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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Paris SG 3–1 Toulouse

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.70
Draw 6.25 fair 4.57
Away 11.00 fair 5.15
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Paris SG Toulouse
17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 2
4 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Paris SG to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
Paris SGDrawToulouse
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Paris SG before this match, all matches
2.31points / match
2.23scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 58:22
Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.41scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 38:32
Paris SG all matches all matches Toulouse

Per match

2.23 Goals scored 1.41
0.85 Goals conceded 1.19
3.08 Total goals 2.59
17.88 Shots 13.22
6.96 Shots on target 4.52
8.54 Shots faced 10.93
6.00 Corners 4.67
2.92 Corners against 4.81
9.92 Fouls 14.11
0.92 Yellow cards 2.26
0.96 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

73% Wins 37%
12% Draws 26%
15% Losses 37%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 59%
58% Over 2.5 goals 44%
35% Over 3.5 goals 26%
23% Over 4.5 goals 11%
8% Over 5.5 goals 11%
38% Both teams scored 41%
54% Clean sheets 33%
8% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 26%
31% Draws 37%
15% Losses 37%
73% Over 0.5 goals 67%
35% Over 1.5 goals 26%
15% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG all matches
Toulouse all matches
Paris SG before this match, at home
2.58points / match
2.58scored / match
0.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 31:7
Toulouse before this match, away
1.31points / match
1.31scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:15
Paris SG at home away Toulouse

Per match

2.58 Goals scored 1.31
0.58 Goals conceded 1.15
3.17 Total goals 2.46
20.17 Shots 11.38
7.33 Shots on target 4.00
8.08 Shots faced 12.46
6.42 Corners 4.23
2.42 Corners against 5.23
10.50 Fouls 14.92
1.08 Yellow cards 3.08
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

83% Wins 38%
8% Draws 15%
8% Losses 46%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 62%
67% Over 2.5 goals 46%
33% Over 3.5 goals 15%
25% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
25% Both teams scored 46%
75% Clean sheets 23%
0% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 31%
17% Draws 31%
17% Losses 38%
83% Over 0.5 goals 77%
33% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Paris SG at home
Toulouse away

Last 10 matches before this match

Paris SG all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Nice – Paris SG 0–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.40 3.00
06.03.26 Paris SG – Monaco 1–3 (0–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
28.02.26 Le Havre – Paris SG 0–1 (0–1) 8.006.251.30 1.44 2.75
21.02.26 Paris SG – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0013.00 1.25 4.00
13.02.26 Rennes – Paris SG 3–1 (1–0) 7.005.001.40 1.40 3.00
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Strasbourg – Paris SG 1–2 (1–1) 4.754.501.62 1.53 2.50
23.01.26 Auxerre – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 11.005.501.29 1.57 2.38
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Toulouse – Lorient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.104.50 2.10 1.73
15.03.26 Metz – Toulouse 3–4 (2–3) 4.003.401.95 2.20 1.67
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 Rennes – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.70 1.88 1.98
21.02.26 Toulouse – Paris FC 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.50 2.20 1.67
15.02.26 Le Havre – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 3.403.102.30 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Angers – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.38 1.57
01.02.26 Toulouse – Auxerre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.01.26 Brest – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
17.01.26 Toulouse – Nice 5–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 1.90 1.95

Paris SG at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.03.26 Paris SG – Monaco 1–3 (0–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
21.02.26 Paris SG – Metz 3–0 (2–0) 1.149.0013.00 1.25 4.00
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Paris SG – Paris FC 2–1 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
22.11.25 Paris SG – Le Havre 3–0 (1–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.50 2.63
01.11.25 Paris SG – Nice 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.36 3.20
17.10.25 Paris SG – Strasbourg 3–3 (1–2) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
27.09.25 Paris SG – Auxerre 2–0 (1–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.30 3.50

Toulouse away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Metz – Toulouse 3–4 (2–3) 4.003.401.95 2.20 1.67
28.02.26 Rennes – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.70 1.88 1.98
15.02.26 Le Havre – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 3.403.102.30 2.20 1.67
08.02.26 Angers – Toulouse 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.202.25 2.38 1.57
25.01.26 Brest – Toulouse 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.102.70 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Paris FC – Toulouse 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.402.88 2.03 1.83
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Lorient – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Monaco – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.62 2.30
05.10.25 Lyon – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.704.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Paris SG winsDrawsToulouse wins
7matches
3.57goals / match
71%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 3–6 (1–4) 8.505.251.33 1.57 2.38
15.02.25F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
22.11.24F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
12.05.24F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 1–3 (1–1) 1.406.005.75 1.40 3.00
19.08.23F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 1–1 (0–0) 4.754.201.65 1.57 2.38
04.02.23F1 Paris SG – Toulouse 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.75
31.08.22F1 Toulouse – Paris SG 0–3 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.33 3.40

