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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Dortmund 3–1 Mainz

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.54
Draw 3.90 fair 4.30
Away 5.00 fair 2.67
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Dortmund Mainz
18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Dortmund to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.60
Home / Draw / Away
DortmundDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Dortmund before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.73scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 45:41
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
1.69scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 44:28
Dortmund all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.69
1.58 Goals conceded 1.08
3.31 Total goals 2.77
13.96 Shots 11.38
4.54 Shots on target 4.46
10.42 Shots faced 14.15
5.92 Corners 4.50
3.88 Corners against 5.38
9.81 Fouls 12.08
2.23 Yellow cards 2.35
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

38% Wins 50%
19% Draws 23%
42% Losses 27%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 85%
62% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 27%
23% Over 4.5 goals 12%
19% Over 5.5 goals 8%
65% Both teams scored 50%
19% Clean sheets 35%
19% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 50%
31% Draws 27%
38% Losses 23%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
50% Over 1.5 goals 42%
23% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund all matches
Mainz all matches
Dortmund before this match, at home
1.85points / match
2.38scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 31:16
Mainz before this match, away
1.77points / match
2.00scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:16
Dortmund at home away Mainz

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 2.00
1.23 Goals conceded 1.23
3.62 Total goals 3.23
15.23 Shots 10.46
5.23 Shots on target 4.15
8.77 Shots faced 16.69
6.62 Corners 3.38
2.85 Corners against 6.85
9.92 Fouls 12.15
2.08 Yellow cards 2.38
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

54% Wins 54%
23% Draws 15%
23% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 77%
69% Over 2.5 goals 69%
46% Over 3.5 goals 38%
31% Over 4.5 goals 23%
23% Over 5.5 goals 15%
69% Both teams scored 54%
23% Clean sheets 31%
8% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 54%
31% Draws 15%
23% Losses 31%
77% Over 0.5 goals 85%
46% Over 1.5 goals 54%
23% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.62 2.30
08.03.25 Dortmund – Augsburg 0–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10
01.03.25 St Pauli – Dortmund 0–2 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.80 2.00
22.02.25 Dortmund – Union Berlin 6–0 (2–0) 1.534.505.50 1.62 2.30
15.02.25 Bochum – Dortmund 2–0 (2–0) 5.003.901.67 1.62 2.30
08.02.25 Dortmund – Stuttgart 1–2 (0–0) 1.853.803.90 1.50 2.63
01.02.25 Heidenheim – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.75 1.57 2.38
25.01.25 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.334.75 1.50 2.63
17.01.25 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.57 2.38
14.01.25 Holstein Kiel – Dortmund 4–2 (3–0) 5.254.501.55 1.44 2.75

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
22.02.25 Mainz – St Pauli 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
08.02.25 Mainz – Augsburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.05 1.85
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
25.01.25 Mainz – Stuttgart 2–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.10
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30

Dortmund at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Dortmund – Augsburg 0–1 (0–1) 1.534.335.75 1.73 2.10
22.02.25 Dortmund – Union Berlin 6–0 (2–0) 1.534.505.50 1.62 2.30
08.02.25 Dortmund – Stuttgart 1–2 (0–0) 1.853.803.90 1.50 2.63
25.01.25 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.334.75 1.50 2.63
10.01.25 Dortmund – Leverkusen 2–3 (1–3) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
15.12.24 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.40 3.00
30.11.24 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.101.67 1.40 3.00
23.11.24 Dortmund – Freiburg 4–0 (2–0) 1.674.204.50 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
18.10.24 Dortmund – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.50 2.63

