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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.25 fair 2.83
Draw 3.50 fair 4.00
Away 2.15 fair 2.52
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sassuolo Fiorentina
7 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 8
10 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (184 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–2 8.6% 0–1 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Sassuolo before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.39scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 25:33
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:18
Sassuolo all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.50
1.83 Goals conceded 1.00
3.22 Total goals 2.50
14.06 Shots 13.44
4.94 Shots on target 4.67
14.78 Shots faced 10.22
5.78 Corners 4.83
5.72 Corners against 3.33
9.94 Fouls 12.67
1.89 Yellow cards 2.17
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 56%
22% Draws 17%
56% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 67%
61% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 28%
17% Over 4.5 goals 11%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
72% Both teams scored 39%
0% Clean sheets 33%
28% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 44%
33% Draws 28%
28% Losses 28%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
39% Over 1.5 goals 39%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Sassuolo before this match, at home
0.89points / match
1.33scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:15
Fiorentina before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.33scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:10
Sassuolo at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.67 Goals conceded 1.11
3.00 Total goals 2.44
15.44 Shots 12.11
5.11 Shots on target 4.44
13.33 Shots faced 11.44
6.22 Corners 5.22
4.56 Corners against 3.67
9.78 Fouls 13.11
1.67 Yellow cards 2.67
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 44%
22% Draws 22%
56% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 67%
56% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 44%
0% Clean sheets 22%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
22% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 89%
44% Over 1.5 goals 22%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sassuolo at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
22.12.23 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.02 1.88
17.12.23 Udinese – Sassuolo 2–2 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.70 2.10
11.12.23 Cagliari – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.70 2.10
03.12.23 Sassuolo – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
26.11.23 Empoli – Sassuolo 3–4 (2–2) 2.753.602.40 1.65 2.20
10.11.23 Sassuolo – Salernitana 2–2 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.62 2.25
06.11.23 Torino – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.40 2.00 1.90
28.10.23 Sassuolo – Bologna 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.402.63 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Sassuolo – Lazio 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.502.50 1.62 2.25

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23 Fiorentina – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.60 2.35 1.57
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
17.12.23 Fiorentina – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
03.12.23 Fiorentina – Salernitana 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.757.00 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.403.80 2.05 1.85
05.11.23 Fiorentina – Juventus 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
23.10.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 0–2 (0–1) 1.444.338.00 1.62 2.25

Sassuolo at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Sassuolo – Genoa 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.02 1.88
03.12.23 Sassuolo – Roma 1–2 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.75 2.05
10.11.23 Sassuolo – Salernitana 2–2 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.62 2.25
28.10.23 Sassuolo – Bologna 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.402.63 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Sassuolo – Lazio 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.502.50 1.62 2.25
02.10.23 Sassuolo – Monza 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.752.88 1.57 2.35
23.09.23 Sassuolo – Juventus 4–2 (2–1) 4.004.001.80 1.73 2.10
01.09.23 Sassuolo – Verona 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.75 1.85 2.05
20.08.23 Sassuolo – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.62 2.30
02.06.23 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.44 2.75

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.23 Monza – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–1) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.70
10.12.23 Roma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
30.10.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
08.10.23 Napoli – Fiorentina 1–3 (1–1) 1.604.205.50 1.62 2.25
28.09.23 Frosinone – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.87 2.03
24.09.23 Udinese – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.25 1.99 1.91
03.09.23 Inter – Fiorentina 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 1.80 2.00
19.08.23 Genoa – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–3) 3.403.252.20 2.10 1.73
02.06.23 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sassuolo winsDrawsFiorentina wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.06.23I1 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.44 2.75
07.01.23I1 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
26.02.22I1 Sassuolo – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.602.45 1.61 2.30
19.12.21I1 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–2 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 19 15 3 1 44 9 +35 48
2 Juventus 18 13 4 1 27 11 +16 43
3 Milan 18 11 3 4 32 20 +12 36
4 Fiorentina 18 10 3 5 27 18 +9 33
5 Bologna 19 8 8 3 22 16 +6 32
6 Atalanta 18 9 2 7 29 20 +9 29
7 Roma 18 8 4 6 30 20 +10 28
8 Napoli 18 8 4 6 28 21 +7 28
9 Lazio 18 8 3 7 21 19 +2 27
10 Monza 19 6 7 6 19 20 -1 25
11 Torino 18 6 6 6 15 18 -3 24
12 Genoa 19 5 6 8 20 24 -4 21
13 Lecce 19 4 9 6 20 25 -5 21
14 Frosinone 19 5 4 10 25 34 -9 19
15 Udinese 18 2 11 5 18 28 -10 17
16 Sassuolo 18 4 4 10 25 33 -8 16
17 Cagliari 19 3 6 10 17 32 -15 15
18 Verona 19 3 5 11 16 26 -10 14
19 Empoli 18 3 4 11 10 30 -20 13
20 Salernitana 18 2 6 10 15 36 -21 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 1 1 25 6 +19 25
2 Bologna 10 7 2 1 14 5 +9 23
3 Juventus 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
4 Milan 9 7 0 2 15 4 +11 21
5 Roma 9 6 2 1 21 7 +14 20
6 Atalanta 9 6 1 2 17 7 +10 19
7 Fiorentina 9 6 1 2 15 8 +7 19
8 Lazio 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
9 Frosinone 10 5 2 3 17 15 +2 17
10 Torino 9 4 4 1 9 6 +3 16
11 Lecce 10 4 4 2 12 12 0 16
12 Monza 9 3 4 2 10 6 +4 13
13 Genoa 9 3 4 2 12 11 +1 13
14 Cagliari 9 3 3 3 11 15 -4 12
15 Napoli 9 3 2 4 12 13 -1 11
16 Udinese 9 1 6 2 12 14 -2 9
17 Verona 9 2 3 4 9 12 -3 9
18 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 12 15 -3 8
19 Salernitana 9 1 4 4 9 18 -9 7
20 Empoli 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 9 7 2 0 19 3 +16 23
2 Juventus 9 6 2 1 14 7 +7 20
3 Napoli 9 5 2 2 16 8 +8 17
4 Milan 9 4 3 2 17 16 +1 15
5 Fiorentina 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
6 Monza 10 3 3 4 9 14 -5 12
7 Atalanta 9 3 1 5 12 13 -1 10
8 Lazio 9 3 1 5 10 12 -2 10
9 Bologna 9 1 6 2 8 11 -3 9
10 Roma 9 2 2 5 9 13 -4 8
11 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 13 18 -5 8
12 Genoa 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
13 Torino 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 8
14 Udinese 9 1 5 3 6 14 -8 8
15 Empoli 9 2 2 5 5 16 -11 8
16 Lecce 9 0 5 4 8 13 -5 5
17 Verona 10 1 2 7 7 14 -7 5
18 Salernitana 9 1 2 6 6 18 -12 5
19 Cagliari 10 0 3 7 6 17 -11 3
20 Frosinone 9 0 2 7 8 19 -11 2

