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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 2–2 Dortmund

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.15 fair 2.64
Draw ✓ 3.80 fair 4.32
Away 3.10 fair 2.56
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Dortmund
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 2
11 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (202 league matches this season so far).
Result Dortmund to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.65
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawDortmund
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.91scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 42:30
Dortmund before this match, all matches
2.32points / match
2.14scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 47:20
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Dortmund

Per match

1.91 Goals scored 2.14
1.36 Goals conceded 0.91
3.27 Total goals 3.05
16.36 Shots 13.23
5.82 Shots on target 4.91
12.18 Shots faced 10.77
5.32 Corners 5.45
4.50 Corners against 4.55
9.09 Fouls 11.45
1.41 Yellow cards 1.82
0.86 1st-half goals scored 1.09
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

55% Wins 68%
18% Draws 27%
27% Losses 5%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
64% Over 2.5 goals 55%
45% Over 3.5 goals 27%
18% Over 4.5 goals 23%
18% Over 5.5 goals 14%
55% Both teams scored 50%
41% Clean sheets 50%
9% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 73%
45% Draws 23%
14% Losses 5%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
36% Over 1.5 goals 32%
23% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Dortmund all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.27scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 25:15
Dortmund before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.91scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:12
RB Leipzig at home away Dortmund

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 1.91
1.36 Goals conceded 1.09
3.64 Total goals 3.00
17.55 Shots 12.09
7.09 Shots on target 4.09
11.64 Shots faced 11.55
5.73 Corners 3.73
4.55 Corners against 5.09
8.27 Fouls 11.55
1.09 Yellow cards 2.09
0.91 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

64% Wins 55%
9% Draws 36%
27% Losses 9%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 91%
73% Over 2.5 goals 55%
55% Over 3.5 goals 18%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
18% Over 5.5 goals 18%
64% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 36%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 73%
45% Draws 18%
9% Losses 9%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
36% Over 1.5 goals 27%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Dortmund away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 2–2 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.40 3.00
08.02.26 FC Koln – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 3.253.802.10 1.50 2.63
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.53 2.50
27.01.26 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.80 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–3 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (1–2) 2.103.803.20 1.53 2.50
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.26 Dortmund – Mainz 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50
07.02.26 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Dortmund – Heidenheim 3–2 (1–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.91
17.01.26 Dortmund – St Pauli 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.2510.00 1.67 2.20
13.01.26 Dortmund – Werder Bremen 3–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.63
09.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 3–3 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
19.12.25 Dortmund – M'gladbach 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03
07.12.25 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.504.75 1.50 2.63

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg 2–2 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.40 3.00
31.01.26 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 1.554.505.50 1.53 2.50
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (1–2) 2.103.803.20 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
23.11.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
01.11.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.44 2.75
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
20.09.25 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 3–1 (3–1) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50

Dortmund away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
24.01.26 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 1.91 1.91
09.01.26 Ein Frankfurt – Dortmund 3–3 (1–1) 3.603.801.95 1.62 2.30
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Leverkusen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.57 2.38
08.11.25 Hamburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.50 2.63
31.10.25 Augsburg – Dortmund 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
18.10.25 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.507.50 1.33 3.40
27.09.25 Mainz – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.702.10 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Heidenheim – Dortmund 0–2 (0–2) 5.504.501.55 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsDortmund wins
9matches
3.44goals / match
78%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.504.20 1.36 3.20
15.03.25D1 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.602.88 1.62 2.30
02.11.24D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.803.00 1.50 2.63
27.04.24D1 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 4–1 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.40 3.00
09.12.23D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.602.55 1.44 2.75
03.03.23D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.503.20 1.62 2.30
10.09.22D1 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 3–0 (2–0) 2.303.902.75 1.57 2.37
02.04.22D1 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–2) 2.503.602.62 1.53 2.50
06.11.21D1 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.803.80 1.57 2.37

