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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 2 ·

Bastia 1–1 Metz

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.88 fair 2.48
Draw ✓ 3.00 fair 3.46
Away 2.40 fair 3.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.61
Over 2.5 2.40 fair 2.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bastia Metz
22 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 3
18 Fouls 18
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result Bastia to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.20 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
BastiaDrawMetz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.3% 1–0 13.1% 0–1 11.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bastia before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.15scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:19
Metz before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.50scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 30:14
Bastia all matches all matches Metz

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.50
0.95 Goals conceded 0.70
2.10 Total goals 2.20
13.75 Shots 13.20
4.70 Shots on target 4.60
9.45 Shots faced 10.85
5.05 Corners 4.60
4.50 Corners against 4.35
13.90 Fouls 12.10
2.20 Yellow cards 1.50
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
55% Draws 35%
20% Losses 15%
75% Over 0.5 goals 85%
60% Over 1.5 goals 65%
40% Over 2.5 goals 35%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
5% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
50% Both teams scored 45%
40% Clean sheets 45%
35% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 20%
55% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
15% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia all matches
Metz all matches
Bastia before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.50scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:7
Metz before this match, away
1.33points / match
0.89scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:8
Bastia at home away Metz

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.89
0.70 Goals conceded 0.89
2.20 Total goals 1.78
15.30 Shots 10.22
5.10 Shots on target 3.44
9.40 Shots faced 10.89
5.60 Corners 4.89
4.60 Corners against 4.22
12.20 Fouls 11.56
2.20 Yellow cards 1.56
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

40% Wins 33%
60% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
70% Over 0.5 goals 78%
60% Over 1.5 goals 56%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
40% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 44%
50% Clean sheets 33%
30% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 33%
60% Draws 44%
20% Losses 22%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
30% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bastia at home
Metz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bastia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Bastia – Pau FC 1–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.10 2.08 1.73
17.01.25 Amiens – Bastia 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.002.30 2.35 1.57
11.01.25 Bastia – Ajaccio 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.305.75 2.70 1.44
03.01.25 Grenoble – Bastia 3–2 (1–1) 3.002.882.40 2.35 1.57
13.12.24 Bastia – Guingamp 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.003.50 2.20 1.65
06.12.24 Red Star – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.35 2.50 1.50
03.12.24 Ajaccio – Bastia 0–0 (0–0) 2.882.902.65 2.70 1.44
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85
08.11.24 Laval – Bastia 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.102.15 2.40 1.53
02.11.24 Caen – Bastia 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.25 1.62

Metz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Metz – Grenoble 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.705.75 2.00 1.85
18.01.25 Metz – Paris FC 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.003.10 2.25 1.62
11.01.25 Lorient – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.00 1.93 1.93
04.01.25 Metz – Pau FC 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Annecy – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.10 2.03 1.83
09.12.24 Metz – Dunkerque 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.754.00 2.00 1.85
22.11.24 Clermont – Metz 1–1 (1–1) 3.603.102.20 2.15 1.67
09.11.24 Metz – Caen 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
04.11.24 Ajaccio – Metz 0–1 (0–1) 4.333.101.95 2.50 1.50
29.10.24 Red Star – Metz 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.00 2.03 1.83

Bastia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Bastia – Pau FC 1–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.10 2.08 1.73
11.01.25 Bastia – Ajaccio 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.305.75 2.70 1.44
13.12.24 Bastia – Guingamp 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.003.50 2.20 1.65
23.11.24 Bastia – Lorient 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.15 2.00 1.85
29.10.24 Bastia – Rodez 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.203.80 2.15 1.67
18.10.24 Bastia – Clermont 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.003.10 2.60 1.48
27.09.24 Bastia – Annecy 2–2 (1–1) 2.302.883.25 2.60 1.48
20.09.24 Bastia – Paris FC 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.002.25 2.25 1.62
13.09.24 Bastia – Troyes 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.604.75 2.10 1.70
23.08.24 Bastia – Amiens 1–0 (0–0) 2.402.903.00 2.60 1.48