Sassuolo   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 19 6 13 1.3 1.8 5 4 10 25 34 19
2 8 Napoli 18 7 11 1.6 1.2 8 4 6 28 21 28
3 16 Sassuolo 18 7 11 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 25 33 16
4 20 Salernitana 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 2 6 10 15 36 12
5 1 Inter 19 9 10 2.3 0.5 15 3 1 44 9 48
6 3 Milan 18 8 10 1.8 1.1 11 3 4 32 20 36
7 6 Atalanta 18 8 10 1.6 1.1 9 2 7 29 20 29
8 17 Cagliari 19 9 10 0.9 1.7 3 6 10 17 32 15
9 7 Roma 18 9 9 1.7 1.1 8 4 6 30 20 28
10 4 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.5 1.0 10 3 5 27 18 33
11 15 Udinese 18 10 8 1.0 1.6 2 11 5 18 28 17
12 18 Verona 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 3 5 11 16 26 14
13 5 Bologna 19 12 7 1.2 0.8 8 8 3 22 16 32
14 12 Genoa 19 12 7 1.1 1.3 5 6 8 20 24 21
15 13 Lecce 19 12 7 1.1 1.3 4 9 6 20 25 21
16 2 Juventus 18 12 6 1.5 0.6 13 4 1 27 11 43
17 9 Lazio 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 8 3 7 21 19 27
18 10 Monza 19 13 6 1.0 1.1 6 7 6 19 20 25
19 11 Torino 18 13 5 0.8 1.0 6 6 6 15 18 24
20 19 Empoli 18 13 5 0.6 1.7 3 4 11 10 30 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Frosinone 10 2 8 1.7 1.5 5 2 3 17 15 17
2 1 Inter 10 4 6 2.5 0.6 8 1 1 25 6 25
3 8 Napoli 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 3 2 4 12 13 11
4 20 Salernitana 9 3 6 1.0 2.0 1 4 4 9 18 7
5 4 Fiorentina 9 4 5 1.7 0.9 6 1 2 15 8 19
6 6 Atalanta 9 4 5 1.9 0.8 6 1 2 17 7 19
7 7 Roma 9 4 5 2.3 0.8 6 2 1 21 7 20
8 15 Udinese 9 4 5 1.3 1.6 1 6 2 12 14 9
9 16 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.7 2 2 5 12 15 8
10 17 Cagliari 9 4 5 1.2 1.7 3 3 3 11 15 12
11 13 Lecce 10 6 4 1.2 1.2 4 4 2 12 12 16
12 18 Verona 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 2 3 4 9 12 9
13 3 Milan 9 6 3 1.7 0.4 7 0 2 15 4 21
14 5 Bologna 10 7 3 1.4 0.5 7 2 1 14 5 23
15 11 Torino 9 6 3 1.0 0.7 4 4 1 9 6 16
16 12 Genoa 9 6 3 1.3 1.2 3 4 2 12 11 13
17 2 Juventus 9 7 2 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
18 9 Lazio 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 10 Monza 9 7 2 1.1 0.7 3 4 2 10 6 13
20 19 Empoli 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 9 2 7 1.9 1.8 4 3 2 17 16 15
2 16 Sassuolo 9 3 6 1.4 2.0 2 2 5 13 18 8
3 6 Atalanta 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 1 5 12 13 10
4 8 Napoli 9 4 5 1.8 0.9 5 2 2 16 8 17
5 14 Frosinone 9 4 5 0.9 2.1 0 2 7 8 19 2
6 17 Cagliari 10 5 5 0.6 1.7 0 3 7 6 17 3
7 20 Salernitana 9 4 5 0.7 2.0 1 2 6 6 18 5
8 1 Inter 9 5 4 2.1 0.3 7 2 0 19 3 23
9 2 Juventus 9 5 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 1 14 7 20
10 5 Bologna 9 5 4 0.9 1.2 1 6 2 8 11 9
11 7 Roma 9 5 4 1.0 1.4 2 2 5 9 13 8
12 9 Lazio 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 1 5 10 12 10
13 10 Monza 10 6 4 0.9 1.4 3 3 4 9 14 12
14 12 Genoa 10 6 4 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
15 18 Verona 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 1 2 7 7 14 5
16 4 Fiorentina 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
17 13 Lecce 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 0 5 4 8 13 5
18 15 Udinese 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 5 3 6 14 8
19 19 Empoli 9 6 3 0.6 1.8 2 2 5 5 16 8
20 11 Torino 9 7 2 0.7 1.3 2 2 5 6 12 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40