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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 2 ·

Bastia 4–0 Ajaccio

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.67 fair 1.99
Draw 3.30 fair 3.58
Away 5.75 fair 4.58
Under 2.5 1.44 fair 1.57
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.70 fair 2.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bastia Ajaccio
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
12 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (158 league matches this season so far).
Result Bastia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.36 – 0.79
Home / Draw / Away
BastiaDrawAjaccio
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 15.8% 1–1 12.5% 0–0 11.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bastia before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.06scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:17
Ajaccio before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.65scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 11:19
Bastia all matches all matches Ajaccio

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 0.65
1.00 Goals conceded 1.12
2.06 Total goals 1.76
13.41 Shots 10.24
4.71 Shots on target 3.24
9.94 Shots faced 11.94
5.29 Corners 3.76
5.00 Corners against 4.47
13.82 Fouls 14.88
2.18 Yellow cards 3.00
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.24
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

24% Wins 24%
59% Draws 18%
18% Losses 59%
71% Over 0.5 goals 94%
59% Over 1.5 goals 53%
41% Over 2.5 goals 24%
29% Over 3.5 goals 6%
6% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 29%
41% Clean sheets 24%
35% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 0%
59% Draws 65%
24% Losses 35%
59% Over 0.5 goals 53%
29% Over 1.5 goals 24%
12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia all matches
Ajaccio all matches
Bastia before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.25scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:6
Ajaccio before this match, away
0.13points / match
0.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 2:12
Bastia at home away Ajaccio

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.25
0.75 Goals conceded 1.50
2.00 Total goals 1.75
15.38 Shots 7.75
5.00 Shots on target 2.50
10.00 Shots faced 15.38
5.75 Corners 3.63
5.13 Corners against 5.25
12.25 Fouls 15.38
2.38 Yellow cards 2.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

38% Wins 0%
63% Draws 13%
0% Losses 88%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 38%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
38% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 0%
38% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 0%
63% Draws 50%
25% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia at home
Ajaccio away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bastia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.25 Grenoble – Bastia 3–2 (1–1) 3.002.882.40 2.35 1.57
13.12.24 Bastia – Guingamp 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.003.50 2.20 1.65
06.12.24 Red Star – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.35 2.50 1.50
03.12.24 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.65 2.70 1.44
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85
08.11.24 Laval – Bastia 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.102.15 2.40 1.53
02.11.24 Caen – Bastia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.25 1.62
29.10.24 Bastia – Rodez 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.203.80 2.15 1.67
22.10.24 Pau FC – Bastia 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.103.20 2.25 1.62
18.10.24 Bastia – Clermont 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.003.10 2.60 1.48

Ajaccio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.25 Ajaccio – Annecy 1–2 (1–1) 3.002.902.45 2.60 1.48
13.12.24 Pau FC – Ajaccio 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 2.08 1.73
07.12.24 Ajaccio – Paris FC 0–2 (0–0) 3.753.301.85 2.25 1.62
03.12.24 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.65 2.70 1.44
25.11.24 Dunkerque – Ajaccio 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.203.90 2.35 1.57
08.11.24 Ajaccio – Clermont 2–0 (0–0) 2.752.882.88 2.70 1.44
04.11.24 Ajaccio – Metz 0–1 (0–1) 4.333.101.95 2.50 1.50
29.10.24 Guingamp – Ajaccio 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.405.50 2.25 1.62
19.10.24 Amiens – Ajaccio 3–1 (2–1) 2.102.903.40 2.70 1.44
05.10.24 Ajaccio – Martigues 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.104.50 2.70 1.44

Bastia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.24 Bastia – Guingamp 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.003.50 2.20 1.65
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85
29.10.24 Bastia – Rodez 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.203.80 2.15 1.67
18.10.24 Bastia – Clermont 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.003.10 2.60 1.48
27.09.24 Bastia – Annecy 2–2 (1–1) 2.302.883.25 2.60 1.48
20.09.24 Bastia – Paris FC 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.002.25 2.25 1.62
13.09.24 Bastia – Troyes 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.604.75 2.10 1.70
23.08.24 Bastia – Amiens 1–0 (0–0) 2.402.903.00 2.60 1.48
17.05.24 Bastia – Paris FC 1–1 (1–1) 3.603.901.80 1.85 2.00
03.05.24 Bastia – Amiens 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.003.25 2.35 1.57