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 26 19 3 4 58 22 +36 60 WLWWLW
2 Lens 27 19 2 6 54 24 +30 59 WLDWLW
3 Marseille 27 15 4 8 54 35 +19 49 DLWWWL
4 Lyon 27 14 5 8 41 29 +12 47 WLLDDL
5 Lille 27 14 5 8 42 34 +8 47 DWWDWW
6 Monaco 27 14 4 9 47 38 +9 46 WWWWWW
7 Rennes 27 12 8 7 43 37 +6 44 WWWWLD
8 Strasbourg 27 11 7 9 43 33 +10 40 DWDDDW
9 Toulouse 27 10 7 10 38 32 +6 37 LDLLWW
10 Lorient 27 9 10 8 37 41 -4 37 WDDDWL
11 Brest 27 10 6 11 34 39 -5 36 DWWWLL
12 Angers 27 9 5 13 24 37 -13 32 LLLWLL
13 Paris FC 27 7 10 10 32 43 -11 31 LDWDDW
14 Le Havre 27 6 9 12 22 35 -13 27 WLLLDL
15 Nice 27 7 6 14 32 52 -20 27 LDLLWL
16 Auxerre 27 5 7 15 22 36 -14 22 WLDDLW
17 Nantes 26 4 5 17 24 45 -21 17 LLWLLL
18 Metz 27 3 5 19 25 60 -35 14 LLLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lens 14 12 0 2 31 9 +22 36 WWWLWW
2 Paris SG 12 10 1 1 31 7 +24 31 WWWWWL
3 Marseille 14 9 3 2 34 17 +17 30 LWDWWL
4 Lyon 13 9 1 3 21 10 +11 28 WWWWDL
5 Monaco 14 9 1 4 29 19 +10 28 LLWWWW
6 Lorient 13 7 5 1 26 19 +7 26 WDWWDW
7 Rennes 14 7 4 3 24 14 +10 25 DLWWLD
8 Strasbourg 13 7 3 3 21 9 +12 24 DWLWDD
9 Brest 13 7 3 3 20 13 +7 24 WWLWWW
10 Lille 13 7 3 3 20 14 +6 24 WLLDWD
11 Le Havre 14 5 6 3 15 12 +3 21 WDWWLD
12 Toulouse 14 5 5 4 21 17 +4 20 LWDDLW
13 Angers 13 6 2 5 16 15 +1 20 WLWWLL
14 Nice 14 4 5 5 17 25 -8 17 DDDDLL
15 Paris FC 13 4 4 5 18 24 -6 16 LDDLWW
16 Auxerre 14 4 3 7 13 15 -2 15 LLDLDW
17 Metz 13 2 3 8 13 23 -10 9 LLDLLL
18 Nantes 14 2 2 10 14 26 -12 8 LLLWLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 14 9 2 3 27 15 +12 29 WWWLWW
2 Lens 13 7 2 4 23 15 +8 23 WWLWDL
3 Lille 14 7 2 5 22 20 +2 23 LLDWWW
4 Marseille 13 6 1 6 20 18 +2 19 LWDLLW
5 Lyon 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19 WWWLLD
6 Rennes 13 5 4 4 19 23 -4 19 LWLLWW
7 Monaco 13 5 3 5 18 19 -1 18 LDDWWW
8 Toulouse 13 5 2 6 17 15 +2 17 WWLLLW
9 Strasbourg 14 4 4 6 22 24 -2 16 DWLDDW
10 Paris FC 14 3 6 5 14 19 -5 15 LWDDDD
11 Brest 14 3 3 8 14 26 -12 12 LDDWLL
12 Angers 14 3 3 8 8 22 -14 12 LDLLWL
13 Lorient 14 2 5 7 11 22 -11 11 WWLDDL
14 Nice 13 3 1 9 15 27 -12 10 LLWLLW
15 Nantes 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9 LLWLLL
16 Auxerre 13 1 4 8 9 21 -12 7 LLDWDL
17 Le Havre 13 1 3 9 7 23 -16 6 LDLLLL
18 Metz 14 1 2 11 12 37 -25 5 DLLLLD

