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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 3.00
Draw 3.20 fair 4.06
Away 2.88 fair 2.38
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Union Berlin Mainz
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 2
12 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (160 league matches this season so far).
Result Mainz to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
Union BerlinDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–2 8.9% 0–1 8.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Union Berlin before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.76scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 13:24
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.65points / match
1.76scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:21
Union Berlin all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

0.76 Goals scored 1.76
1.41 Goals conceded 1.24
2.18 Total goals 3.00
11.81 Shots 11.65
3.63 Shots on target 4.65
11.50 Shots faced 14.82
4.88 Corners 4.82
4.56 Corners against 6.00
13.81 Fouls 12.59
2.69 Yellow cards 2.29
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.06
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

24% Wins 47%
24% Draws 24%
53% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
35% Over 2.5 goals 53%
12% Over 3.5 goals 29%
12% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 12%
41% Both teams scored 53%
24% Clean sheets 29%
47% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 53%
38% Draws 29%
31% Losses 18%
69% Over 0.5 goals 76%
38% Over 1.5 goals 59%
6% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Union Berlin all matches
Mainz all matches
Union Berlin before this match, at home
1.38points / match
0.88scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:9
Mainz before this match, away
1.75points / match
2.25scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 18:11
Union Berlin at home away Mainz

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 2.25
1.13 Goals conceded 1.38
2.00 Total goals 3.63
11.57 Shots 9.63
3.71 Shots on target 4.38
10.43 Shots faced 19.50
4.14 Corners 3.25
3.57 Corners against 8.13
14.14 Fouls 12.25
3.14 Yellow cards 2.50
0.86 1st-half goals scored 1.38
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
38% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
38% Over 2.5 goals 75%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 38%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 63%
29% Draws 25%
29% Losses 13%
86% Over 0.5 goals 75%
57% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 38%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Union Berlin at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Union Berlin all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.25 Union Berlin – Augsburg 0–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
11.01.25 Heidenheim – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.302.30 2.05 1.85
21.12.24 Werder Bremen – Union Berlin 4–1 (3–1) 2.053.303.75 2.00 1.80
14.12.24 Union Berlin – Bochum 0–2 1.603.806.00 2.04 1.86
06.12.24 Stuttgart – Union Berlin 3–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Union Berlin – Leverkusen 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.701.75 1.89 2.01
23.11.24 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.10 1.73
08.11.24 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.38 1.57
02.11.24 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75
27.10.24 Union Berlin – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 1.95 1.95

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
11.01.25 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10
21.12.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–3 (0–2) 1.834.003.90 1.67 2.20
14.12.24 Mainz – Bayern Munich 2–1 (1–0) 6.504.501.48 1.53 2.50
08.12.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.303.50 1.84 2.06
01.12.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.403.50 1.67 2.20
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
03.11.24 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
25.10.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.752.80 1.57 2.38

Union Berlin at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.25 Union Berlin – Augsburg 0–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Union Berlin – Bochum 0–2 1.603.806.00 2.04 1.86
30.11.24 Union Berlin – Leverkusen 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.701.75 1.89 2.01
08.11.24 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.38 1.57
27.10.24 Union Berlin – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 1.95 1.95
05.10.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 2–1 (2–0) 3.303.502.15 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–1 (2–0) 2.003.603.70 1.73 2.10
30.08.24 Union Berlin – St Pauli 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.504.10 2.03 1.87
18.05.24 Union Berlin – Freiburg 2–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.95 1.95
05.05.24 Union Berlin – Bochum 3–4 (0–3) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–3 (0–2) 1.834.003.90 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.303.50 1.84 2.06
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00
03.11.24 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 St Pauli – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 2.403.302.90 1.88 2.02
20.09.24 Augsburg – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 2.383.502.90 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Stuttgart – Mainz 3–3 (2–1) 1.624.335.25 1.62 2.30
18.05.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–3 (1–1) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Heidenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Union Berlin winsDrawsMainz wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
57%over 2.5
86%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 2.20 1.67
07.02.24D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
20.08.23D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 4–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.10 1.73
04.02.23D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.20 1.67
14.08.22D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.06 1.84
26.02.22D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.20 1.66
03.10.21D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.00 1.80

