Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Cagliari 1–3 Milan

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.25 fair 2.56
Draw 3.80 fair 3.80
Away ✓ 1.67 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.99 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Cagliari Milan
16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 5
13 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (51 league matches this season so far).
Result Cagliari to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
CagliariDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 9.9% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Cagliari before this match, all matches
0.40points / match
0.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 1:6
Milan before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
2.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 10:7
Cagliari all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.20 Goals scored 2.00
1.20 Goals conceded 1.40
1.40 Total goals 3.40
9.60 Shots 10.80
1.40 Shots on target 4.60
13.00 Shots faced 12.40
4.00 Corners 3.00
6.60 Corners against 3.00
11.40 Fouls 11.60
1.60 Yellow cards 2.80
0.20 1st-half goals scored 1.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

0% Wins 80%
40% Draws 0%
60% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 60%
0% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
20% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 40%
80% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 80%
40% Draws 0%
40% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari all matches
Milan all matches
Cagliari before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:2
Milan before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:6
Cagliari at home away Milan

Per match

0.00 Goals scored 1.67
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
1.00 Total goals 3.67
11.00 Shots 9.33
1.50 Shots on target 4.00
14.00 Shots faced 14.67
4.00 Corners 3.67
6.50 Corners against 3.67
10.50 Fouls 10.67
1.50 Yellow cards 2.67
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
0% Both teams scored 67%
50% Clean sheets 33%
100% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 67%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cagliari at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Cagliari all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.23 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–0 (1–0) 1.405.008.00 1.67 2.20
17.09.23 Cagliari – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Bologna – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.00 2.00 1.90
28.08.23 Cagliari – Inter 0–2 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.73 2.10
21.08.23 Torino – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 2.10 1.73
19.05.23I2 Cosenza – Cagliari 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 1.82 2.02
13.05.23I2 Cagliari – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.604.50 2.00 1.85
05.05.23I2 Perugia – Cagliari 0–5 (0–3) 3.103.102.38 2.15 1.67
30.04.23I2 Cagliari – Ternana 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.604.75 2.00 1.85
22.04.23I2 Parma – Cagliari 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.30 1.60

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Milan – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
26.08.23 Milan – Torino 4–1 (3–1) 1.653.805.00 2.20 1.67
21.08.23 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
04.06.23 Milan – Verona 3–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 1.94 1.99
28.05.23 Juventus – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.73
20.05.23 Milan – Sampdoria 5–1 (3–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.57 2.38
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67

Cagliari at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23 Cagliari – Udinese 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.10 1.73
28.08.23 Cagliari – Inter 0–2 (0–2) 7.504.501.44 1.73 2.10
13.05.23I2 Cagliari – Palermo 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.604.50 2.00 1.85
30.04.23I2 Cagliari – Ternana 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.604.75 2.00 1.85
15.04.23I2 Cagliari – Frosinone 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.20 1.65
01.04.23I2 Cagliari – Sudtirol 1–1 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.40 1.53
10.03.23I2 Cagliari – Ascoli 4–1 (0–1) 2.053.204.00 2.50 1.50
01.03.23I2 Cagliari – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.50 2.30 1.60
11.02.23I2 Cagliari – Benevento 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 2.10 1.70
27.01.23I2 Cagliari – Spal 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.504.75 2.10 1.70

