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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Freiburg 4–0 Mainz

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.91 fair 2.24
Draw 3.40 fair 4.32
Away 4.20 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.64
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Freiburg Mainz
23 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 2
9 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (107 league matches this season so far).
Result Freiburg to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
FreiburgDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.36scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:20
Mainz before this match, all matches
0.55points / match
1.00scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:19
Freiburg all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.00
1.82 Goals conceded 1.73
3.18 Total goals 2.73
11.00 Shots 12.27
3.36 Shots on target 2.82
12.91 Shots faced 14.73
4.45 Corners 5.18
3.36 Corners against 3.73
8.73 Fouls 13.27
1.73 Yellow cards 2.64
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.45
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

27% Wins 9%
36% Draws 27%
36% Losses 64%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 73%
64% Over 2.5 goals 36%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
64% Both teams scored 55%
27% Clean sheets 0%
27% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
36% Draws 27%
45% Losses 55%
82% Over 0.5 goals 82%
36% Over 1.5 goals 45%
27% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg all matches
Mainz all matches
Freiburg before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.80scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:8
Mainz before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:9
Freiburg at home away Mainz

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.20
1.60 Goals conceded 1.80
3.40 Total goals 3.00
11.20 Shots 11.20
4.00 Shots on target 2.60
10.20 Shots faced 15.40
6.00 Corners 5.60
3.60 Corners against 4.20
9.00 Fouls 12.60
2.40 Yellow cards 3.60
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.60
1.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
60% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
60% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
09.11.25 Freiburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
26.10.25 Leverkusen – Freiburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Freiburg – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (1–2) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
05.10.25 M'gladbach – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Werder Bremen – Freiburg 0–3 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Freiburg – Stuttgart 3–1 (0–1) 2.903.602.35 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 FC Koln – Freiburg 4–1 (1–0) 2.553.302.80 2.03 1.83

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.11.25 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.70 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
01.11.25 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (1–3) 2.803.402.45 1.80 2.00
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10

Freiburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Freiburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
19.10.25 Freiburg – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (1–2) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
28.09.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.10 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Freiburg – Stuttgart 3–1 (0–1) 2.903.602.35 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Freiburg – Augsburg 1–3 (0–3) 1.853.604.33 1.93 1.93
17.05.25 Freiburg – Ein Frankfurt 1–3 (1–1) 2.353.702.80 1.53 2.50
04.05.25 Freiburg – Leverkusen 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.73 2.10
19.04.25 Freiburg – Hoffenheim 3–2 (2–2) 1.913.703.75 1.73 2.10
05.04.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–4 (0–1) 3.103.502.20 1.80 2.00
30.03.25 Freiburg – Union Berlin 1–2 (1–1) 2.003.503.70 2.10 1.73

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Bochum – Mainz 1–4 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
26.04.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
12.04.25 Hoffenheim – Mainz 2–0 (2–0) 2.703.502.55 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (2–0) 1.623.905.00 1.67 2.20
07.03.25 M'gladbach – Mainz 1–3 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 1.76 1.96

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Freiburg winsDrawsMainz wins
8matches
1.75goals / match
25%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25D1 Mainz – Freiburg 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.304.10 2.10 1.73
03.11.24D1 Freiburg – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.73 2.10
21.04.24D1 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.10
03.12.23D1 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.96 1.94
19.03.23D1 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
01.10.22D1 Freiburg – Mainz 2–1 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 1.92 1.98
12.02.22D1 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.50 2.03 1.87
18.09.21D1 Mainz – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 44 9 +35 34
2 RB Leipzig 12 8 2 2 22 13 +9 26
3 Dortmund 12 7 4 1 21 11 +10 25
4 Leverkusen 12 7 2 3 28 17 +11 23
5 Hoffenheim 12 7 2 3 25 17 +8 23
6 Stuttgart 12 7 1 4 21 17 +4 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 6 3 3 28 23 +5 21
8 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 16 21 -5 16
9 FC Koln 12 4 3 5 21 20 +1 15
10 Union Berlin 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
11 M'gladbach 12 3 4 5 16 19 -3 13
12 Freiburg 11 3 4 4 15 20 -5 13
13 Hamburg 12 3 3 6 11 18 -7 12
14 Augsburg 12 3 1 8 15 27 -12 10
15 Wolfsburg 12 2 3 7 14 22 -8 9
16 Heidenheim 12 2 2 8 10 27 -17 8
17 St Pauli 12 2 1 9 10 24 -14 7
18 Mainz 11 1 3 7 11 19 -8 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 29 4 +25 21
2 RB Leipzig 5 5 0 0 12 3 +9 15
3 Stuttgart 5 5 0 0 9 3 +6 15
4 Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16 6 +10 13
5 Dortmund 5 3 2 0 9 4 +5 11
6 Werder Bremen 6 3 2 1 8 8 0 11
7 Hamburg 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
9 Hoffenheim 6 3 0 3 11 10 +1 9
10 Union Berlin 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
11 Freiburg 5 2 2 1 9 8 +1 8
12 FC Koln 5 2 1 2 13 9 +4 7
13 M'gladbach 7 1 3 3 7 14 -7 6
14 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 7 15 -8 6
15 Heidenheim 6 1 2 3 6 12 -6 5
16 St Pauli 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
17 Mainz 6 0 2 4 5 10 -5 2
18 Wolfsburg 6 0 2 4 7 14 -7 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim 6 4 2 0 14 7 +7 14
2 Dortmund 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
3 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 15 5 +10 13
4 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 2 1 17 14 +3 11
5 RB Leipzig 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11
6 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 12 11 +1 10
7 FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
8 M'gladbach 5 2 1 2 9 5 +4 7
9 Wolfsburg 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
10 Stuttgart 7 2 1 4 12 14 -2 7
11 Union Berlin 5 2 0 3 5 9 -4 6
12 Werder Bremen 6 1 2 3 8 13 -5 5
13 Freiburg 6 1 2 3 6 12 -6 5
14 Mainz 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
15 Augsburg 6 1 1 4 8 12 -4 4
16 St Pauli 6 1 0 5 4 10 -6 3
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
18 Hamburg 6 0 2 4 2 12 -10 2

