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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Chelsea 0–3 Man City

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.10 fair 2.75
Draw 3.80 fair 4.06
Away ✓ 2.15 fair 2.57
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.27
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Man City
12 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
4 Corners 12
10 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (317 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.71scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 53:38
Man City before this match, all matches
2.03points / match
2.00scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 60:28
Chelsea all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 2.00
1.23 Goals conceded 0.93
2.94 Total goals 2.93
13.74 Shots 14.77
4.68 Shots on target 5.23
10.81 Shots faced 9.77
6.23 Corners 5.77
4.13 Corners against 3.70
10.97 Fouls 9.93
2.29 Yellow cards 1.87
0.77 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

42% Wins 60%
29% Draws 23%
29% Losses 17%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 87%
65% Over 2.5 goals 60%
35% Over 3.5 goals 23%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 7%
65% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 40%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 67%
29% Draws 27%
26% Losses 7%
81% Over 0.5 goals 80%
35% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Man City all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.53scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:17
Man City before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.60scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:17
Chelsea at home away Man City

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.60
1.13 Goals conceded 1.13
2.67 Total goals 2.73
15.00 Shots 13.47
4.33 Shots on target 4.20
10.40 Shots faced 10.33
7.07 Corners 4.87
3.73 Corners against 4.20
10.73 Fouls 9.47
2.07 Yellow cards 2.27
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

40% Wins 47%
33% Draws 27%
27% Losses 27%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 73%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
60% Both teams scored 53%
33% Clean sheets 33%
13% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 53%
33% Draws 40%
13% Losses 7%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Everton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.10 1.83 2.03
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
04.03.26 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–4 (1–2) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
07.02.26 Wolves – Chelsea 1–3 (0–3) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Chelsea – West Ham 3–2 (0–2) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
25.01.26 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (0–1) 3.503.802.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Chelsea – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.30

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 West Ham – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.334.331.70 1.53 2.50
04.03.26 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.38
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Man City – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.365.507.00 1.53 2.50
08.02.26 Liverpool – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 2.383.702.75 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Tottenham – Man City 2–2 (0–2) 4.504.101.73 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Man City – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.40 3.00
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Chelsea – Newcastle 0–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
10.02.26 Chelsea – Leeds 2–2 (1–0) 1.554.335.50 1.62 2.30
31.01.26 Chelsea – West Ham 3–2 (0–2) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 Chelsea – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.30
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
27.12.25 Chelsea – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Chelsea – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.805.25 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
08.11.25 Chelsea – Wolves 3–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.50 1.62 2.30

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 West Ham – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.334.331.70 1.53 2.50
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
08.02.26 Liverpool – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 2.383.702.75 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Tottenham – Man City 2–2 (0–2) 4.504.101.73 1.62 2.30
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50
01.01.26 Sunderland – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 7.504.751.38 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.901.85 1.67 2.20
02.12.25 Fulham – Man City 4–5 (1–3) 4.334.101.73 1.67 2.20
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsMan City wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
22%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.754.50 1.50 2.63
25.01.25E0 Man City – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.30 1.40 3.00
18.08.24E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
17.02.24E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
12.11.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
21.05.23E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63
05.01.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
25.09.21E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Man City 30 18 7 5 60 28 +32 61
3 Man United 31 15 10 6 56 43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43 38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52 42 +10 52
6 Chelsea 31 13 9 9 53 38 +15 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48 44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39 37 +2 47
9 Brighton 32 12 10 10 43 37 +6 46
10 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33 36 -3 46
11 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48 49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43 46 -3 44
13 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35 36 -1 42
14 Newcastle 32 12 6 14 45 47 -2 42
15 Leeds 31 7 12 12 37 48 -11 33
16 Nott'm Forest 32 8 9 15 32 44 -12 33
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 40 57 -17 32
18 Tottenham 32 7 9 16 40 51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33 63 -30 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Man United 15 10 3 2 30 17 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29
7 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
8 Brentford 16 7 6 3 28 19 +9 27
9 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Newcastle 16 8 2 6 29 26 +3 26
12 Chelsea 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
13 Leeds 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
14 Everton 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
17 Nott'm Forest 16 3 6 7 14 20 -6 15
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
3 Man City 15 7 4 4 24 17 +7 25
4 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 0 25
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
7 Man United 16 5 7 4 26 26 0 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Brighton 16 5 4 7 19 20 -1 19
12 Bournemouth 16 4 7 5 25 32 -7 19
13 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
14 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 10 22 -12 17
15 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16
17 Fulham 16 4 3 9 16 27 -11 15
18 Leeds 15 1 7 7 15 28 -13 10
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

