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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 2–1 Lyon

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.33 fair 2.67
Draw 4.00 fair 3.98
Away 1.73 fair 2.67
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Lyon
14 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 8
20 Fouls 9
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (287 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawLyon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 2–1 8.4% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.41scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 45:45
Lyon before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.63scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 52:34
Toulouse all matches all matches Lyon

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.63
1.41 Goals conceded 1.06
2.81 Total goals 2.69
12.81 Shots 11.97
4.28 Shots on target 4.72
12.03 Shots faced 11.84
4.38 Corners 5.38
5.03 Corners against 4.84
14.19 Fouls 13.22
2.22 Yellow cards 1.81
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.84
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.34

How often Full Time

34% Wins 56%
25% Draws 19%
41% Losses 25%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
66% Over 1.5 goals 63%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
34% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 22%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
47% Both teams scored 50%
28% Clean sheets 47%
31% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 47%
34% Draws 41%
41% Losses 13%
72% Over 0.5 goals 69%
34% Over 1.5 goals 31%
9% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Lyon all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.44scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:23
Lyon before this match, away
1.44points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:20
Toulouse at home away Lyon

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.38
1.44 Goals conceded 1.25
2.88 Total goals 2.63
14.75 Shots 10.56
4.75 Shots on target 4.69
9.75 Shots faced 13.56
4.94 Corners 5.06
4.13 Corners against 5.88
13.56 Fouls 12.94
1.63 Yellow cards 1.94
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

31% Wins 38%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 31%
88% Over 0.5 goals 75%
63% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
38% Both teams scored 50%
38% Clean sheets 44%
38% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 50%
38% Draws 31%
44% Losses 19%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Lyon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Strasbourg – Toulouse 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.83 2.03
25.04.26 Toulouse – Monaco 2–2 (0–2) 3.303.802.05 1.67 2.20
17.04.26 Lens – Toulouse 3–2 (0–2) 1.504.505.75 1.67 2.20
12.04.26 Toulouse – Lille 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 2.20 1.67
03.04.26 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2511.00 1.44 2.75
21.03.26 Toulouse – Lorient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Metz – Toulouse 3–4 (2–3) 4.003.401.95 2.20 1.67
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 Rennes – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.70 1.88 1.98
21.02.26 Toulouse – Paris FC 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.50 2.20 1.67

Lyon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Lyon – Rennes 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.502.88 1.67 2.20
25.04.26 Lyon – Auxerre 3–2 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
19.04.26 Paris SG – Lyon 1–2 (0–2) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
12.04.26 Lyon – Lorient 2–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 1.91 1.91
05.04.26 Angers – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.601.80 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Lyon – Monaco 1–2 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.73 2.10
15.03.26 Le Havre – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.402.00 2.10 1.73
08.03.26 Lyon – Paris FC 1–1 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 1.80 2.00
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
22.02.26 Strasbourg – Lyon 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.80 2.00

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.26 Toulouse – Monaco 2–2 (0–2) 3.303.802.05 1.67 2.20
12.04.26 Toulouse – Lille 0–4 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 2.20 1.67
21.03.26 Toulouse – Lorient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
21.02.26 Toulouse – Paris FC 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.50 2.20 1.67
01.02.26 Toulouse – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
17.01.26 Toulouse – Nice 5–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.95
02.01.26 Toulouse – Lens 0–3 (0–0) 2.453.102.55 2.00 1.80
06.12.25 Toulouse – Strasbourg 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 Toulouse – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.80

Lyon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Paris SG – Lyon 1–2 (0–2) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
05.04.26 Angers – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.601.80 2.20 1.67
15.03.26 Le Havre – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.402.00 2.10 1.73
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
22.02.26 Strasbourg – Lyon 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Nantes – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.73 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Monaco – Lyon 1–3 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.38
07.12.25 Lorient – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.91 1.91
23.11.25 Auxerre – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.402.00 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsLyon wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
71%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25F1 Lyon – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.704.00 1.80 2.00
18.01.25F1 Lyon – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.904.00 1.73 2.10
29.09.24F1 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.402.88 1.84 2.06
15.03.24F1 Toulouse – Lyon 2–3 (0–1) 2.883.202.60 2.08 1.82
10.12.23F1 Lyon – Toulouse 3–0 (2–0) 2.003.503.80 1.75 2.05
14.04.23F1 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.57 2.38
07.10.22F1 Lyon – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 31 22 4 5 70 27 +43 70
2 Lens 32 21 4 7 62 33 +29 67
3 Lyon 32 18 6 8 52 34 +18 60
4 Lille 32 17 7 8 51 35 +16 58
5 Rennes 32 16 8 8 56 46 +10 56
6 Monaco 32 16 6 10 56 48 +8 54
7 Marseille 32 16 5 11 59 44 +15 53
8 Strasbourg 31 13 7 11 50 41 +9 46
9 Lorient 32 10 12 10 44 49 -5 42
10 Toulouse 32 11 8 13 45 45 0 41
11 Paris FC 32 10 11 11 44 47 -3 41
12 Brest 31 10 8 13 41 51 -10 38
13 Angers 32 9 7 16 27 46 -19 34
14 Le Havre 32 6 14 12 30 43 -13 32
15 Nice 32 7 10 15 36 58 -22 31
16 Auxerre 32 6 10 16 30 43 -13 28
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29 52 -23 23
18 Metz 32 3 7 22 32 72 -40 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 16 14 0 2 35 11 +24 42
2 Paris SG 16 12 2 2 40 12 +28 38
3 Lyon 16 12 1 3 30 14 +16 37
4 Marseille 16 10 4 2 38 19 +19 34
5 Monaco 16 10 2 4 33 22 +11 32
6 Rennes 16 9 4 3 28 16 +12 31
7 Lorient 16 8 6 2 31 23 +8 30
8 Lille 16 8 5 3 24 15 +9 29
9 Strasbourg 16 8 3 5 25 15 +10 27
10 Brest 15 7 4 4 26 20 +6 25
11 Le Havre 16 5 8 3 20 17 +3 23
12 Paris FC 16 6 4 6 26 26 0 22
13 Angers 16 6 4 6 17 19 -2 22
14 Toulouse 16 5 6 5 23 23 0 21
15 Auxerre 16 5 4 7 16 16 0 19
16 Nice 16 4 7 5 19 27 -8 19
17 Nantes 16 3 3 10 18 27 -9 12
18 Metz 16 2 4 10 15 28 -13 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 10 2 3 30 15 +15 32
2 Lille 16 9 2 5 27 20 +7 29
3 Lens 16 7 4 5 27 22 +5 25
4 Rennes 16 7 4 5 28 30 -2 25
5 Lyon 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
6 Monaco 16 6 4 6 23 26 -3 22
7 Toulouse 16 6 2 8 22 22 0 20
8 Strasbourg 15 5 4 6 25 26 -1 19
9 Paris FC 16 4 7 5 18 21 -3 19
10 Marseille 16 6 1 9 21 25 -4 19
11 Brest 16 3 4 9 15 31 -16 13
12 Lorient 16 2 6 8 13 26 -13 12
13 Nice 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
14 Angers 16 3 3 10 10 27 -17 12
15 Nantes 17 2 5 10 11 25 -14 11
16 Auxerre 16 1 6 9 14 27 -13 9
17 Le Havre 16 1 6 9 10 26 -16 9
18 Metz 16 1 3 12 17 44 -27 6

