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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 3–1 Dortmund

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.50 fair 2.41
Draw 3.60 fair 4.31
Away 2.00 fair 2.83
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.69
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Dortmund
13 Shots 2
9 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 0
17 Fouls 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (82 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.56
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawDortmund
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.33scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:13
Dortmund before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.89scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:15
Mainz all matches all matches Dortmund

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.89
1.44 Goals conceded 1.67
2.78 Total goals 3.56
11.44 Shots 14.11
3.78 Shots on target 5.56
16.11 Shots faced 10.11
4.56 Corners 6.11
6.78 Corners against 2.89
12.33 Fouls 11.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.89
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

22% Wins 56%
44% Draws 11%
33% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
44% Over 2.5 goals 78%
22% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 33%
11% Over 5.5 goals 33%
56% Both teams scored 78%
22% Clean sheets 22%
33% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%
44% Draws 44%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
56% Over 1.5 goals 67%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Dortmund all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.40points / match
0.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:8
Dortmund before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.75scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:9
Mainz at home away Dortmund

Per match

0.60 Goals scored 0.75
1.60 Goals conceded 2.25
2.20 Total goals 3.00
14.40 Shots 8.75
3.60 Shots on target 4.00
12.00 Shots faced 11.50
6.40 Corners 4.50
5.20 Corners against 4.25
11.80 Fouls 12.25
2.40 Yellow cards 4.25
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
40% Draws 25%
60% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
20% Over 2.5 goals 75%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
60% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 25%
40% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
60% Draws 50%
40% Losses 50%
60% Over 0.5 goals 75%
40% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Dortmund away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
05.10.24 St Pauli – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.302.90 1.88 2.02
28.09.24 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.73 2.10
20.09.24 Augsburg – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 2.383.502.90 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.703.50 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Stuttgart – Mainz 3–3 (2–1) 1.624.335.25 1.62 2.30
24.08.24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 2.20 1.67
18.05.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–3 (1–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
26.10.24 Augsburg – Dortmund 2–1 (1–1) 3.604.001.90 1.50 2.63
18.10.24 Dortmund – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.50 2.63
05.10.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 2–1 (2–0) 3.303.502.15 1.73 2.10
27.09.24 Dortmund – Bochum 4–2 (1–2) 1.257.009.00 1.29 3.75
22.09.24 Stuttgart – Dortmund 5–1 (2–0) 2.303.752.90 1.44 2.75
13.09.24 Dortmund – Heidenheim 4–2 (3–1) 1.405.506.50 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 0–0 (0–0) 4.104.001.80 1.44 2.75
24.08.24 Dortmund – Ein Frankfurt 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.104.50 1.50 2.63
18.05.24 Dortmund – Darmstadt 4–0 (2–0) 1.178.5013.00 1.20 4.50

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.73 2.10
15.09.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.703.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 2.20 1.67
11.05.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
28.04.24 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.336.00 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20
16.03.24 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00

Dortmund away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Augsburg – Dortmund 2–1 (1–1) 3.604.001.90 1.50 2.63
05.10.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 2–1 (2–0) 3.303.502.15 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Stuttgart – Dortmund 5–1 (2–0) 2.303.752.90 1.44 2.75
31.08.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 0–0 (0–0) 4.104.001.80 1.44 2.75
11.05.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
27.04.24 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 4–1 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.40 3.00
13.04.24 M'gladbach – Dortmund 1–2 (1–2) 3.254.002.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
09.03.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–2) 3.504.331.85 1.44 2.75
02.03.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.05 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsDortmund wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24D1 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
19.12.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.755.25 1.44 2.75
27.05.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 2–2 (0–2) 1.148.5015.00 1.22 4.33
25.01.23D1 Mainz – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
16.03.22D1 Mainz – Dortmund 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.61 2.30
16.10.21D1 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 7 2 0 32 7 +25 23
2 RB Leipzig 9 6 2 1 15 5 +10 20
3 Ein Frankfurt 9 5 2 2 23 14 +9 17
4 Freiburg 10 5 2 3 13 11 +2 17
5 Leverkusen 9 4 4 1 20 15 +5 16
6 Dortmund 9 5 1 3 17 15 +2 16
7 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 9 8 +1 16
8 Stuttgart 9 3 4 2 17 16 +1 13
9 M'gladbach 9 4 1 4 15 14 +1 13
10 Werder Bremen 9 3 3 3 15 20 -5 12
11 Augsburg 9 3 2 4 13 20 -7 11
12 Heidenheim 9 3 1 5 12 12 0 10
13 Mainz 9 2 4 3 12 13 -1 10
14 Wolfsburg 9 2 3 4 16 17 -1 9
15 St Pauli 9 2 2 5 7 11 -4 8
16 Hoffenheim 9 2 2 5 13 19 -6 8
17 Holstein Kiel 9 1 2 6 11 23 -12 5
18 Bochum 9 0 1 8 9 29 -20 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 5 5 0 0 14 6 +8 15
2 Union Berlin 5 3 2 0 6 3 +3 11
3 Ein Frankfurt 4 3 1 0 15 6 +9 10
4 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 10 1 +9 10
5 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0 8 1 +7 10
6 Augsburg 5 3 1 1 11 8 +3 10
7 Freiburg 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 M'gladbach 5 3 0 2 11 9 +2 9
9 Stuttgart 4 2 2 0 11 6 +5 8
10 Leverkusen 5 2 2 1 10 9 +1 8
11 Hoffenheim 5 2 0 3 10 13 -3 6
12 Heidenheim 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
13 Holstein Kiel 5 1 0 4 4 14 -10 3
14 Wolfsburg 5 0 2 3 8 12 -4 2
15 Mainz 5 0 2 3 3 8 -5 2
16 St Pauli 4 0 2 2 0 5 -5 2
17 Werder Bremen 4 0 2 2 2 8 -6 2
18 Bochum 4 0 1 3 3 12 -9 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 22 6 +16 13
2 RB Leipzig 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
3 Werder Bremen 5 3 1 1 13 12 +1 10
4 Leverkusen 4 2 2 0 10 6 +4 8
5 Mainz 4 2 2 0 9 5 +4 8
6 Wolfsburg 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
7 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
8 Freiburg 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
9 St Pauli 5 2 0 3 7 6 +1 6
10 Heidenheim 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6
11 Union Berlin 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
12 Stuttgart 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5
13 M'gladbach 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
14 Holstein Kiel 4 0 2 2 7 9 -2 2
15 Hoffenheim 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
16 Dortmund 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
17 Augsburg 4 0 1 3 2 12 -10 1
18 Bochum 5 0 0 5 6 17 -11 0

