36 42
17 20 Wolves 32 17 15 0.8 1.8 3 8 21 24 58 17
18 9 Brighton 32 18 14 1.3 1.2 12 10 10 43 37 46
19 10 Sunderland 32 19 13 1.0 1.1 12 10 10 33 36 46
20 8 Everton 32 20 12 1.2 1.2 13 8 11 39 37 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 16 4 12 1.8 1.6 8 2 6 29 26 26
2 18 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.1 1.8 2 4 10 18 28 10
3 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
4 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
5 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29
6 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16
7 6 Chelsea 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 23 20 23
8 7 Brentford 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 3 28 19 28
9 15 Leeds 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
10 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
11 3 Man United 16 8 8 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33
12 4 Aston Villa 16 8 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 4 23 15 32
13 5 Liverpool 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 3 29 17 31
14 9 Brighton 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
15 8 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22
16 10 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 5 3 23 14 29
17 11 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26
18 13 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 19 19
19 16 Nott'm Forest 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 7 14 20 15
20 19 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 9 15 25 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 5 7 4 26 26 22
2 6 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 30 21 25
3 5 Liverpool 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 6 3 7 23 25 21
4 11 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.6 2.0 4 7 5 25 32 19
5 19 Burnley 16 5 11 1.1 2.4 2 3 11 18 38 9
6 18 Tottenham 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 22 23 20
7 2 Man City 16 7 9 1.7 1.1 8 4 4 27 17 28
8 14 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
9 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18
10 17 West Ham 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16
11 12 Fulham 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 16 27 16
12 13 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
13 15 Leeds 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 2 7 7 17 29 13
14 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
15 4 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 5 20 23 23
16 7 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
17 9 Brighton 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 7 19 20 19
18 10 Sunderland 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 4 5 7 10 22 17
19 20 Wolves 16 10 6 0.4 1.7 0 5 11 7 27 5
20 8 Everton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51