Paris SG   Toulouse

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Lens 27 9 18 2.0 0.9 19 2 6 54 24 59 OOUOOO
2 3 Marseille 27 10 17 2.0 1.3 15 4 8 54 35 49 OUOUUO
3 7 Rennes 27 10 17 1.6 1.4 12 8 7 43 37 44 OOUOOU
4 6 Monaco 27 11 16 1.7 1.4 14 4 9 47 38 46 OOUOUO
5 8 Strasbourg 27 11 16 1.6 1.2 11 7 9 43 33 40 OOUUUO
6 18 Metz 27 11 16 0.9 2.2 3 5 19 25 60 14 OOUOOU
7 1 Paris SG 26 11 15 2.2 0.8 19 3 4 58 22 60 OOOUOO
8 15 Nice 27 12 15 1.2 1.9 7 6 14 32 52 27 UOUOUO
9 4 Lyon 27 13 14 1.5 1.1 14 5 8 41 29 47 UOOUUO
10 13 Paris FC 27 13 14 1.2 1.6 7 10 10 32 43 31 OUUUUO
11 11 Brest 27 14 13 1.3 1.4 10 6 11 34 39 36 UUUUUO
12 9 Toulouse 27 15 12 1.4 1.2 10 7 10 38 32 37 OUUUOU
13 10 Lorient 27 15 12 1.4 1.5 9 10 8 37 41 37 UOOUOU
14 17 Nantes 26 14 12 0.9 1.7 4 5 17 24 45 17 UOUUUO
15 5 Lille 27 16 11 1.6 1.3 14 5 8 42 34 47 UUUUOO
16 16 Auxerre 27 16 11 0.8 1.3 5 7 15 22 36 22 OOOUUO
17 14 Le Havre 27 17 10 0.8 1.3 6 9 12 22 35 27 OUUUUO
18 12 Angers 27 20 7 0.9 1.4 9 5 13 24 37 32 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Marseille 14 4 10 2.4 1.2 9 3 2 34 17 30 UOOOUO
2 2 Lens 14 5 9 2.2 0.6 12 0 2 31 9 36 UUOOOO
3 6 Monaco 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 9 1 4 29 19 28 OOOOUU
4 1 Paris SG 12 4 8 2.6 0.6 10 1 1 31 7 31 OOOOOO
5 7 Rennes 14 6 8 1.7 1.0 7 4 3 24 14 25 UUOUOU
6 10 Lorient 13 5 8 2.0 1.5 7 5 1 26 19 26 UUOUOO
7 13 Paris FC 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 4 4 5 18 24 16 OUOOUO
8 4 Lyon 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 9 1 3 21 10 28 UOUUUO
9 8 Strasbourg 13 6 7 1.6 0.7 7 3 3 21 9 24 UOOOUU
10 15 Nice 14 7 7 1.2 1.8 4 5 5 17 25 17 UOUOOO
11 9 Toulouse 14 8 6 1.5 1.2 5 5 4 21 17 20 OOUUUU
12 14 Le Havre 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 5 6 3 15 12 21 OUOOUU
13 16 Auxerre 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 4 3 7 13 15 15 OUUOUO
14 17 Nantes 14 8 6 1.0 1.9 2 2 10 14 26 8 OOUUUO
15 18 Metz 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 8 13 23 9 OOUOUO
16 11 Brest 13 8 5 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 20 13 24 UUUUUU
17 5 Lille 13 9 4 1.5 1.1 7 3 3 20 14 24 UUOUUU
18 12 Angers 13 10 3 1.2 1.2 6 2 5 16 15 20 OOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 Metz 14 4 10 0.9 2.6 1 2 11 12 37 5 UOUOOU
2 2 Lens 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 7 2 4 23 15 23 OOOOUO
3 7 Rennes 13 4 9 1.5 1.8 5 4 4 19 23 19 OUOOOO
4 8 Strasbourg 14 5 9 1.6 1.7 4 4 6 22 24 16 UOOOUO
5 11 Brest 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 3 3 8 14 26 12 OOUUUO
6 15 Nice 13 5 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 9 15 27 10 UOOUUU
7 1 Paris SG 14 7 7 1.9 1.1 9 2 3 27 15 29 OUOOUO
8 3 Marseille 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 6 20 18 19 UOOOUU
9 4 Lyon 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19 OOUOOU
10 5 Lille 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 7 2 5 22 20 23 OUUUOO
11 6 Monaco 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 5 3 5 18 19 18 UUUOOO
12 9 Toulouse 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 5 2 6 17 15 17 OUUOUO
13 13 Paris FC 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 3 6 5 14 19 15 OOUUUU
14 17 Nantes 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 2 3 7 10 19 9 OOUOOU
15 16 Auxerre 13 8 5 0.7 1.6 1 4 8 9 21 7 UUUOOU
16 10 Lorient 14 10 4 0.8 1.6 2 5 7 11 22 11 OUUOUU
17 12 Angers 14 10 4 0.6 1.6 3 3 8 8 22 12 OUUUUO
18 14 Le Havre 13 9 4 0.5 1.8 1 3 9 7 23 6 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47