Ajaccio away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.24 Pau FC – Ajaccio 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 2.08 1.73
25.11.24 Dunkerque – Ajaccio 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.203.90 2.35 1.57
29.10.24 Guingamp – Ajaccio 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.405.50 2.25 1.62
19.10.24 Amiens – Ajaccio 3–1 (2–1) 2.102.903.40 2.70 1.44
27.09.24 Lorient – Ajaccio 3–0 (0–0) 1.484.105.50 2.05 1.75
20.09.24 Caen – Ajaccio 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.403.40 2.40 1.53
13.09.24 Laval – Ajaccio 1–1 (1–1) 2.452.803.10 3.10 1.36
26.08.24 Red Star – Ajaccio 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.003.10 2.40 1.53
17.05.24 Rodez – Ajaccio 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.205.75 1.80 2.00
03.05.24 Bordeaux – Ajaccio 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.104.33 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bastia winsDrawsAjaccio wins
5matches
1.20goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.24F2 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.65 2.70 1.44
05.02.24F2 Bastia – Ajaccio 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.103.10 2.88 1.40
02.10.23F2 Ajaccio – Bastia 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.30 2.40 1.53
12.03.22F2 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.253.60 3.10 1.36
25.09.21F2 Bastia – Ajaccio 2–0 (0–0) 2.623.002.62 2.35 1.57

France Ligue 2 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 17 10 3 4 30 17 +13 33
2 Dunkerque 18 10 3 5 28 23 +5 33
3 Paris FC 17 9 4 4 25 15 +10 31
4 Metz 17 8 6 3 24 13 +11 30
5 Annecy 18 8 6 4 26 23 +3 30
6 Laval 18 8 5 5 28 18 +10 29
7 Guingamp 18 9 2 7 31 24 +7 29
8 Pau FC 18 6 6 6 19 20 -1 24
9 Rodez 18 6 5 7 31 29 +2 23
10 Clermont 18 6 5 7 16 19 -3 23
11 Amiens 17 7 2 8 20 24 -4 23
12 Bastia 17 4 10 3 18 17 +1 22
13 Red Star 18 6 4 8 19 29 -10 22
14 Grenoble 17 6 3 8 21 22 -1 21
15 Troyes 18 6 3 9 19 21 -2 21
16 Caen 17 4 3 10 18 25 -7 15
17 Ajaccio 17 4 3 10 11 19 -8 15
18 Martigues 18 3 3 12 10 36 -26 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 8 8 0 0 22 6 +16 24
2 Dunkerque 9 8 0 1 17 8 +9 24
3 Metz 9 5 4 0 16 5 +11 19
4 Annecy 9 6 1 2 14 8 +6 19
5 Pau FC 9 5 3 1 12 5 +7 18
6 Guingamp 9 5 2 2 20 9 +11 17
7 Grenoble 9 5 2 2 14 8 +6 17
8 Amiens 9 5 2 2 12 9 +3 17
9 Laval 9 4 3 2 14 10 +4 15
10 Bastia 8 3 5 0 10 6 +4 14
11 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13 10 +3 14
12 Ajaccio 9 4 2 3 9 7 +2 14
13 Rodez 9 4 1 4 16 16 0 13
14 Troyes 8 3 2 3 9 8 +1 11
15 Caen 9 3 2 4 10 11 -1 11
16 Red Star 8 3 2 3 8 12 -4 11
17 Clermont 9 2 4 3 11 10 +1 10
18 Martigues 10 0 1 9 1 18 -17 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 12 5 +7 17
2 Laval 9 4 2 3 14 8 +6 14
3 Clermont 9 4 1 4 5 9 -4 13
4 Guingamp 9 4 0 5 11 15 -4 12
5 Metz 8 3 2 3 8 8 0 11
6 Annecy 9 2 5 2 12 15 -3 11
7 Red Star 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
8 Martigues 8 3 2 3 9 18 -9 11
9 Rodez 9 2 4 3 15 13 +2 10
10 Troyes 10 3 1 6 10 13 -3 10
11 Lorient 9 2 3 4 8 11 -3 9
12 Dunkerque 9 2 3 4 11 15 -4 9
13 Bastia 9 1 5 3 8 11 -3 8
14 Amiens 8 2 0 6 8 15 -7 6
15 Pau FC 9 1 3 5 7 15 -8 6
16 Caen 8 1 1 6 8 14 -6 4
17 Grenoble 8 1 1 6 7 14 -7 4
18 Ajaccio 8 0 1 7 2 12 -10 1