Metz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.25 Lorient – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.00 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Annecy – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.10 2.03 1.83
22.11.24 Clermont – Metz 1–1 (1–1) 3.603.102.20 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Ajaccio – Metz 0–1 (0–1) 4.333.101.95 2.50 1.50
29.10.24 Red Star – Metz 1–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.00 2.03 1.83
18.10.24 Grenoble – Metz 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.202.05 2.20 1.65
28.09.24 Troyes – Metz 2–1 (1–0) 3.503.401.95 2.05 1.75
14.09.24 Paris FC – Metz 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.003.10 2.20 1.65
23.08.24 Rodez – Metz 1–3 (0–3) 2.633.102.55 2.10 1.70
12.05.24F1 Strasbourg – Metz 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.95 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bastia winsDrawsMetz wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.24F2 Metz – Bastia 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.303.90 2.15 1.67
02.06.23F2 Metz – Bastia 3–2 (1–0) 1.364.758.00 1.65 2.20
17.09.22F2 Bastia – Metz 1–0 (1–0) 2.373.202.75 2.20 1.65

France Ligue 2 table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 20 12 4 4 34 19 +15 40
2 Metz 20 10 7 3 30 14 +16 37
3 Paris FC 20 11 4 5 31 19 +12 37
4 Dunkerque 20 11 3 6 30 24 +6 36
5 Guingamp 20 11 2 7 35 24 +11 35
6 Laval 20 9 6 5 30 19 +11 33
7 Annecy 20 9 6 5 27 25 +2 33
8 Pau FC 20 7 7 6 23 22 +1 28
9 Grenoble 20 8 3 9 23 25 -2 27
10 Bastia 20 5 11 4 23 19 +4 26
11 Amiens 20 8 2 10 21 28 -7 26
12 Clermont 20 6 6 8 19 23 -4 24
13 Rodez 20 6 5 9 32 34 -2 23
14 Red Star 20 6 4 10 21 36 -15 22
15 Troyes 20 6 3 11 19 23 -4 21
16 Ajaccio 20 6 3 11 15 25 -10 21
17 Caen 20 4 3 13 19 29 -10 15
18 Martigues 20 4 3 13 13 37 -24 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lorient 10 9 1 0 25 8 +17 28
2 Metz 11 7 4 0 22 6 +16 25
3 Dunkerque 10 8 0 2 17 9 +8 24
4 Guingamp 10 6 2 2 23 9 +14 20
5 Paris FC 10 6 2 2 18 11 +7 20
6 Grenoble 10 6 2 2 15 8 +7 20
7 Amiens 10 6 2 2 13 9 +4 20
8 Annecy 10 6 1 3 14 10 +4 19
9 Bastia 10 4 6 0 15 7 +8 18
10 Pau FC 9 5 3 1 12 5 +7 18
11 Laval 10 5 3 2 15 10 +5 18
12 Ajaccio 10 5 2 3 11 8 +3 17
13 Rodez 10 4 1 5 17 18 -1 13
14 Clermont 10 2 5 3 12 11 +1 11
15 Troyes 9 3 2 4 9 9 0 11
16 Caen 11 3 2 6 10 13 -3 11
17 Red Star 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
18 Martigues 11 1 1 9 4 18 -14 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 10 5 2 3 13 8 +5 17
2 Laval 10 4 3 3 15 9 +6 15
3 Guingamp 10 5 0 5 12 15 -3 15
4 Annecy 10 3 5 2 13 15 -2 14
5 Clermont 10 4 1 5 7 12 -5 13
6 Metz 9 3 3 3 8 8 0 12
7 Dunkerque 10 3 3 4 13 15 -2 12
8 Lorient 10 3 3 4 9 11 -2 12
9 Red Star 11 3 2 6 12 21 -9 11
10 Martigues 9 3 2 4 9 19 -10 11
11 Rodez 10 2 4 4 15 16 -1 10
12 Troyes 11 3 1 7 10 14 -4 10
13 Pau FC 11 2 4 5 11 17 -6 10
14 Bastia 10 1 5 4 8 12 -4 8
15 Grenoble 10 2 1 7 8 17 -9 7
16 Amiens 10 2 0 8 8 19 -11 6
17 Caen 9 1 1 7 9 16 -7 4
18 Ajaccio 10 1 1 8 4 17 -13 4