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 23 19 3 1 85 21 +64 60
2 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 47 20 +27 51
3 Hoffenheim 23 14 4 5 49 30 +19 46
4 Stuttgart 22 13 3 6 41 29 +12 42
5 RB Leipzig 22 12 4 6 42 30 +12 40
6 Leverkusen 22 12 3 7 43 28 +15 39
7 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 7 8 46 49 -3 31
8 Freiburg 22 8 6 8 32 36 -4 30
9 Union Berlin 23 7 7 9 29 37 -8 28
10 Augsburg 23 8 4 11 28 41 -13 28
11 Hamburg 22 6 8 8 25 32 -7 26
12 FC Koln 23 6 6 11 33 39 -6 24
13 Mainz 23 5 7 11 26 38 -12 22
14 M'gladbach 22 5 7 10 25 37 -12 22
15 Wolfsburg 23 5 5 13 33 49 -16 20
16 Werder Bremen 22 4 7 11 22 42 -20 19
17 St Pauli 22 4 5 13 20 39 -19 17
18 Heidenheim 22 3 4 15 19 48 -29 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 10 1 1 48 12 +36 31
2 Dortmund 11 9 2 0 26 8 +18 29
3 Stuttgart 11 8 2 1 17 12 +5 26
4 Hoffenheim 11 8 0 3 27 13 +14 24
5 Leverkusen 11 7 1 3 24 10 +14 22
6 RB Leipzig 11 7 1 3 25 15 +10 22
7 Freiburg 10 6 3 1 19 11 +8 21
8 Hamburg 11 5 4 2 18 13 +5 19
9 Augsburg 12 5 3 4 15 19 -4 18
10 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 2 4 20 18 +2 17
11 Union Berlin 12 4 5 3 17 17 0 17
12 FC Koln 12 4 3 5 21 19 +2 15
13 Mainz 12 3 4 5 13 14 -1 13
14 Werder Bremen 11 3 4 4 12 21 -9 13
15 St Pauli 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
16 M'gladbach 11 2 4 5 13 21 -8 10
17 Wolfsburg 12 2 3 7 19 26 -7 9
18 Heidenheim 11 2 3 6 10 24 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 11 9 2 0 37 9 +28 29
2 Dortmund 11 6 4 1 21 12 +9 22
3 Hoffenheim 12 6 4 2 22 17 +5 22
4 RB Leipzig 11 5 3 3 17 15 +2 18
5 Leverkusen 11 5 2 4 19 18 +1 17
6 Stuttgart 11 5 1 5 24 17 +7 16
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 5 4 26 31 -5 14
8 M'gladbach 11 3 3 5 12 16 -4 12
9 Union Berlin 11 3 2 6 12 20 -8 11
10 Wolfsburg 11 3 2 6 14 23 -9 11
11 Augsburg 11 3 1 7 13 22 -9 10
12 FC Koln 11 2 3 6 12 20 -8 9
13 Mainz 11 2 3 6 13 24 -11 9
14 Freiburg 12 2 3 7 13 25 -12 9
15 Hamburg 11 1 4 6 7 19 -12 7
16 Werder Bremen 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6
17 St Pauli 12 1 2 9 9 22 -13 5
18 Heidenheim 11 1 1 9 9 24 -15 4