Bastia   Ajaccio

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Rodez 18 6 12 1.7 1.6 6 5 7 31 29 23
2 7 Guingamp 18 7 11 1.7 1.3 9 2 7 31 24 29
3 15 Troyes 18 7 11 1.1 1.2 6 3 9 19 21 21
4 11 Amiens 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 7 2 8 20 24 23
5 6 Laval 18 9 9 1.6 1.0 8 5 5 28 18 29
6 13 Red Star 18 9 9 1.1 1.6 6 4 8 19 29 22
7 14 Grenoble 17 8 9 1.2 1.3 6 3 8 21 22 21
8 1 Lorient 17 9 8 1.8 1.0 10 3 4 30 17 33
9 2 Dunkerque 18 10 8 1.6 1.3 10 3 5 28 23 33
10 3 Paris FC 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 9 4 4 25 15 31
11 5 Annecy 18 10 8 1.4 1.3 8 6 4 26 23 30
12 16 Caen 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 4 3 10 18 25 15
13 18 Martigues 18 10 8 0.6 2.0 3 3 12 10 36 12
14 12 Bastia 17 10 7 1.1 1.0 4 10 3 18 17 22
15 8 Pau FC 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 6 6 6 19 20 24
16 4 Metz 17 12 5 1.4 0.8 8 6 3 24 13 30
17 10 Clermont 18 13 5 0.9 1.1 6 5 7 16 19 23
18 17 Ajaccio 17 13 4 0.6 1.1 4 3 10 11 19 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Rodez 9 2 7 1.8 1.8 4 1 4 16 16 13
2 7 Guingamp 9 3 6 2.2 1.0 5 2 2 20 9 17
3 1 Lorient 8 3 5 2.8 0.8 8 0 0 22 6 24
4 2 Dunkerque 9 4 5 1.9 0.9 8 0 1 17 8 24
5 3 Paris FC 8 3 5 1.6 1.2 4 2 2 13 10 14
6 11 Amiens 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 2 2 12 9 17
7 13 Red Star 8 3 5 1.0 1.5 3 2 3 8 12 11
8 15 Troyes 8 3 5 1.1 1.0 3 2 3 9 8 11
9 6 Laval 9 5 4 1.6 1.1 4 3 2 14 10 15
10 12 Bastia 8 4 4 1.2 0.8 3 5 0 10 6 14
11 14 Grenoble 9 5 4 1.6 0.9 5 2 2 14 8 17
12 5 Annecy 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 6 1 2 14 8 19
13 10 Clermont 9 6 3 1.2 1.1 2 4 3 11 10 10
14 16 Caen 9 6 3 1.1 1.2 3 2 4 10 11 11
15 18 Martigues 10 7 3 0.1 1.8 0 1 9 1 18 1
16 4 Metz 9 7 2 1.8 0.6 5 4 0 16 5 19
17 8 Pau FC 9 7 2 1.3 0.6 5 3 1 12 5 18
18 17 Ajaccio 9 7 2 1.0 0.8 4 2 3 9 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Troyes 10 4 6 1.0 1.3 3 1 6 10 13 10
2 5 Annecy 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 5 2 12 15 11
3 6 Laval 9 4 5 1.6 0.9 4 2 3 14 8 14
4 7 Guingamp 9 4 5 1.2 1.7 4 0 5 11 15 12
5 9 Rodez 9 4 5 1.7 1.4 2 4 3 15 13 10
6 11 Amiens 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 2 0 6 8 15 6
7 14 Grenoble 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 1 1 6 7 14 4
8 16 Caen 8 3 5 1.0 1.8 1 1 6 8 14 4
9 18 Martigues 8 3 5 1.1 2.2 3 2 3 9 18 11
10 8 Pau FC 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 1 3 5 7 15 6
11 13 Red Star 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
12 1 Lorient 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 2 3 4 8 11 9
13 2 Dunkerque 9 6 3 1.2 1.7 2 3 4 11 15 9
14 3 Paris FC 9 6 3 1.3 0.6 5 2 2 12 5 17
15 4 Metz 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 3 8 8 11
16 12 Bastia 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 1 5 3 8 11 8
17 10 Clermont 9 7 2 0.6 1.0 4 1 4 5 9 13
18 17 Ajaccio 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 0 1 7 2 12 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51