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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Spezia 2–0 Milan

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 4.20 fair 3.78
Draw 3.50 fair 3.99
Away 1.91 fair 2.06
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.87 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Spezia Milan
14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 9
15 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (342 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.58
Home / Draw / Away
SpeziaDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 10.8% 1–2 9.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Spezia before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
0.82scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 28:56
Milan before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.62scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 55:39
Spezia all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 1.62
1.65 Goals conceded 1.15
2.47 Total goals 2.76
11.06 Shots 14.56
3.44 Shots on target 4.91
16.15 Shots faced 10.71
5.15 Corners 4.68
5.47 Corners against 4.41
13.26 Fouls 12.18
2.62 Yellow cards 2.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

15% Wins 50%
35% Draws 29%
50% Losses 21%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
79% Over 1.5 goals 82%
47% Over 2.5 goals 53%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
3% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
47% Both teams scored 62%
12% Clean sheets 32%
47% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 38%
41% Draws 41%
41% Losses 21%
79% Over 0.5 goals 74%
35% Over 1.5 goals 41%
6% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Spezia all matches
Milan all matches
Spezia before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.94scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:26
Milan before this match, away
1.41points / match
1.29scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 22:21
Spezia at home away Milan

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.29
1.53 Goals conceded 1.24
2.47 Total goals 2.53
11.24 Shots 13.18
3.53 Shots on target 4.88
15.88 Shots faced 12.06
4.94 Corners 4.24
5.00 Corners against 5.47
13.18 Fouls 11.76
2.47 Yellow cards 2.41
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

18% Wins 35%
47% Draws 35%
35% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
82% Over 1.5 goals 76%
53% Over 2.5 goals 59%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 65%
18% Clean sheets 24%
41% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 24%
47% Draws 41%
29% Losses 35%
76% Over 0.5 goals 71%
41% Over 1.5 goals 47%
12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Spezia at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Spezia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Cremonese – Spezia 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.06 1.84
03.05.23 Atalanta – Spezia 3–2 (1–1) 1.365.008.00 1.67 2.20
28.04.23 Spezia – Monza 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
22.04.23 Sampdoria – Spezia 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
14.04.23 Spezia – Lazio 0–3 (0–1) 5.253.601.70 2.10 1.73
08.04.23 Fiorentina – Spezia 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.508.50 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Spezia – Salernitana 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.20 2.10 1.73
17.03.23 Sassuolo – Spezia 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.754.50 1.73 2.10
10.03.23 Spezia – Inter 2–1 (0–0) 8.004.601.40 1.73 2.10
05.03.23 Spezia – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
03.05.23 Milan – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.85 2.05
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
23.04.23 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73

Spezia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.23 Spezia – Monza 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
14.04.23 Spezia – Lazio 0–3 (0–1) 5.253.601.70 2.10 1.73
02.04.23 Spezia – Salernitana 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.303.20 2.10 1.73
10.03.23 Spezia – Inter 2–1 (0–0) 8.004.601.40 1.73 2.10
05.03.23 Spezia – Verona 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.20 1.67
19.02.23 Spezia – Juventus 0–2 (0–1) 6.003.751.62 2.07 1.83
05.02.23 Spezia – Napoli 0–3 (0–0) 8.005.251.36 1.67 2.20
22.01.23 Spezia – Roma 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.501.83 2.06 1.84
08.01.23 Spezia – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.20 1.67
04.01.23 Spezia – Atalanta 2–2 (2–0) 4.753.801.67 1.73 2.10

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Spezia winsDrawsMilan wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22I1 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
17.01.22I1 Milan – Spezia 1–2 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.57 2.37
25.09.21I1 Spezia – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 7.004.501.45 1.57 2.37