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 3 1 56 15 +41 45
2 Leverkusen 18 12 5 1 44 24 +20 41
3 Ein Frankfurt 18 11 3 4 42 24 +18 36
4 Stuttgart 18 9 5 4 36 26 +10 32
5 RB Leipzig 18 9 4 5 32 27 +5 31
6 Mainz 17 8 4 5 30 21 +9 28
7 Wolfsburg 18 8 3 7 40 32 +8 27
8 Freiburg 18 8 3 7 25 34 -9 27
9 Werder Bremen 17 7 5 5 31 32 -1 26
10 Dortmund 18 7 4 7 32 31 +1 25
11 M'gladbach 18 7 3 8 27 29 -2 24
12 Augsburg 17 5 4 8 19 33 -14 19
13 St Pauli 18 5 2 11 14 21 -7 17
14 Hoffenheim 18 4 5 9 23 35 -12 17
15 Union Berlin 17 4 4 9 13 24 -11 16
16 Heidenheim 18 4 2 12 23 38 -15 14
17 Bochum 18 3 3 12 18 39 -21 12
18 Holstein Kiel 18 3 2 13 26 46 -20 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 30 6 +24 25
2 Leverkusen 10 7 2 1 26 14 +12 23
3 Ein Frankfurt 9 6 2 1 25 12 +13 20
4 Stuttgart 10 6 2 2 24 13 +11 20
5 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 22 11 +11 20
6 Freiburg 8 6 1 1 17 11 +6 19
7 RB Leipzig 8 5 2 1 15 9 +6 17
8 M'gladbach 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
9 Mainz 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
10 Augsburg 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14
11 Wolfsburg 9 3 2 4 19 19 0 11
12 Union Berlin 8 3 2 3 7 9 -2 11
13 Werder Bremen 8 2 4 2 13 15 -2 10
14 Hoffenheim 9 3 1 5 16 20 -4 10
15 Bochum 9 2 3 4 10 17 -7 9
16 Holstein Kiel 10 3 0 7 14 25 -11 9
17 Heidenheim 9 2 1 6 8 16 -8 7
18 St Pauli 8 1 2 5 3 10 -7 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 6 2 1 26 9 +17 20
2 Leverkusen 8 5 3 0 18 10 +8 18
3 Wolfsburg 9 5 1 3 21 13 +8 16
4 Ein Frankfurt 9 5 1 3 17 12 +5 16
5 Werder Bremen 9 5 1 3 18 17 +1 16
6 Mainz 8 4 2 2 18 11 +7 14
7 RB Leipzig 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14
8 St Pauli 10 4 0 6 11 11 0 12
9 Stuttgart 8 3 3 2 12 13 -1 12
10 M'gladbach 9 2 2 5 9 17 -8 8
11 Freiburg 10 2 2 6 8 23 -15 8
12 Heidenheim 9 2 1 6 15 22 -7 7
13 Hoffenheim 9 1 4 4 7 15 -8 7
14 Union Berlin 9 1 2 6 6 15 -9 5
15 Dortmund 9 1 2 6 10 20 -10 5
16 Augsburg 8 1 2 5 7 22 -15 5
17 Bochum 9 1 0 8 8 22 -14 3
18 Holstein Kiel 8 0 2 6 12 21 -9 2