Chelsea   Man City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 32 11 21 1.4 1.5 12 6 14 45 47 42
2 18 Tottenham 32 11 21 1.2 1.6 7 9 16 40 51 30
3 6 Chelsea 31 11 20 1.7 1.2 13 9 9 53 38 48
4 3 Man United 31 12 19 1.8 1.4 15 10 6 56 43 55
5 5 Liverpool 32 13 19 1.6 1.3 15 7 10 52 42 52
6 17 West Ham 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 40 57 32
7 2 Man City 30 12 18 2.0 0.9 18 7 5 60 28 61
8 11 Bournemouth 32 14 18 1.5 1.5 10 15 7 48 49 45
9 12 Fulham 32 14 18 1.3 1.4 13 5 14 43 46 44
10 1 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.9 0.8 21 7 4 62 24 70
11 7 Brentford 32 16 16 1.5 1.4 13 8 11 48 44 47
12 15 Leeds 31 15 16 1.2 1.5 7 12 12 37 48 33
13 16 Nott'm Forest 32 16 16 1.0 1.4 8 9 15 32 44 33
14 19 Burnley 32 16 16 1.0 2.0 4 8 20 33 63 20
15 4 Aston Villa 32 17 15 1.3 1.2 16 7 9 43 38 55
16 13 Crystal Palace 31 16 15 1.1 1.2 11 9 11 35 36 42
17 20 Wolves 32 17 15 0.8 1.8 3 8 21 24 58 17
18 9 Brighton 32 18 14 1.3 1.2 12 10 10 43 37 46
19 10 Sunderland 32 19 13 1.0 1.1 12 10 10 33 36 46
20 8 Everton 32 20 12 1.2 1.2 13 8 11 39 37 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 16 4 12 1.8 1.6 8 2 6 29 26 26
2 18 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.1 1.8 2 4 10 18 28 10
3 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
4 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
5 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29
6 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16
7 7 Brentford 16 7 9 1.8 1.2 7 6 3 28 19 27
8 15 Leeds 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
9 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
10 4 Aston Villa 16 8 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 4 23 15 32
11 5 Liverpool 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 3 29 17 31
12 6 Chelsea 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
13 9 Brighton 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
14 3 Man United 15 8 7 2.0 1.1 10 3 2 30 17 33
15 8 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22
16 10 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 5 3 23 14 29
17 11 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26
18 13 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 19 19
19 16 Nott'm Forest 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 7 14 20 15
20 19 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 9 15 25 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 5 7 4 26 26 22
2 6 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 30 21 25
3 5 Liverpool 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 6 3 7 23 25 21
4 11 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.6 2.0 4 7 5 25 32 19
5 19 Burnley 16 5 11 1.1 2.4 2 3 11 18 38 9
6 18 Tottenham 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 22 23 20
7 14 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
8 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18
9 17 West Ham 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16
10 2 Man City 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 4 4 24 17 25
11 12 Fulham 16 8 8 1.0 1.7 4 3 9 16 27 15
12 13 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
13 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
14 4 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 5 20 23 23
15 7 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
16 15 Leeds 15 8 7 1.0 1.9 1 7 7 15 28 10
17 9 Brighton 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 7 19 20 19
18 10 Sunderland 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 4 5 7 10 22 17
19 20 Wolves 16 10 6 0.4 1.7 0 5 11 7 27 5
20 8 Everton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44