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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.12
Draw 3.40 fair 4.35
Away 3.50 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.61
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Hoffenheim
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 3
13 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (106 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.79 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawHoffenheim
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.64scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:14
Hoffenheim before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.55scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:22
Mainz all matches all matches Hoffenheim

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.55
1.27 Goals conceded 2.00
2.91 Total goals 3.55
12.18 Shots 12.18
4.55 Shots on target 5.00
14.00 Shots faced 15.18
5.00 Corners 4.73
5.73 Corners against 5.82
12.27 Fouls 11.00
2.45 Yellow cards 2.27
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 1.09

How often Full Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 27%
27% Losses 45%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
91% Over 1.5 goals 82%
55% Over 2.5 goals 64%
27% Over 3.5 goals 55%
18% Over 4.5 goals 36%
9% Over 5.5 goals 18%
55% Both teams scored 73%
27% Clean sheets 18%
27% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 27%
36% Draws 27%
27% Losses 45%
73% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 55%
27% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Hoffenheim all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.83points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:9
Hoffenheim before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:6
Mainz at home away Hoffenheim

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.60
1.50 Goals conceded 1.20
2.50 Total goals 1.80
14.17 Shots 9.20
4.50 Shots on target 3.40
10.33 Shots faced 16.00
6.67 Corners 4.60
4.33 Corners against 6.60
12.67 Fouls 11.60
2.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

17% Wins 0%
33% Draws 60%
50% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
33% Over 2.5 goals 40%
17% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
33% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 20%
50% Draws 40%
33% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 60%
50% Over 1.5 goals 40%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Hoffenheim away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
03.11.24 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
05.10.24 St Pauli – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.302.90 1.88 2.02
28.09.24 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.73 2.10
20.09.24 Augsburg – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 2.383.502.90 1.67 2.20
15.09.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.703.50 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Stuttgart – Mainz 3–3 (2–1) 1.624.335.25 1.62 2.30

Hoffenheim all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 4–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.753.25 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Hoffenheim – St Pauli 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.804.00 1.62 2.30
27.10.24 Heidenheim – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.53 2.50
19.10.24 Hoffenheim – Bochum 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.504.20 1.40 3.00
06.10.24 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 1.306.008.00 1.25 4.00
29.09.24 Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen 3–4 (3–3) 2.383.802.70 1.44 2.75
21.09.24 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.70 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Hoffenheim – Leverkusen 1–4 (1–2) 5.754.501.48 1.33 3.40
31.08.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.804.203.90 1.44 2.75

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–2 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.73 2.10
15.09.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.703.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 2.20 1.67
11.05.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
28.04.24 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.336.00 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20

Hoffenheim away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Augsburg – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.753.25 1.57 2.38
27.10.24 Heidenheim – Hoffenheim 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.53 2.50
06.10.24 Stuttgart – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 1.306.008.00 1.25 4.00
21.09.24 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.70 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (2–0) 1.804.203.90 1.44 2.75
12.05.24 Darmstadt – Hoffenheim 0–6 (0–5) 4.754.501.62 1.36 3.20
26.04.24 Bochum – Hoffenheim 3–2 (2–0) 2.154.002.90 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
30.03.24 Leverkusen – Hoffenheim 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.30 3.50
10.03.24 Ein Frankfurt – Hoffenheim 3–1 (1–1) 2.004.003.30 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsHoffenheim wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
26.11.23D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.803.80 1.57 2.38
04.03.23D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
10.09.22D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 4–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.90 1.66 2.20
05.02.22D1 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (0–0) 2.603.402.70 1.72 2.10
11.09.21D1 Hoffenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 3 0 37 8 +29 30
2 Ein Frankfurt 11 7 2 2 27 16 +11 23
3 Leverkusen 12 6 5 1 28 19 +9 23
4 RB Leipzig 12 6 3 3 19 14 +5 21
5 Dortmund 12 6 2 4 23 19 +4 20
6 Freiburg 12 6 2 4 16 16 0 20
7 Wolfsburg 12 5 3 4 25 19 +6 18
8 Stuttgart 12 4 5 3 23 21 +2 17
9 M'gladbach 12 5 2 5 18 17 +1 17
10 Mainz 11 4 4 3 18 14 +4 16
11 Union Berlin 12 4 4 4 10 11 -1 16
12 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 19 24 -5 16
13 Augsburg 12 4 3 5 14 23 -9 15
14 Hoffenheim 11 3 3 5 17 22 -5 12
15 St Pauli 12 3 2 7 10 15 -5 11
16 Heidenheim 11 3 1 7 15 20 -5 10
17 Holstein Kiel 12 1 2 9 13 31 -18 5
18 Bochum 12 0 2 10 10 33 -23 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 7 6 1 0 19 7 +12 19
2 Augsburg 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14
3 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 13 1 +12 13
4 Ein Frankfurt 5 4 1 0 16 6 +10 13
5 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 11 7 +4 13
6 M'gladbach 6 4 0 2 13 9 +4 12
7 Stuttgart 6 3 2 1 15 9 +6 11
8 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 15 11 +4 11
9 RB Leipzig 6 3 2 1 9 6 +3 11
10 Union Berlin 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
11 Hoffenheim 6 3 0 3 14 16 -2 9
12 Werder Bremen 6 1 3 2 6 11 -5 6
13 Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 9 12 -3 5
14 Mainz 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
15 St Pauli 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
16 Heidenheim 5 1 1 3 5 7 -2 4
17 Holstein Kiel 6 1 0 5 4 17 -13 3
18 Bochum 5 0 2 3 4 13 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 24 7 +17 17
2 Wolfsburg 6 4 1 1 16 7 +9 13
3 Leverkusen 6 3 3 0 13 8 +5 12
4 Mainz 5 3 2 0 12 5 +7 11
5 RB Leipzig 6 3 1 2 10 8 +2 10
6 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 11 10 +1 10
7 Werder Bremen 6 3 1 2 13 13 0 10
8 Freiburg 6 2 1 3 5 9 -4 7
9 St Pauli 6 2 0 4 7 8 -1 6
10 Heidenheim 6 2 0 4 10 13 -3 6
11 Stuttgart 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6
12 M'gladbach 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5
13 Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
14 Hoffenheim 5 0 3 2 3 6 -3 3
15 Holstein Kiel 6 0 2 4 9 14 -5 2
16 Dortmund 5 0 1 4 4 12 -8 1
17 Augsburg 5 0 1 4 2 15 -13 1
18 Bochum 7 0 0 7 6 20 -14 0

