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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 4.50 fair 3.01
Draw 4.75 fair 4.60
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.22
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Dortmund Bayern Munich
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 2
15 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (211 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.44
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.94
Home / Draw / Away
DortmundDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.8% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Dortmund before this match, all matches
2.26points / match
2.13scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 49:22
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.61points / match
3.70scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 85:21
Dortmund all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 3.70
0.96 Goals conceded 0.91
3.09 Total goals 4.61
13.13 Shots 19.13
4.91 Shots on target 8.91
10.87 Shots faced 9.78
5.30 Corners 6.35
4.61 Corners against 3.39
11.70 Fouls 9.17
1.91 Yellow cards 1.78
1.04 1st-half goals scored 1.65
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

65% Wins 83%
30% Draws 13%
4% Losses 4%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
87% Over 1.5 goals 100%
57% Over 2.5 goals 100%
30% Over 3.5 goals 74%
22% Over 4.5 goals 43%
13% Over 5.5 goals 22%
52% Both teams scored 61%
48% Clean sheets 39%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 65%
22% Draws 30%
9% Losses 4%
91% Over 0.5 goals 96%
35% Over 1.5 goals 74%
4% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
Dortmund before this match, at home
2.64points / match
2.36scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 26:8
Bayern Munich before this match, away
2.64points / match
3.36scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 37:9
Dortmund at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 3.36
0.73 Goals conceded 0.82
3.09 Total goals 4.18
14.36 Shots 17.55
5.73 Shots on target 8.64
10.00 Shots faced 10.45
7.18 Corners 5.82
4.00 Corners against 3.64
11.36 Fouls 8.82
1.55 Yellow cards 2.18
1.18 1st-half goals scored 1.18
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

82% Wins 82%
18% Draws 18%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 100%
55% Over 2.5 goals 100%
36% Over 3.5 goals 73%
27% Over 4.5 goals 36%
9% Over 5.5 goals 9%
36% Both teams scored 55%
64% Clean sheets 45%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

73% Wins 55%
27% Draws 36%
0% Losses 9%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
36% Over 1.5 goals 64%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Dortmund at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.44 2.75
13.02.26 Dortmund – Mainz 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
07.02.26 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Dortmund – Heidenheim 3–2 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.91
17.01.26 Dortmund – St Pauli 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.2510.00 1.67 2.20
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
09.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 3–3 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Bayern Munich – Ein Frankfurt 3–2 (2–0) 1.149.5013.00 1.20 4.50
14.02.26 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 8.006.001.30 1.33 3.40
08.02.26 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–1 (3–1) 1.297.007.50 1.25 4.00
31.01.26 Hamburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 8.006.501.29 1.33 3.40
24.01.26 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 1–2 (1–0) 1.1012.0017.00 1.25 4.00
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
11.01.26 Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg 8–1 (2–1) 1.1111.0017.00 1.20 4.50
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33

Dortmund at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.26 Dortmund – Mainz 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
01.02.26 Dortmund – Heidenheim 3–2 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
17.01.26 Dortmund – St Pauli 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.2510.00 1.67 2.20
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63
22.11.25 Dortmund – Stuttgart 3–3 (2–0) 1.754.004.33 1.53 2.50
25.10.25 Dortmund – FC Koln 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.256.50 1.40 3.00
04.10.25 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
21.09.25 Dortmund – Wolfsburg 1–0 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.44 2.75

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.26 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 8.006.001.30 1.33 3.40
31.01.26 Hamburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 8.006.501.29 1.33 3.40
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
06.12.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 5.755.001.45 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
25.10.25 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–0) 10.006.501.22 1.29 3.75
04.10.25 Ein Frankfurt – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 6.255.251.42 1.29 3.75
20.09.25 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 7.006.001.33 1.29 3.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Dortmund winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
9matches
3.78goals / match
78%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25D1 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.507.50 1.33 3.40
12.04.25D1 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 2–2 (0–0) 1.445.256.00 1.40 3.00
30.11.24D1 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.101.67 1.40 3.00
30.03.24D1 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
04.11.23D1 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 4.004.331.75 1.33 3.40
01.04.23D1 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 4–2 (3–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
08.10.22D1 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 2–2 (0–1) 4.334.751.65 1.36 3.20
23.04.22D1 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 3–1 (2–0) 1.365.757.00 1.25 4.00
04.12.21D1 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 2–3 (1–2) 4.004.331.75 1.33 3.40