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 26 5 3 70 23 +47 83
2 Juventus 34 20 6 8 52 28 +24 66
3 Lazio 35 19 8 8 54 28 +26 65
4 Inter 34 20 3 11 62 35 +27 63
5 Milan 34 17 10 7 55 39 +16 61
6 Atalanta 35 17 7 11 56 42 +14 58
7 Roma 34 17 7 10 45 33 +12 58
8 Fiorentina 34 12 10 12 45 40 +5 46
9 Udinese 34 11 13 10 45 41 +4 46
10 Bologna 34 12 10 12 43 44 -1 46
11 Monza 34 12 10 12 42 45 -3 46
12 Torino 34 12 10 12 36 39 -3 46
13 Sassuolo 34 12 8 14 41 50 -9 44
14 Salernitana 35 8 14 13 43 56 -13 38
15 Empoli 34 9 11 14 31 44 -13 38
16 Lecce 35 7 11 17 30 43 -13 32
17 Verona 34 7 9 18 28 51 -23 30
18 Spezia 34 5 12 17 28 56 -28 27
19 Cremonese 34 4 12 18 31 59 -28 24
20 Sampdoria 34 3 8 23 20 61 -41 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 17 12 3 2 36 14 +22 39
2 Napoli 17 12 3 2 35 14 +21 39
3 Milan 17 11 4 2 33 18 +15 37
4 Inter 17 12 0 5 30 10 +20 36
5 Lazio 18 10 4 4 29 16 +13 34
6 Roma 17 10 2 5 24 12 +12 32
7 Bologna 17 7 7 3 22 12 +10 28
8 Sassuolo 17 8 4 5 22 18 +4 28
9 Udinese 17 6 9 2 30 18 +12 27
10 Atalanta 17 8 3 6 30 23 +7 27
11 Fiorentina 17 7 6 4 26 21 +5 27
12 Empoli 17 7 4 6 18 20 -2 25
13 Salernitana 18 6 6 6 27 24 +3 24
14 Monza 17 6 5 6 23 21 +2 23
15 Torino 17 5 6 6 14 17 -3 21
16 Verona 17 6 2 9 19 30 -11 20
17 Spezia 17 3 8 6 16 26 -10 17
18 Lecce 17 3 7 7 16 21 -5 16
19 Cremonese 17 3 4 10 12 26 -14 13
20 Sampdoria 17 1 5 11 9 25 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 17 14 2 1 35 9 +26 44
2 Lazio 17 9 4 4 25 12 +13 31
3 Atalanta 18 9 4 5 26 19 +7 31
4 Inter 17 8 3 6 32 25 +7 27
5 Juventus 17 8 3 6 16 14 +2 27
6 Roma 17 7 5 5 21 21 0 26
7 Torino 17 7 4 6 22 22 0 25
8 Milan 17 6 6 5 22 21 +1 24
9 Monza 17 6 5 6 19 24 -5 23
10 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 19 19 0 19
11 Udinese 17 5 4 8 15 23 -8 19
12 Bologna 17 5 3 9 21 32 -11 18
13 Lecce 18 4 4 10 14 22 -8 16
14 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 19 32 -13 16
15 Salernitana 17 2 8 7 16 32 -16 14
16 Empoli 17 2 7 8 13 24 -11 13
17 Cremonese 17 1 8 8 19 33 -14 11
18 Verona 17 1 7 9 9 21 -12 10
19 Spezia 17 2 4 11 12 30 -18 10
20 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 11 36 -25 9