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
16.02.25 Heidenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.92 1.98
31.01.25 Werder Bremen – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 1.89 2.01
19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–3 (0–2) 1.834.003.90 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Wolfsburg – Mainz 4–3 (1–2) 2.153.303.50 1.84 2.06
24.11.24 Holstein Kiel – Mainz 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.80 2.00
03.11.24 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Dortmund winsDrawsMainz wins
7matches
3.00goals / match
71%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24D1 Mainz – Dortmund 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.602.00 1.62 2.30
11.05.24D1 Mainz – Dortmund 3–0 (3–0) 2.203.603.10 1.50 2.63
19.12.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.755.25 1.44 2.75
27.05.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 2–2 (0–2) 1.148.5015.00 1.22 4.33
25.01.23D1 Mainz – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
16.03.22D1 Mainz – Dortmund 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.61 2.30
16.10.21D1 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 20 5 2 78 26 +52 65
2 Leverkusen 27 17 8 2 62 34 +28 59
3 Ein Frankfurt 27 14 6 7 55 40 +15 48
4 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 +16 45
5 M'gladbach 27 13 4 10 44 40 +4 43
6 RB Leipzig 27 11 9 7 41 34 +7 42
7 Freiburg 27 12 6 9 37 40 -3 42
8 Augsburg 27 10 9 8 30 36 -6 39
9 Wolfsburg 27 10 8 9 49 41 +8 38
10 Stuttgart 27 10 7 10 47 44 +3 37
11 Werder Bremen 27 10 6 11 43 53 -10 36
12 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 +4 35
13 Union Berlin 27 8 6 13 25 40 -15 30
14 Hoffenheim 27 6 9 12 33 49 -16 27
15 St Pauli 27 7 4 16 22 33 -11 25
16 Heidenheim 27 6 4 17 32 52 -20 22
17 Bochum 27 5 5 17 28 55 -27 20
18 Holstein Kiel 27 4 5 18 38 67 -29 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 46 14 +32 37
2 Leverkusen 14 9 3 2 32 18 +14 30
3 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 3 3 32 20 +12 27
4 Freiburg 13 8 2 3 25 15 +10 26
5 RB Leipzig 13 7 4 2 24 15 +9 25
6 Dortmund 13 7 3 3 31 16 +15 24
7 M'gladbach 14 7 2 5 24 19 +5 23
8 Mainz 13 6 4 3 18 12 +6 22
9 Augsburg 13 6 4 3 15 12 +3 22
10 Stuttgart 14 6 2 6 30 24 +6 20
11 Union Berlin 13 4 4 5 11 14 -3 16
12 Wolfsburg 14 3 6 5 23 24 -1 15
13 Hoffenheim 14 3 5 6 21 29 -8 14
14 Werder Bremen 13 3 4 6 18 26 -8 13
15 St Pauli 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
16 Bochum 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
17 Holstein Kiel 14 3 2 9 18 34 -16 11
18 Heidenheim 13 3 1 9 12 24 -12 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 13 8 5 0 30 16 +14 29
2 Bayern Munich 13 8 4 1 32 12 +20 28
3 Mainz 13 7 2 4 26 16 +10 23
4 Wolfsburg 13 7 2 4 26 17 +9 23
5 Werder Bremen 14 7 2 5 25 27 -2 23
6 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 3 4 23 20 +3 21
7 M'gladbach 13 6 2 5 20 21 -1 20
8 RB Leipzig 14 4 5 5 17 19 -2 17
9 Stuttgart 13 4 5 4 17 20 -3 17
10 Augsburg 14 4 5 5 15 24 -9 17
11 Freiburg 14 4 4 6 12 25 -13 16
12 Union Berlin 14 4 2 8 14 26 -12 14
13 St Pauli 14 4 1 9 14 19 -5 13
14 Hoffenheim 13 3 4 6 12 20 -8 13
15 Heidenheim 14 3 3 8 20 28 -8 12
16 Dortmund 13 3 2 8 14 25 -11 11
17 Bochum 14 2 2 10 15 33 -18 8
18 Holstein Kiel 13 1 3 9 20 33 -13 6