Freiburg   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 12 0 12 3.7 0.8 11 1 0 44 9 34
2 4 Leverkusen 12 3 9 2.3 1.4 7 2 3 28 17 23
3 5 Hoffenheim 12 3 9 2.1 1.4 7 2 3 25 17 23
4 6 Stuttgart 12 3 9 1.8 1.4 7 1 4 21 17 22
5 14 Augsburg 12 3 9 1.2 2.2 3 1 8 15 27 10
6 7 Ein Frankfurt 12 4 8 2.3 1.9 6 3 3 28 23 21
7 16 Heidenheim 12 4 8 0.8 2.2 2 2 8 10 27 8
8 8 Werder Bremen 12 5 7 1.3 1.8 4 4 4 16 21 16
9 9 FC Koln 12 5 7 1.8 1.7 4 3 5 21 20 15
10 10 Union Berlin 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 4 3 5 15 19 15
11 11 M'gladbach 12 5 7 1.3 1.6 3 4 5 16 19 13
12 12 Freiburg 11 4 7 1.4 1.8 3 4 4 15 20 13
13 15 Wolfsburg 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 2 3 7 14 22 9
14 17 St Pauli 12 5 7 0.8 2.0 2 1 9 10 24 7
15 2 RB Leipzig 12 6 6 1.8 1.1 8 2 2 22 13 26
16 13 Hamburg 12 6 6 0.9 1.5 3 3 6 11 18 12
17 3 Dortmund 12 7 5 1.8 0.9 7 4 1 21 11 25
18 18 Mainz 11 7 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 7 11 19 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 7 0 7 4.1 0.6 7 0 0 29 4 21
2 5 Hoffenheim 6 1 5 1.8 1.7 3 0 3 11 10 9
3 10 Union Berlin 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 2 3 2 10 10 9
4 17 St Pauli 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
5 4 Leverkusen 7 3 4 2.3 0.9 4 1 2 16 6 13
6 9 FC Koln 5 1 4 2.6 1.8 2 1 2 13 9 7
7 11 M'gladbach 7 3 4 1.0 2.0 1 3 3 7 14 6
8 12 Freiburg 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 2 2 1 9 8 8
9 14 Augsburg 6 2 4 1.2 2.5 2 0 4 7 15 6
10 15 Wolfsburg 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 0 2 4 7 14 2
11 16 Heidenheim 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 2 3 6 12 5
12 2 RB Leipzig 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 5 0 0 12 3 15
13 7 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 3 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
14 8 Werder Bremen 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 1 8 8 11
15 13 Hamburg 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
16 3 Dortmund 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 3 2 0 9 4 11
17 6 Stuttgart 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 5 0 0 9 3 15
18 18 Mainz 6 5 1 0.8 1.7 0 2 4 5 10 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stuttgart 7 0 7 1.7 2.0 2 1 4 12 14 7
2 1 Bayern Munich 5 0 5 3.0 1.0 4 1 0 15 5 13
3 4 Leverkusen 5 0 5 2.4 2.2 3 1 1 12 11 10
4 7 Ein Frankfurt 6 1 5 2.8 2.3 3 2 1 17 14 11
5 14 Augsburg 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 1 4 8 12 4
6 5 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 4 2 0 14 7 14
7 8 Werder Bremen 6 2 4 1.3 2.2 1 2 3 8 13 5
8 16 Heidenheim 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
9 2 RB Leipzig 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11
10 3 Dortmund 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
11 9 FC Koln 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
12 11 M'gladbach 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 1 2 9 5 7
13 12 Freiburg 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 1 2 3 6 12 5
14 13 Hamburg 6 3 3 0.3 2.0 0 2 4 2 12 2
15 15 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
16 18 Mainz 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
17 10 Union Berlin 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 2 0 3 5 9 6
18 17 St Pauli 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 5 4 10 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51