Spezia   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 34 15 19 1.8 1.0 20 3 11 62 35 63
2 14 Salernitana 35 16 19 1.2 1.6 8 14 13 43 56 38
3 5 Milan 34 16 18 1.6 1.1 17 10 7 55 39 61
4 9 Udinese 34 16 18 1.3 1.2 11 13 10 45 41 46
5 13 Sassuolo 34 16 18 1.2 1.5 12 8 14 41 50 44
6 1 Napoli 34 17 17 2.1 0.7 26 5 3 70 23 83
7 10 Bologna 34 17 17 1.3 1.3 12 10 12 43 44 46
8 6 Atalanta 35 19 16 1.6 1.2 17 7 11 56 42 58
9 18 Spezia 34 18 16 0.8 1.6 5 12 17 28 56 27
10 19 Cremonese 34 18 16 0.9 1.7 4 12 18 31 59 24
11 3 Lazio 35 20 15 1.5 0.8 19 8 8 54 28 65
12 11 Monza 34 19 15 1.2 1.3 12 10 12 42 45 46
13 8 Fiorentina 34 20 14 1.3 1.2 12 10 12 45 40 46
14 20 Sampdoria 34 20 14 0.6 1.8 3 8 23 20 61 17
15 7 Roma 34 21 13 1.3 1.0 17 7 10 45 33 58
16 15 Empoli 34 21 13 0.9 1.3 9 11 14 31 44 38
17 17 Verona 34 21 13 0.8 1.5 7 9 18 28 51 30
18 2 Juventus 34 22 12 1.5 0.8 20 6 8 52 28 66
19 12 Torino 34 22 12 1.1 1.1 12 10 12 36 39 46
20 16 Lecce 35 24 11 0.9 1.2 7 11 17 30 43 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Salernitana 18 7 11 1.5 1.3 6 6 6 27 24 24
2 9 Udinese 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 6 9 2 30 18 27
3 17 Verona 17 7 10 1.1 1.8 6 2 9 19 30 20
4 1 Napoli 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 2 35 14 39
5 2 Juventus 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 2 36 14 39
6 3 Lazio 18 9 9 1.6 0.9 10 4 4 29 16 34
7 6 Atalanta 17 8 9 1.8 1.4 8 3 6 30 23 27
8 18 Spezia 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 3 8 6 16 26 17
9 5 Milan 17 9 8 1.9 1.1 11 4 2 33 18 37
10 8 Fiorentina 17 9 8 1.5 1.2 7 6 4 26 21 27
11 11 Monza 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 6 5 6 23 21 23
12 4 Inter 17 10 7 1.8 0.6 12 0 5 30 10 36
13 13 Sassuolo 17 10 7 1.3 1.1 8 4 5 22 18 28
14 15 Empoli 17 10 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 6 18 20 25
15 19 Cremonese 17 10 7 0.7 1.5 3 4 10 12 26 13
16 16 Lecce 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 3 7 7 16 21 16
17 7 Roma 17 12 5 1.4 0.7 10 2 5 24 12 32
18 10 Bologna 17 12 5 1.3 0.7 7 7 3 22 12 28
19 20 Sampdoria 17 12 5 0.5 1.5 1 5 11 9 25 8
20 12 Torino 17 13 4 0.8 1.0 5 6 6 14 17 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 17 5 12 1.9 1.5 8 3 6 32 25 27
2 10 Bologna 17 5 12 1.2 1.9 5 3 9 21 32 18
3 13 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.1 1.9 4 4 9 19 32 16
4 5 Milan 17 7 10 1.3 1.2 6 6 5 22 21 24
5 19 Cremonese 17 8 9 1.1 1.9 1 8 8 19 33 11
6 20 Sampdoria 17 8 9 0.6 2.1 2 3 12 11 36 9
7 1 Napoli 17 9 8 2.1 0.5 14 2 1 35 9 44
8 7 Roma 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 7 5 5 21 21 26
9 9 Udinese 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 8 15 23 19
10 12 Torino 17 9 8 1.3 1.3 7 4 6 22 22 25
11 14 Salernitana 17 9 8 0.9 1.9 2 8 7 16 32 14
12 6 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 1.1 9 4 5 26 19 31
13 11 Monza 17 10 7 1.1 1.4 6 5 6 19 24 23
14 18 Spezia 17 10 7 0.7 1.8 2 4 11 12 30 10
15 3 Lazio 17 11 6 1.5 0.7 9 4 4 25 12 31
16 8 Fiorentina 17 11 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 8 19 19 19
17 15 Empoli 17 11 6 0.8 1.4 2 7 8 13 24 13
18 16 Lecce 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 4 4 10 14 22 16
19 2 Juventus 17 14 3 0.9 0.8 8 3 6 16 14 27
20 17 Verona 17 14 3 0.5 1.2 1 7 9 9 21 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51