Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Toulouse 5–1 Nice

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 1.87
Draw 3.50 fair 4.44
Away 3.90 fair 4.17
Under 2.5 1.95 fair 2.44
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Toulouse Nice
22 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 7
12 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (156 league matches this season so far).
Result Toulouse to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.88 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
ToulouseDrawNice
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.41scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:22
Nice before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.18scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:30
Toulouse all matches all matches Nice

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.18
1.29 Goals conceded 1.76
2.71 Total goals 2.94
11.94 Shots 11.59
3.82 Shots on target 4.06
11.35 Shots faced 15.29
4.47 Corners 4.94
5.47 Corners against 5.71
14.47 Fouls 12.41
2.29 Yellow cards 2.12
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

35% Wins 29%
29% Draws 18%
35% Losses 53%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
65% Over 1.5 goals 76%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
29% Over 3.5 goals 41%
6% Over 4.5 goals 18%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
41% Both teams scored 65%
35% Clean sheets 12%
29% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 41%
35% Draws 18%
41% Losses 41%
65% Over 0.5 goals 82%
18% Over 1.5 goals 41%
6% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse all matches
Nice all matches
Toulouse before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.56scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:14
Nice before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:18
Toulouse at home away Nice

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.00
1.56 Goals conceded 2.25
3.11 Total goals 3.25
14.22 Shots 9.75
4.44 Shots on target 3.00
9.78 Shots faced 16.50
4.78 Corners 4.75
4.67 Corners against 4.63
14.00 Fouls 13.25
1.56 Yellow cards 2.63
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

33% Wins 13%
33% Draws 13%
33% Losses 75%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 88%
56% Over 2.5 goals 75%
44% Over 3.5 goals 50%
11% Over 4.5 goals 13%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 75%
44% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 38%
44% Draws 13%
33% Losses 50%
56% Over 0.5 goals 88%
22% Over 1.5 goals 50%
11% Over 2.5 goals 38%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Toulouse at home
Nice away

Last 10 matches before this match

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Toulouse – Lens 0–3 (0–0) 2.453.102.55 2.00 1.80
13.12.25 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83
06.12.25 Toulouse – Strasbourg 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Toulouse – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.80
09.11.25 Lorient – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Toulouse – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.75 2.00 1.85
29.10.25 Toulouse – Rennes 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Monaco – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.62 2.30
19.10.25 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98

Nice all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Nice – Strasbourg 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
14.12.25 Lens – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.53 2.50
07.12.25 Nice – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Lorient – Nice 3–1 (2–1) 2.453.302.88 1.80 2.00
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
09.11.25 Metz – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
29.10.25 Nice – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Rennes – Nice 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Nice – Lyon 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.402.80 1.80 2.00

Toulouse at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Toulouse – Lens 0–3 (0–0) 2.453.102.55 2.00 1.80
06.12.25 Toulouse – Strasbourg 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 Toulouse – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.80
02.11.25 Toulouse – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.75 2.00 1.85
29.10.25 Toulouse – Rennes 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.93
19.10.25 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
27.09.25 Toulouse – Nantes 2–2 (0–1) 1.703.505.50 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Toulouse – Paris SG 3–6 (1–4) 8.505.251.33 1.57 2.38
24.08.25 Toulouse – Brest 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.93
10.05.25 Toulouse – Lens 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.84 2.06

Nice away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 Lens – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Lorient – Nice 3–1 (2–1) 2.453.302.88 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Metz – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
26.10.25 Rennes – Nice 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Monaco – Nice 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.703.90 1.57 2.38
20.09.25 Brest – Nice 4–1 (2–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Le Havre – Nice 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98
10.05.25 Rennes – Nice 2–0 (1–0) 3.603.801.95 1.73 2.10
25.04.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–3 (1–1) 1.704.504.10 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Toulouse winsDrawsNice wins
7matches
1.57goals / match
14%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25F1 Nice – Toulouse 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.00 1.85
02.02.25F1 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.402.75 1.95 1.95
25.08.24F1 Nice – Toulouse 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.05 1.85
03.03.24F1 Toulouse – Nice 2–1 (0–1) 3.403.202.25 2.30 1.60
26.11.23F1 Nice – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.007.50 2.08 1.82
21.05.23F1 Nice – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.753.80 1.73 2.10
07.08.22F1 Toulouse – Nice 1–1 (1–0) 2.873.302.50 1.91 1.99

