Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dresden – Germany 2. Bundesliga, 25 Oct 2026

Match facts

Holstein Kiel Dresden

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

1.38 Expected goals (xG) 1.98

5 Corners 10

11 Fouls 5

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (78 league matches this season so far).

Result Holstein Kiel to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.65

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.32

Home / Draw / Away

47% 23% 29%

Holstein KielDrawDresden

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

20% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Holstein Kiel before this match, all matches

0.63points / match

0.88scored / match

1.38conceded / match

5 3

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:11

Dresden before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.38scored / match

1.88conceded / match

2 2 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:15

Holstein Kiel all matches all matches Dresden

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded 1.88

2.25 Total goals 3.25

1.36 xG created 1.21

1.59 xG allowed 1.67

13.25 Shots 12.13

3.25 Shots on target 4.38

14.25 Shots faced 16.50

5.50 Corners 6.63

5.00 Corners against 3.88

14.75 Fouls 10.25

2.88 Yellow cards 2.00

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%

63% Draws 25%

38% Losses 50%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

63% Over 1.5 goals 88%

38% Over 2.5 goals 63%

38% Over 3.5 goals 25%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

50% Both teams scored 63%

13% Clean sheets 25%

50% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%

50% Draws 25%

25% Losses 25%

63% Over 0.5 goals 100%

38% Over 1.5 goals 50%

0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel all matches

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

D

2

L

2

D

1

L

1

D

1

L

D

Dresden all matches

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

L

1

W

3

5

L

1

2

L

2

D

1

2

L

1

D

2

W

Holstein Kiel before this match, at home

1.00points / match

1.25scored / match

1.25conceded / match

4

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5

Dresden before this match, away

0.50points / match

1.50scored / match

2.75conceded / match

2 2

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:11

Holstein Kiel at home away Dresden

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.50

1.25 Goals conceded 2.75

2.50 Total goals 4.25

1.35 xG created 1.08

1.94 xG allowed 2.03

14.25 Shots 12.75

4.00 Shots on target 4.25

15.25 Shots faced 16.75

6.50 Corners 7.25

5.25 Corners against 4.25

15.00 Fouls 10.25

2.75 Yellow cards 2.75

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%

100% Draws 50%

0% Losses 50%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 100%

50% Over 2.5 goals 75%

50% Over 3.5 goals 50%

0% Over 4.5 goals 25%

0% Over 5.5 goals 25%

75% Both teams scored 75%

25% Clean sheets 0%

25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%

50% Draws 25%

25% Losses 25%

75% Over 0.5 goals 100%

50% Over 1.5 goals 50%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Holstein Kiel at home

1

D

2

3

L

D

3

W

2

W

1

3

L

2

D

2

D

1

D

Dresden away

D

3

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

3

L

1

2

L

3

L

3

5

L

2

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Holstein Kiel all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.10.26	Holstein Kiel – Hertha	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.90	2.10	1.40	2.88
09.10.26	Braunschweig – Holstein Kiel	1–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.75	2.25	1.48	2.60
19.09.26	Holstein Kiel – Osnabruck	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.00	1.50	2.50
13.09.26	Heidenheim – Holstein Kiel	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.00	1.50	2.50
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg	2–2 (1–1)	2.40	3.40	2.63	1.57	2.35
30.08.26	Magdeburg – Holstein Kiel	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.57	2.35
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel – St Pauli	2–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.75	2.05
08.08.26	Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel	2–2 (0–2)	2.20	3.50	3.10	1.65	2.20
17.05.26	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	2–1 (2–0)	1.67	4.10	4.20	1.53	2.40
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel – Magdeburg	1–3 (0–2)	3.00	4.00	2.10	1.40	2.88

Dresden all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.26	Dresden – Magdeburg	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.60	2.55	1.53	2.40
10.10.26	Osnabruck – Dresden	1–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.40	1.53	2.40
19.09.26	Dresden – Hertha	1–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.70	2.30	1.44	2.70
12.09.26	Braunschweig – Dresden	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.30	2.50	1.60	2.30
05.09.26	Dresden – Bochum	1–2 (1–2)	2.05	3.50	3.10	1.62	2.25
29.08.26	Heidenheim – Dresden	5–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.53	2.40
16.08.26	Dresden – Darmstadt	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.30	1.60	2.30
09.08.26	Nurnberg – Dresden	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.10	1.70	2.10
17.05.26	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	2–1 (2–0)	1.67	4.10	4.20	1.53	2.40
09.05.26	Braunschweig – Dresden	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.75	2.05

