Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–1 Verona

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.73 fair 1.64
Draw 4.00 fair 4.52
Away 4.50 fair 5.94
Under 2.5 1.99 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.94 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Verona
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 1
5 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (375 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.86 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawVerona
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.2% 2–0 11.4% 1–1 10.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.81points / match
1.65scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 61:42
Verona before this match, all matches
0.84points / match
0.81scored / match
1.51conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 30:56
Milan all matches all matches Verona

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 0.81
1.14 Goals conceded 1.51
2.78 Total goals 2.32
14.51 Shots 11.03
4.92 Shots on target 3.22
10.81 Shots faced 14.24
4.86 Corners 4.57
4.38 Corners against 5.11
12.00 Fouls 14.08
2.41 Yellow cards 2.68
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

51% Wins 19%
27% Draws 27%
22% Losses 54%
92% Over 0.5 goals 95%
81% Over 1.5 goals 73%
51% Over 2.5 goals 38%
30% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 5%
8% Over 5.5 goals 5%
59% Both teams scored 54%
32% Clean sheets 16%
16% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 22%
41% Draws 43%
19% Losses 35%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
41% Over 1.5 goals 32%
11% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Verona all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.22points / match
2.11scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 38:19
Verona before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.56scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 10:24
Milan at home away Verona

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 0.56
1.06 Goals conceded 1.33
3.17 Total goals 1.89
16.11 Shots 10.11
5.17 Shots on target 2.67
9.17 Shots faced 13.89
5.22 Corners 4.61
3.28 Corners against 5.44
12.39 Fouls 15.28
2.50 Yellow cards 2.72
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.28
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 6%
22% Draws 39%
11% Losses 56%
94% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 22%
33% Over 3.5 goals 11%
28% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
61% Both teams scored 50%
39% Clean sheets 17%
6% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 6%
39% Draws 56%
6% Losses 39%
78% Over 0.5 goals 67%
39% Over 1.5 goals 28%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Verona away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.05.23 Juventus – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.73
20.05.23 Milan – Sampdoria 5–1 (3–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.57 2.38
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
03.05.23 Milan – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.85 2.05
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
23.04.23 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84

Verona all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.05.23 Verona – Empoli 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 2.00 1.90
20.05.23 Atalanta – Verona 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.206.00 1.86 2.04
14.05.23 Verona – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.103.20 2.63 1.50
07.05.23 Lecce – Verona 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.50 1.53
03.05.23 Verona – Inter 0–6 (0–3) 5.503.751.67 2.10 1.73
30.04.23 Cremonese – Verona 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.45 2.20 1.67
21.04.23 Verona – Bologna 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.002.80 2.75 1.44
15.04.23 Napoli – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 2.03 1.87
08.04.23 Verona – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 2.04 1.86
01.04.23 Juventus – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.209.00 2.10 1.73

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.05.23 Milan – Sampdoria 5–1 (3–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.57 2.38
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
03.05.23 Milan – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.85 2.05
23.04.23 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81

Verona away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.05.23 Atalanta – Verona 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.206.00 1.86 2.04
07.05.23 Lecce – Verona 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.50 1.53
30.04.23 Cremonese – Verona 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.45 2.20 1.67
15.04.23 Napoli – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.006.50 2.03 1.87
01.04.23 Juventus – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.209.00 2.10 1.73
19.03.23 Sampdoria – Verona 3–1 (2–0) 2.883.102.45 2.38 1.57
05.03.23 Spezia – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
19.02.23 Roma – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.605.75 2.20 1.67
30.01.23 Udinese – Verona 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.754.33 1.98 1.92
14.01.23 Inter – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsVerona wins
3matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22I1 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.05.22I1 Verona – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.72 2.10
16.10.21I1 Milan – Verona 3–2 (0–2) 1.554.205.75 1.61 2.30