Mainz   Hoffenheim

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Leverkusen 12 3 9 2.3 1.6 6 5 1 28 19 23
2 5 Dortmund 12 3 9 1.9 1.6 6 2 4 23 19 20
3 8 Stuttgart 12 3 9 1.9 1.8 4 5 3 23 21 17
4 12 Werder Bremen 12 3 9 1.6 2.0 4 4 4 19 24 16
5 13 Augsburg 12 3 9 1.2 1.9 4 3 5 14 23 15
6 17 Holstein Kiel 12 3 9 1.1 2.6 1 2 9 13 31 5
7 1 Bayern Munich 12 4 8 3.1 0.7 9 3 0 37 8 30
8 6 Freiburg 12 4 8 1.3 1.3 6 2 4 16 16 20
9 7 Wolfsburg 12 4 8 2.1 1.6 5 3 4 25 19 18
10 2 Ein Frankfurt 11 4 7 2.5 1.5 7 2 2 27 16 23
11 14 Hoffenheim 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 3 3 5 17 22 12
12 18 Bochum 12 5 7 0.8 2.8 0 2 10 10 33 2
13 4 RB Leipzig 12 6 6 1.6 1.2 6 3 3 19 14 21
14 9 M'gladbach 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 5 2 5 18 17 17
15 10 Mainz 11 5 6 1.6 1.3 4 4 3 18 14 16
16 16 Heidenheim 11 5 6 1.4 1.8 3 1 7 15 20 10
17 15 St Pauli 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 15 11
18 11 Union Berlin 12 8 4 0.8 0.9 4 4 4 10 11 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Leverkusen 6 1 5 2.5 1.8 3 2 1 15 11 11
2 5 Dortmund 7 2 5 2.7 1.0 6 1 0 19 7 19
3 6 Freiburg 6 1 5 1.8 1.2 4 1 1 11 7 13
4 13 Augsburg 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14
5 14 Hoffenheim 6 1 5 2.3 2.7 3 0 3 14 16 9
6 7 Wolfsburg 6 2 4 1.5 2.0 1 2 3 9 12 5
7 8 Stuttgart 6 2 4 2.5 1.5 3 2 1 15 9 11
8 9 M'gladbach 6 2 4 2.2 1.5 4 0 2 13 9 12
9 12 Werder Bremen 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 3 2 6 11 6
10 1 Bayern Munich 5 2 3 2.6 0.2 4 1 0 13 1 13
11 2 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 3 3.2 1.2 4 1 0 16 6 13
12 4 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 2 1 9 6 11
13 11 Union Berlin 6 3 3 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
14 16 Heidenheim 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 1 3 5 7 4
15 17 Holstein Kiel 6 3 3 0.7 2.8 1 0 5 4 17 3
16 18 Bochum 5 2 3 0.8 2.6 0 2 3 4 13 2
17 10 Mainz 6 4 2 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
18 15 St Pauli 6 4 2 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Holstein Kiel 6 0 6 1.5 2.3 0 2 4 9 14 2
2 1 Bayern Munich 7 2 5 3.4 1.0 5 2 0 24 7 17
3 8 Stuttgart 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6
4 12 Werder Bremen 6 1 5 2.2 2.2 3 1 2 13 13 10
5 2 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 4 1.8 1.7 3 1 2 11 10 10
6 3 Leverkusen 6 2 4 2.2 1.3 3 3 0 13 8 12
7 5 Dortmund 5 1 4 0.8 2.4 0 1 4 4 12 1
8 7 Wolfsburg 6 2 4 2.7 1.2 4 1 1 16 7 13
9 10 Mainz 5 1 4 2.4 1.0 3 2 0 12 5 11
10 13 Augsburg 5 1 4 0.4 3.0 0 1 4 2 15 1
11 18 Bochum 7 3 4 0.9 2.9 0 0 7 6 20 0
12 4 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 1.7 1.3 3 1 2 10 8 10
13 6 Freiburg 6 3 3 0.8 1.5 2 1 3 5 9 7
14 15 St Pauli 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 0 4 7 8 6
15 16 Heidenheim 6 3 3 1.7 2.2 2 0 4 10 13 6
16 9 M'gladbach 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5
17 14 Hoffenheim 5 3 2 0.6 1.2 0 3 2 3 6 3
18 11 Union Berlin 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 1 2 3 3 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40