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 23 19 3 1 85 21 +64 60 WLDWWW
2 Dortmund 23 15 7 1 49 22 +27 52 WWWWWD
3 Hoffenheim 24 14 4 6 49 31 +18 46 WWLWDL
4 Stuttgart 23 13 4 6 44 32 +12 43 DWWLWD
5 RB Leipzig 23 12 5 6 44 32 +12 41 WDLWDD
6 Leverkusen 23 12 4 7 44 29 +15 40 WWDWLD
7 Freiburg 23 9 6 8 34 37 -3 33 DWLWLW
8 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 7 8 46 49 -3 31 DLLDWL
9 Augsburg 24 9 4 11 30 41 -11 31 WWLWWW
10 Union Berlin 24 7 7 10 29 38 -9 28 LLDLWL
11 Hamburg 22 6 8 8 25 32 -7 26 DDDWWD
12 M'gladbach 24 6 7 11 27 39 -12 25 LDDLLW
13 FC Koln 24 6 6 12 33 41 -8 24 LWLLDL
14 Mainz 24 5 8 11 27 39 -12 23 WWWLDD
15 St Pauli 24 6 5 13 23 40 -17 23 DLWLWW
16 Werder Bremen 24 5 7 12 25 44 -19 22 LDLLLW
17 Wolfsburg 23 5 5 13 33 49 -16 20 DLLLDL
18 Heidenheim 24 3 5 16 22 53 -31 14 LLLLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 12 10 1 1 48 12 +36 31 WDWLWW
2 Dortmund 11 9 2 0 26 8 +18 29 WWWWWW
3 Stuttgart 11 8 2 1 17 12 +5 26 LDWDWW
4 Hoffenheim 12 8 0 4 27 14 +13 24 WWWWWL
5 Freiburg 11 7 3 1 21 12 +9 24 WDWWWW
6 Leverkusen 12 7 2 3 25 11 +14 23 LWLWWD
7 RB Leipzig 12 7 2 3 27 17 +10 23 LWLLDD
8 Augsburg 13 6 3 4 17 19 -2 21 DDDWWW
9 Hamburg 11 5 4 2 18 13 +5 19 WWDDDW
10 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 2 4 20 18 +2 17 DWDLLW
11 Union Berlin 12 4 5 3 17 17 0 17 LWDLDW
12 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 14 21 -7 16 LDLDLW
13 FC Koln 12 4 3 5 21 19 +2 15 LLWWLD
14 St Pauli 11 4 3 4 13 18 -5 15 LWDDWW
15 Mainz 12 3 4 5 13 14 -1 13 LDWWWD
16 M'gladbach 12 3 4 5 14 21 -7 13 DLWLDW
17 Heidenheim 12 2 4 6 13 27 -14 10 WLDLLD
18 Wolfsburg 12 2 3 7 19 26 -7 9 WLWDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Bayern Munich 11 9 2 0 37 9 +28 29 WWWWDW
2 Dortmund 12 6 5 1 23 14 +9 23 WDDWWD
3 Hoffenheim 12 6 4 2 22 17 +5 22 LDWWLD
4 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 17 15 +2 18 LDLWDW
5 Stuttgart 12 5 2 5 27 20 +7 17 LWWWLD
6 Leverkusen 11 5 2 4 19 18 +1 17 LWLWDL
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 5 4 26 31 -5 14 LDLDDL
8 M'gladbach 12 3 3 6 13 18 -5 12 LLDDLL
9 Wolfsburg 11 3 2 6 14 23 -9 11 DWLLLD
10 Union Berlin 12 3 2 7 12 21 -9 11 WDDLLL
11 Augsburg 11 3 1 7 13 22 -9 10 LLLWLW
12 Mainz 12 2 4 6 14 25 -11 10 DDLWLD
13 FC Koln 12 2 3 7 12 22 -10 9 DLDLLL
14 Freiburg 12 2 3 7 13 25 -12 9 LWLDLL
15 St Pauli 13 2 2 9 10 22 -12 8 DLLLLW
16 Hamburg 11 1 4 6 7 19 -12 7 LLLDWD
17 Werder Bremen 12 1 3 8 11 23 -12 6 LDLLLL
18 Heidenheim 12 1 1 10 9 26 -17 4 LLDLLL