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 38 28 6 4 77 28 +49 90
2 Lazio 38 22 8 8 60 30 +30 74
3 Inter 38 23 3 12 71 42 +29 72
4 Juventus 37 21 6 10 55 33 +22 69
5 Milan 37 19 10 8 61 42 +19 67
6 Atalanta 37 18 7 12 61 46 +15 61
7 Roma 37 17 9 11 48 37 +11 60
8 Fiorentina 38 15 11 12 53 43 +10 56
9 Torino 38 14 11 13 42 41 +1 53
10 Monza 37 14 10 13 46 47 -1 52
11 Bologna 37 13 12 12 50 47 +3 51
12 Udinese 37 11 13 13 47 47 0 46
13 Sassuolo 38 12 9 17 47 61 -14 45
14 Empoli 38 10 13 15 37 49 -12 43
15 Salernitana 38 9 15 14 48 62 -14 42
16 Lecce 37 8 12 17 31 43 -12 36
17 Verona 37 7 10 20 30 56 -26 31
18 Spezia 37 6 13 18 30 60 -30 31
19 Cremonese 38 5 12 21 36 69 -33 27
20 Sampdoria 38 3 10 25 24 71 -47 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 19 14 3 2 40 15 +25 45
2 Juventus 19 13 3 3 38 15 +23 42
3 Inter 19 14 0 5 37 14 +23 42
4 Milan 18 12 4 2 38 19 +19 40
5 Lazio 19 11 4 4 32 18 +14 37
6 Roma 18 10 3 5 26 14 +12 33
7 Fiorentina 19 9 6 4 30 22 +8 33
8 Bologna 19 7 9 3 24 14 +10 30
9 Atalanta 18 9 3 6 33 24 +9 30
10 Sassuolo 19 8 4 7 24 23 +1 28
11 Empoli 19 8 4 7 22 23 -1 28
12 Udinese 18 6 9 3 30 19 +11 27
13 Salernitana 19 7 6 6 30 26 +4 27
14 Monza 19 7 5 7 25 22 +3 26
15 Torino 19 5 7 7 15 19 -4 22
16 Verona 19 6 3 10 20 32 -12 21
17 Spezia 19 4 8 7 18 30 -12 20
18 Lecce 18 3 8 7 16 21 -5 17
19 Cremonese 19 4 4 11 15 31 -16 16
20 Sampdoria 19 1 7 11 12 28 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 19 14 3 2 37 13 +24 45
2 Lazio 19 11 4 4 28 12 +16 37
3 Atalanta 19 9 4 6 28 22 +6 31
4 Torino 19 9 4 6 27 22 +5 31
5 Inter 19 9 3 7 34 28 +6 30
6 Milan 19 7 6 6 23 23 0 27
7 Roma 19 7 6 6 22 23 -1 27
8 Juventus 18 8 3 7 17 18 -1 27
9 Monza 18 7 5 6 21 25 -4 26
10 Fiorentina 19 6 5 8 23 21 +2 23
11 Bologna 18 6 3 9 26 33 -7 21
12 Lecce 19 5 4 10 15 22 -7 19
13 Udinese 19 5 4 10 17 28 -11 19
14 Sassuolo 19 4 5 10 23 38 -15 17
15 Empoli 19 2 9 8 15 26 -11 15
16 Salernitana 19 2 9 8 18 36 -18 15
17 Cremonese 19 1 8 10 21 38 -17 11
18 Spezia 18 2 5 11 12 30 -18 11
19 Verona 18 1 7 10 10 24 -14 10
20 Sampdoria 19 2 3 14 12 43 -31 9