Mainz   Dortmund

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Augsburg 9 1 8 1.4 2.2 3 2 4 13 20 11
2 1 Bayern Munich 9 2 7 3.6 0.8 7 2 0 32 7 23
3 5 Leverkusen 9 2 7 2.2 1.7 4 4 1 20 15 16
4 6 Dortmund 9 2 7 1.9 1.7 5 1 3 17 15 16
5 8 Stuttgart 9 2 7 1.9 1.8 3 4 2 17 16 13
6 10 Werder Bremen 9 2 7 1.7 2.2 3 3 3 15 20 12
7 18 Bochum 9 2 7 1.0 3.2 0 1 8 9 29 1
8 3 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 6 2.6 1.6 5 2 2 23 14 17
9 4 Freiburg 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 5 2 3 13 11 17
10 14 Wolfsburg 9 3 6 1.8 1.9 2 3 4 16 17 9
11 16 Hoffenheim 9 3 6 1.4 2.1 2 2 5 13 19 8
12 17 Holstein Kiel 9 3 6 1.2 2.6 1 2 6 11 23 5
13 9 M'gladbach 9 4 5 1.7 1.6 4 1 4 15 14 13
14 2 RB Leipzig 9 5 4 1.7 0.6 6 2 1 15 5 20
15 12 Heidenheim 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 3 1 5 12 12 10
16 13 Mainz 9 5 4 1.3 1.4 2 4 3 12 13 10
17 15 St Pauli 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 2 2 5 7 11 8
18 7 Union Berlin 10 7 3 0.9 0.8 4 4 2 9 8 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Augsburg 5 0 5 2.2 1.6 3 1 1 11 8 10
2 4 Freiburg 5 1 4 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
3 5 Leverkusen 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 2 2 1 10 9 8
4 6 Dortmund 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 5 0 0 14 6 15
5 9 M'gladbach 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 3 0 2 11 9 9
6 14 Wolfsburg 5 1 4 1.6 2.4 0 2 3 8 12 2
7 16 Hoffenheim 5 1 4 2.0 2.6 2 0 3 10 13 6
8 3 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 3 3.8 1.5 3 1 0 15 6 10
9 8 Stuttgart 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 2 2 0 11 6 8
10 18 Bochum 4 1 3 0.8 3.0 0 1 3 3 12 1
11 1 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 3 1 0 10 1 10
12 2 RB Leipzig 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 3 1 0 8 1 10
13 7 Union Berlin 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 3 2 0 6 3 11
14 10 Werder Bremen 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 2 2 2 8 2
15 12 Heidenheim 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
16 17 Holstein Kiel 5 3 2 0.8 2.8 1 0 4 4 14 3
17 13 Mainz 5 4 1 0.6 1.6 0 2 3 3 8 2
18 15 St Pauli 4 3 1 0.0 1.2 0 2 2 0 5 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 5 0 5 4.4 1.2 4 1 0 22 6 13
2 10 Werder Bremen 5 0 5 2.6 2.4 3 1 1 13 12 10
3 8 Stuttgart 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5
4 17 Holstein Kiel 4 0 4 1.8 2.2 0 2 2 7 9 2
5 18 Bochum 5 1 4 1.2 3.4 0 0 5 6 17 0
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
7 5 Leverkusen 4 1 3 2.5 1.5 2 2 0 10 6 8
8 6 Dortmund 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
9 11 Augsburg 4 1 3 0.5 3.0 0 1 3 2 12 1
10 13 Mainz 4 1 3 2.2 1.2 2 2 0 9 5 8
11 15 St Pauli 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 0 3 7 6 6
12 2 RB Leipzig 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
13 4 Freiburg 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
14 12 Heidenheim 5 3 2 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6
15 14 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7
16 16 Hoffenheim 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
17 7 Union Berlin 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
18 9 M'gladbach 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51