Dortmund   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 23 0 23 3.7 0.9 19 3 1 85 21 60 OOOOOO
2 4 Stuttgart 23 6 17 1.9 1.4 13 4 6 44 32 43 UOUOOO
3 3 Hoffenheim 24 8 16 2.0 1.3 14 4 6 49 31 46 UOOOOU
4 8 Ein Frankfurt 23 7 16 2.0 2.1 8 7 8 46 49 31 OOOUOO
5 17 Wolfsburg 23 7 16 1.4 2.1 5 5 13 33 49 20 UOUOOO
6 18 Heidenheim 24 8 16 0.9 2.2 3 5 16 22 53 14 OOUUOU
7 5 RB Leipzig 23 8 15 1.9 1.4 12 5 6 44 32 41 OUOOOO
8 7 Freiburg 23 8 15 1.5 1.6 9 6 8 34 37 33 OOUUOO
9 9 Augsburg 24 10 14 1.2 1.7 9 4 11 30 41 31 OOUUOU
10 13 FC Koln 24 10 14 1.4 1.7 6 6 12 33 41 24 OUOOOU
11 15 St Pauli 24 10 14 1.0 1.7 6 5 13 23 40 23 UOOOOU
12 2 Dortmund 23 10 13 2.1 1.0 15 7 1 49 22 52 OOOOOO
13 6 Leverkusen 23 10 13 1.9 1.3 12 4 7 44 29 40 UOUOUU
14 10 Union Berlin 24 11 13 1.2 1.6 7 7 10 29 38 28 OOUOUU
15 12 M'gladbach 24 11 13 1.1 1.6 6 7 11 27 39 25 OUUOOU
16 16 Werder Bremen 24 11 13 1.0 1.8 5 7 12 25 44 22 UUUOOU
17 14 Mainz 24 12 12 1.1 1.6 5 8 11 27 39 23 OOUOUU
18 11 Hamburg 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 6 8 8 25 32 26 UUOUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Bayern Munich 12 0 12 4.0 1.0 10 1 1 48 12 31 OOOOOO
2 3 Hoffenheim 12 3 9 2.2 1.2 8 0 4 27 14 24 OOUOOU
3 5 RB Leipzig 12 3 9 2.2 1.4 7 2 3 27 17 23 OUOOOO
4 17 Wolfsburg 12 3 9 1.6 2.2 2 3 7 19 26 9 OOOUOO
5 18 Heidenheim 12 3 9 1.1 2.2 2 4 6 13 27 10 OOOOUO
6 7 Freiburg 11 3 8 1.9 1.1 7 3 1 21 12 24 OUOOUO
7 10 Union Berlin 12 4 8 1.4 1.4 4 5 3 17 17 17 OOOOUU
8 13 FC Koln 12 4 8 1.8 1.6 4 3 5 21 19 15 UOOUOO
9 15 St Pauli 11 3 8 1.2 1.6 4 3 4 13 18 15 UOUUOO
10 8 Ein Frankfurt 11 4 7 1.8 1.6 5 2 4 20 18 17 UUOOOO
11 12 M'gladbach 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 4 5 14 21 13 UOOOUU
12 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 2.4 0.7 9 2 0 26 8 29 UUOOOO
13 6 Leverkusen 12 6 6 2.1 0.9 7 2 3 25 11 23 OUOUOU
14 9 Augsburg 13 7 6 1.3 1.5 6 3 4 17 19 21 UUOOUU
15 11 Hamburg 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 4 2 18 13 19 OOUUOO
16 16 Werder Bremen 12 6 6 1.2 1.8 4 4 4 14 21 16 OOUUOU
17 4 Stuttgart 11 6 5 1.5 1.1 8 2 1 17 12 26 OUOUUO
18 14 Mainz 12 9 3 1.1 1.2 3 4 5 13 14 13 UUOOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Stuttgart 12 0 12 2.2 1.7 5 2 5 27 20 17 OOOOOO
2 1 Bayern Munich 11 0 11 3.4 0.8 9 2 0 37 9 29 OOOOOO
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 9 2.2 2.6 3 5 4 26 31 14 OUOOUO
4 14 Mainz 12 3 9 1.2 2.1 2 4 6 14 25 10 OOOOOU
5 9 Augsburg 11 3 8 1.2 2.0 3 1 7 13 22 10 OUOOUO
6 2 Dortmund 12 5 7 1.9 1.2 6 5 1 23 14 23 OUOOOO
7 3 Hoffenheim 12 5 7 1.8 1.4 6 4 2 22 17 22 UUOUOO
8 6 Leverkusen 11 4 7 1.7 1.6 5 2 4 19 18 17 UOUOUU
9 7 Freiburg 12 5 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 7 13 25 9 OOUOUO
10 16 Werder Bremen 12 5 7 0.9 1.9 1 3 8 11 23 6 OUOUUO
11 17 Wolfsburg 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 3 2 6 14 23 11 UOOOUO
12 18 Heidenheim 12 5 7 0.8 2.2 1 1 10 9 26 4 OOUOUU
13 5 RB Leipzig 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 3 3 17 15 18 OUOOUO
14 12 M'gladbach 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 6 13 18 12 UOUUOO
15 13 FC Koln 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 7 12 22 9 UUOOOU
16 15 St Pauli 13 7 6 0.8 1.7 2 2 9 10 22 8 UOOOOU
17 10 Union Berlin 12 7 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 7 12 21 11 UUUOOU
18 11 Hamburg 11 6 5 0.6 1.7 1 4 6 7 19 7 UOOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47