Dortmund   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 27 6 21 1.4 2.5 4 5 18 38 67 17
2 1 Bayern Munich 27 7 20 2.9 1.0 20 5 2 78 26 65
3 10 Stuttgart 27 8 19 1.7 1.6 10 7 10 47 44 37
4 11 Werder Bremen 27 8 19 1.6 2.0 10 6 11 43 53 36
5 2 Leverkusen 27 9 18 2.3 1.3 17 8 2 62 34 59
6 3 Ein Frankfurt 27 9 18 2.0 1.5 14 6 7 55 40 48
7 5 M'gladbach 27 10 17 1.6 1.5 13 4 10 44 40 43
8 7 Freiburg 27 10 17 1.4 1.5 12 6 9 37 40 42
9 9 Wolfsburg 27 11 16 1.8 1.5 10 8 9 49 41 38
10 12 Dortmund 26 10 16 1.7 1.6 10 5 11 45 41 35
11 16 Heidenheim 27 12 15 1.2 1.9 6 4 17 32 52 22
12 6 RB Leipzig 27 13 14 1.5 1.3 11 9 7 41 34 42
13 14 Hoffenheim 27 13 14 1.2 1.8 6 9 12 33 49 27
14 4 Mainz 26 13 13 1.7 1.1 13 6 7 44 28 45
15 8 Augsburg 27 14 13 1.1 1.3 10 9 8 30 36 39
16 13 Union Berlin 27 14 13 0.9 1.5 8 6 13 25 40 30
17 17 Bochum 27 14 13 1.0 2.0 5 5 17 28 55 20
18 15 St Pauli 27 19 8 0.8 1.2 7 4 16 22 33 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 14 2 12 3.3 1.0 12 1 1 46 14 37
2 10 Stuttgart 14 3 11 2.1 1.7 6 2 6 30 24 20
3 2 Leverkusen 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 9 3 2 32 18 30
4 7 Freiburg 13 3 10 1.9 1.2 8 2 3 25 15 26
5 3 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 9 2.3 1.4 8 3 3 32 20 27
6 11 Werder Bremen 13 4 9 1.4 2.0 3 4 6 18 26 13
7 12 Dortmund 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 7 3 3 31 16 24
8 18 Holstein Kiel 14 5 9 1.3 2.4 3 2 9 18 34 11
9 5 M'gladbach 14 6 8 1.7 1.4 7 2 5 24 19 23
10 6 RB Leipzig 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 4 2 24 15 25
11 9 Wolfsburg 14 6 8 1.6 1.7 3 6 5 23 24 15
12 14 Hoffenheim 14 6 8 1.5 2.1 3 5 6 21 29 14
13 16 Heidenheim 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 3 1 9 12 24 10
14 8 Augsburg 13 7 6 1.2 0.9 6 4 3 15 12 22
15 13 Union Berlin 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 4 4 5 11 14 16
16 17 Bochum 13 8 5 1.0 1.7 3 3 7 13 22 12
17 4 Mainz 13 9 4 1.4 0.9 6 4 3 18 12 22
18 15 St Pauli 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 3 7 8 14 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Holstein Kiel 13 1 12 1.5 2.5 1 3 9 20 33 6
2 11 Werder Bremen 14 4 10 1.8 1.9 7 2 5 25 27 23
3 3 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 23 20 21
4 4 Mainz 13 4 9 2.0 1.2 7 2 4 26 16 23
5 5 M'gladbach 13 4 9 1.5 1.6 6 2 5 20 21 20
6 1 Bayern Munich 13 5 8 2.5 0.9 8 4 1 32 12 28
7 2 Leverkusen 13 5 8 2.3 1.2 8 5 0 30 16 29
8 9 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 2.0 1.3 7 2 4 26 17 23
9 10 Stuttgart 13 5 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 4 17 20 17
10 13 Union Berlin 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 4 2 8 14 26 14
11 17 Bochum 14 6 8 1.1 2.4 2 2 10 15 33 8
12 7 Freiburg 14 7 7 0.9 1.8 4 4 6 12 25 16
13 8 Augsburg 14 7 7 1.1 1.7 4 5 5 15 24 17
14 12 Dortmund 13 6 7 1.1 1.9 3 2 8 14 25 11
15 16 Heidenheim 14 7 7 1.4 2.0 3 3 8 20 28 12
16 6 RB Leipzig 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 4 5 5 17 19 17
17 14 Hoffenheim 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 20 13
18 15 St Pauli 14 9 5 1.0 1.4 4 1 9 14 19 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51