Toulouse   Lyon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Rennes 32 10 22 1.8 1.4 16 8 8 56 46 56
2 2 Lens 32 11 21 1.9 1.0 21 4 7 62 33 67
3 6 Monaco 32 11 21 1.8 1.5 16 6 10 56 48 54
4 1 Paris SG 31 11 20 2.3 0.9 22 4 5 70 27 70
5 7 Marseille 32 12 20 1.8 1.4 16 5 11 59 44 53
6 8 Strasbourg 31 11 20 1.6 1.3 13 7 11 50 41 46
7 18 Metz 32 12 20 1.0 2.2 3 7 22 32 72 16
8 3 Lyon 32 15 17 1.6 1.1 18 6 8 52 34 60
9 10 Toulouse 32 15 17 1.4 1.4 11 8 13 45 45 41
10 11 Paris FC 32 15 17 1.4 1.5 10 11 11 44 47 41
11 12 Brest 31 15 16 1.3 1.6 10 8 13 41 51 38
12 15 Nice 32 16 16 1.1 1.8 7 10 15 36 58 31
13 17 Nantes 33 18 15 0.9 1.6 5 8 20 29 52 23
14 9 Lorient 32 18 14 1.4 1.5 10 12 10 44 49 42
15 16 Auxerre 32 18 14 0.9 1.3 6 10 16 30 43 28
16 4 Lille 32 19 13 1.6 1.1 17 7 8 51 35 58
17 14 Le Havre 32 21 11 0.9 1.3 6 14 12 30 43 32
18 13 Angers 32 22 10 0.8 1.4 9 7 16 27 46 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 16 4 12 2.5 0.8 12 2 2 40 12 38
2 6 Monaco 16 5 11 2.1 1.4 10 2 4 33 22 32
3 7 Marseille 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 4 2 38 19 34
4 2 Lens 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 14 0 2 35 11 42
5 5 Rennes 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 4 3 28 16 31
6 8 Strasbourg 16 6 10 1.6 0.9 8 3 5 25 15 27
7 11 Paris FC 16 6 10 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 26 26 22
8 3 Lyon 16 7 9 1.9 0.9 12 1 3 30 14 37
9 9 Lorient 16 7 9 1.9 1.4 8 6 2 31 23 30
10 10 Toulouse 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 6 5 23 23 21
11 18 Metz 16 8 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 10 15 28 10
12 12 Brest 15 8 7 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 20 25
13 14 Le Havre 16 9 7 1.2 1.1 5 8 3 20 17 23
14 15 Nice 16 9 7 1.2 1.7 4 7 5 19 27 19
15 16 Auxerre 16 9 7 1.0 1.0 5 4 7 16 16 19
16 17 Nantes 16 9 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 10 18 27 12
17 4 Lille 16 11 5 1.5 0.9 8 5 3 24 15 29
18 13 Angers 16 12 4 1.1 1.2 6 4 6 17 19 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Rennes 16 4 12 1.8 1.9 7 4 5 28 30 25
2 18 Metz 16 4 12 1.1 2.8 1 3 12 17 44 6
3 2 Lens 16 5 11 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 22 25
4 6 Monaco 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 6 4 6 23 26 22
5 8 Strasbourg 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 5 4 6 25 26 19
6 7 Marseille 16 7 9 1.3 1.6 6 1 9 21 25 19
7 10 Toulouse 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 2 8 22 22 20
8 12 Brest 16 7 9 0.9 1.9 3 4 9 15 31 13
9 15 Nice 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
10 1 Paris SG 15 7 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 3 30 15 32
11 3 Lyon 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
12 4 Lille 16 8 8 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 20 29
13 17 Nantes 17 9 8 0.6 1.5 2 5 10 11 25 11
14 11 Paris FC 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 4 7 5 18 21 19
15 16 Auxerre 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 6 9 14 27 9
16 13 Angers 16 10 6 0.6 1.7 3 3 10 10 27 12
17 9 Lorient 16 11 5 0.8 1.6 2 6 8 13 26 12
18 14 Le Havre 16 12 4 0.6 1.6 1 6 9 10 26 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51