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
21.08.23 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
28.05.23 Juventus – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.73
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Cagliari winsDrawsMilan wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22I1 Cagliari – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.254.001.60 1.92 1.98
29.08.21I1 Milan – Cagliari 4–1 (4–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 5 5 0 0 14 1 +13 15
2 Juventus 6 4 1 1 12 6 +6 13
3 Milan 5 4 0 1 10 7 +3 12
4 Lecce 6 3 2 1 8 5 +3 11
5 Fiorentina 5 3 1 1 11 9 +2 10
6 Atalanta 5 3 0 2 10 5 +5 9
7 Napoli 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
8 Frosinone 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
9 Torino 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
10 Verona 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
11 Bologna 5 1 3 1 3 4 -1 6
12 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 9 11 -2 6
13 Roma 5 1 2 2 12 7 +5 5
14 Monza 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
15 Lazio 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
16 Genoa 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
17 Salernitana 5 0 3 2 4 9 -5 3
18 Udinese 5 0 3 2 1 6 -5 3
19 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 1 6 -5 2
20 Empoli 5 0 0 5 0 13 -13 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 3 3 0 0 11 1 +10 9
2 Lecce 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9
3 Juventus 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
5 Milan 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
6 Sassuolo 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
7 Frosinone 3 2 0 1 7 6 +1 6
8 Torino 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
9 Roma 3 1 1 1 10 4 +6 4
10 Monza 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
11 Fiorentina 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
12 Verona 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
13 Bologna 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4
14 Napoli 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
15 Salernitana 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2
16 Lazio 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
17 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
18 Genoa 2 0 1 1 3 6 -3 1
19 Udinese 3 0 1 2 0 5 -5 1
20 Empoli 3 0 0 3 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
3 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
4 Milan 3 2 0 1 5 6 -1 6
5 Napoli 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5
6 Atalanta 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3
7 Torino 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
8 Genoa 3 1 0 2 1 2 -1 3
9 Lazio 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
10 Verona 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
11 Bologna 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
12 Frosinone 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
13 Udinese 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
14 Lecce 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
15 Roma 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Salernitana 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
17 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
18 Monza 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
19 Sassuolo 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
20 Empoli 2 0 0 2 0 9 -9 0

Cagliari   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Fiorentina 5 1 4 2.2 1.8 3 1 1 11 9 10
2 13 Roma 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 1 2 2 12 7 5
3 2 Juventus 6 3 3 2.0 1.0 4 1 1 12 6 13
4 3 Milan 5 2 3 2.0 1.4 4 0 1 10 7 12
5 6 Atalanta 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 3 0 2 10 5 9
6 7 Napoli 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
7 8 Frosinone 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
8 12 Sassuolo 5 2 3 1.8 2.2 2 0 3 9 11 6
9 15 Lazio 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
10 1 Inter 5 3 2 2.8 0.2 5 0 0 14 1 15
11 4 Lecce 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 2 1 8 5 11
12 9 Torino 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
13 10 Verona 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
14 16 Genoa 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
15 17 Salernitana 5 3 2 0.8 1.8 0 3 2 4 9 3
16 11 Bologna 5 4 1 0.6 0.8 1 3 1 3 4 6
17 14 Monza 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
18 18 Udinese 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 0 3 2 1 6 3
19 19 Cagliari 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 0 2 3 1 6 2
20 20 Empoli 5 4 1 0.0 2.6 0 0 5 0 13 0
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Frosinone 3 0 3 2.3 2.0 2 0 1 7 6 6
2 13 Roma 3 0 3 3.3 1.3 1 1 1 10 4 4
3 1 Inter 3 1 2 3.7 0.3 3 0 0 11 1 9
4 5 Fiorentina 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
5 12 Sassuolo 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
6 16 Genoa 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 1 1 3 6 1
7 2 Juventus 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
8 3 Milan 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
9 4 Lecce 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9
10 6 Atalanta 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
11 7 Napoli 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
12 10 Verona 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
13 11 Bologna 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 1 1 2 3 4
14 17 Salernitana 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2
15 18 Udinese 3 2 1 0.0 1.7 0 1 2 0 5 1
16 9 Torino 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
17 14 Monza 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
18 15 Lazio 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
19 19 Cagliari 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
20 20 Empoli 3 3 0 0.0 1.3 0 0 3 0 4 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Lazio 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
2 2 Juventus 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
3 3 Milan 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 2 0 1 5 6 6
4 5 Fiorentina 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
5 6 Atalanta 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3
6 7 Napoli 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5
7 9 Torino 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
8 4 Lecce 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
9 10 Verona 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
10 12 Sassuolo 2 1 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
11 13 Roma 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
12 14 Monza 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
13 17 Salernitana 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
14 19 Cagliari 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
15 20 Empoli 2 1 1 0.0 4.5 0 0 2 0 9 0
16 1 Inter 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
17 8 Frosinone 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
18 11 Bologna 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
19 16 Genoa 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 0 2 1 2 3
20 18 Udinese 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51