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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–2 Lyon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 2.03
Draw 3.60 fair 4.39
Away 3.80 fair 3.57
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.59
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lyon
18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 1
16 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLyon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 7.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
2.09scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 48:31
Lyon before this match, all matches
1.96points / match
1.61scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 37:23
Marseille all matches all matches Lyon

Per match

2.09 Goals scored 1.61
1.35 Goals conceded 1.00
3.43 Total goals 2.61
14.26 Shots 11.87
5.70 Shots on target 4.61
10.22 Shots faced 11.09
4.78 Corners 5.65
3.70 Corners against 4.65
12.74 Fouls 14.00
2.17 Yellow cards 1.91
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.87
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

52% Wins 61%
17% Draws 13%
30% Losses 26%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
74% Over 1.5 goals 57%
65% Over 2.5 goals 52%
48% Over 3.5 goals 30%
22% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 9%
48% Both teams scored 43%
26% Clean sheets 52%
26% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 48%
30% Draws 35%
26% Losses 17%
78% Over 0.5 goals 74%
43% Over 1.5 goals 30%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lyon all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.18points / match
2.64scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 29:13
Lyon before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:16
Marseille at home away Lyon

Per match

2.64 Goals scored 1.50
1.18 Goals conceded 1.33
3.82 Total goals 2.83
13.91 Shots 10.58
6.27 Shots on target 4.83
9.64 Shots faced 13.08
4.91 Corners 5.50
2.82 Corners against 5.67
13.36 Fouls 13.50
1.91 Yellow cards 2.08
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

64% Wins 42%
27% Draws 25%
9% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
82% Over 1.5 goals 50%
73% Over 2.5 goals 50%
64% Over 3.5 goals 50%
18% Over 4.5 goals 25%
18% Over 5.5 goals 17%
55% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 42%
9% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 50%
18% Draws 25%
27% Losses 25%
91% Over 0.5 goals 83%
45% Over 1.5 goals 25%
18% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lyon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
17.01.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–4) 5.754.001.60 1.90 1.95
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Marseille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.50 2.63
05.12.25 Lille – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00

Lyon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.26 Strasbourg – Lyon 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.80 2.00
15.02.26 Lyon – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.73 2.10
07.02.26 Nantes – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.73 1.91 1.91
01.02.26 Lyon – Lille 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
18.01.26 Lyon – Brest 2–1 (2–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Monaco – Lyon 1–3 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.38
14.12.25 Lyon – Le Havre 1–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.25 1.91 1.91
07.12.25 Lorient – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.91 1.91
30.11.25 Lyon – Nantes 3–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.73 2.10

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Marseille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
12.09.25 Marseille – Lorient 4–0 (3–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63

Lyon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.26 Strasbourg – Lyon 3–1 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Nantes – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.73 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Metz – Lyon 2–5 (1–4) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Monaco – Lyon 1–3 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.38
07.12.25 Lorient – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.91 1.91
23.11.25 Auxerre – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.903.402.00 1.98 1.88
02.11.25 Brest – Lyon 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.80 2.00
29.10.25 Paris FC – Lyon 3–3 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.67 2.20
18.10.25 Nice – Lyon 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.402.80 1.80 2.00
28.09.25 Lille – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLyon wins
9matches
2.78goals / match
67%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.25F1 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.50 1.53 2.40
02.02.25F1 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–0) 2.003.903.30 1.57 2.38
22.09.24F1 Lyon – Marseille 2–3 (0–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
04.02.24F1 Lyon – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.95 1.95
06.12.23F1 Marseille – Lyon 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.804.75 1.75 2.05
23.04.23F1 Lyon – Marseille 1–2 (0–1) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22F1 Marseille – Lyon 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.72 2.10
01.05.22F1 Marseille – Lyon 0–3 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 1.61 2.30
01.02.22F1 Lyon – Marseille 2–1 (0–1) 2.753.302.60 2.04 1.86

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 24 18 3 3 53 19 +34 57
2 Lens 24 17 2 5 45 21 +24 53
3 Lyon 23 14 3 6 37 23 +14 45
4 Marseille 23 12 4 7 48 31 +17 40
5 Lille 24 12 4 8 37 31 +6 40
6 Rennes 24 11 7 6 38 35 +3 40
7 Monaco 24 11 4 9 40 36 +4 37
8 Strasbourg 24 10 5 9 40 31 +9 35
9 Brest 24 9 6 9 32 34 -2 33
10 Lorient 24 8 9 7 34 38 -4 33
11 Toulouse 24 8 7 9 33 28 +5 31
12 Angers 24 8 5 11 22 30 -8 29
13 Le Havre 24 6 8 10 20 30 -10 26
14 Paris FC 24 6 8 10 28 40 -12 26
15 Nice 24 6 6 12 30 44 -14 24
16 Auxerre 24 4 6 14 19 35 -16 18
17 Nantes 24 4 5 15 22 41 -19 17
18 Metz 24 3 4 17 22 53 -31 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 11 10 1 0 30 4 +26 31
2 Lens 12 10 0 2 23 8 +15 30
3 Lyon 11 9 0 2 19 7 +12 27
4 Monaco 13 8 1 4 27 19 +8 25
5 Marseille 11 7 3 1 29 13 +16 24
6 Rennes 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24
7 Strasbourg 12 7 2 3 21 9 +12 23
8 Lorient 12 6 5 1 24 18 +6 23
9 Lille 12 7 2 3 19 13 +6 23
10 Brest 12 6 3 3 18 13 +5 21
11 Angers 12 6 2 4 16 13 +3 20
12 Le Havre 13 5 5 3 15 12 +3 20
13 Toulouse 12 4 5 3 20 16 +4 17
14 Nice 12 4 5 3 17 17 0 17
15 Paris FC 12 3 4 5 15 22 -7 13
16 Auxerre 12 3 2 7 10 15 -5 11
17 Metz 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9
18 Nantes 12 2 2 8 12 22 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 13 8 2 3 23 15 +8 26
2 Lens 12 7 2 3 22 13 +9 23
3 Lyon 12 5 3 4 18 16 +2 18
4 Lille 12 5 2 5 18 18 0 17
5 Marseille 12 5 1 6 19 18 +1 16
6 Rennes 12 4 4 4 15 23 -8 16
7 Toulouse 12 4 2 6 13 12 +1 14
8 Paris FC 12 3 4 5 13 18 -5 13
9 Strasbourg 12 3 3 6 19 22 -3 12
10 Monaco 11 3 3 5 13 17 -4 12
11 Brest 12 3 3 6 14 21 -7 12
12 Lorient 12 2 4 6 10 20 -10 10
13 Nantes 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9
14 Angers 12 2 3 7 6 17 -11 9
15 Auxerre 12 1 4 7 9 20 -11 7
16 Nice 12 2 1 9 13 27 -14 7
17 Le Havre 11 1 3 7 5 18 -13 6
18 Metz 12 1 1 10 12 34 -22 4