RB Leipzig   Dortmund

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 23 0 23 3.7 0.9 19 3 1 85 21 60
2 3 Hoffenheim 23 7 16 2.1 1.3 14 4 5 49 30 46
3 4 Stuttgart 22 6 16 1.9 1.3 13 3 6 41 29 42
4 7 Ein Frankfurt 23 7 16 2.0 2.1 8 7 8 46 49 31
5 15 Wolfsburg 23 7 16 1.4 2.1 5 5 13 33 49 20
6 18 Heidenheim 22 7 15 0.9 2.2 3 4 15 19 48 13
7 5 RB Leipzig 22 8 14 1.9 1.4 12 4 6 42 30 40
8 8 Freiburg 22 8 14 1.5 1.6 8 6 8 32 36 30
9 10 Augsburg 23 9 14 1.2 1.8 8 4 11 28 41 28
10 12 FC Koln 23 9 14 1.4 1.7 6 6 11 33 39 24
11 6 Leverkusen 22 9 13 2.0 1.3 12 3 7 43 28 39
12 9 Union Berlin 23 10 13 1.3 1.6 7 7 9 29 37 28
13 17 St Pauli 22 9 13 0.9 1.8 4 5 13 20 39 17
14 2 Dortmund 22 10 12 2.1 0.9 15 6 1 47 20 51
15 13 Mainz 23 11 12 1.1 1.7 5 7 11 26 38 22
16 14 M'gladbach 22 10 12 1.1 1.7 5 7 10 25 37 22
17 16 Werder Bremen 22 10 12 1.0 1.9 4 7 11 22 42 19
18 11 Hamburg 22 11 11 1.1 1.5 6 8 8 25 32 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 12 0 12 4.0 1.0 10 1 1 48 12 31
2 3 Hoffenheim 11 2 9 2.5 1.2 8 0 3 27 13 24
3 15 Wolfsburg 12 3 9 1.6 2.2 2 3 7 19 26 9
4 5 RB Leipzig 11 3 8 2.3 1.4 7 1 3 25 15 22
5 9 Union Berlin 12 4 8 1.4 1.4 4 5 3 17 17 17
6 12 FC Koln 12 4 8 1.8 1.6 4 3 5 21 19 15
7 18 Heidenheim 11 3 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 6 10 24 9
8 7 Ein Frankfurt 11 4 7 1.8 1.6 5 2 4 20 18 17
9 8 Freiburg 10 3 7 1.9 1.1 6 3 1 19 11 21
10 14 M'gladbach 11 4 7 1.2 1.9 2 4 5 13 21 10
11 17 St Pauli 10 3 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
12 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 2.4 0.7 9 2 0 26 8 29
13 6 Leverkusen 11 5 6 2.2 0.9 7 1 3 24 10 22
14 10 Augsburg 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 5 3 4 15 19 18
15 11 Hamburg 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 4 2 18 13 19
16 16 Werder Bremen 11 5 6 1.1 1.9 3 4 4 12 21 13
17 4 Stuttgart 11 6 5 1.5 1.1 8 2 1 17 12 26
18 13 Mainz 12 9 3 1.1 1.2 3 4 5 13 14 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 11 0 11 3.4 0.8 9 2 0 37 9 29
2 4 Stuttgart 11 0 11 2.2 1.5 5 1 5 24 17 16
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 9 2.2 2.6 3 5 4 26 31 14
4 13 Mainz 11 2 9 1.2 2.2 2 3 6 13 24 9
5 10 Augsburg 11 3 8 1.2 2.0 3 1 7 13 22 10
6 3 Hoffenheim 12 5 7 1.8 1.4 6 4 2 22 17 22
7 6 Leverkusen 11 4 7 1.7 1.6 5 2 4 19 18 17
8 8 Freiburg 12 5 7 1.1 2.1 2 3 7 13 25 9
9 15 Wolfsburg 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 3 2 6 14 23 11
10 18 Heidenheim 11 4 7 0.8 2.2 1 1 9 9 24 4
11 2 Dortmund 11 5 6 1.9 1.1 6 4 1 21 12 22
12 5 RB Leipzig 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 3 3 17 15 18
13 12 FC Koln 11 5 6 1.1 1.8 2 3 6 12 20 9
14 16 Werder Bremen 11 5 6 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6
15 17 St Pauli 12 6 6 0.8 1.8 1 2 9 9 22 5
16 9 Union Berlin 11 6 5 1.1 1.8 3 2 6 12 20 11
17 11 Hamburg 11 6 5 0.6 1.7 1 4 6 7 19 7
18 14 M'gladbach 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 5 12 16 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51