Holstein Kiel at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.10.26	Holstein Kiel – Hertha	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.90	2.10	1.40	2.88
19.09.26	Holstein Kiel – Osnabruck	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.00	1.50	2.50
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg	2–2 (1–1)	2.40	3.40	2.63	1.57	2.35
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel – St Pauli	2–2 (0–2)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.75	2.05
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel – Magdeburg	1–3 (0–2)	3.00	4.00	2.10	1.40	2.88
02.05.26	Holstein Kiel – Braunschweig	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.80	2.00
17.04.26	Holstein Kiel – Kaiserslautern	3–0 (3–0)	2.15	3.80	3.00	1.65	2.20
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel – Preußen Münster	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.80	3.80	1.70	2.10
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel – Nurnberg	2–3 (2–2)	2.35	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.15
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel – Elversberg	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.50	2.15	1.70	2.10

Dresden away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.10.26	Osnabruck – Dresden	1–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.40	1.53	2.40
12.09.26	Braunschweig – Dresden	2–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.30	2.50	1.60	2.30
29.08.26	Heidenheim – Dresden	5–3 (0–1)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.53	2.40
09.08.26	Nurnberg – Dresden	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.10	1.70	2.10
09.05.26	Braunschweig – Dresden	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	1.75	2.05
24.04.26	Fortuna Dusseldorf – Dresden	3–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	2.80	1.70	2.10
11.04.26	Nurnberg – Dresden	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.60	3.25	1.70	2.10
21.03.26	Paderborn – Dresden	2–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.75	4.33	1.62	2.25
08.03.26	Karlsruhe – Dresden	3–3 (1–3)	2.50	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.08
22.02.26	Hannover – Dresden	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	6.00	1.62	2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1 1

Holstein Kiel winsDrawsDresden wins

4matches

2.25goals / match

75%over 2.5

75%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.05.26D2	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	2–1 (2–0)	1.67	4.10	4.20	1.53	2.40
20.12.25D2	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
16.04.22D2	Dresden – Holstein Kiel	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	1.83	2.02
05.11.21D2	Holstein Kiel – Dresden	2–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	4.20	1.85	1.95

Germany 2. Bundesliga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hertha	9	8	1	0	20	8	+12	25
2	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21	12	+9	18
3	Kaiserslautern	9	5	3	1	9	4	+5	18
4	Wolfsburg	9	4	4	1	23	14	+9	16
5	Magdeburg	9	5	1	3	20	12	+8	16
6	Heidenheim	9	4	3	2	16	16	0	15
7	St Pauli	9	2	6	1	11	9	+2	12
8	Bielefeld	9	3	2	4	13	14	-1	11
9	Cottbus	9	2	4	3	17	18	-1	10
10	Greuther Furth	8	2	3	3	12	13	-1	9
11	Dresden	8	2	2	4	11	15	-4	8
12	Osnabruck	8	2	2	4	11	15	-4	8
13	Bochum	9	2	2	5	6	10	-4	8
14	Hannover	8	2	2	4	8	13	-5	8
15	Karlsruhe	9	2	2	5	11	20	-9	8
16	Darmstadt	9	2	2	5	8	18	-10	8
17	Braunschweig	8	2	1	5	13	15	-2	7
18	Holstein Kiel	8	0	5	3	7	11	-4	5

Promotion to Bundesliga
Promotion play-off
Relegation play-off
Relegation to 3. Liga

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Magdeburg	5	4	0	1	15	7	+8	12
2	Hertha	4	4	0	0	9	3	+6	12
3	Heidenheim	5	3	2	0	11	7	+4	11
4	Nurnberg	5	3	1	1	13	7	+6	10
5	Kaiserslautern	4	3	1	0	6	0	+6	10
6	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	12	6	+6	8
7	Bielefeld	4	2	2	0	9	5	+4	8
8	Darmstadt	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
9	St Pauli	4	2	1	1	5	3	+2	7
10	Dresden	4	2	0	2	5	4	+1	6
11	Karlsruhe	5	2	0	3	8	10	-2	6
12	Cottbus	4	1	2	1	8	7	+1	5
13	Hannover	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
14	Holstein Kiel	4	0	4	0	5	5	0	4
15	Greuther Furth	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4
16	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
17	Osnabruck	4	1	1	2	5	8	-3	4
18	Bochum	5	0	2	3	2	5	-3	2

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hertha	5	4	1	0	11	5	+6	13
2	Wolfsburg	5	2	2	1	11	8	+3	8
3	Nurnberg	4	2	2	0	8	5	+3	8
4	Kaiserslautern	5	2	2	1	3	4	-1	8
5	Bochum	4	2	0	2	4	5	-1	6
6	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	7	7	0	5
7	St Pauli	5	0	5	0	6	6	0	5
8	Cottbus	5	1	2	2	9	11	-2	5
9	Magdeburg	4	1	1	2	5	5	0	4
10	Osnabruck	4	1	1	2	6	7	-1	4
11	Heidenheim	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4
12	Braunschweig	4	1	0	3	7	7	0	3
13	Bielefeld	5	1	0	4	4	9	-5	3
14	Hannover	4	1	0	3	3	8	-5	3
15	Dresden	4	0	2	2	6	11	-5	2
16	Karlsruhe	4	0	2	2	3	10	-7	2
17	Holstein Kiel	4	0	1	3	2	6	-4	1
18	Darmstadt	4	0	0	4	1	13	-12	0