Marseille   Lyon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lens 24 9 15 1.9 0.9 17 2 5 45 21 53
2 4 Marseille 23 8 15 2.1 1.3 12 4 7 48 31 40
3 6 Rennes 24 9 15 1.6 1.5 11 7 6 38 35 40
4 8 Strasbourg 24 9 15 1.7 1.3 10 5 9 40 31 35
5 7 Monaco 24 10 14 1.7 1.5 11 4 9 40 36 37
6 18 Metz 24 10 14 0.9 2.2 3 4 17 22 53 13
7 1 Paris SG 24 11 13 2.2 0.8 18 3 3 53 19 57
8 14 Paris FC 24 11 13 1.2 1.7 6 8 10 28 40 26
9 15 Nice 24 11 13 1.2 1.8 6 6 12 30 44 24
10 3 Lyon 23 11 12 1.6 1.0 14 3 6 37 23 45
11 9 Brest 24 12 12 1.3 1.4 9 6 9 32 34 33
12 10 Lorient 24 13 11 1.4 1.6 8 9 7 34 38 33
13 11 Toulouse 24 13 11 1.4 1.2 8 7 9 33 28 31
14 17 Nantes 24 13 11 0.9 1.7 4 5 15 22 41 17
15 16 Auxerre 24 14 10 0.8 1.5 4 6 14 19 35 18
16 5 Lille 24 15 9 1.5 1.3 12 4 8 37 31 40
17 13 Le Havre 24 15 9 0.8 1.2 6 8 10 20 30 26
18 12 Angers 24 18 6 0.9 1.2 8 5 11 22 30 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Monaco 13 4 9 2.1 1.5 8 1 4 27 19 25
2 4 Marseille 11 3 8 2.6 1.2 7 3 1 29 13 24
3 1 Paris SG 11 4 7 2.7 0.4 10 1 0 30 4 31
4 2 Lens 12 5 7 1.9 0.7 10 0 2 23 8 30
5 6 Rennes 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 3 2 23 12 24
6 8 Strasbourg 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 7 2 3 21 9 23
7 10 Lorient 12 5 7 2.0 1.5 6 5 1 24 18 23
8 14 Paris FC 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 4 5 15 22 13
9 3 Lyon 11 5 6 1.7 0.6 9 0 2 19 7 27
10 11 Toulouse 12 6 6 1.7 1.3 4 5 3 20 16 17
11 13 Le Havre 13 7 6 1.2 0.9 5 5 3 15 12 20
12 9 Brest 12 7 5 1.5 1.1 6 3 3 18 13 21
13 15 Nice 12 7 5 1.4 1.4 4 5 3 17 17 17
14 16 Auxerre 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 15 11
15 17 Nantes 12 7 5 1.0 1.8 2 2 8 12 22 8
16 18 Metz 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 2 3 7 10 19 9
17 5 Lille 12 8 4 1.6 1.1 7 2 3 19 13 23
18 12 Angers 12 9 3 1.3 1.1 6 2 4 16 13 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Metz 12 3 9 1.0 2.8 1 1 10 12 34 4
2 2 Lens 12 4 8 1.8 1.1 7 2 3 22 13 23
3 6 Rennes 12 4 8 1.2 1.9 4 4 4 15 23 16
4 8 Strasbourg 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 3 6 19 22 12
5 15 Nice 12 4 8 1.1 2.2 2 1 9 13 27 7
6 4 Marseille 12 5 7 1.6 1.5 5 1 6 19 18 16
7 9 Brest 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 3 6 14 21 12
8 1 Paris SG 13 7 6 1.8 1.2 8 2 3 23 15 26
9 3 Lyon 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 5 3 4 18 16 18
10 14 Paris FC 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 5 13 18 13
11 17 Nantes 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 2 3 7 10 19 9
12 5 Lille 12 7 5 1.5 1.5 5 2 5 18 18 17
13 7 Monaco 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 17 12
14 11 Toulouse 12 7 5 1.1 1.0 4 2 6 13 12 14
15 16 Auxerre 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 1 4 7 9 20 7
16 10 Lorient 12 8 4 0.8 1.7 2 4 6 10 20 10
17 12 Angers 12 9 3 0.5 1.4 2 3 7 6 17 9
18 13 Le Havre 11 8 3 0.5 1.6 1 3 7 5 18 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51