Bastia   Metz

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Rodez 20 6 14 1.6 1.7 6 5 9 32 34 23
2 5 Guingamp 20 8 12 1.8 1.2 11 2 7 35 24 35
3 11 Amiens 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 8 2 10 21 28 26
4 14 Red Star 20 9 11 1.1 1.8 6 4 10 21 36 22
5 15 Troyes 20 9 11 0.9 1.1 6 3 11 19 23 21
6 3 Paris FC 20 10 10 1.6 0.9 11 4 5 31 19 37
7 9 Grenoble 20 10 10 1.1 1.2 8 3 9 23 25 27
8 1 Lorient 20 11 9 1.7 0.9 12 4 4 34 19 40
9 6 Laval 20 11 9 1.5 0.9 9 6 5 30 19 33
10 17 Caen 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 4 3 13 19 29 15
11 18 Martigues 20 11 9 0.7 1.9 4 3 13 13 37 15
12 4 Dunkerque 20 12 8 1.5 1.2 11 3 6 30 24 36
13 7 Annecy 20 12 8 1.4 1.2 9 6 5 27 25 33
14 10 Bastia 20 12 8 1.1 0.9 5 11 4 23 19 26
15 2 Metz 20 13 7 1.5 0.7 10 7 3 30 14 37
16 8 Pau FC 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 7 7 6 23 22 28
17 16 Ajaccio 20 13 7 0.8 1.2 6 3 11 15 25 21
18 12 Clermont 20 14 6 0.9 1.1 6 6 8 19 23 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Rodez 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 4 1 5 17 18 13
2 5 Guingamp 10 3 7 2.3 0.9 6 2 2 23 9 20
3 1 Lorient 10 4 6 2.5 0.8 9 1 0 25 8 28
4 3 Paris FC 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 6 2 2 18 11 20
5 14 Red Star 9 3 6 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
6 4 Dunkerque 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 8 0 2 17 9 24
7 10 Bastia 10 5 5 1.5 0.7 4 6 0 15 7 18
8 11 Amiens 10 5 5 1.3 0.9 6 2 2 13 9 20
9 15 Troyes 9 4 5 1.0 1.0 3 2 4 9 9 11
10 2 Metz 11 7 4 2.0 0.5 7 4 0 22 6 25
11 6 Laval 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 5 3 2 15 10 18
12 9 Grenoble 10 6 4 1.5 0.8 6 2 2 15 8 20
13 18 Martigues 11 7 4 0.4 1.6 1 1 9 4 18 4
14 7 Annecy 10 7 3 1.4 1.0 6 1 3 14 10 19
15 12 Clermont 10 7 3 1.2 1.1 2 5 3 12 11 11
16 16 Ajaccio 10 7 3 1.1 0.8 5 2 3 11 8 17
17 17 Caen 11 8 3 0.9 1.2 3 2 6 10 13 11
18 8 Pau FC 9 7 2 1.3 0.6 5 3 1 12 5 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Grenoble 10 4 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 7 8 17 7
2 11 Amiens 10 4 6 0.8 1.9 2 0 8 8 19 6
3 13 Rodez 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 2 4 4 15 16 10
4 15 Troyes 11 5 6 0.9 1.3 3 1 7 10 14 10
5 17 Caen 9 3 6 1.0 1.8 1 1 7 9 16 4
6 5 Guingamp 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 5 0 5 12 15 15
7 6 Laval 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 3 3 15 9 15
8 7 Annecy 10 5 5 1.3 1.5 3 5 2 13 15 14
9 8 Pau FC 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 4 5 11 17 10
10 14 Red Star 11 6 5 1.1 1.9 3 2 6 12 21 11
11 18 Martigues 9 4 5 1.0 2.1 3 2 4 9 19 11
12 3 Paris FC 10 6 4 1.3 0.8 5 2 3 13 8 17
13 16 Ajaccio 10 6 4 0.4 1.7 1 1 8 4 17 4
14 1 Lorient 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 3 3 4 9 11 12
15 2 Metz 9 6 3 0.9 0.9 3 3 3 8 8 12
16 4 Dunkerque 10 7 3 1.3 1.5 3 3 4 13 15 12
17 10 Bastia 10 7 3 0.8 1.2 1 5 4 8 12 8
18 12 Clermont 10 7 3 0.7 1.2 4 1 5 7 12 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51