Milan   Verona

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Inter 38 16 22 1.9 1.1 23 3 12 71 42 72
2 13 Sassuolo 38 16 22 1.2 1.6 12 9 17 47 61 45
3 15 Salernitana 38 17 21 1.3 1.6 9 15 14 48 62 42
4 1 Napoli 38 19 19 2.0 0.7 28 6 4 77 28 90
5 5 Milan 37 18 19 1.6 1.1 19 10 8 61 42 67
6 11 Bologna 37 18 19 1.4 1.3 13 12 12 50 47 51
7 12 Udinese 37 18 19 1.3 1.3 11 13 13 47 47 46
8 6 Atalanta 37 19 18 1.6 1.2 18 7 12 61 46 61
9 19 Cremonese 38 20 18 0.9 1.8 5 12 21 36 69 27
10 18 Spezia 37 20 17 0.8 1.6 6 13 18 30 60 31
11 2 Lazio 38 22 16 1.6 0.8 22 8 8 60 30 74
12 8 Fiorentina 38 22 16 1.4 1.1 15 11 12 53 43 56
13 10 Monza 37 21 16 1.2 1.3 14 10 13 46 47 52
14 20 Sampdoria 38 22 16 0.6 1.9 3 10 25 24 71 19
15 7 Roma 37 22 15 1.3 1.0 17 9 11 48 37 60
16 14 Empoli 38 24 14 1.0 1.3 10 13 15 37 49 43
17 17 Verona 37 23 14 0.8 1.5 7 10 20 30 56 31
18 4 Juventus 37 24 13 1.5 0.9 21 6 10 55 33 69
19 9 Torino 38 25 13 1.1 1.1 14 11 13 42 41 53
20 16 Lecce 37 26 11 0.8 1.2 8 12 17 31 43 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Salernitana 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 7 6 6 30 26 27
2 1 Napoli 19 9 10 2.1 0.8 14 3 2 40 15 45
3 2 Lazio 19 9 10 1.7 0.9 11 4 4 32 18 37
4 6 Atalanta 18 8 10 1.8 1.3 9 3 6 33 24 30
5 12 Udinese 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 6 9 3 30 19 27
6 17 Verona 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 6 3 10 20 32 21
7 18 Spezia 19 9 10 0.9 1.6 4 8 7 18 30 20
8 3 Inter 19 10 9 1.9 0.7 14 0 5 37 14 42
9 4 Juventus 19 10 9 2.0 0.8 13 3 3 38 15 42
10 5 Milan 18 9 9 2.1 1.1 12 4 2 38 19 40
11 8 Fiorentina 19 10 9 1.6 1.2 9 6 4 30 22 33
12 13 Sassuolo 19 10 9 1.3 1.2 8 4 7 24 23 28
13 10 Monza 19 11 8 1.3 1.2 7 5 7 25 22 26
14 14 Empoli 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 8 4 7 22 23 28
15 19 Cremonese 19 11 8 0.8 1.6 4 4 11 15 31 16
16 7 Roma 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 10 3 5 26 14 33
17 11 Bologna 19 13 6 1.3 0.7 7 9 3 24 14 30
18 16 Lecce 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 3 8 7 16 21 17
19 20 Sampdoria 19 13 6 0.6 1.5 1 7 11 12 28 10
20 9 Torino 19 15 4 0.8 1.0 5 7 7 15 19 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Inter 19 6 13 1.8 1.5 9 3 7 34 28 30
2 11 Bologna 18 5 13 1.4 1.8 6 3 9 26 33 21
3 13 Sassuolo 19 6 13 1.2 2.0 4 5 10 23 38 17
4 5 Milan 19 9 10 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 23 23 27
5 19 Cremonese 19 9 10 1.1 2.0 1 8 10 21 38 11
6 20 Sampdoria 19 9 10 0.6 2.3 2 3 14 12 43 9
7 1 Napoli 19 10 9 1.9 0.7 14 3 2 37 13 45
8 7 Roma 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 22 23 27
9 9 Torino 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 9 4 6 27 22 31
10 12 Udinese 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 5 4 10 17 28 19
11 15 Salernitana 19 10 9 0.9 1.9 2 9 8 18 36 15
12 6 Atalanta 19 11 8 1.5 1.2 9 4 6 28 22 31
13 10 Monza 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 7 5 6 21 25 26
14 8 Fiorentina 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 6 5 8 23 21 23
15 18 Spezia 18 11 7 0.7 1.7 2 5 11 12 30 11
16 2 Lazio 19 13 6 1.5 0.6 11 4 4 28 12 37
17 14 Empoli 19 13 6 0.8 1.4 2 9 8 15 26 15
18 16 Lecce 19 14 5 0.8 1.2 5 4 10 15 22 19
19 4 Juventus 18 14 4 0.9 1.0 8 3 7 17 18 27
20 17 Verona 18 14 4 0.6 1.3 1 7 10 10 24 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51