Holstein Kiel Dresden

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Bielefeld	9	2	7	1.4	1.6	3	2	4	13	14	11
2	1	Hertha	9	3	6	2.2	0.9	8	1	0	20	8	25
3	2	Nurnberg	9	3	6	2.3	1.3	5	3	1	21	12	18
4	5	Magdeburg	9	3	6	2.2	1.3	5	1	3	20	12	16
5	9	Cottbus	9	3	6	1.9	2.0	2	4	3	17	18	10
6	15	Karlsruhe	9	3	6	1.2	2.2	2	2	5	11	20	8
7	16	Darmstadt	9	3	6	0.9	2.0	2	2	5	8	18	8
8	4	Wolfsburg	9	4	5	2.6	1.6	4	4	1	23	14	16
9	6	Heidenheim	9	4	5	1.8	1.8	4	3	2	16	16	15
10	11	Dresden	8	3	5	1.4	1.9	2	2	4	11	15	8
11	12	Osnabruck	8	3	5	1.4	1.9	2	2	4	11	15	8
12	14	Hannover	8	3	5	1.0	1.6	2	2	4	8	13	8
13	17	Braunschweig	8	4	4	1.6	1.9	2	1	5	13	15	7
14	3	Kaiserslautern	9	6	3	1.0	0.4	5	3	1	9	4	18
15	7	St Pauli	9	6	3	1.2	1.0	2	6	1	11	9	12
16	10	Greuther Furth	8	5	3	1.5	1.6	2	3	3	12	13	9
17	18	Holstein Kiel	8	5	3	0.9	1.4	0	5	3	7	11	5
18	13	Bochum	9	7	2	0.7	1.1	2	2	5	6	10	8

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Nurnberg	5	1	4	2.6	1.4	3	1	1	13	7	10
2	5	Magdeburg	5	1	4	3.0	1.4	4	0	1	15	7	12
3	8	Bielefeld	4	0	4	2.2	1.2	2	2	0	9	5	8
4	15	Karlsruhe	5	1	4	1.6	2.0	2	0	3	8	10	6
5	1	Hertha	4	1	3	2.2	0.8	4	0	0	9	3	12
6	4	Wolfsburg	4	1	3	3.0	1.5	2	2	0	12	6	8
7	12	Osnabruck	4	1	3	1.2	2.0	1	1	2	5	8	4
8	16	Darmstadt	5	2	3	1.4	1.0	2	2	1	7	5	8
9	6	Heidenheim	5	3	2	2.2	1.4	3	2	0	11	7	11
10	9	Cottbus	4	2	2	2.0	1.8	1	2	1	8	7	5
11	11	Dresden	4	2	2	1.2	1.0	2	0	2	5	4	6
12	14	Hannover	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	2	1	5	5	5
13	17	Braunschweig	4	2	2	1.5	2.0	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	18	Holstein Kiel	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	0	4	0	5	5	4
15	3	Kaiserslautern	4	3	1	1.5	0.0	3	1	0	6	0	10
16	7	St Pauli	4	3	1	1.2	0.8	2	1	1	5	3	7
17	10	Greuther Furth	4	3	1	1.2	1.5	1	1	2	5	6	4
18	13	Bochum	5	5	0	0.4	1.0	0	2	3	2	5	2

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	Cottbus	5	1	4	1.8	2.2	1	2	2	9	11	5
2	1	Hertha	5	2	3	2.2	1.0	4	1	0	11	5	13
3	6	Heidenheim	4	1	3	1.2	2.2	1	1	2	5	9	4
4	8	Bielefeld	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	1	0	4	4	9	3
5	11	Dresden	4	1	3	1.5	2.8	0	2	2	6	11	2
6	14	Hannover	4	1	3	0.8	2.0	1	0	3	3	8	3
7	16	Darmstadt	4	1	3	0.2	3.2	0	0	4	1	13	0
8	2	Nurnberg	4	2	2	2.0	1.2	2	2	0	8	5	8
9	3	Kaiserslautern	5	3	2	0.6	0.8	2	2	1	3	4	8
10	4	Wolfsburg	5	3	2	2.2	1.6	2	2	1	11	8	8
11	5	Magdeburg	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	1	2	5	5	4
12	7	St Pauli	5	3	2	1.2	1.2	0	5	0	6	6	5
13	10	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	1.8	1.8	1	2	1	7	7	5
14	12	Osnabruck	4	2	2	1.5	1.8	1	1	2	6	7	4
15	13	Bochum	4	2	2	1.0	1.2	2	0	2	4	5	6
16	15	Karlsruhe	4	2	2	0.8	2.5	0	2	2	3	10	2
17	17	Braunschweig	4	2	2	1.8	1.8	1	0	3	7	7	3
18	18	Holstein Kiel	4	3	1	0.5	1.5	0	1	3	2	6	1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.