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 18 14 1 3 32 13 +19 43
2 Paris SG 18 13 3 2 40 15 +25 42
3 Marseille 17 10 2 5 36 17 +19 32
4 Lille 18 10 2 6 33 25 +8 32
5 Lyon 17 9 3 5 25 17 +8 30
6 Rennes 17 8 6 3 29 24 +5 30
7 Strasbourg 17 7 3 7 26 21 +5 24
8 Toulouse 17 6 5 6 24 22 +2 23
9 Monaco 18 7 2 9 28 33 -5 23
10 Angers 17 6 4 7 18 20 -2 22
11 Brest 17 6 4 7 23 27 -4 22
12 Lorient 18 5 7 6 23 30 -7 22
13 Le Havre 17 4 6 7 15 23 -8 18
14 Nice 17 5 3 9 20 30 -10 18
15 Paris FC 17 4 4 9 22 31 -9 16
16 Nantes 17 3 5 9 16 28 -12 14
17 Auxerre 18 3 3 12 14 28 -14 12
18 Metz 17 3 3 11 18 38 -20 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 22 4 +18 25
2 Lens 9 8 0 1 17 4 +13 24
3 Marseille 9 6 2 1 24 10 +14 20
4 Lille 9 6 1 2 16 8 +8 19
5 Lyon 8 6 0 2 14 6 +8 18
6 Rennes 8 5 2 1 18 8 +10 17
7 Strasbourg 8 5 1 2 14 4 +10 16
8 Lorient 9 4 4 1 18 15 +3 16
9 Monaco 10 5 1 4 18 18 0 16
10 Brest 9 4 3 2 14 11 +3 15
11 Angers 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
12 Nice 9 4 2 3 12 12 0 14
13 Le Havre 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13
14 Toulouse 9 3 3 3 14 14 0 12
15 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 10 11 -1 10
16 Paris FC 8 2 2 4 12 15 -3 8
17 Metz 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
18 Nantes 8 1 2 5 8 15 -7 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 9 6 1 2 15 9 +6 19
2 Paris SG 9 5 2 2 18 11 +7 17
3 Lille 9 4 1 4 17 17 0 13
4 Rennes 9 3 4 2 11 16 -5 13
5 Marseille 8 4 0 4 12 7 +5 12
6 Lyon 9 3 3 3 11 11 0 12
7 Toulouse 8 3 2 3 10 8 +2 11
8 Nantes 9 2 3 4 8 13 -5 9
9 Strasbourg 9 2 2 5 12 17 -5 8
10 Paris FC 9 2 2 5 10 16 -6 8
11 Angers 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
12 Monaco 8 2 1 5 10 15 -5 7
13 Brest 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
14 Lorient 9 1 3 5 5 15 -10 6
15 Le Havre 8 1 2 5 4 14 -10 5
16 Nice 8 1 1 6 8 18 -10 4
17 Metz 9 1 1 7 11 28 -17 4
18 Auxerre 9 0 2 7 4 17 -13 2

Toulouse   Nice

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lens 18 7 11 1.8 0.7 14 1 3 32 13 43
2 6 Rennes 17 6 11 1.7 1.4 8 6 3 29 24 30
3 9 Monaco 18 7 11 1.6 1.8 7 2 9 28 33 23
4 3 Marseille 17 7 10 2.1 1.0 10 2 5 36 17 32
5 11 Brest 17 7 10 1.4 1.6 6 4 7 23 27 22
6 15 Paris FC 17 7 10 1.3 1.8 4 4 9 22 31 16
7 18 Metz 17 7 10 1.1 2.2 3 3 11 18 38 12
8 2 Paris SG 18 9 9 2.2 0.8 13 3 2 40 15 42
9 5 Lyon 17 8 9 1.5 1.0 9 3 5 25 17 30
10 7 Strasbourg 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 7 3 7 26 21 24
11 8 Toulouse 17 8 9 1.4 1.3 6 5 6 24 22 23
12 14 Nice 17 8 9 1.2 1.8 5 3 9 20 30 18
13 4 Lille 18 10 8 1.8 1.4 10 2 6 33 25 32
14 12 Lorient 18 10 8 1.3 1.7 5 7 6 23 30 22
15 13 Le Havre 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 4 6 7 15 23 18
16 16 Nantes 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 3 5 9 16 28 14
17 17 Auxerre 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 12 14 28 12
18 10 Angers 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 6 4 7 18 20 22
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Monaco 10 3 7 1.8 1.8 5 1 4 18 18 16
2 3 Marseille 9 3 6 2.7 1.1 6 2 1 24 10 20
3 6 Rennes 8 2 6 2.2 1.0 5 2 1 18 8 17
4 1 Lens 9 4 5 1.9 0.4 8 0 1 17 4 24
5 2 Paris SG 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 1 0 22 4 25
6 5 Lyon 8 3 5 1.8 0.8 6 0 2 14 6 18
7 8 Toulouse 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 3 3 3 14 14 12
8 11 Brest 9 4 5 1.6 1.2 4 3 2 14 11 15
9 12 Lorient 9 4 5 2.0 1.7 4 4 1 18 15 16
10 15 Paris FC 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 2 4 12 15 8
11 7 Strasbourg 8 4 4 1.8 0.5 5 1 2 14 4 16
12 13 Le Havre 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13
13 17 Auxerre 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 1 5 10 11 10
14 4 Lille 9 6 3 1.8 0.9 6 1 2 16 8 19
15 14 Nice 9 6 3 1.3 1.3 4 2 3 12 12 14
16 16 Nantes 8 5 3 1.0 1.9 1 2 5 8 15 5
17 18 Metz 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
18 10 Angers 8 6 2 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Metz 9 2 7 1.2 3.1 1 1 7 11 28 4
2 1 Lens 9 3 6 1.7 1.0 6 1 2 15 9 19
3 14 Nice 8 2 6 1.0 2.2 1 1 6 8 18 4
4 4 Lille 9 4 5 1.9 1.9 4 1 4 17 17 13
5 6 Rennes 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 3 4 2 11 16 13
6 7 Strasbourg 9 4 5 1.3 1.9 2 2 5 12 17 8
7 11 Brest 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
8 15 Paris FC 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 2 2 5 10 16 8
9 2 Paris SG 9 5 4 2.0 1.2 5 2 2 18 11 17
10 3 Marseille 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 0 4 12 7 12
11 5 Lyon 9 5 4 1.2 1.2 3 3 3 11 11 12
12 8 Toulouse 8 4 4 1.2 1.0 3 2 3 10 8 11
13 9 Monaco 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 1 5 10 15 7
14 16 Nantes 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 2 3 4 8 13 9
15 10 Angers 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
16 12 Lorient 9 6 3 0.6 1.7 1 3 5 5 15 6
17 13 Le Havre 8 5 3 0.5 1.8 1 2 5 4 14 5
18 17 Auxerre 9 6 3 0.4 1.9 0 2 7 4 17 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51