Union Berlin   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 18 4 14 1.4 2.6 3 2 13 26 46 11
2 1 Bayern Munich 18 5 13 3.1 0.8 14 3 1 56 15 45
3 2 Leverkusen 18 5 13 2.4 1.3 12 5 1 44 24 41
4 4 Stuttgart 18 5 13 2.0 1.4 9 5 4 36 26 32
5 7 Wolfsburg 18 5 13 2.2 1.8 8 3 7 40 32 27
6 8 Freiburg 18 5 13 1.4 1.9 8 3 7 25 34 27
7 3 Ein Frankfurt 18 6 12 2.3 1.3 11 3 4 42 24 36
8 9 Werder Bremen 17 5 12 1.8 1.9 7 5 5 31 32 26
9 10 Dortmund 18 6 12 1.8 1.7 7 4 7 32 31 25
10 5 RB Leipzig 18 7 11 1.8 1.5 9 4 5 32 27 31
11 12 Augsburg 17 6 11 1.1 1.9 5 4 8 19 33 19
12 11 M'gladbach 18 8 10 1.5 1.6 7 3 8 27 29 24
13 14 Hoffenheim 18 8 10 1.3 1.9 4 5 9 23 35 17
14 16 Heidenheim 18 8 10 1.3 2.1 4 2 12 23 38 14
15 6 Mainz 17 8 9 1.8 1.2 8 4 5 30 21 28
16 17 Bochum 18 10 8 1.0 2.2 3 3 12 18 39 12
17 13 St Pauli 18 12 6 0.8 1.2 5 2 11 14 21 17
18 15 Union Berlin 17 11 6 0.8 1.4 4 4 9 13 24 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Leverkusen 10 2 8 2.6 1.4 7 2 1 26 14 23
2 1 Bayern Munich 9 2 7 3.3 0.7 8 1 0 30 6 25
3 4 Stuttgart 10 3 7 2.4 1.3 6 2 2 24 13 20
4 7 Wolfsburg 9 2 7 2.1 2.1 3 2 4 19 19 11
5 8 Freiburg 8 1 7 2.1 1.4 6 1 1 17 11 19
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 6 2.8 1.3 6 2 1 25 12 20
7 9 Werder Bremen 8 2 6 1.6 1.9 2 4 2 13 15 10
8 10 Dortmund 9 3 6 2.4 1.2 6 2 1 22 11 20
9 14 Hoffenheim 9 3 6 1.8 2.2 3 1 5 16 20 10
10 18 Holstein Kiel 10 4 6 1.4 2.5 3 0 7 14 25 9
11 5 RB Leipzig 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 1 15 9 17
12 11 M'gladbach 9 4 5 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
13 12 Augsburg 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14
14 16 Heidenheim 9 4 5 0.9 1.8 2 1 6 8 16 7
15 17 Bochum 9 5 4 1.1 1.9 2 3 4 10 17 9
16 6 Mainz 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
17 15 Union Berlin 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 3 2 3 7 9 11
18 13 St Pauli 8 6 2 0.4 1.2 1 2 5 3 10 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 8 0 8 1.5 2.6 0 2 6 12 21 2
2 1 Bayern Munich 9 3 6 2.9 1.0 6 2 1 26 9 20
3 3 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 5 1 3 17 12 16
4 4 Stuttgart 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 3 3 2 12 13 12
5 5 RB Leipzig 10 4 6 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14
6 6 Mainz 8 2 6 2.2 1.4 4 2 2 18 11 14
7 7 Wolfsburg 9 3 6 2.3 1.4 5 1 3 21 13 16
8 8 Freiburg 10 4 6 0.8 2.3 2 2 6 8 23 8
9 9 Werder Bremen 9 3 6 2.0 1.9 5 1 3 18 17 16
10 10 Dortmund 9 3 6 1.1 2.2 1 2 6 10 20 5
11 12 Augsburg 8 2 6 0.9 2.8 1 2 5 7 22 5
12 2 Leverkusen 8 3 5 2.2 1.2 5 3 0 18 10 18
13 11 M'gladbach 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 5 9 17 8
14 16 Heidenheim 9 4 5 1.7 2.4 2 1 6 15 22 7
15 13 St Pauli 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 4 0 6 11 11 12
16 14 Hoffenheim 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 1 4 4 7 15 7
17 17 Bochum 9 5 4 0.9 2.4 1 0 8 8 22 3
18 15 Union Berlin 9 6 3 0.7 1.7 1 2 6 6 15 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51